25 Februari 2020 - hots.miraeasset.co.id
Transcript of 25 Februari 2020 - hots.miraeasset.co.id
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
25 Februari 2020
Market Index
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
JCI 5,807.1 -1.3 -5.8 -9.9
MSCI Indonesia 23.1 -3.8 -8.2 -9.5
MSCI EM 1,055.3 -2.7 -3.1 2.4
HANG SENG 26,820.9 -1.8 -2.3 -5.7
KOSPI 2,079.0 0.0 -7.4 -6.9
FTSE 7,156.8 -3 -2.4 3.1
DJIA 27,960.8 -3.6 0.0 11.1
NASDAQ 9,221.3 -3.7 2.8 26.8
Valuation
2018F P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%)
JCI 13.8 1.9 16.9
Key Rates
Last Trade Chg (bps) MoM YoY
BI 7-Day RR 4.75 0 -25 -125
3yr 5.49 4 -17 -190
10yr 6.55 3 -7 -135
FX
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
USD/IDR 13,872.0 0.8 1.3 -1.8
USD/KRW 1,220.4 0.9 4.4 8.9
USD/JPY 110.7 -0.8 1.7 -0.3
USD/CNY 7.0 0.1 1.2 5.1
Commodities
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
WTI 51.4 -3.7 -5.1 -1.9
Gold 1,659.4 1.0 4.9 25.0
Coal 68.0 0.1 -1.6 -28.5
Palm Oil 2,596.0 -3.2 -11.2 21.4
Rubber 133.7 1.2 0.0 -3.5
Nickel 12,430.0 -0.8 -4.0 -4.3
Copper 5,765.0 0.6 -2.7 -11.0
Tin 16,550.0 -0.5 -1.3 -22.6
JCI Index VS MSCI Emerging Markets
Market commentary
Hariyanto Wijaya CFA, CPA (Aust), CMT ([email protected])
IHSG turun 1.3% pada hari Senin sejalan dengan indeks regional di tengah
kekhawatiran akan dampak coronavirus terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Harga
saham terkait emas (MDKA, PSAB) terus meningkat karena harga emas terus
meningkat di tengah meningkatnya ketidakpastian. Jakarta dilanda banjir hari ini
karena topan tropis memicu hujan lebat, yang bisa berarti satu bulan lagi penjualan
semen yang lemah. Kami memperkirakan IHSG akan berkonsolidasi hari ini.
Indeks AS mengalami penurunan terdalam dalam dua tahun pada hari Senin di
tengah meningkatnya kekhawatiran seputar virus corona dan potensi penurunannya
pada ekonomi global. Penyebaran coronavirus yang cepat di luar China membebani
sentimen investor. Ketidakpastian yang meluas mendorong permintaan untuk aset
safe-haven. Harga emas COMEX naik 0.3% ke level tertinggi tujuh tahun di
USD1,650/ons.
Weekly Commodity Alerts – Between a rock and a hard place
Andy Wibowo Gunawan ([email protected])
Kami berpikir bahwa tidak ada harga komoditas pada radar mingguan kami yang
menarik minggu ini, mengingat kurangnya katalis positif.
Energy: Still less attractive
Kami memperkirakan bahwa harga minyak WTI akan diperdagangkan pada muted
mix minggu ini, mengingat kurangnya katalis positif pada sisi penawaran atau
permintaan. Kami juga memperkirakan bahwa harga batubara global akan
diperdagangkan dengan muted mix.
Basic metal: In the same boat as oil sector
Kami memproyeksikan bahwa harga nikel global maupun timah tidak akan menarik
minggu ini karena kurangnya katalis positif. Selain itu, kami berpikir bahwa CPI YoY
China akan melambat dalam waktu dekat sebagai hasil dari wabah Coronavirus,
yang mungkin menimbulkan risiko penurunan jangka pendek terhadap harga timah
global.
Precious metal: To be trading on muted mix
Mengingat perkiraan beragam untuk indikator daya beli AS, kami berharap bahwa
harga emas global akan diperdagangkan muted mix minggu ini. Kami mencatat
bahwa harga emas global melonjak ke USD1, 643,4 / troy (+ 3,7% WoW; + 23,6%
YoY) karena meningkatnya kekhawatiran terhadap Coronavirus.
Agriculture: Less attractive
Untuk minggu ini, tidak akan ada data yang dirilis dari sektor pertanian. Namun,
kami mencatat bahwa persediaan CPO Malaysia Januari turun menjadi 1,8 juta ton
(-12,7% MoM; -41,5% YoY). Demikian juga, produksi CPO Malaysia Januari merosot
ke 1,2 juta ton (-12,6% MoM; -32,9% YoY). 550
800
1,050
1,300
1,550
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17 01/18 07/18 01/19
JCI MSCI EM (pt)(pt)
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia cartoon
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Local flashes
INTP: Indocement (INTP) Penurunan tarif gas industri bisa kurangi beban
biaya produksi. PT Indocement Tunggal Prakasa Tbk (INTP) menyambut baik
rencana penurunan tarif gas industri ke level US$ 6 per million British Thermal Units
(mmbtu) yang dijanjikan oleh pemerintah pada April 2020 mendatang. “Di tengah-
tengah industri semen yang masih belum pulih ini, penurunan harga gas ini akan
membantu mengurangi beban produksi semen,” kata Sekretaris Perusahaan PT
Indocement Tunggal Prakasa Tbk Antonius Marcos (Kontan)
ISAT: Indosat (ISAT) meraup pendapatan Rp 26,12 triliun, bisnis seluler jadi
penopang. PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT) membukukan pendapatan Rp 26,12 triliun pada
2019. Jumlah ini naik 12,87% secara tahunan dari pendapatan 2018 yang sebesar Rp
23,14 triliun. President Director and CEO Indosat Ooredoo Ahmad Al-Neama
mengatakan, pencapaian ISAT ini didorong oleh investasi Indosat Ooredoo dalam
meningkatkan cakupan dan kinerja jaringan 4G. "Langkah-langkah ini berkontribusi
terhadap peningkatan basis pelanggan dan volume trafik data perusahaan (Kontan)
WSKT: Waskita Karya Infrastruktur menganggarkan capex Rp 1,1 triliun
untuk sejumlah proyek. PT Waskita Karya Infrastruktur mendapatkan pinjaman
sebesar Rp 31,05 miliar dari induk usahanya PT Waskita Karya Tbk (WSKT). Tahun ini,
Waskita Karya Infrastruktur menganggarkan belanja modal sebesar Rp 1,1 triliun.
