4Q15 Earnings Release€¦ · 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 167.3 178.5 201.6...
Transcript of 4Q15 Earnings Release€¦ · 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 167.3 178.5 201.6...
Telecom ArgentinaTelecom Argentina
4Q15 4Q15 EarningsEarnings ReleaseRelease4Q15 4Q15 EarningsEarnings ReleaseRelease
Conference Call Presentation
This presentation is based on audited financial statements and may include statements that could constitute forward-looking statements,
including, but not limited to, the Company’s expectations for its future performance, revenues, income, earnings per share, capital
expenditures, dividends, liquidity and capital structure; the impact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentine government; and the
impact of rate changes and competition on the Company’s future financial performance. Forward-looking statements may be identified by
words such as “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “intends”, “should”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “future” or other similar expressions.
Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could significantly affect the Company’s expected results. The risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to, uncertainties concerning the impact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentine government
which have resulted in the repeal of Argentina’s convertibility law, the devaluation of the peso, restrictions on the ability to exchange pesos
into foreign currencies, the adoption of a restrictive currency transfer policy, the “pesification” of tariffs charged for public services, the
elimination of indexes to adjust rates charged for public services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the
concessions granted to public service providers, including Telecom. Due to extensive and rapid changes in laws and economic and business
DDisclaimerisclaimer
concessions granted to public service providers, including Telecom. Due to extensive and rapid changes in laws and economic and business
conditions in Argentina, it is difficult to predict the impact of these changes on the Company’s financial condition. Other factors may include,
but are not limited to, the evolution of the economy in Argentina, growing inflationary pressure and reduction in consumer spending and the
outcome of certain legal proceedings. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as
the date of this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to forward-looking statements
which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in the
Company’s business or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Information included in this presentation is unaudited and may not
coincide with that included in the financial statements of the Company, due to rounding, reclassification matters, and other reasons. Readers
are encouraged to consult the Company’s Annual Report and Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on Form 6-K, which are filed with or
furnished to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and the Argentine Comisión Nacional de Valores.
1
AgendaAgenda
Market Overview
Business Highlights
Financials
Q&A
2
4.3% 4.3%
1.0% 1.0%
43.330.6 31.4 31.5 33.9 33.3
25.6
2012 2013 2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
Central Bank Reserves (Billion U$S)
Central Bank Reserves
Household consumption
26.6%
38.0%
28.0% 26.9%
Consumer Price Index (GCBA)
CPI (YoY)
Macro: a new administration in office that is focused the normalization of the economyMacro: a new administration in office that is focused the normalization of the economy
FX Rate Main measures that allowed exchange rate
unification:
� Lifting of restrictions on FX markets .
� Reduction or elimination of export taxes for
commodities and industrial products.
�Agreements with exporters to sell
inventories of grain.
�Devaluation & new floating exchange rate
regime.
Main measures that allowed exchange rate
unification:
� Lifting of restrictions on FX markets .
� Reduction or elimination of export taxes for
commodities and industrial products.
�Agreements with exporters to sell
inventories of grain.
�Devaluation & new floating exchange rate
regime.2016: Repo with International Investment
Banks for U$S 5BN.
Social services & Healthcare
Public Admin & Defense
Electricity, gas & water
Construction
Economic activity per sectorTotal
3
-0.5%
0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0%
2012 2013 2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15e 4Q15e
�As of December 2015, international reserves
showed a decrease vs 2014, mainly due to CB’s
interventions to offset further depreciations of the
exchange rate and payments of sovereign debt.
Nonetheless, a positive trend was observed after
the new administration was in offices and the FX
market controls were eliminated.
�Overall household consumption has maintained a
slight positive performance, but far from high levels
reached in previous years. It is expected that raises
in utilities tariffs during 2016 would impact
negatively in average consumption.
�On Dec-15, with the lifting of official FX markets
controls, the peso suffered a significant
depreciation (40%) closing 2015 at AR$ 13 per USD.
� The CPI Index was not published for YE15, after
announcing a deep revision in the process and
mechanisms implemented by INDEC. As guidance,
the authorities suggested that other indexes
published by provincial entities, i.e. the Buenos
Aires City and San Luis, should be observed.
� Trade balance continued to decrease in 4Q15, as
exports accumulated 23 months of contraction
(according to last available data).
� The economic activity closed the year with a slow
and fragile recovery, mainly due to notorious
improvements in Construction, public
administration and utilities.
