1stMalaysia-Bangladesh Palm Oil Trade Fair & …mpoc.org.my/publication_file/PP - Oils and Fats...

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1 st Malaysia-Bangladesh Palm Oil Trade Fair & Seminar 2009 Oils & Fats Outlook – Bangladesh Venue: Pan Pacific Sonargaon, Dhaka Dec. 12, 2009

Transcript of 1stMalaysia-Bangladesh Palm Oil Trade Fair & …mpoc.org.my/publication_file/PP - Oils and Fats...

Page 1: 1stMalaysia-Bangladesh Palm Oil Trade Fair & …mpoc.org.my/publication_file/PP - Oils and Fats Outlook...Average Wholesale Price and Total Value of Major 3 Edible oils Consumed in

1stMalaysia-Bangladesh Palm Oil Trade Fair & Seminar 2009

Oils & Fats Outlook – Bangladesh

Venue: Pan Pacific Sonargaon, Dhaka Dec. 12, 2009

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Geographical Position of Bangladesh

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Bangladesh At A Glance •  Population : 160 Million

•  Per Capita Income : US$ 608

•  Per Capita Consumption of Oils & Fats : 8.6 kg

•  Avg. Annual Local Production : 180,000 Tones

•  Avg. Annual Import : 1.2 Million Tones

•  No. of Refineries In Operation : 23

•  Consumption Pattern •  Liquid Oil : Solid Fats : 90:10

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A brief background of palm oil in Bangladesh

•  Early 1960’s….Mustard Oil

•  Introduction of Palm oil in 1970s and continued till later part of 1980s

•  Import of crude form in early 1990’s

•  Rapid acceptance through the ’90s

•  Palm Olein occupy top position among the edible oil in year 2003

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Area Under Oil Crop: 2000-01 to 2007-08

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

Soyabean - - - - 26 41 39 39

Groundnut 29 26 27 26 29 29 34 31

Rapeseed 318 303 297 279 241 217 211 234

Sesameseed 80 80 79 39 39 39 36 34

Copra 31 31 31 39 40 41 41 42

Linseed 67 70 70 38 4 4 13 14

Total 525 510 504 421 379 371 374 394

Area (1000 ha)

Source: Oil World

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Local Production of Oils and Fats: 2000-01 to 2007-08

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

Rapeseed Oil

144.9 119.3 120.6 108.6 86.5 93.9 101.6 106.5

Coconut Oil

23.6 24.2 24.2 21.7 18.9 19.3 21.8 22.4

Butter as fat

16.5 17.0 17.5 18.0 19.0 19.4 20.0 21.0

Linseed Oil

12.9 13.5 7.5 0.6 0.6 2.6 4.3 2.8

Soyabean Oil

- - - 6.8 22.7 22.1 38.3 27.2

Total 196.9 174.0 169.8 155.7 147.8 157.3 186.0 179.8

Production (1000 Tonnes)

Source: Oil World

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Demand of oils and fats

•  True demand of palm oil increasing (since 2000 to 2008 now at 956,000 mt, occupying 70% of total oil consumed)

•  Palm oil – bulk trade as to soyabean oil – consumer pack

•  Palm oil for consumer pack – improvement in the market

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Oils & Fats Consumption in Bangladesh in 2008 Total Consumption: 1,369,100 Tonnes

Source: Oil World 2009

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Consumption of 3 Major Edible Oils vis-à-vis Total Oils & Fats: 2001-2008

Year Total Oils & Fats

Change (%)

Palm Oil

Change (%)

Soyabean Oil

Change (%)

Rape/ Mustard/Canola

Oil

Change (%)

Other Oils & Fats

Change (%)

2001 1007.0 11.1 375.6 93.9 408.5 -17.7 150.1 6.2 72.8 -3.1

2002 1049.2 4.2 427.5 13.8 441.2 8.0 107.7 -28.2 72.8 0.0

2003 1105.9 5.4 517.1 21.0 395.0 -10.5 124.2 15.3 69.6 -4.4

2004 1130.2 2.2 622.4 20.4 340.8 -13.7 113.0 -9.0 54.0 -22.4

2005 1226.9 8.6 853.7 37.2 235.5 -30.9 84.3 -25.4 53.4 -1.1

2006 1297.5 5.8 857.2 0.4 280.5 19.1 96.8 14.8 63.0 18.0

2007 1400.2 7.9 778.5 -9.2 452.2 61.2 102.9 6.3 66.6 5.7

2008 1369.1 -2.2 956.0 22.8 238.6 -47.2 105.4 2.4 69.1 3.8

In ’000 Tonnes

Source: Oil World

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Average Wholesale Price and Total Value of Major 3 Edible oils Consumed in 2008

Year Palm Oil Soyabean Oil Rape/Mustard Oil Cow ghee/butter/butter oil Total Major 3

Edible Oils and Cow ghee/butter

consumed

Avg.

Price

US$/T

Qty.

consmd

‘000 T

Value

in bn.

US$

Avg.

Price

US$/T

Qty.

consmd

‘000 T

Value

in bn.

US$

Avg.

Price

US$/T

Qty.

consmd

‘000T

Value

in bn.

US$

Avg.

Price

US$/T

Qty.

consmd

‘000 T

Value

in bn.

US$

Total

Qty.

