2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme United Nations Statistics Division Group of...

2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme

United Nations Statistics Division

Group of Experts on Population and Housing CensusesGeneva, 30 September 3 October 2015﹣

Outline

Overview of the 2010 census round at global level Implementation

Country experience – findings from global survey

o Main census methods

o Other/alternative sources

o Enumeration methods

o Use of technology

o Perceived benefits/risks of using alternative approaches

2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme Preparations

Resolution

UNSD activities

o Revision of international census guidelines

o Technical support and training

o UNSD’s Census Knowledgebase

o Review of national experience

Overview of the 2010 census round

Implementation – a relative success in country participation

214 countries or areas in the world conducted at least one census, enumerating 93% of the world population

21 countries/areas did not carry out a census, slight improvement over 2000 round during which 26 countries /areas did not conduct a census

214

21

Census conductedCensus not conducted

93%

7%

World popululation enumeratedWorld population not yet enumerated

Implementation – geographic distribution, 2000 round


Implementation – geographic distribution, 2010 round


Implementation – by census year

2011 was the peak

year of the 2010 round

in terms of number of

censuses conducted

(60 countries/areas, over

half of them in Europe)

2010 marked the

calendar year with the

highest proportion of the

world’s population

enumerated (37 per cent)


2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 n.s.0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Nu

mb

er

of c

ou

ntr

ies/

are

as

Country experience – findings based on global survey (2011-2012) in which 126 countries reported on census and enumeration methods, use of technology, data dissemination, success and challenges

Main census method: 85% of countries employed full field enumeration (traditional census)

10% administrative registers, most of which are European countries

5% other (admin records not part of a register, rolling census, other)

Other/alternative source (in addition to main census method): registers – 26%

admin records (not part of registers) – 9%

annual/regular sample survey – 18%

ad-hoc sample survey – 15%


Enumeration methods used – increasing use of multi-mode collection


Number of countries

Percent

Total 126 100Face-to-face interview, paper questionnaire 94 75Face-to-face interview, electronic questionnaire 14 11Telephone 14 11Self-enumeration, paper questionnaire, collected by enumerators 30 24Self-enumeration, paper questionnaire, return by mail 18 14Self-enumeration, internet 33 26Register-based enumeration 18 14Pre-existing administrative records 8 6Other 2 2* Note that the sum of the categories exceeds 100% as countries were asked to provide answers as to all the methods they applied.

Use of technology


Perceived benefits of using alternative approaches vs traditional census(out of 38 countries)


Other benefits

Decreased item non-response

Increased response rates

Use of standardized concepts/definitions

Improved coverage

Time savings

Improved data quality

Cost savings

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

4

8

8

11

14

17

22

26

Perceived risks of using alternative approaches vs traditional census

(out of 38 countries)


Negative public perception

Increased time

Decreased data quality

Decreased coverage

Increased cost

Other risks

Use of data source definition instead of census definition

Reduced topics

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

2

3

3

4

5

7

8

16

In summary, the 2010 census round saw: increased use of alternative sources of data and multiple modes of enumeration,

based on the perceived benefits of reduced cost and improved data quality

increased use of technology, in all phases of census operations

these trends are likely to continue during the 2020 round

the use of alternative methods is not without challenges and risks, thus census managers should carefully examine potential risks involved and enhance technical expertise required in use of new methods and technologies


Preparations for the 2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme

Statistical Commission (43rd session in 2012) requested UNSD:

to establish an Expert Group to assess the challenges faced in the 2010 round, compile lessons learned and address a number of issues, including the use of information technology and administrative records and registers, where possible, to complement census information and reduce costs

to prepare a timetable for the development of the 2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme

revise the Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses

prepare by 2015 a draft resolution on the 2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme for approval by the Commission and endorsement by the Economic and Social Council


