4Q 2014 Earnings Results...
Transcript of 4Q 2014 Earnings Results...
4Q 2014 Earnings Results Presentation B787 Dreamliner
The present document consolidates information from Avianca Holdings SA and its subsidiaries, including unaudited financial figures, operational managerial indicators, financial indicators and managerial projections of future performance, in line with Avianca Holdings SA and its subsidiaries’ business plans. References to future behaviors are indicative and do not constitute a guarantee of compliance by the Company, its shareholders or directors. Unaudited accounting and financial information and projections presented in this document are based on internal data and calculations made by the Company, which may be subject to changes or adjustments. Any change in the current economic conditions, the aviation industry, fuel prices, international markets and external events, among others, may affect the ongoing business results and future projections. Avianca Holdings S.A. herein after Avianca Holdings and its subsidiaries warn investors and potential investors that future projections are not a guarantee of performance and that actual results may differ materially. Every investor or potential investor will be responsible for investment decisions taken or not taken as a result of his or her assessment of the information contained herein. Avianca Holdings S.A. is not responsible for any third parties’ content. Avianca Holdings may make changes and updates to the information contained herein. The information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be reproduced without the consent of Avianca Holdings SA
• Key projects related to our cost saving
synergies, with more than USD $56 million
expected savings (MRO and CEO) throughout this
year and 2016
• Complementary Revenue Initiatives Project
(Ancillary Revenues) that will generate more than
~USD $60M over the next 3 years
• New Routes such as BOG-LAX and an increase in
frequencies to destinations such as London
(expected daily service)
• We estimate an expansion of more than 200 bps
in our operational margin EBIT
Executive Summary
• More than 26 million passengers carried
• A Load Factor above 79%
• More than 387.798 transported tons: +22%
• 5.9 million LifeMiles members +9.4%
• Adjusted EBIT1 Margin of 9.54% for 4Q and
6.23% for FY 2014
2014 Results
Outlook 2015
Source: Company Information
1. Does not include extraordinary items for the period: Incremental costs associated to the grounding of the Fokker 50 fleet, indemnization of administrative personnel as part of the overhead reduction strategy, preoperational costs associated to the entry into service of AVH cargo operations in Brazil and incremental costs related to the delivery of the B787 Dreamliners (Wetlease)
B787 Dreamliner
ATR 72 - 600
Airbus A319
Airbus A321*
Boeing 787
Airbus A320
Airbus A330
Airbus A330F1
Total 2014 +32 AeroUnion Acquisition +6
Fleet Grounding -12
2014 Operational Fleet 181
During 2014 we increased our capacity (ASK’s) by 5.9% while advancing in our fleet renovation plan
2014 Fleet Incorporation
2
2
2
4
6
6
10
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
During 4Q 2014 we initiated the phase-out process of the ATR42 and Airbus A330 fleet
Capacity
68 pax
120 pax
194 pax
250 pax
150 pax
252 pax
68 Ton
Sorce: Company Information 1 Out of the 2 A330F incorporated during 2014, 1 aircraft was subleased to OceanAir
*First AVH A321’s (2) to initiate operations in the Domestic Colombian market
We continue to strengthen and optimize our Network
International Markets - Bogotá – London - Pereira – Cartagena – New York
Domestic Markets - Lima - Iquitos - Bogotá - Villavicencio
Domestic 64 additional frequencies from Bogota to high density destinations such as:
Cali/ Medellin/ Barranquilla/ Cartagena/ Cucuta International More than 21 additional frequencies from our Bogota Hub to:
Cancún/ Barcelona/ Santiago/ San Juan/ Guatemala/La Habana/
