2011/12 Interim Results 25 November 2011 - …2 Forward Looking Statement This presentation and...
Transcript of 2011/12 Interim Results 25 November 2011 - …2 Forward Looking Statement This presentation and...
1
2011/12 Interim Results
25 November 2011
2
Forward Looking Statement
This presentation and subsequent discussion
may contain certain forward-looking statements
with respect to the financial condition, results of
operations and businesses of Skyworth. These
forward-looking statements represent Skyworth’s
expectations or beliefs concerning future events
and involve known and unknown risks and
uncertainties which could cause actual results,
performance or events to differ materially from
those expressed or implied in such statements.
3 3
Core Margin Improvement and Continuous Top Line Growth
Six months ended 30 Sep (HK$ million) 1H2011/12 1H2010/11 Change
Turnover 13,074 11,148 17.3%
Gross profit 2,771 1,971 40.6%
Gross margin 21.2% 17.7% 3.5pp
Operating profit (EBIT) 702 556 26.3%
Operating margin (Excluded impairment loss $79m)
5.4% 6.0%
5.0% 5.0%
0.4pp 1.0pp
Impairment loss recognised in respect of AFS investments 79 - -
Profit for the period 485 413 17.4%
Net profit margin (Excluded impairment loss $79m)
3.7% 4.3%
3.7% 3.7%
- 0.6pp
Attributable to non-controlling interests 24 59 (59.3%)
Attributable to owners of the Company 461 354 30.2%
(HK$ cents)
Basic EPS Diluted EPS
17.70
17.18
13.96 13.40
26.8% 28.2%
Dividend per share 5.5 5.0 10.0%
Dividend payout (%) 31.6% 35.8% (4.2pp)
4
Cost Structure
• S&D expenses increased mainly on advertising and brand building, and bonus and salary rise as incentives for sales and marketing staff
• * G&A expenses included HK$24m expenses on granting share options as incentives to certain directors and senior management
Six months ended 30 Sep
(% to sales)
1H
2011/12
1H
2010/11 Change 2010/11
Selling and distribution 13.9% 11.8% 2.1pp 11.7%
General and administration 3.5%* 3.1% 0.4pp 2.9%
Total expense rate 17.4% 14.9% 2.5pp 14.6%
5 5
Healthy Inventory Level Highly Liquid Position
Six months ended 30 Sep
(HK$ million)
1H
2011/12
1H
2010/11 Change 2010/11 Change
Inventories
- Total
- Finished goods
4,541
2,858
2,903
1,801
56.4%
58.7%
2,657
1,630
70.9%
75.3%
Liquid bills receivable
- On hand
- Endorsed to suppliers*
- Discounted to banks#
5,954
779
-
3,918
3,412
1,007
52.0%
(77.2%)
100%
6,252
306
693
(4.8%)
154.6%
100%
6,733 8,337 (19.2%) 7,251 (7.1%)
Pledged bank deposits
- for banking facilities etc
- for forex hedging^
575
92
121
662
375.2%
(86.1%)
506
52
13.6%
76.9%
Cash and bank balances 2,354 2,150 9.5% 2,524 (6.7%)
Trade receivables 3,451 2,719 26.9% 2,051 68.3%
6
Net Cash (Liquid Bills on Hand treated as Cash Equivalents)
Six months ended 30 Sep
(HK$ million)
1H
2011/12
1H
2010/11 Change 2010/11 Change
Bank borrowings
Financial liabilities
- for discounted bills#
- for forex hedging^
-Other bank loans
- Current
- Long term
-
90
4,462
3,773
779
1,007
644
1,525
2,594
582
100%
(86.0%)
192.6%
45.5%
33.8%
693
50
3,612
3,577
778
100%
320%
23.5%
5.5%
0.1%
4,552 3,176 43.3% 4,355 4.5%
Trade payables
- On hand
- Under endorsed bills*
3,572
779
2,873
3,412
24.3%
(77.2%)
2,309
306
54.7%
154.6%
4,351 6,285 (30.8%) 2,615 66.4%
Bills payable 791 822 (3.8%) 917 (13.7%)