Resolution on the 2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme:

represents the 8th decennial programme since inception of the UN

UN Statistical Commission endorsed resolution at its 46th session (3-6 March 2015)

adopted by ECOSOC on 10 June 2015

The resolution urges Member States to:

conduct at least one population and housing census in the decade spanning 2015-2024

take into account international and regional recommendations relating to p+h censuses

give attention to advance planning, cost efficiency, coverage and timely dissemination

set quality standards for the conduct and evaluation of p+h censuses

take into full account the Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics in the conduct of censuses

support the Programme, taking into account the importance of 2020 round censuses for sustainable development and the post-2015 development agenda


The resolution further requests the Secretary-General:

to prepare international statistical standards, methods and guidelines to facilitate activities for the 2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme

to ensure coordination of activities among stakeholders in assisting Member States in the implementation of the Programme

to monitor and regularly report to the Statistical Commission on the implementation of the Programme


UNSD activities in support of the 2020 World Programme

Revision of international methodological census guidelines

Principles & Recommendations for Population & Housing Censuses UNSD established an expert group

Expert group organized into three Working Groups and five Subgroups I - Population and Housing Topics (population topics; housing topics)

II - Census Planning and Methodology (census operations; use of technology; alternative censuses)

III - Census Products and Data Utilization

Approach using existing version and updating and changing only when necessary

harmonization with regional initiatives

incorporating contemporary census practices

aligning with the Generic Statistical Business Process Model

Two expert group meetings held First meeting (29 Oct – 1 Nov 2013)

Second meeting (29 Apr – 2 May 2014)

UNSD activities - Revision of international census guidelines

Principles & Recommendations for Population & Housing Censuses, Rev 3

Adopted by Statistical Commission in March 2015

Publication currently in editing (expected to be printed by end of 2015)

Restructured into four parts

Part One: Essential features and census methodology

Part Two: Planning, organization and management

Part Three: Census operation activities

Part Four: Population and housing census topics

(Recommended tabulations – online release only)

Principles & Recommendations for Population & Housing Censuses

Compared to previous versions, Rev 3 of P&R:

provides more elaboration on alternative methodologies to the traditional census for producing census statistics;

contains new chapters on:

• the use of technology in census operations

• archiving of individual records

• overall evaluation of the census

includes major changes to concepts and terminologies related to economic characteristics topics

• resulting from the new conceptual framework for work statistics adopted by ILO in October 2013 during the nineteenth International Conference of Labour Statisticians


Handbook on Census Management for Population and Housing Censuses

Revision underway

Expert group meeting in December 2015

Approach

using existing version and updating only when necessary

incorporating contemporary census practices

aligning with the Generic Statistical Business Process Model

incorporating examples of good practices in the planning and management of censuses, based on recent national experience


Handbook on Census Management for Population and Housing Censuses

The revised handbook will provide guidance in areas that were not adequately elaborated in the current version of the handbook:

quality assurance in terms of setting measurable goals and indicators for census activities

monitoring and evaluating performance

contract management and monitoring of outsourced census activities

systematic recording and documentation of the census experience in order to preserve institutional memory


Revision of other international census guidelines

Handbook on Population and Housing Census Editing, Revision 1

Handbook on Measuring the Economically Active in Population Censuses

Plan to develop a set of new guidelines on:

census legislation

quality assurance

use of technology for census data collection (internet)

method for estimating the cost of census


UNSD activities in support of the 2020 World Programme

Technical support and training - undertake a variety of activities aimed at strengthening national capacity to plan and carry out census operations, in collaboration with regional commissions and relevant international organizations

regional technical training workshops

providing direct technical assistance to countries

organizing study visits for countries to learn from one another (South-South cooperation)

Maintain and enhance UNSD’s Census Knowledgebase website resource for countries to exchange their experiences and share their

knowledge and information on census-taking (country census documents, questionnaires)

census topics database

Review of national experience three reviews: at the beginning, at the midpoint and at the end of the 2020 round, to be

able to give appropriate and timely attention to census challenges

Thank you

2020 World Population and Housing Census Programme United Nations Statistics Division Group of...

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