Dana tersebut akan digunakan untuk membiayai proyek pembangkit listrik tenaga air
(PLTA), pengembangan pabrikasi baja, sistem penyediaan air minum (SPAM) di ibu
kota baru dan PICC Malaysia. Proyeksi tersebut sejalan dengan strategi Waskita Karya
Infrastruktur yaitu memaksimalkan pendapatan dari pabrikasi tower & guard rail,
meningkatkan penjualan energi listrik dari pembangkit listrik tenaga minihidro (PLTM)
yang telah beroperasi. "Dan tentunya melakukan efisiensi beban usaha perusahaan
(Kontan)
PPRO: PP Properti (PPRO) jual 83 unit properti selama ajang IPEX 2020. PT
PP Properti Tbk (PPRO) berhasil catatkan penjualan 83 unit properti selama ajang
Indonesia Property Expo (IPEX) 2020. Direktur Keuangan PT PP Properti Tbk
Indaryanto menyebutkan selama IPEX kemarin memang proyek-proyek yang
ditawarkan merupakan apartemen. "Kami rumah tapak hanya memasarkan satu
proyek di Puri Lembana, Bandung," (Kontan)
ADHI: Rights issue jumbo, Adhi Karya (ADHI) ingin mengubah profil utang.
PT Adhi Karya Tbk (ADHI) berniat meminta kucuran modal dari pemerintah dan
menggelar rights issue. Selain memperoleh dana segar, aksi korporasi ini diharapkan
sekaligus mampu memperbaiki rasio utang emiten pelat merah tersebut."Harapannya
DER berada di kisaran tiga kali," ujar Parwanto Noegroho, Sekretaris Perusahaan ADHI
kepada Kontan.co.id belum lama ini. Rasio utang terhadap ekuitas atawa debt to
equity ratio (DER) ADHI relatif tinggi dibanding BUMN karya lain. Berdasarkan data RTI,
ADHI memiliki DER sebesar 4,03 kali. (Kontan)
BEEF: Estika Tata Tiara (BEEF) raih penghargaan Top Brand Award 2020.
Perusahaan pengolahan makanan PT Estika Tata Tiara Tbk (BEEF) menempati posisi
teratas di antara perusahaan-perusahaan pengolahan makanan pada acara “Top Brand
Award 2020” versi Majalah Marketing yang digelar di Jakarta, pada 20 Februari 2020.
Direktur Pemasaran Estika Tata Tiara Grace Adoe, mengatakan, penghargaan ini
diberikan kepada perusahaan dari hasil survei Top Brand Award yang melibatkan
15.000 responden yang tersebar di 15 kota besar di Indonesia. Antara lain kota Jakarta,
Bandung, Semarang, Surabaya, Medan, Makassar, Manado, Denpasar, Banjarmasin
dan Samarinda (Kontan)
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-5088-7000 [email protected]
Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) Daily – Mixed to Lower
IHSG akan coba menguji center line pada downtrend channel jangka
pendek.
IHSG saat ini berada dalam pola downtrend channel jangka pendek dimana trend yang
terbentuk saat ini masih relatif valid (r-squared = 0.8745) sejak 33hari terakhir dimana
bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.54 std.deviasi dari centerline. IHSG bergerak di
luar pergerakan normal sekitar +12.55 % atau sekitar 4 bar chart. Rata-rata volatilitas
normal pergerakan IHSG secara harian saat ini antara +0.24% / -0.62% atau +13.94/-
36.00 point (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif selama periode analisis)
sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 1.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Feb 24, 2020) 5,807.05 (-1.28%) Trading range 5,783 – 5,833
Average index performance (%) (4.74) Target
Period 33 - Daily 5,833
r-squared 0.8745 - Weekly 5,887
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.24/-0.62
- Monthly 6,004
Volatility (+/-, point) +13.94/ -36.00 Stop loss 5,708
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 1. Daily ,Short Trend – Downtrend
4 - 6,161
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 5,833.2
_____ 5,783.3
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/24/2020 Open: 5,846 High: 5,863 Low: 5,788 Close: 5,807 Vol. 4,237,385,728
Prev. Avg. Price: 5,819.4
R-Squared: 0.8745
Period: 33
Std.Dev: 1.54
Volatility (+) : 0.0024
Volatility (-) : -0.0062
V-Ratio : 0.38
Chg.: -1.28%
5,807.05
5,803.02
5,803.02
5,708.09
5,678.4
5,892.33
5,897.95
5,912.6
5,927.65
5,978.68
6,070.64
9 16 23 30 2020 6 13 20 27 Feb 10 17 24
^JKSE - Volume = 4,237,385,728.00, MA(Volume,5) = 4,368,648,192.00
4,237,385,728
4,368,648,192
25 Februari 2020
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar dan volatilitas indeks turun masih terlihat.