� Industrial production Index (IPI) showed a positive
trend, but at a much lower and volatile pace than
the rest of the economy.
26.6% 28.0% 25.5% 24.0%26.9%
2013 2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
16.5%
Transport & Communications
Financial interm.
Manufacturer Industry
Real Estate
Minery
Retail & Wholesale commerce
Agriculture
Social services & Healthcare
AgendaAgenda
Market Overview
Business Highlights
Financials
Q&A
4
B U S I N E S S
HighlightsHighlights
MobileMobile –– SustainedSustained growthgrowth drivendriven byby DataData && InternetInternet
� Solid position in value segments: postpaid gross adds +500k subs in 4Q15, 6% YoY
� Important delivery of handsets during 4Q15: quantities increase by 18% vs 4Q14. LTE device sell-out >85%
� Quick adoption of Data Centric offers (clients with new plans represent 25% of postpaid subs in FY15)
�Successful 4G rollout continues:
-2 million customers are using our 4G platform
- Data consumption boost (146% higher than non-4G clients average consumption)
� Browsing ARPU growing at 67% pace enhanced by increased data usage (+10% users, +54% usage)
� Launch of 4G for mass market in Paraguay
FixedFixed BroadbandBroadband –– ExpandingExpanding positionposition inin keykey segmentssegmentsFixedFixed BroadbandBroadband –– ExpandingExpanding positionposition inin keykey segmentssegments
≥ 10Mb subs = 27% of CB vs. 16% in 4Q14 - ARPU +36% vs. 4Q14. Total BB Accesses +2% vs. 4Q14
� Service Revenues growth of 22%, mainly driven by:
- Mobile Internet in Argentina (+88%)
- Fixed Broadband (+40%)
� EBITDA increased by +25% with a positive effect in margins, reaching a 27% profitability in a challenging scenario, reverting
the historical trend
� LTM FCF generation of AR$ 192MM, after paying AR$ 804 MM in cash dividends and AR$ 2,256 MM in Spectrum in
Argentina. NFP (debt) reaches AR$ 2.3 Bn, mostly in local currency
� Sound hedging strategy with +70% FX exposure coverage, partially offsetting impact of FX depreciation in YE15
F I N A N C I A L S
5
New Regulatory Framework: merger of telco and media and new regulatory entityNew Regulatory Framework: merger of telco and media and new regulatory entity
MAIN AUTHORITIES
Main changes introduced by Decree
267/15:
� Incorporates Pay TV (excluding Satellite TV)
as an ICT (1) service.
� The decree has set certain restrictions to
telcos to provide multimedia convergent
ARGENTINA DIGITAL LAW
LAW N 27.078
It was enacted as of 12/19/2014
Main regulation - Declares of public
Interest the development of ICT services
Decree 267/15
� Provides ENACOM
creation.
� Modifies certain aspects
of Law 27.078, but
maintains the free pricing
criteria.
� Has to be approved by
(Former Ministry of Federal Planning and
Secretary of Communications)
AMENDS
MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATIONS
REGULATION
6
telcos to provide multimedia convergent
offers.
� Changes in licencing restrictions for Media.
� Simplification of approval process for
changes in ownerships of licenses.
� Satellite TV providers can not offer
Broadband.
ENACOM is a new regulatory agency with authority over media
and telecommunications, that has a President appointed by the
Executive Power and a Board of Directors composed by 6
directors, of which 3 are appointed by the Executive Power and
3 by Congress.
(1) Information and Communication Technologies
� Has to be approved by
Legislative Power during
Ordinary Sessions of 2016
to fully enforce its
resolutions.