‘000 T

Total

Value

in bn. US$

2008 1,179 956 1.127 1,488 239 0.355 1,705 105 0.180 6,226 24 0.147 1323.6 1.809

2007 926 779 0.721 1,025 452 0.464 1,265 103 0.130 5,738 23 0.129 1356.1 1.444

2006 594 857 0.509 690 281 0.194 815 97 0.079 5,077 22 0.110 1256.2 0.892

Note: Source of quantity is Oil World, while MPOC market intelligence is the source of price.

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Per Capita National Income and Per Capita Consumption of Oils & Fats

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Per Capita Gross National Income (GNI) in US$

411 440 463 476 523 608

Per Capita Consumption of Oils and Fats in kg.

7.5 7.6 8.0 8.3 8.9 8.6

Source: Bangladesh Economic Survey for Per Capita GNI and Oil World for Per Capita Consumption

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Import of Total Oils and Fats vis-à-vis 3 Major Edible Oils: 2001-2009

Year Total Oils & Fats

Change (%)

Palm Oil

Change (%)

Soyabean Oil

Change (%)

Rape/ Mustard/Canola

Oil*

Change (%)

Other Oils & Fats

Change (%)

2001 917.8 13.0 341.4 100.8 433.6 -15.2 96.6 18.2 46.2 -5.9

2002 1003.3 9.3 434.8 27.4 457.7 5.6 65.3 -32.4 75.5 63.4

2003 1087.3 8.4 524.2 20.6 424.1 -7.3 93.7 43.5 45.3 -40.0

2004 1109.6 2.1 689.5 31.5 329.1 -22.4 63.3 -32.4 27.7 -38.9

2005 1086.1 -2.1 826.5 19.9 206.6 -37.2 29.3 -53.7 23.7 -14.4

2006 1278.2 17.7 878.9 6.3 320.5 55.1 49.4 68.6 29.4 24.1

2007 1207.1 -5.6 581.2 -33.9 508.4 58.6 72.9 47.6 44.6 51.7

2008 1096.8 -9.1 816.0 40.4 217.3 -57.3 26.8 -63.2 36.7 -17.7

2009 (Jan-Nov)

1395.0 - 959.0 - 363.8 - 43.9 - 28.3 -

In ’000 Tonnes

Source: MPOC Market Intelligence *Oil equivalent@38% oil extraction.

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Yearwise Production, Import vis-à-vis Consumption of Oils & Fats in Bangladesh: 2005-2008

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Import Trend of Major 3 Major Edible Oils: 2003-2009

Source: MPOC Market Intelligence

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Import Sources of Palm Oil: 2001-2008

Year MPO IPO Others Total

In tonnes In % In tonnes In % In tonnes In % In tonnes In %

2001 151,977 44.0 189,470 56.0 Nil - 341,447 100

2002 208,557 48.0 226,267 52.0 Nil - 434,824 100

2003 268,794 51.0 252,452 48.0 3,000 1.0 524,246 100

2004 355,249 52.0 334,306 48.0 Nil - 689,555 100

2005 459,766 56.0 366,680 44.0 Nil - 826,446 100

2006 415,635 47.3 461,273 52.55 2,000 0.2 878,908 100

2007 159,733 27.5 411,932 70.9 9,518 1.6 581,183 100

2008 247,378 30.3 554,514 68.0 14,063 1.7 815,955 100

Note: MPO refers to Malaysian origin palm oil, IPO refers to Indonesian origin palm oil, while others mainly refers to Thailand.

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Import Duty

•  Crude Palm Oil/Olein : Zero Duty

•  RBD Palm Olein : Zero Duty (Only for Vanaspati Manufacturers)

•  Crude Degummed Soyabean Oil :Zero Duty

•  Oilseeds : Zero Duty

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COMPANY Refinery

(In Operation) Capacity/Day Palm Olein Brand PO Import in ’08

2 Refineries 1 Dry Fractionation

1,300 MT 500 MT

Nil CPOL: 146,950 Mt

CPO: 6,000 MT % of total PO Import:18.75

3 Refineries 2 Dry Fractionation

2,300 MT 1,800 MT

NATURAL CPOL: 98,753 MT CPO: 38,700 MT

RBD PL: 6,700 MT % of total PO Import: 17.70

2 Refineries 1 Dry Fractionation

800 MT 300 MT

DADA SUPER

CPOL: 122,513 MT CPO: 6,000 MT

% of total PO Import: 15.75

3 Refineries 2 Dry Fractionation

1,700 MT 800 MT

HILSHA FAMILY

CPOL: 75,840 MT CPO: 49,158 MT

% of total PO Import: 15.30

2 Refineries 2 Dry Fractionation

1,050 MT 1,100 MT

PURE

CPOL: 92,871 MT CPO: 9,500 MT

% of total PO Import: 12.50

1 Refineries 1 Dry Fractionation

300 MT 300 MT

SHAKTI CPOL: 17,704 MT CPO: 20,000 MT

% of total PO Import: 4.60

3 Refineries 2 Dry Fractionation

1,150 MT 1,000 MT

Nil CPOL: 57,589 MT

CPO: 5,000 % of total PO Import: 7.70

1 Refinery 1 Dry Fractionation

150 MT 120 MT

Nil CPOL: 40,327 MT

CPO: Nil % of total PO Import: 5.0

BANGLADESH PALM OIL INDUSTRY & KEY PLAYERS

Note: PO refers to Crude Palm Oil, Crude Palm Olein and RBD Pam Olein.

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Finally—just like it says, “It’s more than just oil. It’s a gift

from nature. A fruit for life.” Malaysia palm Oil.

Thank you &

Good bye....