26 March, 2001 iM Networks ©2002 “The Third Antenna” David Frerichs Founder, CTO, President iM...
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Transcript of 26 March, 2001 iM Networks ©2002 “The Third Antenna” David Frerichs Founder, CTO, President iM...
26 March, 2001iM Networks ©2002
“The Third Antenna”David Frerichs
Founder, CTO, President
iM Networks, Inc.
iM Networks ©2002
iM NetworksWe add value for content providers and CE companies
• Consumer Electronics Companies– Power on, turn the knob tuning– Quality, low-cost, value added feature– Reliable global infrastructure
• Content providers– One-stop shop for reliable distribution across multiple vendors– Reach beyond the PC– Revenue infrastructure– QoS monitoring, reporting
iM Networks ©2002
Global ReachBeyond the PC, Beyond the US
EUJapanNorth
America
iM Networks ©2002
iM Radio, The Third AntennaInternet radio will be profitable
• Historical context– Nothing we are dealing with is fundamentally new– AM mirrors FM mirrors iM
• Consumer Reach– Key issues to make the next leap
• Consolidation– How is the 3rd antenna different?– What positives can we learn?
• Our path forward– What are the real costs– Is there a model that works?
iM Networks ©2002
Some Highlights of Radio HistoryModern is ancient, ancient is modern
• Unicast audio news feed. Telefon Hirmondo, 1901
• “Every auto will be provided with a portable wireless telephone.” Modern Electrics, August 1908
• “the day which I believe is not too far distant, when … any individual on Earth will be able to communicate directly by the spoken word to any other individual no matter where he may be.” Major General Squier, US War Department Annual Report, 1919
• DeForest ANTI-AD muting device, 1930
iM Networks ©2002
Some Highlights of Radio HistoryNothing new under the political sun
• “Don’t get the idea that the ether is free, for Uncle Sam has police powers even over the ether, if he cares to exercise them.” Electrician and Mechanic, January 1909
• “Advertising by radio cannot be done; it would ruin the radio business, for nobody would stand for it.” Radio News 1922
• Transmitter patent licenses and performing rights fees. c1924
• “The American Plan – advertising financed private radio stations.” c1926
iM Networks ©2002
A Pattern ExistsNew technology adoption curve
1.Amateur experimentation
2.Venture exploitation
3.Government regulation
4.Big business excitation
iM Networks ©2002
Consumer ReachDon’t go and try to change me…
• PC listening is not radio.
• My choice, where and when I want it.
• Power on, turn the knob. FM is a baseline.
• Give me something I can’t get on FM.
• Don’t try to charge me for the basics.
(I already pay a big broadband bill!)
iM Networks ©2002
Broadband PenetrationBig enough and growing
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Mill
ion
s U.S.
Asia
Europe
iM Networks ©2002
Consumer ReachConsumers want Internet radio
• 63 Million Americans listen today (Arbitron)
• Internet radio devices are second only to DVD in 2001 consumer demand (IDC)
• 94 Million Americans want to purchase Internet radio devices (Arbitron/Edison)
iM Networks ©2002
Reach beyond the PC resultsBetter experience = increased listening time
PC Device
hours/month
• The idea: The further people are away from the PC, the longer they will listen.
• The proof: iM Radio device monthly TSL per user is 4x PC listening monthly TSL
Source: iM Networks
iM Networks ©2002
Radio Industry Consolidation
“Fragmentation means that radio can’t deliver the kind of concentrated audience reach that advertisers want. Current regulations limit radio’s ability to compete and to return to profitability.”
– Micheal McCabe, CAB President, 1997
iM Networks ©2002
Radio Industry Consolidation1996 Telecommunications Act
• Radio was a $20B market in 2001, here is why…
• Pre 1992: 1AM, 1FM
• Pre 1996: 2AM, 2FM, 20 national limit
• Now: 3+5 (AM, FM), no national limit
• Clustering created economic efficiencies
iM Networks ©2002
1995 Station Count by GroupIndustry very fragmented
5%
95%
Top 10
All the rest
iM Networks ©2002
2000 Station Count by Group22% of owners have disappeared
18%
82%
Top 10
All the rest
iM Networks ©2002
Radio Industry Revenue GrowthMore dollars in the hands of fewer groups
$0$2$4$6$8
$10$12$14$16$18
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
IndustryRevenue(Billions)
iM Networks ©2002
Models for the Third AntennaThe math for the model
• Raw Costs– 64Kbps station = 28.125MB per listener hour– @ $0.004 per MB = $0.1125 per listener hour– RIAA, 13 songs per hour = $0.0182 per listener hour– ASCAP, BMI, SESAC ~= 0.01 per listener hour– $0.1407 per listener hour
• Revenue– 10 30 second spots per hour at net $20CPM ($28CPM gross)– $0.20 net gross per listener hour– $0.0593 raw net per listener hour
iM Networks ©2002
Models for the Third AntennaVariables to solve
• Facts– We can’t get the revenue we need without impressions– We can’t get to the impressions we need without cash
• Internet advantages– We have no geographic transmitter limitations– We can aggregate demographics nationally, across stations– We can time shift and target ad delivery
• Solution– Co-op, also known as collectives, networks…– Build the ultimate cluster!
• 800K @ 15 hours per month = 120M impressions per month = $711K per month
26 March, 2001iM Networks ©2002
Stay Tuned®[email protected]
Sources: Thomas H. White, FCC, NTIA, BIA, CAB, iMN, Clear Channel