(merges functions of both former
agencies AFTIC (Telcos) and AFSCA
(media)
ENACOM(National Communications Entity)
1,649 1,316
1,767
Group Revenues: focus on mix and trend. Strong revenue performance in 4Q15Group Revenues: focus on mix and trend. Strong revenue performance in 4Q15
Retail Mobile
Retail Fixed Voice
BB and fixed data
AR$, Million
49% 50%
14% 16%
9% 8%
Retail Fixed Voice
Group Revenue Mix
682 745
704 788
723 846 744
925
FY14 FY15
+16%
1Q
3Q
2Q
9%
17%
12%
+34%
35%
Broadband & Fixed Data
+88%
Internet Mobile
2,8533,304
4,724
6,330
6,254
4Q24%
35%
3Q
4Q
1,045 1,380 1,141
1,534 1,222
1,649
FY14 FY15
Regulated Rev
% on Total Rev 7.3% 7.0%
Handsets
Paraguay
FY15
Wholesale
FY14
14% 12%
4% 4%
15% 15%
9% 7%
Retail Mobile
35%
32%
34%
3,776 4,735 3,921 4,826 4,119
5,207 4,515
5,606
FY14 FY15
+25%
25%
26%
23%
6441,188
781
1,501 869
1,594
1,041
1,971
FY14 FY15
+88%
83%
84%
92%
16,331
20,374
3,335
7
1Q
3Q
2Q
24%
1Q
3Q
2Q
4Q
1Q
3Q
2Q
4Q
89%
1,771 1,768
1,786
1,804 1,814
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
167.3 178.5 201.6 217.4 231.5
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
Monthly Churn ARPU (AR$)
Fixed Fixed –– UBB accesses increased significantly in 4Q15 propped by competitive offerUBB accesses increased significantly in 4Q15 propped by competitive offer
Thousand of broadband accesses, thousand of net adds
+43k; +2%
AR$/Month
BB Accesses
+38%
BB ARPU & Churn
8
291 335 394 448 492
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
Monthly Churn ARPU (AR$)
735 963
1,470 1,780
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
IFRS Million of AR$
+31%
+21%
≥10Mb subs.
≥10Mb
% of CB
+44k;
+10%
16% 19% 22%
~2x
25%
Data / ICT Revenues
27%
+53%
Fixed Fixed –– ARBU sustained thru flat pricing + price adjustment in the business monthly feeARBU sustained thru flat pricing + price adjustment in the business monthly fee
4,093 4,077 4,064 4,054 4,043
Thousand of lines
AR$/Month
Lines in Service
ARBU
+27%
In AR$
60.1 60.564.4
69.6
76.2
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
9
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 DriversDrivers ofof ARBUARBU increaseincrease::
� Monthly Fee Tariff increases for Business Clients (17%
of CB) .
� The process of the tariff adjustment enabled by the
Argentine Digital Law has started. Decree 267/15
maintains and simplifies the original criteria for pricing
adjustments.
� Continous increase in penetration of packs of services:
80% of customer base.
Market
Share*46.4% 46.5%46.5% 46.5%
*Market share calculated based on Company estimates
46.5%
Mobile: capturing growth through increased data penetration and revenue Mobile: capturing growth through increased data penetration and revenue securizationsecurization
FY15FY14
PxQ
Bundle
18% 28%
42% 32%
40% 40%
Browsing SMS + Content
Voice
Prepaid
Postpaid
FY15FY14
Revenue Mix Mobile services revenue mixCustomer Base (Mill)
13.2 13.3
6.5 6.3
4Q154Q14
Prepaid
Postpaid 1
19.6 19.7
FY15FY14
10
Data penetration,
Monthly unique users in million
10%
8.57.7
367566
FY14
+54%
FY15
1 Includes Dongles
FY15FY14
Data Usage MBOU/month
FY14
+67%
FY15
ARPU Browsing AR$/month
3Q15 4Q15
+500K
POSTPAID GROSS ADDS
~20% on 4G network
Mobile: monetizing through Data Mobile: monetizing through Data CentricCentric PlansPlans
sep-15 dec-15
Non
Data
Centric
Data
Centric
•25% of the total Postpaid are Data Centric
Plans
•18% of the resets of data quotas came from
subs with Data Centric plans
•During December 2015 revenues coming
from data quotas resetting represented 6% of
the Total Data Revenues of 4Q15
Data Centric Subs
+350%
67%
33%
Migrations Adds
11
25%
35%
45%
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Browsing & Content Voice
Focus
Product
Portfolio
Offering
Lever
“Enabling platform for
customer preference”
Connectivity concept
Based on Platforms
Transformation is accelerating
As a percentage of Service Revenues
�Addressing
opportunities
� Consumer behavior
changing fast to data
Sell Out LTE Devices
Mobile Mobile –– Focus on 4GFocus on 4G
Main cities with 4G coverage
��5656%% ofof thethe totaltotal traffictraffic isis fromfrom videovideo sitessites��5656%% ofof thethe totaltotal traffictraffic isis fromfrom videovideo sitessites
+85%
Non LTE LTEApr/May Jul/Aug Apr/May Jul /Aug
5%
Average ARPU 4G ARPU*
14%
12
� As of today more than 1400 sites installed.