Total trade & bills payable 5,142 7,107 (27.6%) 3,532 45.6%
Net assets 7,692 6,303 22.0% 7,249 6.1%
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Inventory Turnover Remained Optimal
Gearing Increased to Improve ROE
Sep 11 Sep 10 Change Mar 11
Return on equity 12.3% 11.5% 0.8pp 16.6%
Current ratio (times) 1.5 1.4 7.1% 1.6
AR turnover (days)
- excluded bills receivables
- with discounted bills
- without discounted bills
38
136
131
35
161 123
8.6%
(15.5%) 6.5%
27
134 103
Inventory Turnover (days) - Total - Raw materials - Finished goods
64
20
40
62 23 36
3.2%)
(13.0%) 11.1%
55 20 32
AP Turnover (included Bills Payables) (days)
- with endorsed bills
- without endorsed bills
77
67
107
66
(28.0%)
1.5%
66 57
Debt/Equity Ratio - Exclude discounted bills and foreign exchange hedging arrangements
59.4% 24.7% 34.7pp 51.1%
Book value per share (HK dollars) 2.88 2.40 20.0% 2.73
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China TV
78.1% (77.7%)
Overseas TV
6.0% (4.6%)
HK$13.1bn
17.3%
Digital Set-top box
11.7% (15.6%)
LCD Module 1.4%(0.4%)
Revenue Breakdown by Products 1H2011/12 (1H2010/11)
Around 90% Revenue Generated in China Market under
Brand
* Others include property rental, precision molding,
refrigerators, washing machines and car electronics
Others 2.8%(1.7%) *
9 9
Gross Profit Margin by Products
Group
(20.4% in 2HFY11)
Sep 11 Sep 10 Change Mar 11
21.2% 17.7% 3.5pp 19.2%
China TV 21.7% 17.6% 4.1pp 19.6%
Overseas TV 6.2% 4.5% 1.7pp 10.5%
China set-top box 26.4% 20.0% 6.4pp 19.1%
ODM set-top box 14.8% 17.6% 2.8pp 15.5%
LCD module (small size) 13.9% 14.5% 0.6pp 14.1%
• China TV: Inventory level remained healthy, swift market upgrade from CCFL to LED
backlight, 3D and smart TV improved margin and ASP
• Digital STB: Blended GPM was 21.5%, ASP dropped while penetrating inland
in China; weak overseas economy delayed digitalisation timetable
• Overseas TV: Reversal of provision of HK$16m vs HK$26m in 1HFY11
• LCD module: For 3rd parties’ handsets and Skyworth TV
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Segmental Profit by Business Segments
(HK$m)
1H2011/12
1H2010/11
Operational Profit
China TV HK$579m 82.6%
Overseas TV HK$1m (1HFY11 –HK$5m)
Digital settop box HK$191m 9%
11 11
8 Months 2011/12 TV Sales Volume
In Nov LED TV 67% and 3D TV 35% of Mix
China TV LED TV Targets over 150% Growth & 57% of Mix
(’000 units) 2011/12
(Apr - Nov)
2010/11
(Apr – Nov)
Change%
2011/12
Target
Achieved %
China TV comprises:
4,489 3,971 13% 7,000 64%
- LED TV - 3D LED TV - CCFL TV
- 3D CCFL TV
- CRT TV
1,708.4
651.7
1,683.9
432.9
12.0
814.7
0.0
3,049.8
0.0
106.8
110%
n/a
(45%)
n/a
(89%)
3,000
1,000
2,500
500
N/A
57%
65%
67%
87%
N/A
Overseas TV 1,508 940 60% 2,000 75%
Total 5,997 4,911 22% 9,000 67%
• China TV & Total TV Revenue 18% & 21%, respectively
• Total TV targets 13% growth, maintains No.1 LCD TV market share in China at 18%
• 2010/11 China TV 6.4m units (4.7m CCFL 1.6m LED); Overseas TV 1.6m units
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China TV Revenue Mix
CCFL Upgrading to LED Backlight and 3D TV
GP Margin 1H2011/12 1H2010/11 2010/11
Flat Panel TV 21.7% 17.1% 19.8%
3D TV 29.2% N/A N/A
LED TV 21.6% 23.5% 25.5%
CCFLTV 12.9% 14.5% 16.7%
% of China TV Sales
3D (FPR) LED TV and CCFL TV were launched in Dec 2010
and Mar 2011 respectively.
