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    Managerial Economics

    1 A. Meaning and Scope

    Sources: SalvatoreGeetika et al

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    76% of senior executives say that it isimportant they have the knowledge and

    skills to respond to trends like resourcescarcity, the low carbon economy anddoing business in emerging markets

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    What is Economics?

    Unlimited wants and scarce resources

    CHOICE

    Science or Art?

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    Basic Assumptions

    Ceteris Paribus- Other things remainingequal

    The existence of other tendencies is nordenied, but their disturbing effect isneglected for a time - Marshall

    Easier to handle, if issue is narrowed, butless closely corresponds to real life

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    Basic Assumptions

    Rationality

    Implies that consumers and producers

    measure and compare costs and benefitsbefore taking decisions

    Consumers: Maximising utility andminimising sacrifice

    Producers : Maximising profits andminimising costs

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    Types of Economic Analysis

    A. Micro(individual consumers and firms)

    Macro (Aggregates- Industry, not firm)

    B. Positive (factual statements- What is)

    Normative (Value judgments- Whatought to be)

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    Types of Economic Analysis

    Marshall

    Market Period- Prices adjust to clear market-perishable goods

    Short Period- industry capacity is assumed to begiven

    Long Period- Stock of equipment and machinery

    (K) changeable Very Long Period-Tech, population, tastes etc

    change

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    Types of Economic Analysis:Partial and General Equilibrium

    D. Equilibrium: State of balance

    Partial: Looks at internal outcome of any policyaction in a single market or consumer (the one

    that is directly affected) say, a single cementfirm in Indian cement industry may be inequilibrium, whereas others may not be-unrealistic

    General Equilibrium: Explains economicphenomena like production, consumption andprices in the economy as a whole

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    Types of Economic Analysis:

    Partial and General Equilibrium A petroleum company may hike petroprices without considering the effects onprices of other commodities

    Under general equilibrium, this wont beanalysed in isolation but taking intoaccount linkages with other sectors.

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    Kinds of Economic Questions

    1. What to Produce? (Micro)2. How to Produce? (Micro)

    3. How much to produce? (Micro)

    4. For Whom to Produce? (Micro)5. Are Resources Used optimally? (Micro)

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    6. Are Resources fully employed? (Macro)

    7. Is the economy Growing? (Macro)

    8. In what phase of business cycle is theeconomy? (Macro)

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    Managerial Economics-

    Meaning & NatureApplication ofeconomic theory and tools ofanalysis of decision science to examinehow an organization can achieve itsobjectives most efficiently- Salvatore

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    Meaning & Nature

    Spencer and Siegelman: Integration ofeconomic theory with business practice forthepurpose of facilitating decision makingand forward planningby management

    Evan Douglas: Application of economic

    principles and methodologies to thedecision-making process within the firm ororganizationunder conditions ofuncertainty

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    Decision Making Process

    5 Stages of Decision making Process:

    1. Define the problem2. Determine the objective

    3. Identify possible solutions

    4. Select the best possible solution5. Implement the decision

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    Meaning & Nature

    Importance of Quantitative Tools

    Analysis of variables is a key procedure in

    economic analysis.

    Economic research andpolicy-makingrequireup-to-date data and extensive analysis.

    Use of Mathematical tools

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    Meaning & Nature

    Use of Statistical Techniques

    Time Series: For Demand forecasting

    Regression: Two or multiple variablesused to study interrelationships, estimationand prediction

    Measures of central tendency andvariation

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    Meaning & Nature

    Managerial Economics is essentially

    - Applied economics

    - Normative bias- Why?- Decision-making under partial equilibrium

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    Role of Economics

    What is the role of Economics in Business?

    Costs, prices, output, compensation,

    strategic behaviour, importantly, ethicsThe Big Picture- Whose job?

    Economic theory forms the basis for

    different management areas such asaccounts, finance, marketing, systems andoperations.

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    Role of Economics

    A manager has to deal with problemspertaining to the individual firm as well asdomestic and global environment.

    Microeconomics: Deals with individual unit

    Macroeconomics: Deals with aggregates

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    Role of Economics

    Microeconomics:

    Theory of demand and supply- consumerbehaviour, demand theory, demand forecasting

    and factors affecting individual and marketsupply- Helps in choice of commodities for

    production

    Theory of Production: Production function andlaws of returns to scale etc- gives an idea aboutI/O relations, input requirementsize of firm,technology choice of output. Helps producer to

    plan production, cost and budget.

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    Role of Economics

    Market Analysis: helps understand degrees

    of competition, pricing-output decisions,price discrimination, monopoly power,advertising

    Profit Analysis: Provides logical analysis ofbreak-even point, emergence of profits,profit-maximising output, dealing with riskand uncertainty

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    Role of Economics

    Theory of capital: Along with quantitativetechniques enables investors to calculatecost of capital, efficiency of capital,efficient allocation of capital, and choice ofprojects as per risk-return analysis

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    Role of Economics

    Behaviour of macro economic indicators: GDP,GNP, GDCF, GDS, HDI etc.

    Business Cycles Inflation- Employment

    Fiscal PolicyMonetary Policy

    Foreign Trade: Imports and exports, Exchangerate, trade policies and capital flows

    Macro economic variables and policies impact

    business

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    Role of Economics in Business

    Economics is a tool, means to an end

    To help Efficient allocation and achieve

    business objectives Optimising behaviour- Maximise goals,

    minimize costs under constraint

    Logic, tools and techniques of economics toanalyse business problems, evaluatebusiness options and opportunities with aview to arriving at an appropriate business

    decision.

