4 New Product Development, Product Testing & Market

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    {

    New Product

    DevelopmentPlanning & Testing

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    Overestimation of Market Size

    Product Design Problems

    Product Incorrectly Positioned, Priced or Advertised

    Costs of Product DevelopmentCompetitive Actions

    To create successful new products, the company must: understand its customers, markets and competitors

    develop products that deliver superior value to customers.

    Causes of New ProductFailures

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    Idea Generation and Screening

    Concept Development and Testing

    Marketing Strategy

    Business Analysis

    Product Development

    Test Marketing

    Commercialization

    New Product

    DevelopmentProcess

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    New Product Development ProcessStep 1. Idea Generation

    Systematic Search for New Product Ideas

    Internal sources

    Customers

    Competitors

    DistributorsSuppliers

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    Process to spot good ideas and drop poorones

    Criteria Market Size

    Product Price

    Development Time & Costs

    Manufacturing Costs Rate of Return

    New Product Development ProcessStep 2. Idea Screening

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    New Product Development ProcessStep 3. Concept Development & Testing

    1. Develop Product Ideas intoAlternative

    Product Concepts

    2. Concept Testing - Test theProduct Concepts with Groups

    of Target Customers

    3. Choose the Best One

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    New Product Development ProcessStep 4. Marketing Strategy Development

    Part Two - Short-Term:Products Planned Price

    DistributionMarketing Budget

    Part Three - Long-Term:Sales & Profit Goals

    Marketing Mix Strategy

    Marketing Strategy Statement Formulation

    Part One - Overall:Target Market

    Planned Product Positioning

    Sales & Profit GoalsMarket Share

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    New Product Development ProcessStep 5. Business AnalysisStep 6. Product Development

    Business Analysis

    Review of Product Sales, Costs,and Profits Projections to See ifThey Meet Company Objectives

    If Yes, Move toProduct Development

    If No, Eliminate

    Product Concept

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    New Product Development ProcessStep 7. Test Marketing

    StandardTest Market

    Full marketing campaign

    in a small number ofrepresentative cities.

    SimulatedTest Market

    Test in a simulatedshopping environment

    to a sample ofconsumers.

    ControlledTest Market

    A few stores that have

    agreed to carry newproducts for a fee.

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    Product Life

    Cycle

    Time

    ProductDevelop-

    ment

    Introduction

    Profits

    Sales

    Growth Maturity Decline

    Losses/Investments ($)

    Sales andProfits ($)

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    IntroductionStage of the PLC

    Sales

    Costs

    Profits

    Marketing Objectives

    Product

    Price

    Low sales

    High cost per customer

    NegativeCreate product awareness

    and trial

    Offer a basic product

    Use cost-plus

    Distribution Build selective distribution

    Advertising Build product awareness amongearly adopters and dealers

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    Growth Stage of the PLC

    Sales

    Costs

    Profits

    Marketing Objectives

    Product

    Price

    Rapidly rising sales

    Average cost per customer

    Rising profits

    Maximize market share

    Offer product extensions, service,warranty

    Price to penetrate market

    Distribution Build intensive distribution

    Advertising Build awareness and interest inthe mass market

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    Maturity Stage of the PLC

    Sales

    Costs

    Profits

    Marketing Objectives

    Product

    Price

    Peak sales

    Low cost per customer

    High profits

    Maximize profit while defendingmarket share

    Diversify brand and models

    Price to match or best competitors

    Distribution Build more intensive distribution

    Advertising Stress brand differences andbenefits

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    Decline Stage of the PLC

    Sales

    Costs

    Profits

    Marketing Objectives

    Product

    Price

    Declining sales

    Low cost per customer

    Declining profits

    Reduce expenditure and milk thebrand

    Phase out weak items

    Cut price

    Distribution Go selective: phase outunprofitable outlets

    Advertising Reduce to level needed to retainhard-core loyal customers

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    {

    CHAPTERNINETEEN

    Market Testing I:

    Pseudo-Sales Methods

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    What Is Market Testing?

    Market testing is not test marketing!

    Test marketing is one of many forms of market testing-- others include simulated test market, informal sale,

    minimarket, rollout.Test marketing is also a much less common form now

    due to cost and time commitments and otherdrawbacks.

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    Where We Are Today inMarket Testing

    Scanner systems allow for immediate collection of product sales data.

    Mathematical sales forecasting models are readily available that can runon a relatively limited amount of data.

    We are building quality in, testing the marketing components of theproduct at early stages (ads, selling visuals, service contracts, packagedesigns, etc.) rather than testing the whole product at the end.

    Increased competition puts greater pressure on managers to accelerateproduct cycle time.

    Market testing is a team issue, not solely the responsibility of the marketresearch department.

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    Decision Matrix on When to Market Test

    CostandTime

    Savings

    High

    Low

    Stages of the product development cycle

    High

    Low

    ScopeofLearning

    andA

    ccuracy

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    How Market Testing Relates to theOther Testing Steps

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    Two Key Values Obtainedfrom Market Testing

    Solid forecasts of dollar and unit sales volume. Diagnostic information to allow for revising and refining any

    aspect of the launch.

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    Deciding Whether to

    Market Test Any special twists on the launch? (limited time or budget, need

    to make high volume quickly)

    What information is needed? (expected sales volumes,unknowns in manufacturing process, etc.)

    Costs (direct cost of test, cost of launch, lost revenue that animmediate national launch would have brought)

    Nature of marketplace (competitive retaliation, customer

    demand) Capability of testing methodologies (do they fit the managerial

    situation at hand)

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    Types of Information That

    May Be Lacking

    Manufacturing process: can we ramp-up from pilot

    production to full scale easily? Vendors and resellers: will they do as they have promised in

    supporting the launch?

    Servicing infrastructure: adequate?

    Customers: will they buy and use the product as expected? Cannibalization: what will be the extent?

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    Methods of Market

    Testing, and Where Used

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    Pseudo Sales Tests

    Speculative Sale

    STM (Simulated Test Market)

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    Speculative Sale

    Often used in business-to-business and consumer durables, similar to

    concept and product use tests. Give full pitch on product, answer questions, discuss pricing, and

    ask:

    If we make this product available as I have described it, would you buyit?

    Often conducted by regular salespeople calling on real targetcustomers.

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    Conditions for Speculative

    Sale Where industrial firms have very close downstream

    relationships with key buyers.

    Where new product work is technical, entrenched within a

    firm's expertise, and only little reaction is needed from themarketplace.

    Where the adventure has very little risk, and thus a costliermethod is not defendable.

    Where the item is new (say, a new material or a completelynew product type) and key diagnostics are needed. Forexample, what set of alternatives does the potential buyersee, or what possible applications come to mind first.

    S l d k

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    Simulated Test Market(STM)

    Create a false buying situation and observe what the customer does. Follow-up with customer later to assess likely repeat sales.

    Often used for consumer nondurables.

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    Simulated Test Market

    Procedure Mall intercept.

    Self-administered questionnaire.

    Advertising stimuli. Mini-store shopping experience.

    Post-exposure questionnaire.

    Receive trial package.

    Phone followup and offer to buy more.

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    Possible Drawbacks toSTMs

    Mathematical complexity

    False conditions

    Possibly faulty assumptions on data, such as number ofstores that will make the product available

    May not be applicable to totally new-to-the-marketproducts, since no prior data available.

    Does not test channel member response to the new product,only the final consumer