2016 General Election Recap - NPES General Election Recap Election results, profiles, ballot...

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2016 General Election Recap Election results, profiles, ballot initiatives and more Data as of November 10, 2016

Transcript of 2016 General Election Recap - NPES General Election Recap Election results, profiles, ballot...

2016 General Election Recap

Election results, profiles, ballot initiatives and more

Data as of November 10, 2016

Pre

sid

ent

Roadmap

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

• House and Senate control

• 2016 state ballot initiatives

• 2016 voter turnout

Electoral College has swung back in the Republicans’ favor

Source: U.S. Archives, 2016.

■ Democratic ■ Republican

Electoral College votes, by party

1952-2016, as of November 9th at 1:07 pm

PRESIDENTIAL RACE

2016 popular vote is close, with Clinton having a slight lead

Source: Roper Center, “Popular votes 1940-2012,” Cornell University, 2016.

■ Democratic ■ Republican

Presidential popular vote in millions, by party

1952-2016, reported as of November 9th at 1:08 pm

PRESIDENTIAL RACE

Donald Trump wins the electoral college with 279 votes

Source: RealClearPolitics, “Electoral College Map,” 2016.

2016 Electoral College map

Hillary Clinton (D)

Running Mate: Tim KainePopular Vote: 47.7%

States Carried: 20 + DC

Donald Trump (R)

Running Mate: Mike Pence

Popular Vote: 47.5%

States Carried: 30

PRESIDENTIAL RACE

■ Hillary Clinton ■ Donald Trump

OH18

WV5

VA13

PA20

NY29

ME4

NC15

SC9

GA16

TN 11

KY 8

IN11

MI*16

WI10

MN10

IL20

LA8

TX38

OK7

ID4

NV6

OR7

WA12

CA55

AZ*11 NM

5

CO9

WY3

MT3

ND3

SD3

IA6

UT6

FL29

AR6

MO10

MS6

AL9

NE5

KS6

AK3 MD 10

MA 11

RI 4

CT 7

DC 3

DE 3

NJ 14

HI4

NH* 4

VT 3

Reported as of November 10th at 12:00 pm

*States not officially called but leaning towards shade indicated on the map

Sen

ate

Roadmap

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

• House and Senate control

• 2016 state ballot initiatives

• 2016 voter turnout

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

Democrats gain one seat in Senate, Republicans maintain majority

SENATE RACES

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

■ Democratic winner ■ Republican winner ■ Runoff will be held on Dec. 10

2016 U.S. Senate election results map

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

NH

VT

HI

■ 2 Democrats ■ 2 Republicans ■ 1 Democrat + 1 Republican ■ 1 Democrat + 1 Independent ■ 1 Republican + 1 Independent■ Runoff will be held on Dec. 10

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LA*TX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

The Republican Party maintains its majority in the Senate after the 2016 elections

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

Composition of the 115th Senate map

SENATE RACES

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

NH

VT

HI

Republican party wins a majority in the Senate

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

■ Democrats ■ Republicans ■ Independents Not yet called

Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

44 54

Control of the 114th Senate (2014-2016) Control of the 115th Senate (2016-2018)

46 51

SENATE RACES

Republican Senate Majority Republican Senate Majority

44-2-54 46-2-51

*Louisiana Senate race not yet called

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

Hassan and Duckworth’s victories mark the only Senate seats gained by either party

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

■ Democratic gain ■ Democratic hold ■ Republican hold ■ Republican gain ■ No election ■ Independent win ■ Runoff will be held on Dec. 10

Map of seats gained and held, 2016 Senate elections

SENATE RACES

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

HI

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

Most Senate races were won with a margin greater than 5%

■Margin of >5%, Dem ■Margin of 0-5%, Dem ■Margin of 0-5%, GOP ■ Margin of >5%, GOP ■ No election ■ Not called yet

Margins of victory, 2016 Senate elections

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

SENATE RACES

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

HI

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

States once thought safely blue go red, Trump’s down ballot effect is solidified

SENATE RACES

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

Clinton victory Trump victory Not yet called ■ Democratic Senator won ■ Republican Senator won ■ Not yet called

