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1/14

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2/14

Where is the country right now

politically?

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3/14

Corruption Perception Index: 36(TransparencyInternational as of 2013)

0 being very corrupt and 100 being very clean.

Improved slightly, jumping 11 places higher than 2012.

Result of painstaking Anti-Corruption campaign popularly

and safely summarized in the DAANG MATUWID

campaign slogan.

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4/14

Freedom House ranks the Philippines as Partly Free

Press Status: Partly Free (impunity of crimes against media

individuals; libel & defamation suits against those critical

to govt.; Cyber-crime Prevention Act; foot-dragging on the

FOI Bill)

Freedom Rating: 3 (Seven [7] being the worst)

Civil Liberties Rating: 3

Political Rights: 3

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The Presidents Performance

Approval rating for PNoysanti-corruption

campaign down by 8 points: 50to 42from

June 24 to July 2. (Pulse Asia)

Overall Performance Rating of PNoy:

March 2014: 70%

June 2014: 56% (Pulse Asia)

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6/14

SWS survey:

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7/14

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8/14

Some Issues hounding PNOYs

administration recently

Natural & Man-made calamities:

Zamboanga siege

Bohol Earthquakes

Yolanda

Energy Crisis

DAP

PDAF

2016 Elections

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Transactional Politics in

Transformational Politics

Tension b/w Structural Traps & PNOYs refreshingflashes of agency towards good governance.

In implementing reforms, Aquino has to find ways to

navigate a system characterized by corruption.

Setting the bar significantly high in terms of hisanti-corruption campaign (Tolosa), is ironicallyworking against him.

Effect: Waylaying of political and economicgains of the Aquino administration.

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Whats in it for political actors, left and

right?

Time-space dimension of Philippine politics

X is causal of Y. mid-term defines 2016 elections

Leftist Framing, tactical alliances, & Canned

campaign of protraction. E.g. Ibagsak [insert

presidents name here], tuta ng kano!

Positioning of Presidentiables & allies.

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Noynoysadministration gauged according to

his leadership not according to Gloria

Macapal-Arroyos administration.

Taint the sitting administration, contaminatethe 2016 presidential aspirations of its

endorsed candidate.

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Aquinos penchant to protect favored cabinetmembers (it should be the other way around).

Favorability of DAPs and PDAFsunconstitutionality to opposition, especially

Binay.

Institutions vs Personalities

Shift in power balance. No more meat to dangleto political butterflies in Congress.

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Some Positive Things about this

administration

Strong Economy, albeit partly attributed to

DAP

Faith restored (sort of) in democratic

institutions and rule of law

Bangsamoro Law

RH Law

West Philippine Sea Dispute

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Conclusion:

Expect the President to defend hisadministration. Calculated jabs against a co-equal branch is expectable.

Binay is somewhere in the halls of Congress,content with how he masterfully navigatescurrent Philippine political situation,unscathed.

Our democracy is still in its teenage years, andlike any teenager looking for itsidentityexpect it to be noisy andrambunctious.