2015 04 18 FSF Presentation How Brains Buy
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Transcript of 2015 04 18 FSF Presentation How Brains Buy
NEWSFLASH 1
CONSUMERS DON’T NEED
TO BE TRAINED IN FINANCE
FINANCIAL SERVICES NEED
TO BE TRAINED IN CONSUMER
NEWSFLASH 2
The ‘Gap’ isn’t between
knowing and
not knowing.
It is between
knowing and doing.
INSIGHTS FROM NEUROSCIENCE
1. MOST OF OUR DECISION MAKING IS SUB-CONSCIOUS ( ‘SYSTEM 1’ )
2. WE ARE NON-RATIONAL (WE’RENOT IRRATIONAL)
3. BRAINS CONTEXTUALISE EVERYTHING
4. BRAINS DON’T DO MONEY
A LONG TIME AGO
Bottleneck about 150,000 years ago.
2,000 to 10,000 humans.
Fast decision making
Incomplete information
3 LEVELS OF ‘PROGRAMMING’
3 Personal. Unique experiences.
2 Early programming. Language; culture
3 Shared biology. (‘Human nature’)
WHAT MAKES YOU, YOU ?
Your ADDICTION, your AGE, being an ALUMNUS of a particular school, your love of
all things APPLE, ARMED SERVICES experience, your AUTISM, your BANKRUPTCY,
having a BUCKET LIST, your activism for a CHARITY, your DIVORCE, DYSLEXIA, being
an ECONOMIST READER, being an ENTREPRENEUR, an EPIPHANY, being a FIRST-
BORN child, FSF membership, your GENDER, your HOBBY, your favourite HOLIDAY
DESTINATION, your INCOME, having LIVED LIFE OVERSEAS, your JOB, you’ve run
the LONDON MARATHON, your LONG TERM ILLNESS, your MARITAL STATUS, being
a MILLIONNAIRE, being a PARENT OF TWINS, your PhD, your PHOBIA, your PLACE
OF BIRTH, your POLITICAL BELIEFS, your POSTCODE, your PROFESSION, your
RELIGION, being SELF-EMPLOYED, your SEXUALITY, your SIZE, your SOCIOPATHIC
streak, your STAR SIGN, your love of VINTAGE CARS, your WEALTH, something else?
OCEAN (Big 5 Personality Test)
OPENNESS
CONSCIENTIOUSNESS
EXTRAVERSION
AGREEABLENESS
NEUROTICISM
BRAINS DO CONTEXT
At what price does a bottle
of wine become
expensive?
Is £500 a lot of money?
Are you well paid?
I didn’t know
what happiness
was until I got
married .
Are you lucky?
Are you happy?
BRAINS DON’T DO MONEY
Modern human brain
125,000 Years ± 25,000
Money is 2,500 to 10,000 Years Old
(Depending on your definition)
Greek arrowhead money 600 BC
Lydian coins 700 BC
BRAINS AND TIME
Hyperbolic
discounting
HOW LONG IS
LONG TERM?
“The future
is what we
make it”
“What will
be will be.”
THAT’S ALL VERY WELL, BUT . . .
We are Non RationalSystem 1 > System 2Brains are pattern recognition and habit machinesKnowing doesn’t make much differenceBrains don’t do moneyBrains and time: important and complicated
• What’s the bottom line ?
THAT’S ALL VERY WELL, BUT . . .
We are Non RationalSystem 1 > System 2Brains are pattern recognition and habit machinesKnowing doesn’t make much differenceBrains don’t do moneyBrains and time: important and complicated
• If we want to influence behaviour we change the context and not the people.
MINDSPACE
It has helped to improve tax
collection.
It has helped reduce the
incidence of smoking.
It has helped increase the
uptake of home insulation.
(But there can be unintended
consequences)
WHO’S USING Ψ & BE TODAY ?
Amazon (Behavioural data → Algorithms; Norming)
Amigo loans (Time, Norms, Authority)
Crowd funding sites (Norms)
Facebook (Messenger; Norms; Salience)
Friendsurance (Messenger, Norms)
Orlov (Reciprocity)
Venmo (Norms; Salience)
Wonga (Incentives; Time)
Zopa (Reciprocity; Consistency; Scarcity; Time; Norms)
SO WHAT ?
THE FUTURE BELONGS TO ORGANISATIONS . . .
THAT ARE DATA SAVVY AND BEHAVIOUR SAVVY
IS YOURS ONE OF THEM ?