2016 Senate race results vs. 2016 presidential election results

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

NH

VT

HI

Alabama Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Associated Press; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Richard Shelby (R)Margin of victory: 28%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Richard Shelby (R)Senator from Alabama

Ron Crumpton (D)AL Patients’ Rights Coalition

■ Shelby (R) ■ Crumpton (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Alaska Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results* Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 11/9/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Lisa Murkowski (R)Margin of victory: 15%*

*(with 76% of results reported)

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Lisa Murkowski (R)Senator from Alaska

Ray Metcalfe (D) Former AK State Lawmaker

■Murkowski (R) ■Metcalfe (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

*With 76% of the vote reporting

Arkansas Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Associated Press; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

John Boozman (R)Margin of victory: 24%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

John Boozman (R)Senator from Arkansas

Conner Eldridge (D)Former U.S. Attorney

■ Boozman (R) ■ Eldridge (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Arizona Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Associated Pres; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

John McCain (R)Margin of victory: 12%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

John McCain (R)Senator from Arizona

Ann Kirkpatrick (D)U.S. Representative, Arizona District 1

■McCain (R) ■ Kirkpatrick (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

California Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Kamala Harris (D)Margin of victory: 26.6%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Kamala Harris (D)California Attorney General

Loretta Sanchez (D)US Rep. from California

■ Harris (D) ■ Sanchez (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Colorado Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Michael Bennet (D)Margin of victory: 3.5%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Michael Bennet (D)Senator from Colorado

Darryl Glenn (R)El Paso County Supervisor

■ Glenn (R) ■ Bennet (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Connecticut Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Richard Blumenthal (D)Margin of victory: 28%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Richard Blumenthal (D)Senator from Connecticut

Dan Carter (R)Colorado State Representative

■ Carter (R) ■ Blumenthal (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Florida Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; AP; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Marco Rubio (R)Margin of victory: 14%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Marco Rubio (R)Senator from Florida

Patrick Murphy (D)U.S. Rep. from Florida

■ Rubio (R) ■ Murphy (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Georgia Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; AP; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Johnny Isakson (R)Margin of victory: 14%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Johnny Isakson (R)Senator from Georgia

Jim Barksdale (D)President and Chief Investment Officer at Equity Investment Corp.

■ Isakson (R) ■ Barksdale (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Hawaii Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Brian Schatz (D)Margin of victory: 52%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Brian Schatz (D)Senator from Hawaii

John Carroll (R)Former Air Force and Hawaiian Airlines Pilot

■ Carroll (R) ■ Schatz (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Idaho Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16)* (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results*

Mike Crapo (R)Margin of victory: 36.5%*

*(with 88% of results reported)

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Mike Crapo (R)Senator from Idaho

Jerry Sturgill (D)Managing Director of Headwaters MB

■ Crapo (R) ■ Sturgill (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Illinois Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Tammy Duckworth (D)Margin of victory: 14.3%

Mark Kirk (R)Senator from Illinois

Tammy Duckworth (D)U.S. Rep. from Illinois

■ Kirk (R) ■ Duckworth (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Indiana Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Todd Young (R)Margin of victory: 10.0%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Todd Young (R)U.S. Rep from Indiana

Evan Bayh (D)Former US Senator

■ Young (R) ■ Bayh (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

$0.61

Iowa Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Chuck Grassley (R)Margin of victory: 24.3%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Chuck Grassley (R)Senator from Iowa

Patty Judge (D)Iowa Lieutenant Governor

■ Grassley (R) ■ Judge (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Kansas Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Jerry Moran (R)Margin of victory: 31.1%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Jerry Moran (R)Senator from Kansas

Patrick Wiesner (D)Attorney

■Moran (R) ■ Wiesner (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

Maryland Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Chris Van Hollen (D)Margin of victory: 24.0%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Chris Van Hollen (D)U.S. Representative from Maryland