Pada Figure 2, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi terakhir pada periode daily.Indikator MFI
optimized , indikator W%R optimized dan indikator RSI optimized masih bergerak turun.
Sementara itu pada periode weekly indikator MFI optimized, indikator W%R optimized
dan indikator RSI optimized masih cenderung konsolidasi. Daily support di 5,783 dan
daily resistance di 5,33. Cut loss level di 5,708.
Figure 2. Daily, MFI optimized , W%R optimized & RSI optimized
X` x`x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 23.22
23.2207
^JKSE - Will%R Smoothed = -64.23
-64.2306
^JKSE - RSI Smoothed = 34.99
34.994
_____ 5,833.5
_____ 5,784.1
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/24/2020 Open: 5,846 High: 5,863 Low: 5,788 Close: 5,807 Vol. 4,237,385,728
Prev. Avg. Price: 5,819.4
R-Squared: 0.8745
Period: 33
Std.Dev: 1.54
Volatility (+) : 0.0024
Volatility (-) : -0.0061
V-Ratio : 0.40
Chg.: -1.28%
5,807.05
5,892.33
5,912.6
5,978.68
6,070.64
7 14 21 28 Nov 11 18 25 Dec 9 16 23 302020 13 20 27 Feb 10 17 24
^JKSE - Volume = 4,237,385,728.00, MA(Volume,5) = 4,368,648,192.00
4,237,385,728
4,368,648,192
25 Februari 2020
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Figure 3. Weekly Trend – Uptrend, MFI optimized ,W%R optimized & RSI optimized
A
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
IHSG akan coba bertahan diatas rata-rata masing masing periode
Pada pergerakkan daily, rata-rata koreksi sekitar -0.62% saat ini di -1.28%. Sementara
itu pada pergerakan weekly koreksi normal rata-rata sekitar -1.35% sementara saat ini
di level -1.25%. Pada pergerakan monthly saat ini di level -2.24%, normal koreksi di -
3.19%. Dengan demikian diperkirakan potensi koreksi masih terlihat untuk sementara
Pada Figure 4,5 dan 6 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masig
periode.
Figure 4. Daily : 5,783 – 5,833 Figure 5. Weekly : 5,740 – 5,887 Figure 6. Monthly : 5,682 - 6,004
x
x x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 3.85
3.85476
^JKSE - Will%R Smoothed = -83.05
-83.0495
^JKSE - RSI Smoothed = 13.92
13.9153
_____ 5,887.4_____ 5,740.9
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 5,846 High: 5,863 Low: 5,788 Close: 5,807 Vol. 4,237,385,728
Prev. Avg. Price: 5,819.4
R-Squared: 0.7764
Period: 243
Std.Dev: 1.21
Volatility (+) : 0.0117
Volatility (-) : -0.0135
V-Ratio : 0.87
Chg.: -1.28% 5,807.05
5,723.01
5,833.91
6,263.36
6,633.11
6,633.11
7,002.85
7,543.2
Apr Jul Oct 2016 Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct 2018 Apr Jul Oct 2019 Apr Jul Oct 2020
^JKSE - Volume = 4,237,385,728.00, MA(Volume,9) = 20,034,977,792.00
4,237,385,728
20,034,977,792
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 5,833.2
_____ 5,783.3
5,819.4
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/24/2020 Open: 5,846 High: 5,863 Low:
Prev. Avg. Price: 5,819.4
R-Squared: 0.8745
Period: 33
Std.Dev: 1.54
Volatility (+) : 0.0024
Volatility (-) : -0.0062
V-Ratio : 0.38
Chg.: -1.28%
5,807.05
18 19 20 21 24
^JKSE - Volume = 4,237,385,728.00
4,237,385,728
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 5,887.4
_____ 5,740.9
5,819.4
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 5,846 High: 5,863 Low:
Prev. Avg. Price: 5,819.4
R-Squared: 0.7764
Period: 243
Std.Dev: 1.21
Volatility (+) : 0.0117
Volatility (-) : -0.0135
V-Ratio : 0.87
Chg.: -1.28%
5,807.05
Feb Mar
^JKSE - Volume = 4,237,385,728.00
4,237,385,728
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,004.1
_____ 5,682.2
5,869.6
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 2/24/2020 Open: 5,921 High: 6,014 Low:
Prev. Avg. Price: 5,869.6
R-Squared: 0.7575
Period: 57
Std.Dev: 1.16
Volatility (+) : 0.0229
Volatility (-) : -0.0319
V-Ratio : 0.72
Chg.: -2.24%
5,807.05
Jul Oct 2020
^JKSE - Volume = 65,326,116,864.00
65,326,116,864
25 Februari 2020
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Stocks on our focus list
Bank Central Asia (BBCA) – Weekly , Buy on Wekness
Harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend channel
Secara umum harga saham ini mulai masih berada diluar pola uptrend channel pada
pergerakkan weekly dimana trend yang terbentuk saat ini masih relatif bagus (r-
squared = 0.8903) selama 55 minggu hari terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam
rentang +/-1.60 std.deviasi dari center line. Harga keluar dari pergerakan normal
sekitar 10.97% (sekitar 6 bar chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga
saat ini antara +1.42 % /-1.58% atau +463.28 rupiah /-515.48 rupiah rata-rata
pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama periode analisis) sebagaimana
sebagaimana sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 7.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Feb 24, 2020) 32,625(-1.36%) Trading range 32,200 –33,275
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 61.83 Target
β (beta) 1.05 - Daily 32,900
Corelation 0.86 - Weekly 33,275
Period 55 - Monthly 34,300
r-squared 0.8903 Stop loss 32,175
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.42% / -1.58%
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +463.28/-515.48
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 7. Weekly, trend – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 33,188.2
_____ 32,207.6
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Bank Central Asi [ BBCA.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 32,825 High: 33,000 Low: 32,550 Close: 32,625 Vol. 16,982,000
Prev. Avg. Price: 32,725.0
R-Squared: 0.8903
Period: 55
Std.Dev: 1.60
Volatility (+) : 0.0142
Volatility (-) : -0.0158
V-Ratio : 0.90
Chg.: -1.36%
32,625
32,340.7
32,195.3
33,079.9
33,622.5
33,940.3
33,940.3
34,800.6
35,685.2
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb Mar
BBCA.JK - Volume = 16,982,000.00, MA(Volume,9) = 72,340,656.00
16,982,000
72,340,656
25 Februari 2020
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar dan volatilitas harga turun masih terlihat namun mulai
terbatas.
