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DEBATING SECURITY PLUS CONFLICT, COMPETITION AND COOPERATION IN AN INTERCONNECTED WORLD 19—20 JUNE 2018 THE GLOBAL ONLINE BRAINSTORM

Transcript of 2018 Debating Security Plus 2 - friendsofeurope.org · The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from...

DEBATING SECURITY PLUS CONFLICT, COMPETITION AND COOPERATION IN AN INTERCONNECTED WORLD

19—20 JUNE 2018

THE GLOBAL ONLINE BRAINSTORM

With the support of

Moderating partners

Coalition partners

Join the debate as these six topics are discussed in parallel:

The global security brainstorm

Debating Security Plus (DS+) is a unique global online brainstorm that aims to yield concrete

recommendations in the area of security and defence. Gathering thousands of participants

from around the world, it is the only platform that permits a truly global whole-of-society

consultation providing innovative recommendations for some of the world’s most pressing

security challenges.

It will bring together on 19 - 20 June senior international participants from the military,

national governments, international organisations and agencies, along with voices from

NGOs and civil society, business and industry, the media, think-tanks and academia. Their

involvement in our security policy brainstorm will help bridge the gaps between experts and

citizens, and their recommendations will aim to inform the implementation of the EU Global

Strategy, as well as the policies of national governments and other international institutions

as they shape their approaches to peace, security and defence.

The discussions will be moderated by leading international think tanks and organisations that

will steer discussions towards concrete recommendations.

START: 19 June 2018 09.00

(Central European Summer Time)

END: 20 June 2018 to 20.00

(Central European Summer Time)

REGISTER NOW!

1. COUNTERING HYBRID THREATS IN THE CYBER AGE

2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR

3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO GLOBAL MIGRATION

4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

5. REALIGNING THE CRIME-TERROR NEXUS

6. RUSSIA, EUROPE AND THE US– SCENARIOS OF THE FUTURE IN A TURBULENT TIME

CONCEPT

*Central European Time

3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO MIGRATION 4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

Ramesh Thakur

Director of the Centre for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, Australian National University

2.EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR

2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR 5. CRIME AND TERROR

Maqsoud Kruse

Executive Director of Hedayah, The International Center of Excellence for Countering Violent Extremism, UAE

4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES 5. CRIME AND TERROR

Wayne Raabe

Director of the Interagency Partnering Directorate for the United States European Command (EUCOM)

1. HYBRID THREATS 1. HYBRID THREATS

Edvinas Kerza

Lithuanian Vice-Minister of Defence

5. CRIME AND TERROR 3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO MIGRATION

Matina Stevis-Gridneff

Africa Correspondent for the Wall Street Journal and European Young Leader (EYL40)

5. CRIME AND TERROR 3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO MIGRATION

Maureen Achieng

Chief of the International Organisation for Migration (IOM) Mission in Ethiopia

1. HYBRID THREATS 4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

François de Kerchove d'Exaerde Marietje Schaake Lassina Zerbo

Permanent Representative of Belgium to NATO

Vice-Chair of the European Parliament Delegation for

Relations with the United States and Founding Member

of the Intergroup on the Digital Agenda

Executive Secretary of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO)

5. CRIME AND TERROR

2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR

4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

Head of the Strategic Analysis Capability at NATO

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security challenges.

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security challenges.

TUESD

AY 1

9 J

UN

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Shamil Idriss

Chief Executive Officer of Search for Common Ground

Renske Van Der Veer

Director of the International Centre for Counter Terrorism (ICCT), The Netherlands

Giles Portman

Head of the East Stratcom TaskForce at the European External Action Service (EEAS)

Dirk Aßmann

Director-General at the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)

Franziska Brantner

Member of the German Bundestag and Trustee of Friends of Europe

Negar Mortazavi

Iranian-American Journalist & European Young Leader (MENA Delegate)

Vaidotas Verba

Ambassador and Coordinator of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine

Gilles de Kerchove

European Union Counter-Terrorism Coordinator

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David Andelman

Award-winning columnist for CNN and USA Today & Visiting Fellow at the Center on National Security, Fordham Law

School

Stefanie Babst

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1. HYBRID THREATS

Toby Feakin

Australian Ambassador for Cyber Affairs

3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO MIGRATION

Christian Friis Bach

Secretary-General of the Danish Refugee Council

2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR

Philippe Rio

Head of the EUCAP SAHEL Mali Mission

1. HYBRID THREATS 3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO MIGRATION

Sasha Havlicek Jérôme Oberreit

CEO of the Institute for Strategic Dialogue Secretary General of Médecins sans Frontières (MSF)

1. HYBRID THREATS 2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR

Jamie Shea Annalisa Piras

Deputy Assistant Secretary-General for Emerging Security Challenges at NATO Director of the award-winning documentary ‘Europe at Sea’

4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

Marjolijn van Deelen

Head of Non-Proliferation, Arms Control and Disarmament at the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs

2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR 4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

Nathalie Tocci Izumi Nakamitsu

Special Advisor to the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini and

Director of Instituto Affari Internazionali (IAI)United Nations Under-Secretary-General of Disarmament Affairs

3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO MIGRATION 4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES

Robert Muggah Leo Hoffmann-Axthelm

Co-Founder and Research Director of the Igarapé Institute, Brazil EU Representative of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN)

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security

challenges.

