2016 Third Quarter Business Review · Tax rate +$0.03 Q3 2016 28.5% vs. Q3 2015 29.6% Shares...
Transcript of 2016 Third Quarter Business Review · Tax rate +$0.03 Q3 2016 28.5% vs. Q3 2015 29.6% Shares...
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2016 Third Quarter Business Review
October 25, 2016
(unaudited)
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Upcoming Investor Events
2017 earnings conference calls
January 24, April 25, July 25 and October 24
2017 Outlook Meeting
December 13, 2016 – 8 a.m. to noon ET
Location: Grand Hyatt Hotel, New York
2017 Europe Investor Day Meeting
June 6-7, 2017
Welcome reception evening of the 6th
Management presentations and plant tour on the 7th
Location: Neuss, Germany
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Forward Looking StatementThis presentation contains forward-looking information about 3M's financial results and estimates and business prospects thatinvolve substantial risks and uncertainties. You can identify these statements by the use of words such as "anticipate," "estimate,""expect," "aim," "project," "intend," "plan," "believe," "will," "should," "could," "target," "forecast" and other words and terms ofsimilar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance or business plans or prospects.Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: (1) worldwide economic, political, andcapital markets conditions and other factors beyond the Company's control, including natural and other disasters or climatechange affecting the operations of the Company or its customers and suppliers; (2) the Company's credit ratings and its cost ofcapital; (3) competitive conditions and customer preferences; (4) foreign currency exchange rates and fluctuations in those rates;(5) the timing and market acceptance of new product offerings; (6) the availability and cost of purchased components, compounds,raw materials and energy (including oil and natural gas and their derivatives) due to shortages, increased demand or supplyinterruptions (including those caused by natural and other disasters and other events); (7) the impact of acquisitions, strategicalliances, divestitures, and other unusual events resulting from portfolio management actions and other evolving businessstrategies, and possible organizational restructuring; (8) generating fewer productivity improvements than estimated; (9)unanticipated problems or delays with the phased implementation of a global enterprise resource planning (ERP) system, orsecurity breaches and other disruptions to the Company's information technology infrastructure; (10) financial market risks thatmay affect the Company’s funding obligations under defined benefit pension and postretirement plans; and (11) legal proceedings,including significant developments that could occur in the legal and regulatory proceedings described in the Company's AnnualReport on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2015, and its subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q (the “Reports”). Changesin such assumptions or factors could produce significantly different results. A further description of these factors is located in theReports under "Cautionary Note Concerning Factors That May Affect Future Results" and "Risk Factors" in Part I, Items 1 and 1A(Annual Report) and in Part I, Item 2 and Part II, Item 1A (Quarterly Reports). The information contained in this presentation is as ofthe date indicated. The Company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in this presentationas a result of new information or future events or developments.
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GAAP EPS of $2.15, up 4.9% year-on-year
Sales of $7.7 billion, flat year-on-year in dollar terms
Organic local currency decreased 0.8%
Acquisitions, net of divestitures, increased sales by 0.3%
Foreign exchange translation (FX) increased sales by 0.5%
Operating margins of 24.7%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year
Operating cash flow of $1.9 billion contributed to 19 percent increase in free cash flow year-on-year
Returned $1.4 billion to shareholders via dividends and gross share repurchases; marked 100th consecutive year of paying dividends
Q3 2016 Summary
Refer to 3M’s October 25, 2016 press release for full details.See the appendix for the reconciliation of GAAP amounts to free cash flow.
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Building for the Future
Driving long-term growth
Investments in R&D and targeted growth programs
Acquisition of Semfinder, medical coding technology company
Partnered with Verily to develop new population health measurement technology for advancing patient care
Completed sale of temporary protective film business
Continued successful West Europe ERP deployments
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0.0%
0.5%
0.3%
-0.8%
0.6%
-1.4%
Total
FX
Acquisition/divestiture
Organic local currency
Price
Organic volume
Worldwide Sales Change Due To:
Organic local currency:
U.S. -0.3%
APAC (Asia Pacific) -2.2%
China/Hong Kong -2%
Japan +1%
EMEA (Europe/Middle East/Africa) -1.0%
West Europe +1%
LAC (Latin America/Canada) +1.2%
Mexico +5%
Brazil +2%
FX increased sales by +0.5%
Euro flat, Yen +20%, Real +14%
Q3 2016 Sales Recap
U.S. APAC EMEA LAC
Organic volume -0.1% -1.9% -2.0% -4.2%
Price -0.2% -0.3% +1.0% +5.4%
Organic local currency -0.3% -2.2% -1.0% +1.2%
Acq/div +0.1% +0.4% +0.7% +0.4%
FX ----- +3.4% -2.1% -1.2%
Total growth -0.2% +1.6% -2.4% +0.4%
Refer to 3M’s October 25, 2016 press release for full details.
