2 - Aviation · 5 GE –Aviation 11/27/2006 GE Proprietary GE -Aviation … the business model as...
Transcript of 2 - Aviation · 5 GE –Aviation 11/27/2006 GE Proprietary GE -Aviation … the business model as...
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GE – Aviation
Investor RelationsMiddle East
November 2006
Muhammad Al-Lamadani
GE International
2GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
0
100
200
300
400
500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Saudi
UAE
Kuwait
Qatar
Bahrain
Iraq
Oman
Egypt
Middle East aviation growth is strong
6%-8% p.a.Traffic Growth
~80 by 2010 (+5%)New Airports
3.0% p.a.Pop. Growth
318M p/a (+292%)Pax Capacity
~ 130 millionPopulation
~ 4% p.a.GDP Growth
Growth Indicators
• High oil prices and cash driving
investments and economic growth
• Mix of national carriers, fast growth
airlines, and slowly emerging LCCs
• Aging fleet replacement & capacity
increase driving high aircraft orders
• $74B 10-year market for commercial
airplanes in ME (2006-2015)
• Over $23B in airport projects by 2012
• Outsourcing engine services preferred
Nominal GDP Trends(US$ Billions)
Source: Global Insight, WTO, FTAO, CIA world fact book, WMMR ‘05
Eight countries will account for over
90% of Middle East GDP in 2010
3GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
Africa
7%
N America
6%
Middle East
16%
Europe
34%
Asia
37%
50
125
200
275
350
425
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08
Regional traffic is trending upward
• Significant traffic growth (12.6% in ‘05) generating increase in capacity
• Middle Eastern carriers topping aviation industry in cargo growth
– 16.8% growth in Freight Tonne Kilometers, 2006 vs. 2005
– 14.1% gain in ’05 vs. global cargo growth of 2.6%
– 8.8% growth expected between Middle East and Asia
RPKs (Billions)
RPK Actual RPK Forecast
Annual expected growth in the Middle East: 6-8%
Transit hub between Europe and Asia
Middle East Air Traffic…
Source: Global Insight, WTO, FTAO, CIA world fact book, WMMR ‘05
4GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
24.40%
8.20%3.50%
6.90%
40.90%
4.30%
12.20%
EK GF KU MS QR SV TK
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)(2002-2006)
72
36
58
96
140
46
32
12
8
56
20
30
44
10
26
24
16
22
24
162
14
14
34
4
20
24
2
16
4
10
12
24
SaudiArabian
Em irates Gu lf A ir QatarAirways
Kuwa itA irways
THY Egypt A ir Etihad RoyalJordanian
262 21 8 7 6 94 60 224 86 44 46
CFMGE
IAEPW
RR
Nine ME airlines own 46% of AC and 44% of engines … indicating growth leaders
Route development to Europe and Asia will drive more aircraft orders
• Emirates fleet growth…91 AC today, ~150 within 5 years
• Qatar fleet growth…47 AC today, ~110 within 10 years
• Saudi Arabian fleet growth…106 AC today, ~135 within 5 years
Key Operators … 1110 engines, 475 AC
ME Total … 2525 engines, 1026 AC
Source: ACAS, Oct 2006
CFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
Saudi Saudi EmiratesAirlinesEmiratesAirlines QatarQatar
5GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
GE - Aviation … the business modelas reflected in the Middle East…
Emirates GE90/GP MRO
Qatar Tech Center
DAE partnership
Help our customers grow
Orders to-date (‘05-’06)
GEnx … 73 engines
GE90 … 124 engines
Differentiate with technology
OnPointSM Solutions…
$601M Wins YTD
>$5B in CSA backlog
Win lifecycle service
108 commercial engine deliveries YTD*
Grow installed base
* 42 YTD deliveries for CFM, 66 YTD deliveries for GECFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
GP7000 (EA) is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney
6GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
Successful regional penetration
Kibris Turkish
TurkmenistanIstanbul
ARAMCO
AMC
Al-
Tayar Group
Mahan Air
Midwest Airlines
Mid East Jet
Biman
DHL BahrainEgypt Air Force
Air Kazakhstan
Oman Air
Turkish Air Force
Saudi Oger
Yemen
Saudi Arabian
Kuwait
EgyptAir
Turkish
Royal Jordanian
Qatar
Gulf Air
Iran Air
Palestinian
Nationa
l Air Service
s
ALAFCO
Azerbaijan
Jordan Aviation
Jazeera
7GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
Winning with GE/CFM technology
CF3410%
GEnx
29%
CF63%
CFM5644%
GE9014%
Key Wins in ‘06
Pending *
CFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
Opportunities
* Refers to GE engine wins, that are not officially scored by airframer yet.