Kathy Szelinga (R)MD House of Delegates

■ Szelinga (R) ■ Van Hollen (D)

SENATE RACES

Missouri Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Roy Blunt (R)Margin of victory: 3.2%

Roy Blunt (R)Senator from Missouri

Jason Kander (D)MO Secretary of State

■ Blunt (R) ■ Kander (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Nevada Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Catherine Cortez Masto (D)Margin of victory: 2.7%

Joe Heck (R)US Representative from Nevada

Catherine Cortez Masto (D)Former Nevada Attorney General

■ Heck (R) ■ Cortez Masto (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

New York Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Chuck Schumer (D)Margin of victory: 42.9%

Chuck Schumer (D)Senator from New York

Wendy Long (R)Attorney

■ Long (R) ■ Schumer (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

North Carolina Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Richard Burr (R)Margin of victory: 5.8%

Richard Burr (R)Senator from North Carolina

Deborah Ross (D)General Counselfor the Research TriangleTransit Authority (GoTriangle)

■ Burr (R) ■ Ross (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

North Dakota Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

John Hoeven (R)Margin of victory: 67%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

John Hoeven (R)Senator from North Dakota

Eliot Glassheim (D)State Representative

■ Hoeven (R) ■ Glassheim (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Ohio Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 11/9/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Rob Portman (R)Margin of victory: 21.4%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Rob Portman (R)Senator from Ohio

Ted Strickland (D)Former Gov. from Ohio

■ Portman (R) ■ Strickland (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Oklahoma Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

James Lankford (R)Margin of victory: 43.1%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

James Lankford (R)Senator from Oklahoma

Mike Workman (D)Founder, Workman and Co.

■ Lankford (R) ■Workman (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Oregon Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Ron Wyden (D)Margin of victory: 23%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Ron Wyden (D)Senator from Oregon

Mark Callahan (R)Businessman

■ Callahan (R) ■ Wyden (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Pennsylvania Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Pat Toomey (R)Margin of victory: 2%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Pat Toomey (R)Senator fromPennsylvania

Katie McGinty (D)Pennsylvania Gov.’sChief of Staff

■ Toomey (R) ■McGinty (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

South Carolina Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Tim Scott (R)Margin of victory: 24.8%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Tim Scott (R)Senator from South Carolina

Thomas Dixon (D)Pastor and grassrootsorganizer

■ Scott (R) ■ Dixon (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

South Dakota Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

John Thune (R)Margin of victory: 44%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

John Thune (R)Senator from South Dakota

Jay Williams (D)Small business owner

■ Thune (R) ■Williams (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

100%

Utah Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 11/9/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Mike Lee (R)Margin of victory: 39.5%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Mike Lee (R)Senator from Utah

Misty SnowClerk at grocery store

■ Lee (R) ■ Snow (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Vermont Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Patrick Leahy (D)Margin of victory: 32%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Patrick Leahy (D)Senator fromVermont

Scott Milne (R)Businessman

■Milne (R) ■ Leahy (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Washington Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Patty Murray (D)Margin of victory: 21.6%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Patty Murray (D)Senator fromWashington

Chris Vance (R)Former Chair, WARepublican Party

■ Vance (R) ■Murray (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Wisconsin Senate Race Results

Winner

Sources: National Journal research, 2016; Open Secrets, 2016.

State Overview

Dates to Watch

2016 Candidates

Results Fundraising(as of 11/9/16) (in millions, as of 10/19/16)‘10 Senate Race Results ‘16 Presidential Race Results

Ron Johnson (R)Margin of victory: 5%

Sworn in: Jan. 3, 2017

Ron Johnson (R)Senator fromWisconsin

Russ Feingold (D)Former Senator from Wisconsin

■ Johnson (R) ■ Feingold (D) ■ Total Spending ■ Cash on Hand

SENATE RACES

Ho

use

Roadmap

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

House and Senate control

2016 state ballot initiatives

2016 voter turnout

Democrats gain net seven seats, Republicans maintain majority

■ Democratic winner ■ Republican winner ■ Not yet called

2016 House election results map

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

HOUSE RACES

Democrats: 193Republicans: 238Independents: 0Not yet called: 4

Republicans retain control of House; limit Democratic gains in 2016 elections

Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

186-246

Sources: National Journal research, 2016.