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Q3 2016
Organic volume/utilization
FX
Strategic investments
Acquisitions
Productivity from restructuring
Pension/OPEB
Price/raw materials
Q3 2015
Operating margin of 24.7% Up 40 basis points
+0.4%
($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016 Change
Sales $7,712 $7,709 ----
Gross profit $3,835 $3,862 +0.7%
% to sales 49.7% 50.1% +0.4 pts
SG&A $1,530 $1,531 ----
% to sales 19.8% 19.9% +0.1 pts
R&D & related $429 $427 -0.5%
% to sales 5.6% 5.5% -0.1 pts
Operating income $1,876 $1,904 +1.5%
% to sales 24.3% 24.7% +0.4 pts
Net income $1,296 $1,329 +2.6%
GAAP earnings per share $2.05 $2.15 +4.9%
24.3%
-0.1%
-0.4%
24.7%
Q3 2016 P&L
-0.5%
+0.9%
+1.0%
Refer to 3M’s October 25, 2016 press release for full details.
-0.9%
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$2.05
$2.15
Q3 2015 Q3 2016
+4.9%Q3 2015 GAAP EPS $2.05
Organic growth, marginexpansion
+$0.05 Includes tailwind of $0.08 from
pension/OPEB expense
Acquisitions and divestitures*
----- Net impact from first 12 month closed
acquisitions and divestiture gains
FX -$0.02 Pre-tax earnings impact of $20M
Tax rate +$0.03 Q3 2016 28.5% vs. Q3 2015 29.6%
Shares outstanding +$0.04 Average diluted shares down 2%
Q3 2016 GAAP EPS $2.15
Q3 2016 GAAP EPS
* Acquisitions include Capital Safety, Membrana and Semfinder; divestitures include Library Systems, license plate converting business in France and Polyfoam adhesive business
Refer to 3M’s October 25, 2016 press release for full details.
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($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016 ChangeQ3 YTD
2015Q3 YTD
2016 Change
Free cash flow (non-GAAP measure):
Operating cash flow $1,664 $1,908 $244 $4,082 $4,453 $371
Capital expenditures ($354) ($347) $7 ($1,015) ($984) $31 Expecting FY 2016 of $1.4B to $1.5B
Free cash flow $1,310 $1,561 $251 $3,067 $3,469 $402
Net income attributable to 3M $1,296 $1,329 $33 $3,795 $3,895 $100
Free cash flow conversion 101% 117% +16 pts 81% 89% +8 pts Expecting FY 2016 of 95% to 105%*
Cash to shareholders:
Dividends $635 $670 $35 $1,933 $2,014 $81 Increased per-share dividend 8%
Gross share repurchase $1,523 $774 ($749) $4,104 $2,829 ($1,275) Expecting FY 2016 of $3.5B to $4.5B
Total cash to shareholders $2,158 $1,444 ($714) $6,037 $4,843 ($1,194)
Q3 2016 Cash Flow
Refer to 3M’s October 25, 2016 press release for full details.*See the appendix for the reconciliation of expected FY 2016 free cash flow conversion.
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($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016%
Growth
Sales $2,557 $2,582 +1.0%
Organic local currency -1.1%
Acquisition/divestiture +1.4%
FX +0.7%
Operating income $578 $591 +2.0%
Operating margin 22.6% 22.9% +0.3%
Industrial Organic local currency growth:
By business: sales growth in automotive OEM and automotive aftermarket was offset by declines across the rest of the portfolio
By area: sales increased in Asia Pacific and declined in EMEA, Latin America/Canada and the U.S.
Automotive aftermarket partnered with Festool to introduce the Total Automotive Sanding System to improve repair shops performance and profitability
Membrana integration on track and exceeding sales and profit expectations
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($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016%
Growth
Sales $1,417 $1,448 +2.2%
Organic local currency +2.0%
Acquisition/divestiture -0.1%
FX +0.3%
Operating income $324 $364 +12.3%
Operating margin 22.9% 25.1% +2.2%
Safety & Graphics Organic local currency growth:
By business: sales growth led by roofing granules and commercial solutions
By area: sales increased in Latin America/Canada, Asia Pacific and the U.S., and declined in EMEA
Continued strong growth in roofing granules driven by increased demand in shingle market
Commercial solutions delivered solid growth, with particular strength in the U.S. and Latin America
Capital Safety integration on track and meeting profit expectations
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($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016%
Growth
Sales $1,346 $1,361 +1.1%
Organic local currency +1.5%
Acquisition/divestiture ----
FX -0.4%
Operating income $432 $429 -0.6%
Operating margin 32.1% 31.5% -0.6%
Health Care Organic local currency growth:
By business: sales growth led by food safety, drug delivery systems, and critical and chronic care
By area: sales grew in Asia Pacific, Latin America/Canada and EMEA, and declined in the U.S.
