300 Scientists Request Explanation for Temperature Shenanigans

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Search Heartlander Search Home Education Environment Finance Health Taxes Tech Law Opinion Tweet 0 Print Email 300 Scientists Request Explanation for Temperature Shenanigans H. STERLING BURNETT H. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. is a Heartland research fellow on environmental policy and managing... (read full bio) EMAIL Climate Change Weekly #201 Approximately 300 scientists, engineers, economists, and other climate experts sent a letter to U.S. House Science Committee Chairman Rep. Lamar Smith (RTX) in support of his ongoing investigation of the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). In June 2015, NOAA issued a report purporting to find Earth had continued to warm during a nearly twodecadeslong period when every other data set found a pause or hiatus in rising temperatures. Many scientists have expressed doubts about the quality and objectivity of NOAA’s findings since their publication in Science. The letter’s signers included 25 climate or atmospheric scientists, 23 geologists, 51 engineers, 74 physicists (including a Nobel laureate), and 12 economists. The letter said NOAA’s research failed to comply with Data Quality Act (DQA) guidelines established by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget requiring agencies to “ensure and maximize the quality, objectivity, utility, and integrity of information, including statistical information.” DQA notes it is especially important for data to be accurate and of the best quality when it involves “highly influential scientific assessments” used to inform the public and shape public policy. The researchers who signed the letter noted this was not the first time the government failed to comply with DQA in order to produce results supporting the Obama administration’s preference for regulatory action to restrict carbon dioxide emissions, despite limited evidence carbon dioxide is causing climate harm. They wrote, “We remind you that controversy previously arose over EPA’s apparent failure to comply with these [DQA] guidelines in connection with its Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Finding, which was the subject of a report by the EPA Office of the Inspector General in 2011. In that case, EPA failed to comply with peer review requirements for a ‘highly influential scientific assessment.’” NOAA’s adjustments to ocean temperature data between 1998 and 2012 made recent global temperature changes appear two times warmer than original data recorded. Scientists questioned why ocean temperatures from buoy based monitors were adjusted upward to more closely correspond to readings taken from the coolingwater intaketubes of ships, which are biased by heat absorbed and reflected from ship’s hulls and pouring off engines. For instance, Patrick Michaels, director of the Cato Institute’s Center for the Study of Science, Paul Knappenberger, the center’s assistant director, and MIT Professor Emeritus of Meteorology Richard Lindzen, a distinguished senior fellow of the center, wrote, “As has been acknowledged by numerous scientists, the engine intake data are clearly contaminated by heat conduction from the structure, and as such, never intended for scientific use. ... Adjusting good data upward to match bad data seems questionable.” In addition, NOAA’s adjusted temperature record ignored global satellite sea surface measurements – the best data available – and NOAA revised earlier raw data in a way to consistently make past temperatures cooler. February 5, 2016 Heartland Institute Newsletters Climate Change Weekly NIPCC Update Consumer Power Report (CPR) School Choice Weekly Winner Says the Lottery Is Not Random At All Dentists Fuming Over Mom's $3 Teeth Whitening Trick Halle Berry Shocks World With New Look and 27 Year old Man Melania Trump Returns Home and Donald Is Shocked by Her New Look Invest in Hilton: $4166$14,166 Monthly Guaranteed Until 2026 Neuropathy Breakthrough: Is Nerve Pain Destroying Your Life? Princess Kate Middleton Leaves Royal Family, Starts Skincare Line Americans Urged to Search Their Names Before Site Gets Taken Down What's This?

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300 Scientists RequestExplanation for TemperatureShenanigans

H. STERLING BURNETTH. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. is a Heartland research fellow on environmental policy andmanaging... (read full bio)EMAIL

Climate Change Weekly #201

Approximately 300 scientists, engineers,economists, and other climate experts sent aletter to U.S. House Science CommitteeChairman Rep. Lamar Smith (R­TX) in supportof his ongoing investigation of the NationalOceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).In June 2015, NOAA issued a report purportingto find Earth had continued to warm during anearly two­decades­long period when everyother data set found a pause or hiatus in risingtemperatures.

Many scientists have expressed doubts aboutthe quality and objectivity of NOAA’s findings

since their publication in Science. The letter’s signers included 25 climate or atmospheric scientists, 23geologists, 51 engineers, 74 physicists (including a Nobel laureate), and 12 economists.

The letter said NOAA’s research failed to comply with Data Quality Act (DQA) guidelines established by the U.S.Office of Management and Budget requiring agencies to “ensure and maximize the quality, objectivity, utility,and integrity of information, including statistical information.” DQA notes it is especially important for data tobe accurate and of the best quality when it involves “highly influential scientific assessments” used to inform thepublic and shape public policy.

