3D Printing in India: Show me the money! TGP2015
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Transcript of 3D Printing in India: Show me the money! TGP2015
T h e H y p e C y c l e
Gartner's 2014 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
“3D printing may shape a new manufacturing revolution” – Engineering News, SA
“… revolutionize the way we make almost everything.”– Barack Obama
“… it will ease China's pressure on energy and resources” – China Daily
“A cheap way to print electronic devices” – The Economist
Consumer 3D Printing
Myths and Real i ty
• 3D Printing is hot new technology
• Instantly manufacture anything at home
• Just buy a 3D printer, instantly start printing
• Traditional manufacturing methods are dead
• To make easy money, get into 3D printing
Technologies
Mechanism
• Extrusion
• Laser Sintering
• Photolithography
• Hybrid
• 3Dp + machining
• 3Dp + laser etch
• Future approaches
Materials
• Plastics, metals, resins
• Paper, Chocolate, Icing!
• Various pastes
• Extrudable plastic
• Sinterable powder
Processes
• Single / multimaterial
• Mono / color
• Direct product
• Print finishing
• Mold casting
• Print integration
Appl icat ions – Examples
Industrial
• Small-run products
• Engineering components
• Masters and molds
• Design prototypes
• Working prototypes
• Complex shapes
Casual
• Jewelry
• Toys and figurines
• Personalized products
• Display dummies
• Decorative items
• “Because I can”
Scientific
• Dental molds
• Prosthetic limbs
• Bio-prints (livers!)
• Architectural models
• Molecular models
• Hearing aids
• Printable optics
3D Pr int ing L i fecycleIn
itia
te
Concept
Visualization
Or:Steal idea!
Des
ign
3D modeling
CAD / CAE
Or: Download / copy M
anu
fact
ure
Additive
Manufacture
Finishing
(Integration)
Services
• CAD/CAE Process Outsourcing (CPO)
• Sculpture, Personalization
• Design-for-Additive-Manufacture
• Education
Manufacturing
• 3DP Service Bureau
• Hybrid manufacture
• 3D “Selfie booth”
• Jewelry masters
• Medical (dental, prosthetic, bio)
• Material production
Trading
• Representation
• Support-driven sales e.g NVBots
• Tech licensing / TKD
• Niche-market specialty boutique
• Materials ImpEx
Opportuni t ies for businesses
Opportuni t ies for indiv iduals
Employment
• Print-optimized CAD
• Digital 3D sculpture
• (+) Mechanical, thermal, material science skills
• Teaching
• Tech presales
• Post-processing
Freelancing
• Sculpture (e.g. art, merchandising)
• Selling @ShapeWays
• Product engineering
• Trainer / Workshops
• Technical support
• SME, production troubleshooting
Entrepreneurial
• Run “Xerox center”
• “MakeXYZ.com” etc
• “Selfie booth” agent
• Scan & Fix facility
• AMC services
• Niche consulting
• Innovate/invent (?)
Threat Matr ix
Technological
•Tech Obsolescence
•Software license costs
•“Trivially easy” HW/SW
•Commoditization (HP!)
•Expectation hype trap
•Qualitative skill trap
Regulatory
• Import barriers (CVD!)
•Paranoia = restrictions
•DIY-unfriendly policies
•“Made-in-India” protectionism
•Usurious taxation
•… or extreme subsidy!
Disruptive
•Cost “air pockets” e.g. FHD DLP, smartphones
•Newer hyped tech
•Leapfrogging by other countries’ policies
•Sub-scale v/v demand
Show Me The Money! ! !
Individual:•Basic 3D model design Rs. 500 - 1500 per hour•Print-optimized design Rs. 1000 - 3000 per hour•Sculpture for 3D printing (color) Rs. 1000 - 5000 per hour
Business: •Full life cycle CPO Rs. 30,000 - 80,000 per day•Production bureau (e.g. ShapeWays) 5% - 30% pa, for Rs.8 - 40 Cr•Production bureau (e.g. Xerox center) 10% - 20% pa, for Rs.2 – 10 Cr