2009 ABCs/AYP Results Accountability Services August 11, 2009.
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Transcript of 2009 ABCs/AYP Results Accountability Services August 11, 2009.
2009 District AYP Results
• 68 out of 76 targets met (89.5%)– 2008: 59 out of 76 (77.6%)– 2007: 58 out of 76 (76.3%)– 2006: 57 out of 74 (77.0%)– 2004: 62 out of 69 (89.9%)– 2003: 58 out of 73 (79.5%)
AAYYPP
2009 District AYP Results
* NOTE: Occupational Course of Study (OCS) Assessments scores counted against participation for all NC high schools– did not pass peer review per NCLB requirements– OCS students count in the 95% tested targets as not
having been tested
CHANGES FROM 2008 TO 2009
Met Not Met
In GD 3-8 Reading: African-American, Hispanic, EDS, LEP, SWD
In GD 3-8 Math: African-American, Multiracial, EDS, SWD
In GD 10 Math: African-American, Hispanic, EDS, LEP, All Students
In GD 10 Reading: Hispanic*, SWD, SWD*
In GD 10 Math: LEP*, SWD*
* percent tested target
AAYYPP
2009 District AYP Results
Grades 3-8
– 2009: 39 out of 39 (100%)
– 2008: 30 out of 39 (77%)
– 2007: 30 out of 39 (77%)
Grade 10
– 2009: 29 out of 37 (78%)
– 2008: 29 out of 37 (78%)
– 2007: 28 out of 37 (76%)
2009 District AYP Results
• Met all subgroup targets for grades 3-8• Met all targets for:
– All Students– Asian– African American– Multi-racial– Native American– White– Economically Disadvantaged Students
Cohort Graduation Rate
• Used in AYP as the high school’s other academic indicator
• Follows a ninth-grade cohort of students and tracks the percentage of students graduating in:– 4 years or earlier (used in AYP)– 5 years or earlier
Cohort Graduation Rate
• 2009 4-year Cohort Graduation Rate(first year ninth-graders in 2005-06): 72.7%– 2008: 70.8%– 2007: 70.7%
• 2009 5-year Cohort Graduation Rate (first year ninth-graders in 2004-05): 74.0% – 2008: 73.9%
73.7
70.7 70.8
72.773.8
66.666.1
68.8
66.3
62.963.8
79.5 79.8
82.6
78.8 78.6
71.7
74.6
74.0
79.7
79.3
69.869.5
68.3
60
65
70
75
80
85
2006 2007 2008 2009
WSFCS Charlotte-Mecklenburg Durham Guilford Wake STATE
4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate
67.074.5
64.2
40.9
80.1
65.3
38.9 40.3
66.9
75.0
64.1
45.7
79.4
57.6
35.9
53.5
68.1
77.4
66.2
49.4
81.5
61.2
41.3
55.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Male (2062) Female(1980)
Afr.-Am.(1487)
Hispanic(391)
White(1999)
EDS (1347) LEP (179) SWD (329)
2007 2008 2009
4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate
77.3
73.9 74.0
75.4
77.0
70.6
71.7
69.0
66.0
80.8
84.9
81.6
72.9
81.4
75.5
81.7
70.3
71.8
65
70
75
80
85
2007 2008 2009
WSFCS Charlotte-Mecklenburg Durham Guilford Wake STATE
5-Year Cohort Graduation Rate
ABCs – NC Accountability
• Measures school-wide accountability by calculating Growth (Academic Change) and Performance – Designed to act as a check and balance
• Model primarily consists of state assessments– High schools have a dropout & college track
component
AABBCCss
• Performance Composite Changes:– Science 5 and 8 added to composite– OCS scores added to composite– Higher of the original EOG scores or
Retest 1 used in calculation of PC
Changes to 2009 ABC Model
AABBCCss
• Growth Changes:– Reading EOG back in model (out in
2007-2008)– US History growth formula adjusted– College University Prep/College Tech
Prep component modified to give credit to schools whose percentages were over 90%
Changes to 2009 ABC Model
AABBCCss
Basic Assumptionof ABC Growth
A student is expected to perform at least as well this year as she/he has done in the past, relative to
other NC students
How Do You Measure Relative Performance?