The researchers who signed the letter noted this was not the first time the government failed to comply withDQA in order to produce results supporting the Obama administration’s preference for regulatory action torestrict carbon dioxide emissions, despite limited evidence carbon dioxide is causing climate harm. They wrote,“We remind you that controversy previously arose over EPA’s apparent failure to comply with these [DQA]guidelines in connection with its Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Finding, which was the subject of a report bythe EPA Office of the Inspector General in 2011. In that case, EPA failed to comply with peer reviewrequirements for a ‘highly influential scientific assessment.’”

NOAA’s adjustments to ocean temperature data between1998 and 2012 made recent global temperature changesappear two times warmer than original data recorded.Scientists questioned why ocean temperatures from buoy­based monitors were adjusted upward to more closelycorrespond to readings taken from the cooling­waterintake­tubes of ships, which are biased by heat absorbedand reflected from ship’s hulls and pouring off engines. Forinstance, Patrick Michaels, director of the Cato Institute’sCenter for the Study of Science, Paul Knappenberger, thecenter’s assistant director, and MIT Professor Emeritus ofMeteorology Richard Lindzen, a distinguished senior fellow of the center, wrote, “As has been acknowledged bynumerous scientists, the engine intake data are clearly contaminated by heat conduction from the structure, andas such, never intended for scientific use. ... Adjusting good data upward to match bad data seemsquestionable.”

In addition, NOAA’s adjusted temperature record ignored global satellite sea surface measurements – the bestdata available – and NOAA revised earlier raw data in a way to consistently make past temperatures cooler.

February 5, 2016

Heartland Institute Newsletters

Climate Change Weekly

NIPCC Update

Consumer Power Report (CPR)

School Choice Weekly

Winner Says the Lottery Is Not Random AtAll

Dentists Fuming Over Mom's $3 TeethWhitening Trick

Halle Berry Shocks World With New Lookand 27 Year old Man

Melania Trump Returns Home and DonaldIs Shocked by Her New Look

Invest in Hilton: $4166­$14,166 MonthlyGuaranteed Until 2026

Neuropathy Breakthrough: Is Nerve PainDestroying Your Life?

Princess Kate Middleton Leaves RoyalFamily, Starts Skincare Line

Americans Urged to Search Their NamesBefore Site Gets Taken Down

What's This?

Each step taken by NOAA biased current temperature records upward, making the more­than­18­years pause inrising temperatures recorded in other data sets disappear.

Interestingly, even under NOAA’s reconstructed data set, its reported warming trend is still significantly lowerthan the trend projected by climate models cited by the most recent report of the United Nations’Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Smith expressed concerns about the soundness of NOAA’s research nearly immediately after its publication. Hesent a letter to NOAA requesting the agency provide the methodologies used, data produced, and e­mailexchanges between scientists in relation to the Science study. NOAA initially refused to supply much of therequested material, citing confidentiality concerns. After a congressional subpoena was issued for the material,NOAA grudgingly complied – or at least appeared to comply, since it remains unclear whether everythingrequested was turned over.

The scientists’ letter encouraged Smith to stay vigilant and pursue every means at his disposal to ensure allrelevant information pertaining to NOAA’s study is available for public examination and peer review.

­­ H. Sterling Burnett

SOURCES: The Daily Caller and Watts Up With That

IN THIS ISSUE …

Good news: Fossil fuel use delayed the next ice age … Washington state bill would block governor’s carbonrestrictions … Climate scientist arrested for fraud … Activists argue crime justified to fight climate change …Abject failure of climate alarmists’ predictions

GOOD NEWS: FOSSIL FUEL USE DELAYED THE NEXT ICE AGE

A study published in the journal Nature says human­caused global warming has produced a positive result:Human fossil fuel use may delay the next ice age by 100,000 years. Researchers at the Potsdam Institute forClimate Impact Research near Berlin used computer models to replicate the past eight glacial cycles and predictwhen the next might occur. The scientists found the greenhouse gases humans have added to the atmospherethus far have likely delayed the next ice age by 50,000 years. According to the lead author, Andrey Ganopolski,additional greenhouse gas emissions could delay the next ice age by up to 100,000 years. Ganopolski said, “Thebottom line is that we are basically skipping a whole glacial cycle, which is unprecedented.” Ice ages lastapproximately 100,000 years with interglacial periods lasting between 10,000 and 20,000 years on average.The last ice age ended about 12,000 years ago, at which time ice sheets stretched as far south as the UnitedKingdom and Germany and covered most of Canada and the northern United States. If this research provescorrect, human fossil fuel use has truly benefitted humanity.