HOUSE RACES

193-238

■ Democrats ■ Republicans ■ Independents ■ Not yet called Vacant

Control of the 114th House (2014-2016) Control of the 115th House (2016-2018)

Republican House Majority Republican House Majority

218 Needed for Majority

*As of 12:00 PM on Nov. 10, four House races have yet to be called

218 Needed for Majority

Republicans gain three seats, lose nine in the House

■ Democratic gain ■ Democratic hold ■ Republican hold ■ Republican gain ■ Not yet called

House seats gained and held, 2016 House elections

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

HOUSE RACES

Democrats: 193Republicans: 238Independents: 0Not yet called: 4

Source: National Journal research, 2016; AP, 2016.

MN-1, MN-8, NV-3 and FL-7 races were all within one point

■Margin of >5% Dem ■Margin of 0-5% Dem ■Margin of 0-5% Rep ■Margin of >5% Rep ■ Not yet called

House races by margins of victory

AK

HOUSE RACES

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

Roadmap

Go

ver

no

r

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

House and Senate control

2016 state ballot initiatives

2016 voter turnout

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC*

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

North Carolina race declared too close to declare a winner

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

■ Democratic governor ■ Republican governor ■ Independent governor ■ No election ■ Not yet called

Map of state gubernatorial election results, by party

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

HI

STATE LEGISLATURES AND GOVERNORSHIPS

*NC race was declared too close to call, with only .1% difference and 100% of votes reported

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC*

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

GOP controls majority of governorships

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

■ Democratic governor ■ Republican governor ■ Independent governor ■ Not called as of publishing time

Map of state governors, by party

MD

MA

RI

CT

DE

NJ

VT

NH

HI

STATE LEGISLATURES AND GOVERNORSHIPS

Results as of 12:00 PM, November 10, 2016

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE*

KS

AK

Republicans control majority of state legislatures

Source: National Journal research, 2016.

■ Democratic Legislature ■ Republican Legislature ■ Split Legislature ■ Nonpartisan ■ Not yet called

Map of state legislatures results, by party

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

HI

* Nebraska has a unicameral, nonpartisan legislature

STATE LEGISLATURES AND GOVERNORSHIPS

Democrat: 13Republican: 29Split: 3Nonpartisan: 1Not yet called: 5

Results as of 6:00 AM, November 9, 2016

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE*

KS

AK*

Republicans control majority of state legislatures and governorships

STATE LEGISLATURES AND GOVERNORSHIPS

Source: National Conference of State Legislatures, 2016.

■ Dem legislature, Dem governor ■ GOP legislature, GOP governor ■ Dem legislature, GOP governor ■ GOP legislature, Dem governor■ Split legislature, Dem governor ■ Split legislature, GOP governor ■ N/A* ■ Not yet called

Party control of state legislatures and governorships

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

HI

* Nebraska has a unicameral, nonpartisan legislature and a GOP governor, Alaska has an independent governor and a GOP legislature

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

Roadmap

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

House and Senate control

2016 state ballot initiatives

2016 voter turnout

Republican House Majority

Republicans take back the House following2010 midterm elections

Sources: Ballotpedia, “United States Senate Elections,” 2010; Ballotpedia, “United States House of Representatives Elections,” 2010.

Party control at beginning of 112th Congress (2011-2013)

HOUSE AND SENATE CONTROL

Democratic Senate Majority

51-2-47193-242

218 Needed for Majority

51 Needed for Majority

■ Democrat ■ Republican ■ Independent (caucusing with Dems)

2012 Election shuffles seats but keeps majorities intact

Party control at beginning of 113th Congress (2013-2015)

Sources: Ballotpedia, “United States Senate Elections,” 2012; Ballotpedia, “United States House of Representatives Elections,” 2012.

