2009 Foster School of Business Cost Accounting L.DuCharme 1 Determining How Costs Behave Chapter 10.

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2009 Foster School of Business Cost Accounting L.DuCharme 1 Determining How Costs Behave Chapter 10

Transcript of 2009 Foster School of Business Cost Accounting L.DuCharme 1 Determining How Costs Behave Chapter 10.

Page 1: 2009 Foster School of Business Cost Accounting L.DuCharme 1 Determining How Costs Behave Chapter 10.

2009 Foster School of Business Cost Accounting L.DuCharme 1

Determining HowCosts Behave

Chapter 10

Page 2: 2009 Foster School of Business Cost Accounting L.DuCharme 1 Determining How Costs Behave Chapter 10.

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Overview

1) Assumptions2) Model: Y = a + bX3) Determinates of Fixed vs. Variable costs4) Cost Estimation

Industrial EngineeringConference MethodAccount AnalysisQuantitative Analysis: H-L & OLS

5) Non-linear cost functions

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Two assumptions frequently used in cost-behavior estimation

1. Changes in total costs can be explained bychanges in the level of a single activity.

2. Cost behavior can adequately be approximated by a linear function of the activity level within the relevant range.

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Cost Function

What is a cost function?

It is a mathematical expressiondescribing how costs change

with changes in the levelof an activity.

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Cost Function—variable cost

La Playa Hotel offers an airlinethree alternative cost structures toaccommodate its crew overnight:

1. $60 per night per room usage

y = $60x

The slope of the cost function is $60.

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Cost Function

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

0 100 200 300

x = Number of rooms

y =

Cos

t

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Cost Function—fixed cost

2. $8,000 per month

y = $8,000

$8,000 is called a constant or intercept.

The slope of the cost function is zero.

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Cost Function

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

0 100 200 300

x = Number of rooms

y =

Cos

t

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Cost Function—mixed cost

3. $3,000 per month plus $24 per room

This is an example of a mixed cost.

y = $3,000 + $24x

y = a + bx

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Cost Function

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

0 100 200 300

x = Number of rooms

y =

Cos

t

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Cost Classificationand Estimation Function

Choice of cost object

Time span

Relevant range

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Choice of Cost Object Example

If the total cost to operate all taxis owned by a taxi company is the cost object, annual taxi registration andlicense fees would be variable costs (number of taxis).

If the cost to operate a particular taxiis the cost object, registration and license fees

for that taxi are fixed costs.

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Time Span

Whether a cost is variable or fixed with respectto a particular activity depends on the time span.

More costs are variable with longer time spans.

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Relevant Range

Variable and fixed cost behavior patterns arevalid for linear cost functions only within

the given relevant range.

Costs may behave nonlinear outside the range.

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Cost Estimation

What is cost estimation?

It is the attempt to measure a pastcost relationship between costs

and the level of an activity.

Past cost-behavior functions can helpmanagers make more accurate

cost predictions.

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The Cause-and-Effect CriterionIn Choosing Cost Drivers

Physical relationship

Contractual agreements

Implicitly established by logic

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Cost Estimation Approaches

Industrial engineering method

Conference method

Account analysis method

Quantitative analysis methods

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Steps In EstimatingA Cost Function

Step 1:Choose the dependent variable.

Step 2:Identify the independent variable cost driver(s).

Step 3:Collect data on the dependent variable

and the cost driver(s).

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Steps In Estimating A Cost Function

Step 5:Estimate the cost function.

Step 6:Evaluate the estimated cost function.

Step 4:Plot the data.

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High-Low Method Example (A quantitative analysis method)

High capacity December: 55,000 machine-hours

Cost of electricity: $80,450

Low capacity September: 30,000 machine-hours

Cost of electricity: $64,200

What is the variable rate?

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High-Low Method Example

($80,450 – $64,200) ÷ (55,000 – 30,000)

$16,250 ÷ 25,000 = $0.65

What is the fixed cost?

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High-Low Method Example

$80,450 = Fixed cost + (55,000 × $0.65)

Fixed cost = $80,450 – $35,750 = $44,700

$64,200 = Fixed cost + (30,000 × $0.65)

Fixed cost = $64,200 – $19,500 = $44,700

y = a + bx

y = $44,700 + ($0.65 × Machine-hours)

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Regression Analysis--OLS (A quantitative analysis method)

It is used to measure the average amount ofchange in a dependent variable, such aselectricity, that is associated with unit

increases in the amounts of one ormore independent variables,

such as machine-hours.

Regression analysis uses all availabledata to estimate the cost function.

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Regression Analysis

Simple regression analysis estimates therelationship between the dependent

variable and one independent variable.

Multiple regression analysis estimates therelationship between the dependent variable

and multiple independent variables.

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Regression Analysis

The regression equation and regression lineare derived using the least-squares technique.

The objective of least-squares is to developestimates of the parameters a and b.

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Regression Analysis

The vertical difference (residual term) measuresthe distance between the actual cost and the

estimated cost for each observation.

The regression method is more accurate thanthe high-low method.

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Criteria to Evaluate andChoose Cost Drivers

Economic plausibility

Goodness of fit

Slope of the regression line

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Goodness of Fit

The coefficient of determination (r2)expresses the extent to which the changes

in (x) explain the variation in (y).

An (r2) of 0.80 indicates that80% of the change in the dependent

variable can be explained by thechange in the independent variable.

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Slope of Regression Line

A relatively steep slope indicates a strongrelationship between the cost driver and costs.

A relatively flat regression line indicates a weakrelationship between the cost driver and costs.

Everything else equal:

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Slope of Regression Line

The closer the value of the correlationcoefficient (r) is to ±1, the stronger the

statistical relation between the variables.

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Excel Regression--Data

  Y X1 X2

Week MOH MH DLH

1 $ 1,190.00 68 30

2 $ 1,211.00 88 35

3 $ 1,004.00 62 36

4 $ 917.00 72 20

5 $ 770.00 60 47

6 $ 1,456.00 96 45

7 $ 1,180.00 78 44

8 $ 710.00 46 38

9 $ 1,316.00 82 70

10 $ 1,032.00 94 30

11 $ 752.00 68 29

12 $ 963.00 48 38

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Excel Regression--results

• Interpret Excel regression output (in class)

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Non-linear Cost Functions

A nonlinear cost function is a cost function inwhich the graph of total costs versus the levelof a single activity is not a straight line within

the relevant range.

Economies of scale

Quantity discounts

Step cost functions

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Concave Cost Functions

Learning versus experiencecurves

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Data Issues

Data problemsencountered in estimating

cost functions.