Pada Figure 8, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi. Indikator MFI optimized , indikator W%R
optimized dan indikator Stochastic%D optimized masih cenderung turun. Weekly
support di 32,200 sementara itu weekly resistance di 33,275 . Cut loss level
32,175.
Figure 8. Weekly, MFI optimized , W%R optimized & Stochastic%D
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
BBCA.JK - MFI Smoothed = 18.94
18.941
BBCA.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -60.61
-60.6075
BBCA.JK - Stochastic %D = 39.22, MA = 48.61
39.2157
48.6056
_____ 33,407.8_____ 32,127.9
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Bank Central Asi [ BBCA.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 32,825 High: 33,000 Low: 32,550 Close: 32,625 Vol. 16,982,000
Prev. Avg. Price: 32,725.0
R-Squared: 0.9586
Period: 95
Std.Dev: 2.04
Volatility (+) : 0.0209
Volatility (-) : -0.0182
V-Ratio : 1.14
Chg.: -1.36%
32,625
32,227.9
33,622.5
Oct 2018 Apr Jul Oct 2019 Apr Jul Oct 2020
BBCA.JK - Volume = 16,982,000.00, MA(Volume,9) = 72,340,656.00
16,982,000
72,340,656
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing
periode.
Pada pergerakkan daily rata-rata koreksi normal sekitar -0.69% saat ini di -1.35%.
Sementara itu pada pergerakan weekly koreksi normal rata-rata sekitar -1.82%,
sementara saat ini di level -1.36%. Pada pergerakan monthly saat ini di level -0.69%,
normal koreksi -3.47%. Dengan demikian diperkirakan potensi koreksi masih terlihat
namun mulai terbatas. Figure 9,10 dan 11 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk
masing-masing periode.
Figure 9. Daily : 32,500 -32,900 Figure 10. Weekly : 32,200 – 33,275 Figure 11. Monthly : 31,700 – 34,300
x`
x`x`
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 32,912.4
_____ 32,499.7
32,725
Bank Central Asi [ BBCA.JK ] - Daily - 2/24/2020 Open: 32,825 High:
Prev. Avg. Price: 32,725.0
R-Squared: 0.8640
Period: 134
Std.Dev: 1.50
Volatility (+) : 0.0057
Volatility (-) : -0.0069
V-Ratio : 0.83
Chg.: -1.36%
32,625
10 17 24
BBCA.JK - Volume = 16,982,000.00
16,982,000
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 34,306.5
_____ 31,718.1
32,858
Bank Central Asi [ BBCA.JK ] - Monthly - 2/24/2020 Open: 32,400
Prev. Avg. Price: 32,858.3
R-Squared: 0.9787
Period: 41
Std.Dev: 2.18
Volatility (+) : 0.0441
Volatility (-) : -0.0347
V-Ratio : 1.27
Chg.: 0.69%
32,625
Jul Oct 2020
BBCA.JK - Volume = 328,501,120.00 328,501,120
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 33,279.4
_____ 32,217.0
32,725
Bank Central Asi [ BBCA.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 32,825 High:
Prev. Avg. Price: 32,725.0
R-Squared: 0.8903
Period: 55
Std.Dev: 1.60
Volatility (+) : 0.0169
Volatility (-) : -0.0155
V-Ratio : 1.09
Chg.: -1.36%
32,625
Feb Mar
BBCA.JK - Volume = 16,982,000.00
16,982,000
25 Februari 2020
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Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP) –Weekly , Buy on Weakness
Harga akan coba naik dan mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend
channel.
Secara umum harga saham ini masih berada diluar pola uptrend channel pada pergerakkan
weekly dimana trend yang terbentuk saat ini masih relatif bagus (r-squared = 0.7939)
selama 100 minggu terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.26 std.deviasi dari
center line. Harga keluar dari pergerakan normal sekitar 20.61% (sekitar 20 bar chart ).
Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara +2.36 % /-2.59 % atau
+260.19 rupiah / -285.55 rupiah rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama
periode analisis) sebagaimana sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 12.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Feb 21, 2020) 11,025(+0.68%) Trading range 10,675 – 11,225
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 22.69 Target
β (beta) 0.94 - Daily 11,150
Corelation 0.86 - Weekly 11,225
Period 0.77 - Monthly 11,775
r-squared 0.7939 Stop loss 10,525
Volatility (+/-, %) +2.36/-2.59
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +260.19/ 285.55
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 12. Weekly – Uptrend
x` x` ,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
,,
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 11,225.2
_____ 10,682.2
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
INDOFOOD CBP SUK [ ICBP.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 10,750 High: 11,125 Low: 10,750 Close: 11,025 Vol. 2,871,700
Prev. Avg. Price: 10,966.7
R-Squared: 0.7939
Period: 100
Std.Dev: 1.26
Volatility (+) : 0.0236
Volatility (-) : -0.0259
V-Ratio : 0.91
Chg.: 0.68%
11,025
10,836.2
10,537.4
11,150.7
11,852.7
11,852.7
12,554.6
13,167.9
Mar 29Apr May 31Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019 Feb Mar Apr 18 May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2020 Feb Mar
ICBP.JK - Volume = 2,871,700.00, MA(Volume,6) = 23,779,200.00
2,871,700
23,779,200
25 Februari 2020
11
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar dan volatilitas harga turun masih terlihat namun relatiif
terbatas.
Pada Figure 13, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi indikator MFI, indikator W%R optimized
dan indikator Stochastic%D optimized masih cenderung bergerak turun.. Weekly
support di 10,675 sementara itu weekly resistance di 11,225. Cut loss level di
10,525.
Figure 13 .Weekly, MFI optimized, W%R optimized & Stochastic%D Optimized
,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
C r e a t e d w i t h A m i B r o k e r - a d v a n c e d c h a r t i n g a n d t e c h n i c a l a n a l y s i s s o f t wa r e . h t t p : / / www. a m i b r o k e r . c o m
IC B P .J K - MFI Smoothed = 37.88
37.8757
ICBP.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -66.77
-66.7743
ICBP.JK - Stochastic %D = 35.83, MA = 46.46
35.8333
46.4607
_____ 11,225.2
_____ 10,682.2
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
INDOFOOD CBP SUK [ ICBP.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 10,750 High: 11,125 Low: 10,750 Close: 11,025 Vol. 2,871,700
Prev. Avg. Price: 10,966.7
R-Squared: 0.7939
Period: 100
Std.Dev: 1.26
Volatility (+) : 0.0236
Volatility (-) : -0.0259
V-Ratio : 0.91
Chg.: 0.68%
11,025
10,836.2
11,268
Jul Oct 2018 Apr Jul Oct 2019 Apr Jul Oct 2020
ICBP.JK - Volume = 2,871,700.00, Volume1 = 2,871,700.00, MA(Volume,6) = 23,779,200.00
2,871,700
2,871,700
23,779,200
25 Februari 2020
12
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga saat ini akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-
masing periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area) . Lebih lanjut potensi kenaikkan
normal harga pada pergerakkan daily sekitar +1.05% saat ini di level +0.68%
Sementara itu pada pergerakkan weekly kenaikkan normal sekitar +2.36% saat ini
harga di level +0.68%. Pada pergerakan monthly koreksi normal sekitar -5.32% saat ini
di -3.08%. Dengan demikian diperkirakan potensi koreksi masih terlihat namun mulai
terbatas. Pada Figure 14,15 dan 16 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk
masing-masing periode.
Figure 14. Daily : 10,825 – 11,150 Figure 15. Weekly : 10,675 – 11,225 Figure 16. Monthly :10,500 – 11,775
, x`
x` x` x
,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 11,082.2
_____ 10,831.6
10,966.7
11,140.38
INDOFOOD CBP SUK [ ICBP.JK ] - Daily - 2/24/2020 Open: 10,750
Prev. Avg. Price: 10,966.7
R-Squared: 0.8080
Period: 465
Std.Dev: 1.30
Volatility (+) : 0.0105
Volatility (-) : -0.0123
V-Ratio : 0.86
Chg.: 0.68%
11,025
10 17 24
ICBP.JK - Volume = 2,871,700.00
2,871,700
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 11,225.2
_____ 10,682.2
10,966.7
INDOFOOD CBP SUK [ ICBP.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 10,750
Prev. Avg. Price: 10,966.7
R-Squared: 0.7939
Period: 100
Std.Dev: 1.26
Volatility (+) : 0.0236
Volatility (-) : -0.0259
V-Ratio : 0.91
Chg.: 0.68%
11,025
Feb Mar
ICBP.JK - Volume = 2,871,700.00
2,871,700
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 11,772.6
_____ 10,501.1
11,091.7
INDOFOOD CBP SUK [ ICBP.JK ] - Monthly - 2/24/2020 Open: 11,375
Prev. Avg. Price: 11,091.7
R-Squared: 0.9415
Period: 111
Std.Dev: 1.90
Volatility (+) : 0.0614
Volatility (-) : -0.0532
V-Ratio : 1.15
Chg.: -3.08%
11,025
Jul Oct 2020
ICBP.JK - Volume = 107,129,696.00
107,129,696
25 Februari 2020
13
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI) –Weekly , Buy on Weakness
Harga akan coba naik mendekati abnormal lower band pada uptrend
channel.
Secara umum harga saham ini berada diluar pola uptrend trend channel dimana trend
yang terbentuk saat ini masih relatif bagus (r-squared = 0.9373) selama 231
minggu terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/- 1.87 std.deviasi dari
centerline. Harga keluar dari pergerakan normalnya sekitar 6.278% (sekitar 14 bar
chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara +4.12%/ -4.05%
atau +33.37 rupiah / -32.81 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif,
selama periode analisis) sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 17.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Feb 21, 2020) 810(+2.99%) Trading range 780 – 850
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 17.97 Target
β (beta) 1.02 - Daily 825
Corelation 0.87 - Weekly 850
Period 231 - Monthly 935
r-squared 0.9373 Stop loss 770
Volatility (+/-, %) +4.12/ -4.05
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +33.37/ -32.81
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 17. Weekly – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
,
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 850.3
_____ 783.6
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 835 High: 835 Low: 805 Close: 810 Vol. 19,472,600
Prev. Avg. Price: 816.7
R-Squared: 0.9373
Period: 231
Std.Dev: 1.87
Volatility (+) : 0.0412
Volatility (-) : -0.0405
V-Ratio : 1.02
Chg.: -2.99%
810
790.054
864.239
966.131
983.774
1,072.31
1,072.31
1,178.48
1,280.38
2016 Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct 2018 Apr Jul Oct 2019 Apr Jul Oct 2020
MAPI.JK - Volume = 19,472,600.00, MA(Volume,6) = 39,235,648.00
19,472,600
39,235,648
25 Februari 2020
14
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar mulai terbatas dan volatilitas harga turun masih terlihat
namun mulai terbatas.
