3.7 Rodney Harrell

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Title text here Rodney Harrell, PhD Senior Strategic Policy Advisor AARP Public Policy Institute

Transcript of 3.7 Rodney Harrell

Page 1: 3.7 Rodney Harrell

Title text here

Rodney Harrell, PhDSenior Strategic Policy AdvisorAARP Public Policy Institute

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U.S. population is growing … and growing older

Year 65+ PopulationTotal

Population

65+ Share of

Total

Population

2000 34,991,753 281,421,906 12%

2010 40,229,000 310,233,000 13%

2030 72,092,000 373,504,000 19%

2050 88,547,000 439,010,000 20%

Source: U.S Census Bureau - Census projections as of 8/2008

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84 113

186238

4089

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2050

Pe

rce

nta

ge o

f P

op

ula

tio

n

65 and Over

20-64

Under 20

Table 12. Projections of the Population by Age and Sex for the United States: 2010 to 2050 (NP2008-T12)

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau

Release Date: August 14, 2008

U.S. Census Bureau projection: Growth in 65+ will outpace other

cohortsU.S. Population by Age, 2010 and 2050

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Homelessness and Older Adults

Source: The Policy Book, AARP Public Policies, 2011-2012

•30 percent of the U.S. population is 50 years of age and older

•In 2008, 16.8 percent of persons who soughtcommunity services for the homeless were aged 51 or older.

• Older homeless are more likely to suffer from health problems due to exposure to extreme climates

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Homelessness and Older Adults

Source: “Demographics of Homelessness Series: The Rising Elderly Population,” National Alliance to End Homeless, April 2010

• National data (HUD Annual Homelessness Assessment Report) shows modest increases in older (62+) homeless population: 2.4% in 2005 to 2.8% in 2008.

•Site specific data from various cities show greater increases in general homeless populations which would include older homeless.

•Older homeless population projected to increase by 33% from 44,172 in 2010 to 58,772 in 2020 and reach over 95,000 in 2050.

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Homelessness and Older Adults: Causes

Source: “Demographics of Homelessness Series: The Rising Elderly Population,” National Alliance to End Homeless, April 2010

• Older households with annual income below the poverty line

• Aging of the chronically homeless population

• New homeless elderly adults who did not experience homelessness prior to age 65

• Other causes: • history of unstable employment• financial problems/housing costs• mental/physical health problems• job loss• inadequate/discontinued public assistance• inadequate income

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Homelessness and Older Adults: Causes-

Inadequate/Discontinued Public Assistance

Source: “Demographics of Homelessness Series: The Rising Elderly Population,” National Alliance to End Homeless, April 2010

• Affordable housing supply declining for approximately 30 years. A loss of 1.3 million units from 1993 to 2003.

• Public housing provides affordable housing units but programs have ceased building new units

• Vacancy rates for Section 202 (2.6%) and LIHTC (1.6%) housing properties serving seniors are low compared to national rate of 9.6% in 2006.

• Long waiting lists and low turnover in subsidized housing• Older residents don’t move as frequently as younger residents• Older residents may find moving difficult due to health reasons

• Section 8 vouchers: demand often exceeds supply; five- to ten-year waiting lists

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50+ Householders with Housing Cost Burdens

Source: State Housing Profiles 2011, AARP Public Policy Institute

Low- and moderate-income households often have a housing cost burden, even if they own their homes

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California - 50+ Householders with Housing Cost Burdens

Source: State Housing Profiles 2011, AARP Public Policy Institute

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New York - 50+ Householders with Housing Cost Burdens

Source: State Housing Profiles 2011, AARP Public Policy Institute

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Massachusetts - 50+ Householders with Housing Cost Burdens

Source: State Housing Profiles 2011, AARP Public Policy Institute

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State Housing Profiles:

Housing Conditions and Affordability for the Older

Population

Housing Statistics for each state

Coming soon!: Will be available at

www.aarp.org/statehousingprofiles

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Homelessness and Older Adults: Mortgage Crisis

Source: “A First Look at Older Americans and the Mortgage Crisis,” AARP Public Policy Institute, 2008

• Americans age 50 and older represent

approximately 28% of all delinquencies and foreclosures as of 2007 (684,000 homeowners, including 50,000 in foreclosures or home already lost).

• Older African-Americans and Hispanics have higher foreclosures rates than whites of any age.

•Older Americans with subprime first mortgages are nearly 17 times more likely to be in foreclosure than Americans of the same age with prime loans.

•For Americans over the age of 50, a loan-to-value ratio that exceeds 100% is associated with foreclosure rates that are roughly double the national rate for consumers in this age group.

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Livable Communities

Photo by Jana Lynott

Photo by Jana Lynott

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AARP Housing Policy Principles (2011-2012)

Improve home design. Promote affordable housing options. Strengthen federal housing programs. Increase capacity for public-private

partnerships. Promote financial security of housing

assets. Foster home and community-based

service delivery.

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Homelessness and Older Adults: AARP Policy Solutions

Source: The Policy Book, AARP Public Policies, 2011-2012 www.aarp.org/policybook

•Federal Program Coordination

•Funding and Assistance

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PPI Report: “Preserving Affordability and Access in Livable

CommunitiesSubsidized Housing Opportunities near Transit and the 50 +

Population”

Authors:Rodney Harrell, PhD

AARP Public Policy Institute

Allison BrooksReconnecting America

Todd NedwickNational Housing Trust

AARP, Reconnecting America, and the National Housing Trust developed a study, research paper and Solutions Forum that looked at housing, transportation, and land use.

This study looked at the differences between housing near transit and housing far from transit, the location of subsidized housing in 20 cities, and how housing location mattered to older persons who lived in those apartments.

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Overview of Research Conclusions…

Subsidized housing near transit meets a crucial need for

older adults.

Currently, there is a significant supply of affordable

housing near transit (Project-based Section 8 and Section 202)

However, existing affordable housing near transit is

increasingly at risk in the face of upward pressure on

housing prices and expiring government subsidies.

Preserving affordable housing near transit is of critical

importance for creating livable communities for older

Americans.

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Cleveland, OH

Long waiting lists for housing

Safety and perception of safety were issues

Lack of access to train station limits the use by residents

Good bus service on main avenues, problems getting elsewhere

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© Google 2010

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© Google 2010

© Google 2010

© Google 2010

© Google 2010

1

12

23

3

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Twin Cities, MN

The downtown location in Minneapolis has access to light rail, buses, shopping

Buses in Edina not “frequent” but are useful

Car access not as important as in other areas due to effective, useful transit

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© Google 2010Nicollet Towers

Nicollet Mall

Light Rail Station

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Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis

© Google 2010

© Google 2010 © Google 2010

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AARP Public Policy Institute

Informs and stimulates public debate on the issues we face as we age.

Provides objective research and analysis

Promotes the development of sound, creative policies to address our common need for economic security, health care, and quality of life.

www.aarp.org/ppi/liv-com

For hard copies of publications, send requests to: [email protected]