PROBLEM: Scale scores can’t be used – they’re different for each test
SOLUTION: Scores are “standardized” so that tests can be equitably compared to each other
Sample 7th Grade Student – in 5th grade in 2007
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
-2.4
00
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C-SCALES
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
Y
2007 Grade 5 Math=340(C-Scale: -1.489)
2007
Sample 7th Grade Student – in 6th grade in 2008
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
-2.4
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00
C-SCALES
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
Y
2008 Grade 6 Math=342(C-Scale: -1.33)
2007 2008
EXPECTED GROWTH
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
-2.4
00
-2.3
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-2.2
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-2.1
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-2.0
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-1.9
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-1.8
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-1.7
00
-1.6
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-1.5
00
-1.4
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-1.2
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00
-1.0
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00
1.8
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2.0
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00
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00
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00
C-SCALES
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
Y
Expected Growth:(C-Scale: -1.297)
2007 2008
TA
RG
ET
EXAMPLE FOR A HIGH-ACHIEVING STUDENT
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
-2.4
00
-2.3
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-2.2
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-2.0
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-1.9
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-1.7
00
-1.6
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1.0
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00
C-SCALES
PR
OB
AB
ILIT
Y 2007 2008
TA
RG
ET
2007 Grade 3 Math=355(C-Scale: 1.21)2008 Grade 4 Math=362(C-Scale: 1.38)
2007 Grade 3 Math=355(C-Scale: 1.21)2008 Grade 4 Math=362(C-Scale: 1.38)
EXPECTED GROWTH for SCHOOLS
• All Academic Change (AC) - for students with pretest scores and 140 days in membership - are averaged together
• If the average is ZERO or greater, the school has made growth
HIGH GROWTH for SCHOOLS
• If 60% of all ACs are ZERO or greater, then the school makes HIGH GROWTH
• 60% = 3/5, which is a ratio of 3:2, or 1.5
High Growth, 32
Less Than Expected Growth,
20Expected Growth,
19
High Growth, 21
Less Than Expected Growth,
18Expected Growth,
33
ABCs: Growth
2008 2009
29%
25%46%
44%
28%26%
High Growth, 32
Less Than Expected Growth,
20Expected Growth,
19
High Growth, 29
Less Than Expected Growth,
12
Expected Growth, 31
ABCs: Growth (Adjusted)
2008 2009
40%
17%43%
44%
28%26%
48.8%
52.9%
39.5%
36.2%
29.2%
9.8%
40.9%
36.1%
40.9%
40.5%
45.8%
58.8%
10.4%
11.0%
19.6%
23.3%
25.0%
31.4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Charlotte-MecklenburgSchools
Wake County Schools
STATE
Guilford County Schools
Forsyth County Schools
Durham Public Schools
High Growth Expected Growth Less Than Expected Growth
2009 ABC Growth Comparisons
ABC Growth
Schools that have made at least expected growth every year since 1997:
– Brunson Elementary– The Downtown School– Jefferson Elementary– Sherwood Forest Elementary– Southwest Elementary– Whitaker Elementary– Jefferson Middle (2000) – West Forsyth High (1998)
2009 ABC Recognitions
Six Honor Schools of Excellence
– Jefferson Elementary– Lewisville Elementary*– Meadowlark Elementary*– Sherwood Forest Elementary*– Whitaker Elementary*– Early College*
* new to category in 2009
2009 ABC Recognitions
– Cash Elementary*– Clemmons Elementary– Downtown School– Piney Grove Elementary*– Southwest Elementary*
– Vienna Elementary*– Jefferson Middle– Meadowlark Middle*– Reagan High– West Forsyth High
Ten Schools of Distinction
* new to category in 2009
2009 ABC Recognitions
– Bolton Elementary*– Brunson Elementary– Gibson Elementary*– Ibraham Elementary*– Kernersville Elementary– Mineral Springs Elem.*– Moore Elementary– Old Richmond Elem.– Old Town Elem.*– Rural Hall Elementary– Sedge Garden Elementary– South Fork Elementary*– Speas Elementary*
– Walkertown Elementary– Ward Elementary*– Clemmons Middle*– Hanes Middle– Kernersville Middle– Northwest Middle– Paisley Middle*– Southeast Middle– Walkertown Middle– East Forsyth High*– Glenn High*– Mount Tabor High*
Twenty-five Schools of Progress
* new to category in 2009
2009 ABC Recognitions
• Nine No Recognition Schools
• Ten Priority Schools
• Nine Low Performing Schools:Easton Elementary* Forest Park Elementary
Middle Fork Elementary Petree Elementary
Carver High Jacket Academy
School of Biotechnology School of Computer Tech.
WS Preparatory Academy
* new to category in 2009
No Recognition, 5
Honor School of Excellence, 1
School of Distinction, 9
Low Performing, 12
School of Progress, 19
Priority School, 22
Priority School, 15
No Recognition, 4
Low Performing, 9
Honor School of Excellence, 6
School of Distinction, 10
School of Progress, 25
ABCs:Recognitions
2008
2009
ABCs: Recognitions2009 NC ABC Recognitions
7%
9%
9%
33%
21%
21%
15%
14%
8%
45%
45%
37%
39%
36%
26%
7%
10%
4%
7%
6%
10%
8%
15%
24%
21%
22%
46%
3%
2%
9%
13%
10%
12%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Wake County Schools
STATE
Charlotte-MecklenburgSchools
Guilford County Schools
Forsyth County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Honor School of Excellence School of Excellence School of DistinctionSchool of Progress No Recognition Priority SchoolLow Performing
ABCs: As A District
0.187
0.094
0.117
0.082
0.033
0.166
0.115
0.000
0.020
0.040
0.060
0.080
0.100
0.120
0.140
0.160
0.180
0.200
MATH 3 MATH 4 MATH 5 MATH 6 MATH 7 MATH 8 ALL MATHGRADES
AV
ER
AG
E G
RO
WT
H
0.027
0.0190.022
-0.029
0.049
0.042
0.021
-0.040
-0.030
-0.020
-0.010
0.000
0.010
0.020
0.030
0.040
0.050
0.060
READING3
READING4
READING5
READING6
READING7
READING8
ALLREADINGGRADES
AV
ER
AG
E G
RO
WT
H
-0.015
-0.062
0.014
0.096
0.059
0.017
-0.080
-0.060
-0.040
-0.020
0.000
0.020
0.040
0.060
0.080
0.100
0.120
ALGEBRA 1 BIOLOGY CIVICS &ECONOMICS
ENGLISH 1 US HISTORY ALL EOCSA
VE
RA
GE
GR
OW
TH
ABCs: As A District
– Elementary, Middle and High made Expected Growth as a whole
– Each Grade Span would be a School of Progress• Elementary PC: 70.9%• Middle PC: 70.7%• High PC: 66.9%
– District made High Growth in Math 3, 5 and 8