13
Blended China TV ASP Remains Solid
Pricing Power with Premium Brand and Product Innovation
ASP 1H2011/12 2010/11 1H2010/11 2009/10
3D TV 5,221 N/A N/A N/A
LED LCD TV 3,123 4,341 4,478 8,063
CCFL LCD TV 2,151 2,574 2,680 2,949
In Oct 2011, 3D LED TV ASP HK$5,700; 3D CCFL TV ASP HK$3,200
14
Sophisticated Distribution Channels into Rural Markets China TV Revenue Breakdown 1H2011/12 (1H2010/11)
One layer from our 42 branches, 199 sales offices to 18,000 retail customers
60% of China TV revenue generated from 3rd to 5th tier cities and growing
Other electronic shops and direct sales support margin
Large scale chain stores in 1st tier cities support market shares and brand building
15 15
Overall (Volume) LCD TV (Volume)
Rank Brand % Rank Brand %
1 Skyworth 14.9% 1 Skyworth 16.4%
2 Hisense 14.3% 2 Hisense 15.5%
3 Changhong 13.6% 3 TCL 13.7%
4 TCL 12.9% 4 Konka 11.5%
5 Konka 11.6% 5 Changhong 11.2%
6 Haier 6.9% 6 Haier 7.4%
7 Sharp 4.9% 7 Sharp 5.5%
8 Samsung 4.0% 8 Sony 4.4%
9 Sony 3.9% 9 Samsung 4.1%
10 LG 2.8% 10 LG 3.2%
Overall (Revenue) LCD TV (Revenue)
1 Hisense 14.2% 1 Hisense 15.3%
2 Skyworth 13.3% 2 Skyworth 14.7%
3 Changhong 12.1% 3 TCL 11.7%
4 TCL 10.8% 4 Konka 9.8%
5 Konka 9.2% 5 Sharp 8.7%
6 Sharp 7.8% 6 Changhong 8.4%
7 Samsung 7.6% 7 Samsung 7.6%
8 Haier 6.5% 8 Haier 7.0%
9 Sony 6.0% 9 Sony 6.7%
10 LG 4.0% 10 LG 4.5%
Source: AVC Ltd. Sep 2011 (390 cities; 4,300 retail terminals)
China TV Market Shares Oct 2010 - Sep 2011 (Domestic LCD TV 76%)
16 16
China LCD TV Market Shares (Sep 2011 before National Day Holiday)
Top 6 Domestic Brands Secured 75% (73% in April 2011)
Source: AVC Ltd. Sep 2011 (390 cities; 4,300 retail terminals)
LCD TV (Volume) LCD TV (Revenue)
Brand Sep 2011
Sep 2010
Change (%pt)
Brand Sep 2011
Sep 2010
Change (%pt)
1 Skyworth 15.8% 14.2% 1.6% 1 Hisense 14.5% 14.2% 0.3%
2 TCL 15.1% 12.8% 2.3% 2 Skyworth 14.5% 12.5% 2.0%
3 Hisense 14.5% 14.8% (0.3%) 3 Sharp 12.2% 10.5% 1.7%
4 Changhong 11.7% 10.4% 1.3% 4 TCL 11.6% 11.1% 0.5%
5 Konka 10.0% 12.0% (2.0%) 5 Changhong 8.8% 7.8% 1.0%
6 Haier 7.9% 5.7% 2.2% 6 Konka 8.5% 9.9% (1.4%)
7 Sharp 7.1% 7.6% (0.5%) 7 Sony 7.4% 8.7% (1.3%)
8 Sony 5.0% 6.1% (1.1%) 8 Haier 7.0% 5.3% 1.7%
9 Samsung 3.2% 6.2% (3.0%) 9 Samsung 6.2% 9.8% (3.6%)
10 LG 2.4% 4.5% (2.1%) 10 LG 3.8% 5.8% (2.0%)
11 Toshiba 1.4% 0.6% 0.8% 11 Toshiba 1.5% 0.8% 0.7%
12 Sanyo 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 12 Sanyo 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
China 3D TV Market Shares (Volume)
Hisense 20.2% Skyworth 19.6% Changhong 16.5% Konka 10.7% Samsung 9.0%
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Digital Set Top Box Gross Margin Improved
China Market Migrating to Digitalisation 2015
Convergence of Broadcast, Internet and Telecommunications
Volume growth: China Skyworth Brand -10% Overseas ODM 36% Overall 7%
China: No.1 market share 19% (nationwide 29m units in 2010, 30m in 2011E)* and best seller of high definition cable boxes
Overseas: Volume - Europe 52%, America 11%, Asia 32%; Top 5 China brands; Cable operators customers increased; More focus on South America and India.