Closed acquisition of Semfinder, a Switzerland-based medical coding technology company
Organic growth in developing markets led by China/Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand and India
Infection prevention launched the 3M Attest™ Rapid Readout Biological Indicator System
Continued to accelerate investments across the business to further enhance growth opportunities
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($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016%
Growth
Sales $1,397 $1,293 -7.5%
Organic local currency -8.1%
Acquisition/divestiture ----
FX +0.6%
Operating income $344 $312 -9.1%
Operating margin 24.6% 24.2% -0.4%
Electronics & Energy Organic local currency growth:
By business: electronic-related sales decreased 8%, with declines in both electronics materials solutions, and display materials and systems; energy-related sales declined 9% with declines in telecom, electrical markets and renewable energy
By area: sales decreased in all geographic areas
Utilizing 3M display technology, HP introduced the world’s only notebooks with integrated privacy screens
Strong operational execution driving margin performance in the face of soft market conditions
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($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016%
Growth
Sales $1,162 $1,209 +4.0%
Organic local currency +2.9%
Acquisition/divestiture ----
FX +1.1%
Operating income $293 $317 +8.3%
Operating margin 25.2% 26.2% +1.0%
Consumer Organic local currency growth:
By business: sales growth across the entire portfolio led by home improvement and home care
By area: sales grew in Asia Pacific, the U.S. and Latin America/Canada, and declined in EMEA
Strong “back-to-school” season, led by double-digit growth in Command™ products along with solid growth in Scotch® home and office tapes
Filtrete™ brand continues to expand presence in home furnace filter market
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Updating 2016 Planning Estimates
See the appendix for the reconciliation of expected FY 2016 free cash flow conversion.
GAAP EPS of $8.15 to $8.20 versus prior range of $8.15 to $8.30
Sales growth
Organic local-currency growth approximately flat versus previous
range of flat to +1%
Foreign currency translation headwind of approximately -1% versus
prior range of -1% to -2%
Acquisitions, net of divestitures, add approximately +1%
Tax rate of approximately 29% versus prior range of 29.0% to 29.5%
Free cash flow conversion of 95% to 105%
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Q & A
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Appendix
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Business Segment Information
($M) Net Sales Operating Income
Business Groups Q3
2015Q3
2016Q3
2015Q3
2016
Industrial $2,557 $2,582 $578 $591
Safety & Graphics $1,417 $1,448 $324 $364
Health Care $1,346 $1,361 $432 $429
Electronics & Energy $1,397 $1,293 $344 $312
Consumer $1,162 $1,209 $293 $317
Corporate and Unallocated $1 $2 ($58) ($69)
Elimination of Dual Credit ($168) ($186) ($37) ($40)
Total $7,712 $7,709 $1,876 $1,904
Net Sales Operating Income
YTD 2015
YTD2016
YTD 2015
YTD2016
$7,845 $7,789 $1,782 $1,823
$4,221 $4,359 $1,023 $1,120
$4,039 $4,148 $1,280 $1,344
$4,033 $3,618 $907 $749
$3,321 $3,388 $792 $836
($1) $7 ($232) ($198)
($482) ($529) ($106) ($116)
$22,976 $22,780 $5,446 $5,558
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Reconciliation of GAAP Amounts to Free Cash Flow Conversion
Free cash flow and free cash flow conversion are not defined under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Therefore, they should not be considered asubstitute for income or cash flow data prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP and may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. TheCompany defines free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities less purchases of property, plant and equipment. It should not be inferred that the entirefree cash flow is available for discretionary expenditures. The Company defines free cash flow conversion as free cash flow divided by net income attributable to 3M.The Company believes free cash flow and free cash flow conversion are meaningful to investors as they function as useful measures of performance and the Companyuses these measures as an indication of the strength of the Company and its ability to generate cash.
Full-Year 2016 Forecast:Quarter and Year-to-Date Results:
($M)Q3
2015Q3
2016 Change
Q3YTD 2015
Q3 YTD2016 Change
Major GAAP cash flow categories:
Operating cash flow $1,664 $1,908 $244 $4,082 $4,453 $371
Investing cash flow ($2,777) ($543) $2,234 ($2,611) ($1,173) $1,438
Financing cash flow ($220) ($752) ($532) ($1,694) ($2,780) ($1,086)
Free cash flow (non-GAAP measure):
Operating cash flow $1,664 $1,908 $244 $4,082 $4,453 $371
Capital expenditures ($354) ($347) $7 ($1,015) ($984) $31
Free cash flow $1,310 $1,561 $251 $3,067 $3,469 $402
Net income attributable to 3M $1,296 $1,329 $33 $3,795 $3,895 $100
Free cash flow conversion 101% 117% +16 pts 81% 89% +8 pts
($B)Year 2016
Planning Estimate
Free cash flow (non-GAAP measure):
Operating cash flow $6.1 to $6.9
Purchases of property, plant andequipment
$1.4 to $1.5
Free cash flow $4.7 to $5.4
Net income attributable to 3M $5.0 to $5.2
Free cash flow conversion 95% to 105%