Pada Figure 18, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi. Indikator MFI optimized ,indikator RSI
optimized s, indikator W%R optimized dan indikator Stochastic%D optimized sudah
berada di oversold area. Perkiraan weekly support di 780 dan weekly resistance di
850.Cut loss level di 770.
Figure 18. Weekly ,MFI optimized ,W%R optimized & Stochastic%D optimized
XXXXXXXXXXXXX XX,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
MAPI.JK - MFI Smoothed = 0.92
0.919506
MAPI.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -90.03
-90.0283
MAPI.JK - Stochastic %D = 24.46, MA = 37.85
24.4604
37.8507
_____ 850.3_____ 783.6
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 835 High: 835 Low: 805 Close: 810 Vol. 19,472,600
Prev. Avg. Price: 816.7
R-Squared: 0.9373
Period: 231
Std.Dev: 1.87
Volatility (+) : 0.0412
Volatility (-) : -0.0405
V-Ratio : 1.02
Chg.: -2.99%
810
790.054
966.677
983.774
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MAPI.JK - Volume = 19,472,600.00
19,472,600
25 Februari 2020
15
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area) . Jika dilihat lebih lanjut potensi
koreksi harga pada pergerakkan daily sekitar -2.74%, saat ini di level -2.99.%. Pada
pergerakkan weekly potensi koreksi normal sekitar +4.05%, saat ini di level -2.99%.
Sementara pergerakkan monthly saat ini level -15.63% sementara koreksi normal di -
7.89%. Dengan demikian potensi koreksi mulai terbatas. Pada Figure 19,20 dan 21
terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing periode.
Figure 19. Daily : 795 – 825 Figure 20. Weekly : 780 – 850 Figure 21. Monthly : 790 – 935
,
x` x,
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Relative Avg.Price Performance to JCI (%) : Persentase kenaikan harga saham dari rata-rata sejak IHSG memulai uptrend-nya β (beta) : Indikator sensitivitas harga saham terhadap IHSG, beta diatas 1 berarti harga makin
sensitif terhadap pergerakan IHSG dan sebaliknya Correlation : Ukuran kuat hubungan (korelasi) pergerakan harga saham dibanding dengan pergerakan IHSG selama periode analisis. Period : Periode uptrend / downtrend yang valid dari pergerakan harga saham. r-squared : Koefisien determinasi, menunjukkan persentase gerakan yang dapat dijelaskan dengan regresi linier.Nilai R2 terletak antara 0 – 1, dan kecocokan model dikatakan lebih baik kalau R2 semakin mendekati 1 (validitas uptrend atau downtrend makin valid) Volatility (+/-%) : Besaran volatilitas normal positif/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama harga saham bergerak normal pada trend channel dalam persentase. Volatility (+/- point or Rp) : Besaran volatilitas normal positifl/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama harga saham bergerak dalam periode analisis.
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 826.2
_____ 794.3
816.7
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Daily - 2/24/2020 Open: 835 High:
Prev. Avg. Price: 816.7
R-Squared: 0.9538
Period: 32
Std.Dev: 2.00
Volatility (+) : 0.0116
Volatility (-) : -0.0274
V-Ratio : 0.43
Chg.: -2.99%
810
17 24
MAPI.JK - Volume = 19,472,600.00 19,472,600
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 850.0
_____ 783.6
816.7
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Weekly - 3/1/2020 Open: 835
Prev. Avg. Price: 816.7
R-Squared: 0.9373
Period: 231
Std.Dev: 1.87
Volatility (+) : 0.0408
Volatility (-) : -0.0405
V-Ratio : 1.01
Chg.: -2.99%
810
Feb Mar
MAPI.JK - Volume = 19,472,600.00
19,472,600
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 935.5
_____ 790.6
858.3
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk [ MAPI.JK ] - Monthly - 2/24/2020 Open: 960
Prev. Avg. Price: 858.3
R-Squared: 0.9241
Period: 55
Std.Dev: 1.78
Volatility (+) : 0.0899
Volatility (-) : -0.0789
V-Ratio : 1.14
Chg.: -15.63%
810
Jul Oct 2020
MAPI.JK - Volume = 174,678,816.00
174,678,816
25 Februari 2020
16