* Source : GL Research, China
18
Overseas Revenue Geography Summary
Self-brand TV Entering Emerging Markets
Revenue included TV and set-top boxes
TV – Product mix migrated to LCD TV (CCFL and LED)
STB - High- end production for overseas cable operators
19
Differentiated Product Mix - ASP and Margin Premium
Cloud TV
Cinema/ FPR 3D TV
Smart Android 3D TV
LED backlight + Coocaa (content) + Health (Sports Games)
Full HD Built-in Settop box TV
20
Cloud TV
• The first 3D channel in China will start broadcasting on 1,
Jan 2012
• IPTV channel will launch 3D HD movie and sports programs
in Dec 2011
• By 2015, 100 HD and 10 3D channels will be ready
• In 3Q2011, 3D TV sales volume up 93% YoY, revenue up
55%, penetration reached 15%. *
21 Source: GfK China (100 cities retail terminals)
• Simplified the operating device. Storage and apps
management, and upgrade from the cloud.
Simply log into your family account, web browse, movies,
games, blog sharing, video chatting, electronic bills, books
and data etc are all on the cloud.
User friendly even to old people and children
Product Trend - Cloud TV & 3D TV
22
China Market LCD TV Size Mix
Size Sep
2011
Sep
2010
Change
20” – 23” 0.9% 0.7%
24” – 27” 6.6% 13.5%
30” – 33” 34.5% 31.7%
34” – 39” 5.1% 6.9%
40” – 43” 29.0% 24.9%
44” – 49” 16.4% 15.1%
50” – 53” 1.0% 1.5%
54” – 59” 4.8% 3.4%
Size SG LED B/L
PR LED B/L
PR CCFL B/L
SG PDP
32” - 3480 2374 -
37” 5420 4109 3256 -
42” 4630 5387 3595 3857
43” 6075 - - 5310
46” 7212 7112 - 8294
47” 6098 6870 4685 -
48” 7203 - - -
50” - - - 5917
55” 1225
2 10379 - 12597
3D TV Market Price (Oct 2011)
30- 40% Premium
Source: AVC Ltd. Sep 2011 & National Day Flat TV 2011 (210 cities; 1,850 retail terminals)
Cost Pressure Low
Panel Oversupply & Local Sourcing, Price Trending Down
Narrow Price Premium Speeding Up Penetration of LED TV
23 Source: AVC Ltd. National Day Flat TV 2011 (210 cities; 1,850 retail terminals)
USD LED backlight Panel Price
Premium of LED > CCFL TV 30% 20%
24 24 24
TV to
Countryside subsidy Swapping
Old for New subsidy
LCD TV Replacement Demand in China
360m units CRT TV Remained by end of 2011
90% > 8 years old
Growth sustains, given
25% (Urban 20% Rural 13%)
LCD TV penetration rate
(95m units installed) &
increasing affordability Urban CRT TV
220m (145% TV penetration) New TV
• Urbanisation
• Higher Penetration/ household
• Wedding 10m/yr, Property
Source: Skyworth, Chinese Statistics Yearbook (State Statistics Bureau)
Rural CRT TV
140 m (110% TV penetration)
Energy
Efficiency Standard
Public Housing 5m units built in 2011/12
25 25
Appendices
2010/11 TV Sales
Production Capacity and Strategic Alliances
2011 China National LCD TV Unit Growth & LED TV Penetration
Subsidy Policies Updates
LCD TV Replacement Stages in
Penetration of STB/ household in China
Global demand of STB
26 26
2010/11 TV Sales Volume China TV LED TV 25% vs 1.8% in 2009/10
China Flat Panel TV 5% YoY
Maintains No.1 market share at 19% in 2010
(’000 Units) 2010/11 (Apr - Mar)
2009/10 (Apr – Mar)
Change
China Flat Panel TV includes:
6,400 7,034 (9%)
- LED TV
- CCFL TV - CRT TV
1,559.7
4,704.2
136.3
106.4
5,883.2
1,045.0
1,366%
(20%)
(87%)
Overseas TV 1,596 1,972 (19%)
Total 7,996 9,006 (11%)
• Total China TV Revenue 1% negative growth YoY
27 27
Vertical Integration and Chain Management
Upstream supply chain management
Logistics investments in regional
logistic centers in Chengdu, Jiangxi and Nanjing
Strategic partnerships with LG Display and CMI
Investments in module production and LED chips packaging
Shenzhen 7m units (will be reallocated after 2011)
(NEW in 2013 - 15) Lishui, Nanjing 1 - 5m units
Guangzhou 2m units
Inner Mongolia 1m units
Production Capacity 2011/12
Downstream inventory management
28 28 28
2011E total TV reach 42m units, 5% YoY
2012E LCD TV sales 42m units, 10% YoY, 2015E will reach 53m units
Source: AVC Monitor and Forecast 2010
2004-2011中国液晶电视市场零售规模与变化
25 127
390
774
1175
2359
3362
3816
321%
405%
208%
98%
52%
101%
43%
14%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010F 2011F
LCD(万台)
增长率(%)
(0000) units
Growth rate (%)
2011 China National LCD TV Unit Growth 14%
China LED TV Penetration Speeding Up
Hit 18mn units >65% Growth in 2011E
4%
8%
16%
25%
31%
38%
45%
50%
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4
2010-2011年LED电视规模预测
LED LED渗透率
Source: AVC Monitor and Forecast 2010, RedTech Advisors
(10k units)
29
30 30 30
Subsidy Policies
Home Appliances To Countryside
The first phase implemented from 1 Dec 2007 in Shandong,
Henan, Sichuan and Tsingtao will expire on 30 Nov 2011 as
scheduled.