- From Lima to Cali and to Bogota - From Guatemala to San Jose - From San José to Panama City
New Routes
Incremental Frequencies in Key Markets
Source: Company Information
2014 was a year of achievements
Best Airline in South/Latin America
“Best Airline" and “Best Airline Staff Service" in Central America and the
Caribbean
“Best Redemption Ability (Americas)"
and “Best Promotion Redemption Ability”
Reopening of the USD denominated
2020 bond for USD$250M
Acquisition of a stake in mexican cargo freighter
Aerounion
Implementation of code share
agreement with Turkish Airlines
New Commercial Agreement with
Etihad
Our network of routes in Ecuador
became part of Star Alliance
2014 Milestones
Source: Company Information
“Private Placement” for fleet financing for
an amount of USD$ 152.8M
9,837
10,586
38,762
41,052
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
13.0
11.7
12.4
11.9
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
6,327
6,909
24,625
26,230
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
Growth in passenger traffic continues to outperform capacity expansion
Source: Company information
R 218 G 41 B 28
ASKs – millions Passengers – ‘000s
Yield - US¢ Load Factor
+7.6% +9.2%
80.7%
79.6%
80.5%
79.4%
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
+6.5%
+5.9%
OPEX1 USD1.09B USD1.12B USD4.22B USD4.41B
11.08
10.61
10.90
10.74
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
4Q 2014 results are the outcome of the network optimization initiatives
1,204
1,241
4,610
4,702
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
R 218 G 41 B 28
Revenues - millions CASK1 - US¢
RASK-US¢ 12.24 11.73 11.89 11.45
-4.2% -1.5%
Source: Company Information 1. Does not include extraordinary items for the period: Incremental costs associated to the grounding of the Fokker 50 fleet (1Q2014), indemnization of administrative personnel as part of the overhead reduction strategy, preoperational costs associated to the entry into service of AVH cargo operations in Brazil and incremental costs related to the delivery of the B787 Dreamliners (Wetlease)
+3.1%
+2.0%
EBITDAR Margin 20.40% 14.73% 14.35% 16.63% 20.79%
USD114.7
USD54.6 USD49.8
USD70.3
USD118.36
4Q2013* 1Q2014 2Q2014 3Q2014 4Q2014
During 4Q2014 we were able to get back to the profitability levels of 4Q2013
R 218 G 41 B 28
EBIT Evolution1 – millions
+3.18%
EBITDAR Margin +39bps
EBIT Margin 9.52% 4.97% 4.35% 5.77% 9.54%
- On 4Q2013 we had 100% capacity in Venezuela - Sales in Venezuela amounted close to ~2% of total revenues in 4Q2014 when compared to ~9% in 4Q2013
Source: Company Information 1. Does not include extraordinary items for the period: Incremental costs associated to the grounding of the Fokker 50 fleet (1Q2014), indemnization of administrative personnel as part of the overhead reduction strategy, preoperational costs associated to the entry into service of AVH cargo operations in Brazil and incremental costs related to the delivery of the B787 Dreamliners (Wetlease)
+ 7.6%
+ 8.8% + 6.7% 86.0%
+ 7.7%
+ 4.8%
+ 8.9%
80.6%
70.3%
+ 9.4% + 8.4% 76.9%
+ 6.1% + 6.8% 74.6%
- 4.4% 81.9% - 3.6%
Central America & Caribbean4
HM to North America2
Home Markets to Europe
Domestic*
Intra Home Markets1
HM to South America3
Avianca’s capacity is primarily focused in Central and North America
Total
FY2014 ASK Growth
FY2014 RPK Growth
FY2014 Load Factor
Region
ASK Growth 5.9%
RPK Growth 4.5%
Load Factor 79.4%
Reduction due to a redistribution of capaccity from Venezuela
+12.4%
*Domestic Market: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador 1 Local Intra-Markets: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, Salvador, Costa Rica, Guatemala; 2 From Local Markets to North América including México 3 From Colombia, Perú, Ecuador and Costa Rica to Bolivia, Chile, Argentina, Brazil ,Uruguay and Venezuela, 4 Belize, Cuba Curazao, Republica Dominicana, Panamá, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