HOUSE AND SENATE CONTROL

Republican House Majority Democratic Senate Majority

53-2-45201-234

218 Needed for Majority

51 Needed for Majority

■ Democrat ■ Republican ■ Independent (caucusing with Dems)

Republican party regains congressional controlwith senate majority after 2014 Midterm elections

Party control at beginning of 114th Congress (2015-2017)

Republican Senate Majority

Sources: Ballotpedia, “United States Senate Elections,” 2014; Ballotpedia, “United States House of Representatives Elections,” 2014.

HOUSE AND SENATE CONTROL

Republican House Majority

44-2-54

51 Needed for Majority

■ Democrat ■ Republican ■ Independent (caucusing with Dems)

188-247

218 Needed for Majority

Republicans keep the Senate and limit Democratic gains in the house in 2016 elections

Party control at beginning of 115th Congress (2017-2019)

HOUSE AND SENATE CONTROL

Sources: National Journal Research, 2016.

Republican Senate MajorityRepublican House Majority

46-2-51*193 - 238*

51 Needed for Majority

■ Democrat ■ Republican ■ Independent (caucusing with Dems) ■ Not yet called

218 Needed for Majority

*As of 12:00 PM on Nov. 10, one Senate race has yet to be called. Louisiana will be going to a run-off.

*As of 12:00 PM on Nov. 10, four House races have yet to be called

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

Roadmap

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

House and Senate control

2016 state ballot initiatives

2016 voter turnout

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

HI

At least three states legalize recreational marijuana use

Source: Darren Samuelsohn, “Ballot Initiatives Could Tip the Balance in Swing States,” Politico, August 13, 2016; Ballotpedia, 2016.

Marijuana ballot initiative results

2016 BALLOT INITIATIVES

■ Recreational use passed ■ Medical use passed ■ Recreational use failed ■ Medical use failed ■ Not yet called

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

Three states voted to raise the minimum wage,one failed to lower it for young workers

2016 BALLOT INITIATIVES

Source: Ballotpedia, 2016.

Minimum wage ballot initiative results

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

HI

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

■Minimum wage increase passed ■Minimum wage increase failed ■ Minimum wage decrease passed ■Minimum wage decrease failed

Gun control measures pass in three states

Gun control ballot initiative results

2016 BALLOT INITIATIVES

Source: Darren Samuelsohn, “Ballot Initiatives Could Tip the Balance in Swing States,” Politico, August 13, 2016; Ballotpedia, 2016.

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

HI

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

VT

NH

■ Gun control initiatives on passed ■ Gun control initiatives on failed ■ Not yet announced

2016 presidential race

• Electoral College votes

• Presidential popular vote

• 2016 Electoral College map

d2016 Senate races

• 2016 Senate results map

• Composition of the 115th Senate map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th Senate

• Senate seats gained and held

• Senate seats by margin of victory

• Senate race results vs. presidential election results

• Senate race dashboards

Roadmap

DAY AFTER THE ELECTION

2016 House races

• 2016 House results map

• Control of the 114th vs. 115th House

• House seats gained and held

• House seats by margins of victory

2016 Governor races and state legislatures

• 2016 gubernatorial results map

• Map of state governors

• 2016 state legislature results map

• Control of state legislatures and governorships

House and Senate control

2016 state ballot initiatives

2016 voter turnout

OH

WVVA

PA

NY

ME

NC

SC

GA

TN

KY

IN

MI

WI

MN

IL

LATX

OK

ID

NV

OR

WA

CA

AZ

NM

CO

WY

MT ND

SD

IA

UT

FL

AR

MO

MS AL

NE

KS

AK

■ <40% ■ 40-50% ■ 50-60% ■ 60-70% ■ 70%+

Voter turnout at lowest rates since 2004

Source: National Journal research, 2016; United States Elections Project, 2016.

2016 voter turnout rate for general election by voting eligible population

VOTER TURNOUT

MD

MA

RI

CT

DC

DE

NJ

NH

VT

HI