The second will expire on 30 November 2012, and the third will
expire on 31 January 2013 as scheduled.
In Apr- Aug 2011, 29% of Skyworth China TV revenue was under
the program but insignificant adverse impact is expected after
expiration
The new round of submission of designated products has just
started in Nov 2011, one year after the last time.
In Jan - Sep, 2011 all appliances sales volume reached 75m units,
RMB188bn, YoY up 42% and 62% respectively.
No. of models increased from 50 to 80 for one manufacturer since Nov
2010. Retail price cap at RMB$7,000, subsidy cap at RMB$455
31 31 31
Subsidy Policies
Energy Saving
Energy saving subsidy started in pilot city, Beijing till end of Feb
2012. Extra RMB300 on first grade TV (all LED TV), RMB200 for
second grade (energy saving CCFL TV)
Swapping Old For New
Up to 7 Mar 2011, TV sales 14m units, 36% of all 5 kinds appliances
sales volume total over 40m units and over RMB$152bn
1 Jun, 2010 – end of 2011, 19 additional provinces and cities (Hebei,
Shanxi, Liaoning, Dalian, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Anhui, Fujian, Xiamen,
Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Shaanxi,
Gansu, Qinghai) are covered
10% of selling price as the subsidy with a maximum subsidy amount of
RMB400 remains unchanged
Pilot program launched in Jun 2009 in 9 cities and provinces: Beijing,
Shanghai, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Guangdong, Fuzhou
and Changsha
32
The Overlay of TV Upgrade and Replacement
(2010 – 2013 Boom) Urban begins 2nd Wave Upgrade (CCFL – LED)
while Rural begins 1st Wave of Upgrade (CRT – LCD)
Time required for Market Permeation of Color TV and Flat
TV in China from 20% to 100%
Color TVs
(Boom 1995 –
1999)
Urban
1986 1997
Rural
1996 2009E
Flat-screen
TVs
(Boom 2010E –
2013E)
Urban
2008 2012E
(CCFL)
2010 2018E
(LED)
Rural
2010 2022E
Source: Chinese Statistics Yearbook, Displaysearch, CICC Research
11 years
13 years
4 years
12 years
8 years
33 33
China Digital Set-top Box Penetration
Government Push & Unique Cable Broadcasting Model
IPTV Box 4.5m units in 2010, reach 12m units in 2015E
72100
230260
498534
580615
640672
710
130155
180205
174 184 200220 230 240
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
Digital Cable Households Cable Households TV Households
(m) Units
Source: iSupplyi, GL Research Jan 2011
34 34
Global Settop Box Huge Demand 2009 YoY 29%
74% Made in China, YoY 42%
Retail and Cable Operators markets Stable Demand in Next 5 Years
10.8
59.3
71.1
14
76.5
91.2
15.3
83.8
100
16
91.2
110
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2008 2009 2010 2011E
DVB-C DVB-T (DTT & iDTV & Combo) DVB-S (DTH & FTA)
(m) Units/ Year
Source: iSupplyi, IMS Research, Skyworth Jan 2011
Vision
To create a globally prominent
brand of consumer electronic products
[email protected] investor.skyworth.com