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security

challenges.

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security

challenges.

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security

challenges.

08:00-

09:00

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WED

NESD

AY 2

0 J

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10:00

10:00-

11:00

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13:00-

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14:00-

15:00

The DS+ brainstorm runs online non-stop from 19 June 09:00 – 21:00 (CEST) to 20 June 08:00 - 20:00 (CEST).

Contribute your thoughts to crowdsource innovative solutions to the world’s most pressing security

challenges.

*Central European Time

2018 VIP DEBATERS

DIRK AßMANN Director General at the Deutsche

Gesellschaft für Internationale

Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)

SHAMIL IDRISS Chief Executive OfLcer of Search for

Common Ground

LEO HOFFMANN-AXTHELM EU Representative for the International

Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons

(ICAN)

EDVINAS KERZA Lithuanian Vice-Minister of National

Defence

MAUREEN ACHIENG International Organisation for Migration

(IOM) Representative to the African

Union and Chief of Mission, Ethiopia

FRANÇOIS DE KERCHOVE D’EXAERDE Permanent Representative of Belgium

to NATO

TOBIAS FEAKIN Australian Ambassador for Cyber Affairs

FRANZISKA BRANTNER Member of the German Bundestag,

Chair of the Subcommittee on Civil

Crisis Prevention and Trustee of

Friends of Europe

CHRISTIAN FRIIS BACH Secretary-General of the Danish

Refugee Council

DAVID ANDELMAN Award-winning columnist for CNN and

USA Today & Visiting Fellow at the

Center on National Security, Fordham

Law School

STEFANIE BABST Head of Strategic Analysis Capability

at NATO

GILLES DE KERCHOVE European Union Counter-Terrorism

Coordinator

BJØRN IHLER Founder Khalifa-Ihler Institute and KoL

Annan Extremely Together Young

Leader

SAMI HOURANI Executive Director Leaders of Tomorrow,

MENA Delegate

SASHA HAVLICEK Chief Executive OfLcer of the Institute for

Strategic Dialogue (ISD)

NEGAR MORTAZAVI Iranian-American Journalist and

European Young Leader (EYL40)

ROBERT MUGGAH Co-Founder and Research Director of

the Igarapé Institute, Brazil

MAQSOUD KRUSE Executive Director of Hedayah, The

International Center of Excellence for

Countering Violent Extremism, UAE

2018 VIP DEBATERS

RENSKE VAN DER VEER Director of the International Centre

for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT), the

Netherlands

VAIDOTAS VERBA Project Coordinator of the OSCE

Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine

WAYNE RAABE Director of Interagency Partnering at

the US European Command (EUCOM)

MARJOLIJN VAN DEELEN Head of Non-Proliferation, Arms

Control and Disarmament at the Dutch

Ministry of Foreign Affairs

ANNALISA PIRAS Director of the award-winning

documentary ‘Europe at Sea’

NATHALIE TOCCI Special Advisor to the EU HRVP

Federica Mogherini and Director of

Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI), Italy

MARIETJE SCHAAKE Vice-Chair of the European Parliament

Delegation for Relations with the Unit-

ed States and Trustee of Friends of

GILES PORTMAN Head of the East Stratcom Task Force

at the European External Action

Service (EEAS)

JÉRÔME OBERREIT Secretary General, Médecins Sans

Frontières

RAMESH THAKUR Director of the Centre for Nuclear

Non-Proliferation and Disarmament

at the Australian National University

JAMIE SHEA Deputy Assistant Secretary-General

for Emerging Security Challenges at

NATO and Trustee of Friends of Eu-

PHILIPPE RIO Head of the EUCAP SAHEL Mali

Mission

IZUMI NAKAMITSU United Nations Under Secretary

general of Disarmament Affairs

LASSINA ZERBO Executive Secretary of the

Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban

Treaty Organization (CTBTO)

MATINA STEVIS-GRINDEFF Africa Correspondent for the Wall

Street Journal and European Young

Leader (EYL40)

MACIEJ POPOWSKI Deputy Director-General for Migration

and Refugees at the European

Commission

2018 THEMES

From cyber-espionage and disruptive attacks

on critical infrastructure to interference in

elections, propaganda, and disinformation

campaigns, institutions around the world are

increasingly under threat from state or non-state

operations. These (mostly digital) risks – if

unmitigated – have raised fears of serious

breakdowns in states’ economies and societies,

increasing the risks of conNict and threatening

societal resilience.

• Should NATO and the EU be developing

the use of offensive cyber capabilities in

the face of malicious attacks?

• Can we create a global cyber convention

to set out international deLnitions and

rules in cyberspace?

• How prepared are military forces,

including NATO, for AI warfare? Is the

West already losing the AI arms race to

China and Russia?