(+85% of the total are modernized or new sites).
� Presence in more than 335 locations in 18 provinces.
� Offering higher speed and capacity.
� Integrated and modernized 2G/3G/4G network with
state-of-the-art technology.
4G Customers
FY14 FY15
0.2
1.9x10
4G early adoption
��5656%% ofof thethe totaltotal traffictraffic isis fromfrom videovideo sitessites
��11..33GbGb isis thethe averageaverage datadata consumptionconsumption ((146146%% higherhigher thanthan nonnon--
44GG clientsclients))
��5656%% ofof thethe totaltotal traffictraffic isis fromfrom videovideo sitessites
��11..33GbGb isis thethe averageaverage datadata consumptionconsumption ((146146%% higherhigher thanthan nonnon--
44GG clientsclients))
URU
MEX
CHI
COL
ARG
PER
BOL
BRA
Number of quarters to achieve 2% of the subscriber base
16
15
9
8
8
6
3
3
Network Rollout
In million
* Corresponds to total ARPU of customers using only 4G technology
4,851 5,427 7,844
3,530 2,256
FY13 FY14 FY1525%
12%
24%
13%
26%
CapexCapex –– InfraestructureInfraestructure as a key enableras a key enabler
Million of AR$
Capex Evolution
% Revenues 25%18%
+85%
27%
Capex Breakdown
Spectrum
10,1008,957
+13%
FY14
+70%
Mobile Sites
FY15 FY14 FY15
+52%
FTTx
+45%
13
� During 2015 the Company achieved the fastest deployment
of an integrated and modernized AWS + 700 MHZ 4G network
in Latam.
�Personal is the only operator in Argentina that has developed
an infrastructure with dual bands in all its 4G sites (700 MHz +
AWS), while it is the first in Latam to build a fully new multi-
tecnological network (2G/3G/4G).
�More than 5,000 Km of fiber for access network were
deployed.
Mobile
Access
Fixed Access Core &
Infraestruct *
IT Others
Note: *Core & infrastructure refers to network related capex, including quality and innovation capex.
Network Achievements
Main targets:
� Competitive network
� Improved customer experience
� Focus on 4G
� 2G / 3G evolution + migration
(Excludes spectrum)
2G / 3G / 4G
Multi-standard equipment (SDR)
2G & 3G
2G
850
2G
1900
3G
1900
Spectrum Usage42,5 MHz
(850 and 1900 Bands)
100 MHz
(700, 850, 1900 and AWS
Bands)
Technology and
shelter ocupation
Personal : Only operator Personal : Only operator in Latam that has built a in Latam that has built a fullyfully new new multimulti--tecnologicaltecnological networknetwork(2G/3G/4G)(2G/3G/4G)
Before upgrade After upgrade
14
Sectors 3 sectors per site 6 sectors per site
Energy Autonomy 2 hs. 4 hs.
• Telecom Personal has tested the simultaneous use of 4G bands (Carrier Aggregation) and registered sustained speeds
up to 175 Mbps, achieving the highest measurement recorded so far in the country.
• Simultaneous use of the frequency bands 1700 / 2100Mhz (AWS) and 700 MHz (APT) will provide better coverage and
higher speeds, enhancing the overall browsing experience.