** Proprietary campaigns/operators.
Source: Siebel and GE data
240 New Engine Wins in ’06 (YTD)
747-840GEnxEmirates
777-200LR/F16GE90
Qatar 777-300ER28GE90
747-88GEnx
78712GEnxK100 **
EMB17012CF34Egypt Air
737-80012CFM56
A32012CFM56ALAFCO
A/C TypeEnginesModelOperator
A32020CFM56Al-Tayyar
787
747-810GEnxAbu Dhabi Amiri
747-88GEnxQatarA350/787120GEnxQatar
Various120GE90/GEnx/CF6Kuwait
78746GEnxS101 **
777-200LRF
777-300ER46GE90S100 **
A350/787100GEnxEmirates
8GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
PW
2%IAE
9%
RR
14%
EA
14%
GE
51%
CFM
10%
CFM
9%
RR
28%
GE
45%
PW
18%
RR
9%
IAE
24%
CFM
36%
PW
31%
Expanding installed engine population
Narrow Body 540 AC
1253 Engines
Wide Body 467 AC
1228 Engines
Key Operators (AC)• THY (82)
• Saudi Arabian (36)
• Iran Air (26)
• Egypt Air (21)
Key Operators (AC)• Emirates (91)
• Saudi Arabian (61)
• Qatar Airways (32)
• Iran Air (31)
Source: ACAS, Oct 2006
CFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
GP7000 (EA) is a 50/50 JV between GE and Pratt & Whitney
Current AC in operation
• Delivering more commercial engines
• Maintaining competitive advantage
• Winning the material stream
• Growing with JV relationships
TOTAL 285 AC
758 Engines
Order backlog
737 family (266 Engines)
A320 family (118 Engines)
A340(164)
CF6 (352)
GE90 (102)
737s (46 Engines)
A320s (26 Engines)
CF6 (18)
GE90 (106)
GEnx (40)A380
(180)
9GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
Increasing lifecycle service backlog
GE9031%
GEnx49%
CT71%
CF342%
CFM5617%
Wins in ‘05 $1.3B in CSA’s
$601M Wins YTD ~$1B expected for ’06
Key Wins in ’06~90% of YTD wins
Opportunities~$940M in value
Source: Siebel and GE data
CFM International is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
Services Services -- > $5B> $5B(overall backlog)(overall backlog)• OnPointSM Solutions
• Time & Material
• On Wing Support
• Tech Upgrades
• Diagnostics
EnginesModelOperator
14CFM56AMC
10GE90Etihad
40GEnxEmirates
58GE90Saudi Arabian
EnginesModelOperator
40CFM56Al-Tayyar
44GE90Qatar
14GE90Emirates
10GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
Partnering with key customers
• Emirates GE90 and GP7000 MRO facility
– Includes world’s largest indoor test cell (150lbs thrust)
– Module shop capability
• Qatar Technology and Learning Center
– Customer Aviation Training, including military systems
• Dubai Aerospace Enterprise partnership development
Using GE processes & tools…to help customers in:
• Lowering cost of ownership
• Improving their profitability / value
• Enhancing productivity through Six Sigma & Lean
• Leveraging GE-style leadership development courses
11GE – Aviation11/27/2006
GE Proprietary
• Investing in technology
• Growing installed base
• Winning in the Middle East profitably
• Expanding services offerings
• Delivering on customer productivity and satisfaction
'04 '06E
Revenue
OP
$2.2
$11.1
$11.9
GE – Aviation…aligned for growth
'05
$2.6
~$12.8
~$2.9
~10%
~15%
Structured to capture significant growth potential worldwide
GEAviation
Muhammad Al-Lamadani
GE International