SOURCES: Watts Up With That and Bloomberg.com

WASHINGTON STATE BILL WOULD BLOCK GOVERNOR’S CARBON RESTRICTIONS

A bill sponsored by Washington state Sen. Doug Ericksen (R­Ferndale) would limit Gov. Jay Inslee’s (D) carbonrestrictions by prohibiting state regulators from adopting rules limiting greenhouse gas emissions withoutlegislative consent.

After failing to cajole the legislature into passing a cap­and­trade plan in 2015, Inslee directed the Departmentof Ecology to impose carbon dioxide emission cuts using existing authority. In early January, the departmentproposed a draft rule requiring any company emitting 100,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide per year to reduceits carbon emissions by 5 percent every three years. Initially the rule would apply to about two dozenmanufacturing plants, refineries, power plants, and natural gas distributors. The list of facilities facing carbonlimits would grow over time as the threshold is lowered.

Ericksen’s bill, Senate Bill 6137, would block the department’s proposed rule. Explaining the need for his bill ata hearing of the Senate Committee on Energy and Environment & Telecommunications, Ericksen saidlawmakers rather than regulatory agencies should make any rules limiting carbon emissions. Ericksen also saidthe department’s proposed carbon rule would dissuade companies from expanding in or moving to the state. TheAssociation of Washington Business, the statewide representative of local chambers of commerce, supportsEricksen’s bill.

H. STERLING BURNETTH. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D. is a Heartlandresearch fellow on environmental policy andmanaging... (read full bio)EMAIL

ARTICLES BY H. STERLING BURNETT

300 SCIENTISTS REQUEST EXPLANATION…INTERVIEW: FLAWED MEASUREMENTS…TRUMP VOWS TO CUT EPA IF ELECTED…NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS OPT FOR…SCOTUS TO HEAR HUNTER’S CHALLENGE…

SOURCE: Seattle Times

CLIMATE SCIENTIST ARRESTED FOR FRAUD

Another prominent climate scientist has been accused of breaking the law. Following on the heels of theresignation of Rajendra Pachauri as head of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change under a cloud ofsexual abuse charges, Dr. Daniel Michael Alongi, senior principal research scientist at the Australian Instituteof Marine Sciences, was arrested, accused of fraudulently diverting more than half­a­million dollars ingovernment funds intended for climate research into his own pockets during the past seven years. If convicted ofall charges, Alongi faces up to 30 years in prison. The Townsville Bulletin reports Alongi has already admittedto police he made false invoices and credit card statements and created fake email trails to claim expenses overseven years. During the period of Alongi’s alleged fraud, his research focusing on the impact of climate changeon the Great Barrier Reef, coastal mangroves, and coastal ecosystems was published in national andinternational journals.

SOURCES: Townsville Bulletin and Jo Nova.com

ACTIVISTS ARGUE CRIME JUSTIFIED TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE

A trial has begun for five climate activists with Rising Tide Seattle arrested in 2014 for criminal trespass andblocking the passage of a train carrying crude oil from the Bakken Formation in Montana and North Dakota tooil terminals in the Pacific Northwest.

A spokesperson for Rising Tide said the activists “will be the first ever to argue that [otherwise criminal] actionswere justified because of the threat of climate change, using the ‘necessity defense.’ The outcome of [the] trialcould set a national precedent for climate related civil disobedience. ...” Washington state agencies areconsidering adding six new oil­by­rail facilities in the state; a report commissioned by the Sightline Institutesaid those facilities could allow as much as 114,000 barrels per day to be produced beyond what would beproduced without the terminals. Responding to the supposed threat, Patrick Mazza, one of the activists arrestedfor blocking the train, said, “There came a point where I could no longer sit back and wait for the politicians toact. I had to put my body on the line to demand not talk, but action on a massive scale to rapidly replace fossilfuels.”

SOURCE: Mother Jones

ABJECT FAILURE OF CLIMATE ALARMISTS’ PREDICTIONS

In a new paper, Lord Christopher Monckton notes since the IPCC published its First Assessment Report in 1990,more than enough time has passed to show it has abjectly failed to accurately predict the rate of temperaturechange or that climate change is related to greenhouse gas emissions. Monckton points out all observationaltemperature measurements fall well below IPCC’s lowest temperature projections from 1990, being between one­half and one­third of the IPCC’s then­central estimate. Reported temperatures from surface­ and sea­basedmeasuring locations, even after being manipulated by governments and agencies wedded to the idea humans arecausing dangerous climate change, remain below IPCC’s most recent temperature projections based upon theamount of carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere. The measured warming rate has declined since 1990 even ascarbon dioxide levels have increased. In addition, the gap between projected temperature levels and measuredtemperatures is growing.

SOURCE: Watts Up With That

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