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 22. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 23. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 24. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM) Chart 25. Energy price
V
Note: The latest figure for India are Feb 20
th, 2020
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 26. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 27. Precious metal price
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
13,500
13,600
13,700
13,800
13,900
14,000
14,100
14,200
5,750
5,850
5,950
6,050
6,150
6,250
6,350
6,450
11/25 12/23 1/20 2/17
(IDR) (pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R)
-1.3 -1.0
-7.0
-11.0
1.4
2.7
-1.3
-10.7 -12
-8
-4
0
4
1D 1W 1M 1Y
Absolute Relative(%, %p)
-611
-834
-36 -53 -17
117
-875
-1,658
-88 -216
-35
256
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
Korea Taiwan Indonesia ThailandPhilippines India
1 Day 5 Days (USDmn) (USDmn)
80
90
100
110
6/27 7/25 8/22 9/19
CPO WTI Coal(D-3M=100) (D-3M=100)
80
90
100
110
120
130
11/25 12/23 1/20 2/17
CPO WTI Coal(D-3M=100)
80
90
100
110
11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20
(D-3M=100) Copper Nickel Tin
95
100
105
110
115
11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20
(D-3M=100) Silver Gold Platinum
25 Februari 2020
17
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Table. Key valuation metrics
Company Name Ticker Price Market Cap Price Performance (%) P/E(X)* P/B(X)* ROE(%)*
(IDR) (IDRbn) 1D 1W 1M 1Y FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19 FY18 FY19
Jakarta Composite Index JCI 5,807 6,741,474 -1.3 -1.0 -7.0 -11.0 13.8 12.5 1.9 1.8 16.9 -8.5
FINANCIALS
Bank Central Asia BBCA 32,625 804,370 -1.4 -2.9 -4.2 18.9 28.8 28.0 4.7 4.6 17.5 17.7
Bank Mandiri Persero BMRI 7,775 362,833 -1.6 -1.0 -1.9 7.2 13.0 13.3 1.8 1.9 14.2 14.4
Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero BBRI 4,490 553,823 -0.4 0.4 -5.3 13.4 15.6 15.9 2.6 2.7 17.7 18.1
Bank Negara Indonesia Persero BBNI 7,575 141,264 -2.6 -0.7 -1.6 -13.9 9.5 9.1 1.2 1.2 13.3 13.8
Bank Tabungan Negara Persero BBTN 1,820 19,274 -2.7 1.4 -12.1 -28.1 10.4 8.9 0.9 0.8 9.4 9.7
CONSUMER
HM Sampoerna HMSP 1,905 221,586 -0.8 -3.1 -11.8 -49.2 15.4 16.6 6.2 6.1 39.7 37.2
Gudang Garam GGRM 55,250 106,306 -1.3 0.6 -5.2 -33.0 10.7 11.7 2.1 2.0 20.5 17.3
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur ICBP 11,025 128,573 0.7 1.6 -5.8 7.6 25.4 23.3 5.3 4.7 21.4 20.9
Indofood Sukses Makmur INDF 7,200 63,219 0.0 0.7 -12.2 -5.3 13.5 12.0 1.7 1.6 12.2 12.8
Kalbe Farma KLBF 1,355 63,516 -0.7 -2.5 -12.0 -10.0 24.3 22.5 4.0 3.6 16.8 16.3
Unilever Indonesia UNVR 7,225 275,634 -3.7 -2.4 -11.6 -26.0 43.3 37.0 60.7 45.4 116.7 103.3
AGRICULTURAL
Astra Agro Lestari AALI 10,575 20,354 -2.3 -5.6 -12.4 -20.5 44.5 16.5 1.1 1.0 2.8 5.9
PP London Sumatera Indonesia LSIP 1,060 7,232 -5.4 -9.0 -12.8 -22.1 45.6 15.0 0.9 0.8 1.8 4.9
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana SSMS 785 7,477 -1.3 -1.3 -3.1 -30.5 34.9 14.4 1.8 1.9 8.6 15.6
INFRASTRUCTURE
XL Axiata EXCL 2,520 26,934 -3.1 -4.9 -21.0 -2.7 47.0 41.1 1.8 1.4 3.8 3.4
Jasa Marga JSMR 4,960 35,999 -0.8 2.1 -2.3 1.0 17.5 17.4 1.9 1.7 10.8 9.8
Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS 1,480 35,877 -3.0 -1.0 -21.3 -43.3 10.7 9.7 0.9 0.9 8.6 9.4
Tower Bersama Infrastructure TBIG 1,180 26,735 1.7 -1.7 -1.3 38.8 30.1 26.9 6.9 6.7 24.6 25.9
Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM 3,640 360,586 -1.4 0.8 -7.1 -5.6 17.4 15.6 3.4 3.2 19.7 20.9
Soechi Lines SOCI 124 875 -8.1 -3.9 -23.5 -23.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Garuda Indonesia GIAA 302 7,818 -5.0 -11.2 -26.7 -38.1 10.1 N/A 1.2 1.2 13.1 -11.3
BASIC-INDUSTRIES
Semen Indonesia SMGR 11,250 66,730 -3.0 -2.8 -13.3 -13.1 32.9 21.2 2.1 1.9 6.4 9.4
Charoen Pokphand Indonesia CPIN 6,450 105,767 -1.9 -1.9 -10.1 -9.8 30.8 25.4 5.0 4.4 16.7 17.5
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa INTP 15,900 58,532 -4.1 -5.4 -15.5 -19.5 35.2 27.8 2.5 2.4 7.1 8.9
