4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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Rank Final oddPublic estimated
probability of winVariance
12 63 0.013015873 0.01284646 Expected total number of wins 4.824819
7 25 0.0328 0.03172416 Actual number of wins 5
6 5.5 0.149090909 0.12686281 F(x) 0.533072
9 36 0.022777778 0.02225895 Total number of rides 98
12 44 0.018636364 0.01828905 Sum of Variance 4.455406
10 74 0.011081081 0.01095829 1st 5
4 11 0.074545455 0.06898843 2nd 4
10 16 0.05125 0.04862344 3rd 8
9 42 0.01952381 0.01914263 Lost 81
1 6.9 0.11884058 0.1047175 adjusted % 18.78%
12 15 0.054666667 0.05167822
10 49 0.016734694 0.01645464
2 8.1 0.101234568 0.09098613
6 31 0.026451613 0.02575193
8 16 0.05125 0.04862344
2 18 0.045555556 0.04348025
10 16 0.05125 0.04862344
5 12 0.068333333 0.06366389
4 10 0.082 0.0752764 37 0.022162162 0.021671
12 99 0.008282828 0.00821422
1 9.2 0.089130435 0.0811862
7 22 0.037272727 0.03588347
12 25 0.0328 0.03172416
3 55 0.014909091 0.01468681
10 24 0.034166667 0.03299931
1 12 0.068333333 0.06366389
12 13 0.063076923 0.05909822
12 46 0.017826087 0.01750832
8 13 0.063076923 0.05909822
11 89 0.009213483 0.00912859
7 15 0.054666667 0.05167822
4 54 0.015185185 0.0149546
9 27 0.03037037 0.02944801
6 14 0.058571429 0.05514082
2 6.5 0.126153846 0.11023905
9 29 0.028275862 0.02747634
10 19 0.043157895 0.04129529
3 7.8 0.105128205 0.09407627
4 99 0.008282828 0.00821422
9 39 0.021025641 0.02058356
1 17 0.048235294 0.04590865
12 25 0.0328 0.03172416
8 34 0.024117647 0.02353599
3 24 0.034166667 0.03299931
10 31 0.026451613 0.0257519312 16 0.05125 0.04862344
12 99 0.008282828 0.00821422
12 37 0.022162162 0.021671
4 32 0.025625 0.02496836
9 7.3 0.112328767 0.09971102
4 12 0.068333333 0.06366389
7 18 0.045555556 0.04348025
6 20 0.041 0.039319
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7 20 0.041 0.039319
10 58 0.014137931 0.01393805
12 6.9 0.11884058 0.1047175
4 21 0.039047619 0.0375229
8 67 0.012238806 0.01208902
11 87 0.009425287 0.00933645
10 23 0.035652174 0.0343811
11 49 0.016734694 0.01645464
11 10 0.082 0.075276
12 99 0.008282828 0.00821422
4 20 0.041 0.039319
6 44 0.018636364 0.01828905
10 45 0.018222222 0.01789017
3 43 0.019069767 0.01870611
12 14 0.058571429 0.05514082
3 11 0.074545455 0.06898843
6 55 0.014909091 0.01468681
10 5.9 0.138983051 0.11966676
12 33 0.024848485 0.02423104
9 52 0.015769231 0.01552056
7 24 0.034166667 0.032999319 17 0.048235294 0.04590865
8 36 0.022777778 0.02225895
6 10 0.082 0.075276
8 46 0.017826087 0.01750832
12 21 0.039047619 0.0375229
7 41 0.02 0.0196
3 12 0.068333333 0.06366389
4 53 0.015471698 0.01523232
9 16 0.05125 0.04862344
6 12 0.068333333 0.06366389
5 4.4 0.186363636 0.15163223
10 6.9 0.11884058 0.1047175
8 16 0.05125 0.04862344
6 9.8 0.083673469 0.07667222
3 9.6 0.085416667 0.07812066
6 11 0.074545455 0.06898843
3 9.9 0.082828283 0.07596776
1 9.7 0.084536082 0.07738973
4 5.6 0.146428571 0.12498724
8 22 0.037272727 0.03588347
4 17 0.048235294 0.04590865
2 34 0.024117647 0.02353599
7 26 0.031538462 0.03054379
0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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0 0
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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0 0
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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0 0
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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Jockey
Expected total
number of wins
Actual number of
wins
Cumulative
Frequency
Total number of
rides
D Whyte 103.50 91 43.71% 633
B Preeble 71.21 81 57.05% 507
O Doleuze 57.40 67 57.90% 540
G Mosse 56.90 56 49.24% 523
F Coetzee 51.32 49 47.81% 520
Y T Cheng 31.32 39 60.95% 530M Nunes 32.86 36 54.42% 481
E Saint-Martin 34.83 35 50.23% 373
C W Wong 24.15 29 58.93% 408
A Delpech 28.60 28 49.03% 409
D Nikolic 29.34 27 46.18% 431
K L Chui 30.91 24 39.78% 419
W M Lai 23.90 24 50.19% 431
S Dye 27.89 24 43.39% 322
C K Tong 23.64 22 46.82% 396
H W Lai 19.89 21 52.42% 429
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7/29/2019 4.1 Comparison of Public Estimated Number of Wins
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Barrier
Expected total
number of
wins
Actual number
of wins
Cumulative
Frequency
Total number
of rides
1 14.69 22 72.80% 112
2 14.26 18 62.60% 113
3 11.49 9 39.95% 113
4 11.13 12 53.67% 112
5 10.46 8 39.24% 113
6 10.11 6 31.65% 113
7 10.10 9 44.88% 112
8 7.83 9 56.67% 113
9 7.46 6 41.31% 113
10 6.51 5 39.80% 111
11 4.96 4 41.80% 109
12 4.82 5 51.57% 98
