2013 Meet the Money California Hotel Overvie Meet the Money California Hotel Overview May 2013. ......

19
Atlas Hospitality Group Atlas Hospitality Group 2013 Meet the Money California Hotel Overview California Hotel Overview May 2013 May 2013

Transcript of 2013 Meet the Money California Hotel Overvie Meet the Money California Hotel Overview May 2013. ......

Atlas Hospitality GroupAtlas Hospitality Group

2013 Meet the Money

California Hotel OverviewCalifornia Hotel OverviewMay 2013May 2013

Historical Sales Chart

400

#SALES

300

350

200

250

300

150

200

50

100

02001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Historical Sales Chart

$100,000

MEDIAN $/RM

$80,000

$90,000

$50 000

$60,000

$70,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Historical Sales Chart

$6,000

ns

$ VOL. (Mil.)

$5,000Mill

ion

$3 000

$4,000

$2,000

$3,000

$1,000

$02001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Historical Rev PARSource: Smith Travel Research

$140.00

$

$120.00

$80.00

$100.00 '05YE'06YE'07YE

$40 00

$60.00

'08YE'09YE'10YE12YE

$20.00

$40.00

$0.00 Los Angeles San Diego San Francisco San Jose (SC)

Historical Average Price per RoomSource: Atlas/CoStar Group

$200,000

$160,000

$180,000

$120,000

$140,000 '05YE'06YE'07YE'08YE

$60 000

$80,000

$100,000 08YE'09YE'10YE11YE

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000 '12YE

$0

$ ,

Los Angeles San Diego San Francisco Santa Clara

Summary of California Highlights

As we predicted, 2012 was unable to keep pace with the record year California (had in 2011. The number of sales remained relatively stable (down only 

2.5%), but total dollar volume plummeted by over 34%.

The 1,572‐room Hilton Anaheim was the largest hotel to sell

At $235 million, the 1,101‐room Parc 55 Wyndham was the most expensive hotel sale

b h $ d f hOn a price‐per‐room basis, the $640,833 per room paid for the 120‐room L’Auberge Del Mar topped the list

Northern California saw a 6.3% decline in total dollar volume, while Southern California dropped over 48%

Los Angeles County

Los Angeles County saw a 6% increase in the number of hotelLos Angeles County saw a 6% increase in the number of hotel sales. However, total dollar volume dropped 48%.

The county’s average price per room dropped 21% and the median price per room dropped 7.5%.

At $169 million, the 632‐room Loews Hollywood Hotel was the largest and most expensive Los Angeles County salelargest and most expensive Los Angeles County sale.

Loews Hollywood Hotel

San Diego County

San Diego County had a 31% decrease in individual transactions. Total dollarvolume dropped 68%

The county’s average price per room increased 15% while the median price perThe county’s average price per room increased 15%, while the median price perroom decreased 17%.

At $122.8 million the 436‐room The Westin San Diego was the largest and mostexpensive San Diego County hotel sale.

Westin San Diego

Orange County

Individual transactions in Orange County increased 42%. Total dollar volumewas up 121%.

The county’s average price per room was down 9% median price per room wasThe county’s average price per room was down 9%; median price per room wasdown 3.5%.

At approximately $216.1 million, the 1,572‐room Hilton Anaheim was the mostexpensive Orange County sale and the largest hotel to sell in California.

Hilton Anaheim

San Francisco County

San Francisco County had 19 individual transactions in 2012, the same as 2011.Total dollar volume rose 12.5%.

The average price per room decreased 10% and the median price per roomThe average price per room decreased 10% and the median price per roomdropped 32%.

At $235 million, the 1,011‐room Parc 55 Wyndham was the largest SanFrancisco County sale. It was also the most expensive California hotel sale.

Parc 55 Wyndham San Francisco

Sacramento County

Sacramento County had a 7% drop in individual transactions. Total dollarvolume was down 52%.

The average price per room decreased 6% but the median price per room roseThe average price per room decreased 6%, but the median price per room rose2.5%.

The 376‐room Red Lion in Sacramento was the largest Sacramento County sale.The most expensive sale was the $14.2 million paid for the 100‐room Le Rivagein Sacramento.

The linked image cannot be displayed. The file may have been moved, renamed, or deleted. Verify that the link points to the correct file and location.The linked image cannot be displayed. The file may have been moved, renamed, or deleted. Verify that the link points to the correct file and location.

Le Rivage Sacramento

Review

In reviewing our forecast from the beginning of 2012, we predicted the following:

• The dollar volume of sales will decline 10‐20%, as less “trophy” hotels trade.Total 2012 dollar volume was down 34.3%.

• Sales transactions will remain high, but we don’t see an increase. We predict 250 to 300 sales.Sales remained high with 308 transactions, slightly down from the 316 in 2011.

• The median price per room will increase 10‐15%.p p %The median price per room declined by 5%.

• There will be fewer trophy property sales.In dollar terms large transactions decline by over 36%In dollar terms, large transactions decline by over 36%.

• Lenders sales will continue throughout 2012, but only in secondary and tertiary markets.We saw a decline of over 50% in notices of default and foreclosed hotels inWe saw a decline of over 50% in notices of default and foreclosed hotels in California.

Forecast

For 2013, we predict the following for the California hotel market:

• Sales will remain high. We predict 300+.

Th di i ill i l 10%• The median price per room will increase at least 10%.

• Financing rates will continue to be available in the 4.5‐5% range for well‐performing hotelsperforming hotels.

• REITs, private equity firms and overseas buyers will continue to be very active buyers.

• There will be more focus on new hotel development.

Alan X ReayAlan X. ReayPresident

Atlas Hospitality GroupAtlas Hospitality Group(949) 622‐3409

l @ tl h it [email protected]