58.3% 18.2%
11.0%
Otros 5.4%
4.4% 2.7%
*Domestic Market: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador 1 Local Intra-Markets: Colombia, Peru, Ecuador, Salvador, Costa Rica, Guatemala; 2 From Local Markets to North América including México 3 From Colombia, Perú, Ecuador and Costa Rica to Bolivia, Chile, Argentina, Brazil ,Uruguay and Venezuela, 4 Belize, Cuba Curazao, Republica Dominicana, Panamá, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua
Avianca consolidates its leadership in the Colombian Domestic Market
Source: Aeronáutica Civil, MIDT
Intra-home markets Home markets
to North America Home markets
to South America
Home markets
to Spain
1
+250 bps vs FY2013
1 65%
1 28%
1 36%
1 30%
Colombia Domestic1| Peru Domestic2
1 October 2014 2 September 2014
2
97
108
343
381
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
252
306
838
1,052
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
392
438
1,399
1,633
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
Avianca Cargo continues optimizing the use of its capacity
Source: Company information
R 218 G 41 B 28
Revenues – millions ATKs – ‘000s
RTKs - ‘000s Load Factor
+11.7% +11.7%
64.0%
70.0%
60.0%
64.0%
4Q2013 4Q2014 FY2013 FY2014
+16.7% +11%
+21.4%
+25.5%
OTHER
DHL
CARGOLUX
LAS
MARTINAIR
AEROSUCRE
UPS
CENTURION
LAN
AV
Otros
Fedex
Amerijet
American Airlines
ABX Air
Atlas Air
Sky/Centurion
AVH
UPS
LATAM
2014 2013
39
15
11
7
6
4
2
2
1
11
Market Share (%)
18
11
10
9
8
7
6
6
4
21
Market Share 4Q 2014
Avianca Cargo continues to profitably gain market share: +495 bps COL and +249bps MIA
Miami Airport +249bps Colombia +495 bps
Other Other
Frequent Flyer Program: LifeMiles 4Q 2014
*Source: Company Informationn
• 4Q’14 sales to third parties grew 22.2%* when compared with 4Q’13
• 341K active cobranded credit cards, an increase of 21.0% with respect to 4Q 2013
• 5.9 million members, a 9.4% increase with respect to 4Q 2013
• 69.5% Burn-to-Earn ratio, increasing 320bp YoY
• New online rewards catalog in Colombia
• 22K products, ramping up to 220K, prices starting at LM60
• Continued ramp-up (soft-launch) of Colombian Retail Coalition, 222 stores as of Dec. ‘14
• Accrual of LifeMiles via Avianca Duty-Free on-board
• LM 2 for every US$1 spent
• Launch of Android version of LM Mobile App
• IOS version for launch in Q1’15
Highlights
2014 Results
ASK
EBIT1%
LF
PAX
2014 Outlook
6% - 7%
5% - 6%
77% - 79%
5% - 7%
2014 Results
6.5%
5.9%
79.2%
6.2%
Source: Company Information 1. Does not include extraordinary items for the period: Incremental costs associated to the grounding of the Fokker 50 fleet (1Q2014), indemnization of administrative personnel as part of the overhead reduction strategy, preoperational costs associated to the entry into service of AVH cargo operations in Brazil and incremental costs related to the delivery of the B787 Dreamliners (Wetlease)
In 2015 major projects aimed at cost saving synergies as well as revenue enhancing initiatives will be executed
Avianca set off the construction of the MRO facility (Maintenance, Repair and Operations) in Medellín and the Line Maintenance Hangar in Bogota
We revised our 2015 outlook accordin to an average oil price of USD65/B
Initiated construction of CEO training facility (Operational Excellence Center), for training pilots and crews
We launched the “Avianca-Ancillary-AlaCarta” (AAA) initiative, focused on achieving an increase in other ancillary revenues, which we estimate will be ~USD60M over the next 3 years
2015 will absorb the benefits associated to the reduction and optimization of our headcount performed in 2014
Source: Company information
2015 Outlook
Source: Company information
ASK
EBIT %
LF
PAX
2015 Outlook
6% - 8%
5% - 7%
78% - 80%
6% - 8%
2015 Revised Outlook
6% - 8%
5% - 7%
78% - 80%
8% - 10%
Thank You Contact Information:
Investor Relations Office [email protected] T: (57) 1 – 5877700 www.aviancaholdings.com