Japfa Comfeed Indonesia JPFA 1,525 17,883 -1.9 0.7 -3.8 -34.5 11.5 9.3 1.7 1.5 14.4 16.2
MINING
Indo Tambangraya Megah ITMG 10,650 12,034 0.7 1.4 -9.0 -53.5 6.9 6.5 1.0 1.0 13.9 14.9
Adaro Energy ADRO 1,285 41,102 -1.9 -2.7 -6.9 -8.5 6.6 7.1 0.8 0.7 11.1 9.3
Aneka Tambang ANTM 685 16,461 -2.1 0.7 -12.7 -36.9 17.7 13.1 0.8 0.8 4.5 4.9
Vale Indonesia INCO 3,010 29,908 -1.6 -2.6 -9.1 -21.6 45.1 43.4 1.2 1.1 3.3 2.7
Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam PTBA 2,350 27,074 -2.5 0.4 -0.8 -43.1 6.4 7.4 1.5 1.4 24.0 20.2
TRADE
United Tractors UNTR 17,900 66,769 -1.8 -2.5 -11.4 -34.3 6.1 6.3 1.1 1.0 18.6 16.4
AKR Corporindo AKRA 2,990 12,004 -2.0 -2.6 -14.3 -47.3 14.5 13.4 1.4 1.3 9.9 10.1
Global Mediacom BMTR 316 4,846 -6.0 -5.4 -9.2 -24.8 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.3 19.6 18.8
Matahari Department Store LPPF 3,300 9,256 -4.9 -3.5 -11.1 -44.8 6.4 6.3 4.2 3.3 72.7 56.8
Media Nusantara Citra MNCN 1,355 19,344 -5.9 -10.0 -19.8 43.4 9.0 7.9 1.6 1.4 18.8 18.6
Matahari Putra Prima MPPA 111 836 -3.5 0.0 -14.6 -71.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Surya Citra Media SCMA 1,205 17,803 -3.6 -10.7 -22.0 -30.7 13.6 11.9 3.5 3.1 26.4 27.3
Siloam International Hospital SILO 6,825 11,096 0.0 -1.1 1.1 87.5 227.8 130.5 1.8 1.6 0.8 1.3
PROPERTY
Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE 1,085 20,883 -1.4 -0.9 -8.4 -18.1 8.3 10.2 0.7 0.7 9.0 7.0
Adhi Karya ADHI 885 3,151 -5.9 -5.9 -18.4 -41.8 4.6 4.0 0.5 0.4 10.5 10.4
Alam Sutera Relaty ASRI 173 3,399 -1.1 -0.6 -18.4 -46.9 5.9 5.1 0.3 0.3 4.9 5.6
Ciputra Development CTRA 940 17,447 -3.1 1.1 -5.1 8.7 18.7 16.9 1.2 1.1 6.1 6.2
Lippo Karawaci LPKR 232 16,448 0.0 -2.5 -1.7 4.4 N/A 22.8 0.6 0.6 -3.4 2.0
Pembangunan Perumahan PTPP 1,335 8,277 -5.3 -4.6 -10.7 -34.6 6.9 5.7 0.6 0.6 8.6 9.9
Pakuwon Jati PWON 540 26,006 -6.1 -6.1 -5.3 -13.6 9.8 9.9 1.7 1.6 18.9 14.3
Summarecon Agung SMRA 880 12,696 -1.7 -0.6 -5.9 -8.8 25.9 22.8 1.8 1.6 6.4 7.7
Wijaya Karya WIKA 1,970 17,671 -2.0 -1.5 0.5 11.6 8.5 8.0 1.1 1.0 13.3 12.8
Waskita Karya WSKT 1,075 14,592 -6.5 -4.9 -17.9 -42.2 5.9 6.1 0.7 0.6 11.5 10.4
MISCELLANEOUS
Astra International ASII 6,100 246,950 -1.6 0.0 -12.5 -20.3 11.6 10.7 1.7 1.6 14.6 14.6
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
*Note: Valuation metrics based on Bloomberg consensus estimates
25 Februari 2020
18
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Sector performance Top 10 market cap performance
Name Index Chg (%) Ticker Price Market Cap
(IDRbn) Chg (%)
Agricultural 1,251.2 -1.8 SHID IJ 4620 5,171 24.86
Mining 1,432.2 -0.8
STTP IJ 10100 13,231 12.22
Basic-Industry 851.6 -1.1 TURI IJ 1160 6,473 11.54
Miscellaneous Industry 1,074.5 -1.6 PSAB IJ 276 7,303 5.34
Consumer Goods 1,884.0 -1.5 EMTK IJ 5475 30,891 5.29
Property & Construction 444.2 -1.5
TPIA IJ 9500 169,418 4.97
Infrastructure 1,006.6 -1.5 CMNP IJ 1835 6,644 4.86
Finance 1,321.3 -1.3 AMRT IJ 820 34,050 2.50
Trade 688.8 -0.9 MSKY IJ 1295 12,914 2.37
Composite 5,807.1 -1.3 TBIG IJ 1180 26,735 1.7
Source: Bloomberg
Top 5 leading movers Top 5 lagging movers
Name Chg (%) Close Name Chg (%) Close
TPIA IJ 5.0 9,500 BBCA IJ -1.4 32,625
EMTK IJ 5.3 5,475 UNVR IJ -3.7 7,225
STTP IJ 12.2 10,100 BMRI IJ -1.6 7,775
SHID IJ 24.9 4,620 TLKM IJ -1.4 3,640
ICBP IJ 0.7 11,025 BRPT IJ -4.3 1,110
Source: Bloomberg
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
1:30am GBP MPC Member Haldane Speaks
3:00am USD FOMC Member Mester Speaks
6:50am JPY SPPI y/y 2.1% 2.1%
2:00pm EUR German Final GDP q/q 0.0% 0.0%
Tentative GBP 10-y Bond Auction 0.50|2.3
6:00pm GBP CBI Realized Sales 4 0
8:30pm CAD Corporate Profits q/q 0.4%
9:00pm USD HPI m/m 0.4% 0.2%
9:00pm USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 2.8% 2.6%
9:45pm USD FOMC Member Kaplan Speaks
10:00pm USD CB Consumer Confidence 132.6 131.6
10:00pm USD Richmond Manufacturing Index 10 20
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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