Moderated by the European Centre of

Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats

(Finland) & Gateway House (India)

1. COUNTERING HYBRID THREATS IN THE CYBER AGE

With its emphasis on soft/smart power and

multilateral diplomacy, the EU appears to be out

of step with a multipolar world increasingly

characterised by hard power, great power

rivalries and zero-sum games. With the US no

longer ready to continue its lead on global

security issues, Europe is looking more carefully

at its own defence capabilities and role as a

global security actor.

• With the United Kingdom one of only two

true military powers in Europe, what impact

will Brexit have on the security and defence

of Europe, and the EU’s global operations?

• What role should Europe play in bringing

peace to Syria, given the growing

involvement of Iran, Russia and Turkey?

• How should Europe respond to China’s

growing power, especially in the South

China Sea and as regards the security

implications of the Belt and Road Initiative?

Is the EU seen as a credible security actor

by the rest of the world, and especially in

Asia?

Moderated by the European Centre for

Development Policy Management (The

Netherlands) & NATO Strategic Direction

South (Italy)

2. EUROPE AS A GLOBAL SECURITY ACTOR

Responses to global migration- caused by a

multiplicity of interrelated factors including

conNicts, resource scarcity and climate change-

remains largely uncoordinated at the global level.

The UN recognises the need for a comprehensive

approach to human mobility and is working on

adopting global compacts on migration and

refugees in 2018. But such initiatives face many

obstacles on an international level. As such,

learning from local challenges in different parts of

the world can help us better understand and

address the linkages between migration, security

and development.

• How can the EU improve its responsiveness

and preparedness for migrants arriving at its

borders?

• What are the lessons learned from MENA

countries as regards the mass waves of

migration? How important is the role of

development aid in addressing migration in

this region?

• Is Latin America prepared to deal with

instability and migration?

Moderated by the Institute for Security

Studies (South Africa) & the OCP Policy

Center (Morocco)

3. REGIONAL APPROACHES TO GLOBAL MIGRATION

2018 THEMES

The global nuclear order has been changing in

recent years. Energy security, Nuctuating oil

prices as well as uncertainties caused by

climate change have contributed to a renewed

interest in nuclear power as an energy source

for the future. However, states continue to

modernise their strategic arsenals and in

practice the reality suggests arms control

agreements are far from ideal - North Korea’s

recent testing of a nuclear weapon and missiles

claimed to have the ability to reach the US is

one of such examples. Enforcement of

international arms control regime continues to

struggle, failing to discourage states that seek

to acquire their own nuclear capabilities.

• How can this global community, including

NATO and the UN, improve the capability

of regional players—such as China—to

approach and manage nuclear

proliferation?

• How can we better engage regional powers

to de-escalate nuclear tensions?

• Thinking beyond nuclear, can we

encourage progress in arms control

regimes in areas such as chemical

weapons, as well as in new areas such as

cyber and artiLcial intelligence?

Moderated by the Russian International

Affairs Council (Russia) & TBC

Over the past year, the Islamic State has

sustained increased pressure and further

military defeat of the terrorist group in Syria and

Iraq is expected. However, the severity of the

threat in Europe, Southeast Asia and Africa

must not be underestimated, and may even

increase. Continuing instability in the Middle

East and North Africa, including the

establishment of new footholds by the Islamic

State into the Maghreb, is a major security

challenge. The last years have also seen an

increase in terrorist attacks by extreme right, left

-wing and anarchist groups, causing a

signiLcant threat to governments in the West.

• How can the relationship between the

police and the judiciary be reinforced to

tackle the connection between human and

drugs trafLcking and the Lnancing of

terrorism?

• Do local entities, including community

police have the right training and resources

to tackle radicalisation and violent

extremism?

• What role can the police play in developing

better early warning systems by harnessing

the intelligence within local communities?

Moderated by Hedayah (UAE) & Consejo

Argentino para las Relaciones Internacionales

(Argentina)

What will the world look like in 2028? What effect will

the political decisions made by today’s leaders have

in ten years’ time? Are we moving towards ‘the end

of history’, a new Cold War, or even World War 3?

With relations between Russia and the West at the

lowest point in decades, and at a time of

fundamental change not only in the West’s relations

with Russia but also within the EU and in the

transatlantic partnership, now is the time to think

ahead and consider what future relations between

Russia, Europe and the US could – and should –

look like.

In this context, the 2018 DS+ brainstorm will test out

four different “scenarios of the future” for Russian-

European-American relations in 2028. Participants

will be asked to work through the implications and

consequences of these scenarios, and how we might

anticipate and/or address them. How did we get to

that particular future and how could we avoid it? Or

alternatively, how did we get to that future and how

could we make sure we do get there in 10 years?

Moderated by the German Council on Foreign

Relations - DGAP (Germany) & Johns Hopkins

University’s Center for Transatlantic Relations (USA)

4. FRAYING ARMS CONTROL REGIMES 5. REALIGNING THE CRIME-TERROR NEXUS6. RUSSIA, EUROPE AND THE US

– SCENARIOS OF THE FUTURE IN A TURBULENT TIME

Friends of Europe

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