Carrier Aggregation
AgendaAgenda
Market Overview
Business Highlights
Financials
Q&A
15
3,202
+25%
8,702
10,866
TEO Group: Consolidated Results TEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of AR$, Percentage
Revenues EBITDA
33,341
40,496+21%
IFRS, Million of AR$, Percentage
20%22% 21% 24% 24%
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15
Service Rev growth in Argentina (Yoy)
-491-55
9001,431
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Handset Results - Mobile in Argentina
Before capitalization of SAC & SRC
Handsets Revenues – Costs (in million of AR$)
16
6,570 7,564
2,112 2,634
2,007 2,501
2,067
2,529
2,516
3,202
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
8,702
EBITDA Mg 30% 28% 26% 27%Regulated
Revenues10% 8% 7% 7%
+17%
+25%
+23% +15%
+19%
+19%
33,341
+25%
1Q
2Q
+22%
3Q
Lower quantity of handsets sold (-23% YoY vs FY14) due to import limitations in Argentina
+30%4Q
+27%+22% +15%
22,117 27,287
7,466 8,872
8,119 9,624
8,598 10,094
9,158
11,906
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
1Q
3Q
2Q
4Q
8,7026,199
953 452 961,662 646
721 586 825 10,866
22% 19%11% 5%
30%20% 22%
18%28%
YoY
Variation+2,164; +25%
IFRS, Million of AR$
EBITDA FY14 – FY15
TEO Group: Consolidated TEO Group: Consolidated costs costs and and EBITDA EBITDA evolutionevolution
EBITDA FY14 Ss. Revenues &
other incomes
Handsets
Sales
Handsets Costs ITX Costs Labor Costs Taxes Other Marketing
& Sales
Fees for services,
maint. and
materials
Others* EBITDA FY15
EBITDA Margin
-1.1%+0.9% +0.2% 0.0% +0.3% 26.8%-0.5%26.1%FY14FY15
* Others includes bad debt expenses, provisions, VAS costs and others
As % of Revenues 10% 10%5% 18% 10% 9%11%
17
18
839 801
1,029 646
3,673
3,403
1,225
1,311
1,600
1,770
+14%
TEO Group: Consolidated ResultsTEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of AR$, PercentageNet Income
attributable to Telecom
Operating Income
+7%
+14%6,229
5,443 -7%
3Q
4Q+11%
-5%
-37%
3Q
4Q
IFRS, Million of AR$, Percentage
19%
2,685 3,202
889 1,028
916 928
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
3,966 4,518
1,377 1,680
1,241 1,468
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
18
O. Income
Margin18% 17% 12% 12%16% 15% 11% 8%
+16%
Net Income
Margin
+22% 1Q
2Q+1%+18%
1Q
2Q
TEO TEO GroupGroup: Net : Net IncomeIncome EvolutionEvolution
3,729
2,164 1,378
1,355 275
3,435
Period D & A
3G/4G
Spectrum
Amortization
Total
FY14 3,223 20 3,243
FY15 4,115 323 4,438
in million of AR$ FY14 FY15
Net Interests $ 265 -$ 526
Gains on Mutual Funds &
other inv.$ 289 $ 601
FX results -$ 275 -$ 1,140
Results on NDF $ 0 $ 0
Others -$ 26 -$ 37
Total $ 253 -$ 1,102
19
Net Income FY14* EBITDA D&A, Results on
disposal of PP&E and
write-down of PP&E
Net Financial Results Income Tax Expense Net Income FY15*
Full effect of Δ FX
without hedging
measures and WK
management
would have been:
~AR$ -1,880 MM
Mitigated Impact
U$S Dollar
& Dollar Link
Bonds
NDFFX Cash Exposure as
of Nov-15
Net Accounts
Payable & Debt
HEDGING POSITION PRIOR TO AR$ DEVALUATION
Actions taken to limit FX
impact:
�Prepayments of accounts
payables denominated in
foreign currency
�Anticipated capex
denominated in foreign
currency
Δ AR$ 1,100 MM
* Total Net Income includes the part attributable to Telecom and the non-controlling interest
745
1,823 1,631
2,256 61 170
849
2,277
IFRS, Million of AR$ - Last 12 months
TEO TEO GroupGroup: FCF, Net : FCF, Net FinancialFinancial Position & Position & FinancingFinancing
Free Cash Flow = 192
Operating free Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
Net Financial
Position
FY14
(Net Cash)
Net Financial
Position
FY15
(Net Debt)
Net Interest
& OthersFX
Variations
Operating
Free Cash
Flow1
Taxes Dividend
Payments2
Spectrum
Payment
10,866 7,8441,199
EBITDA Capex Δ WK & others
20
NoteS:(1) OFCF: Operating Free Cash Flow before Taxes(2) Includes $45 Million related to Nucleo dividend payments to third parties, net of income tax
Free Cash Flow = 192
Telecom Personal’s Notes
On December 10th 2015, Telecom Personal successfully completed the issuance process of two series of Notes for a total nominal
value of AR$720.5 million:
� 18-month bullet maturity, at a composite interest rate (fixed rate of 28.5% up to the 6th month
and floating rate from the 7th month, BADLAR rate + 375bps)
� 36-month bullet maturity, at a composite interest rate (fixed rate of 28.75% up to the 9th
month and floating rate from the 10th month, BADLAR rate + 400bps)
$ 571.5 MM
$ 149.0 MM
SERIES I
SERIES II
AgendaAgenda
Market Overview
Business Highlights
FinancialsFinancials
Q&A
21