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    Role of Economics in Business

    The theory of Economics does not furnish a

    body of settled conclusions immediatelyapplicable to policy. It is a methodratherthan a doctrine, an apparatus of the mind,a technique of thinking, which helps the

    possessor to draw correct conclusions- J.M. Keynes

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    Role of Economics in Business

    3 main contributions of economic theory to businesseconomics, according to Baumol:

    1. Analytical models: To recognize the structure ofmanagerial problems, eliminate minor details, and

    concentrate on main issue2. Ascertaining relevant variables and specifying the

    data- Even if the models are not directlyapplicable, they enhance capabilities of businessanalyst

    3. Economic theories offerconceptual clarity to avoidconceptual pitfalls

    Provides consistency to business analysis

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    Role ofManagerial Economist

    Role OfManagerial Economist: To decide

    What to produce?

    Where How

    How much

    Allocation of resources For whom to produce

    At what price to sell

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    Role ofManagerial Economist

    Plan and control business operations-

    Cost minimisation

    Profit maximisation ?? Managing competition

    Economic intelligence

    Market research

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    Role ofManagerial Economist

    Uncertainty & Risk management

    Forecast change in environment andpolicies- domestic and international

    To manage change in global scenario

    Everything comes at a price- quality is not

    free

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial EconomistA) Globalization

    What is Globalization ?

    People-goods-services- communication- Finance-Ideas

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial EconomistGlobal corporations

    - Research & production facilities acrosscountries

    - Global markets- Global Finance- Employment Diversity

    - Global work culture

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial Economist

    Resource base: Crossing boundaries

    Global management practices

    Outsourcing

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial Economist Increased competition

    Increased Opportunity Tastes converging internationally?

    Customising to local tastes

    Not merely exporters, but need to be

    insiders in major markets

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    Trans-nationality Index

    UNs World Investment Report constructsTNI as the average of 3 Ratios:

    Foreign sales to total sales Foreign assets to total assets

    Foreign employment to total employment

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    Global Corporations

    Company Country TNI (%)

    Vodafone Group UK 85

    British Petroleum UK 82

    Nestle Switzerland 74

    Honda/ Shell Japan/UK 72

    Sony, Volkswagen, IBM > 50

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial EconomistB) Computerisation and Technology

    Easiermodel-buildingand simulation

    Quick and complicated data analysis

    Rapid spread ofinformation

    Internet changing both buyers and sellers

    Videoconferencing- saving cost and time

    Paperless administration

    Speed of dispatch, lower inventories, less waste

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial EconomistC. Dismantling of Traditional Hierarchies

    Information today can be transmitted directly

    from top management to workersMiddle managers are today increasingly

    being used to shelter top managementfrom day-to-day activities

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial EconomistD. Changing Basis for Value Creation

    Peter Drucker:World is moving from

    economy of goods to an economy ofknowledge

    Creation of value increasingly based onknowledge and communications and notnatural resources and physical labour

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    On eBay, ET, 30 Aug 2010

    Gives tech edge to small entrepreneursfrom saddle makers of Kanpur to carpetmakers ofBenares

    The Malad shopkeeper goes to HongKong to source products to sell on eBay

    The $500-mn e commerce market in Indiais growing at 30% annually

    With 3G and broadband rollout, the marketis expected to grow even more

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial Economist

    Bridging the gap between theory andPractice :

    Real world is complex, chaotic,

    interdependent as against simplifyingeconomic assumptions

    Not tailor-made solutions but a framework

    of logical thinking

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial EconomistThe Global business Leader has to

    Imbibe and inculcate essential qualities such as

    Global outlook

    Managing diversities

    Flexibility with efficiency

    Long-term goals with steps and migration path

    Speed and stamina for transformation

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    The Global Business Leader

    Customer-centricNetworking and negotiating Interpersonal skills-managing multiple

    simultaneous relationships Great communicatorUnderstanding technology Innovator

    Problem SolverChange-maker- not threatened by changeEmpowering individual employers

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    Growing Challenges to the

    Managerial Economist Essentially, 3 sets of skills:

    Human- understand, work with andmotivate with other people as individuals

    as well as groups Technical- Ability to use tools, techniques

    and processes that are specific to the field

    Conceptual-Ability to analyse complexsituations and respond effectively tochallenges

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    What are the Lessons?

    1.Who sells the largest number of camerasin India?

    2.W

    ho has the biggest revenue from musicbusiness in India?

    3.Who gained the most when business ofBritish Airways was affected due to the

    2008 recession?

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    What are the Lessons?

    Ans 1: Nokia (whose main line of business isNOT cameras but cell phones)

    Ans 2:Airtel (which is not in musicbusiness)- by selling caller tunes makesmore money than HMV etc

    Ans 3:videoconferencing and telepresence

    services ofHP and Cisco.

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    What are the Lessons?

    Nokia missed the Smartphone bus.Apple's I phone and Google's Android aremaking life difficult for Nokia.

    ButGoogle is not a mobile company

    Nokia is a global behemoth, with 35% ofthe worlds handset market. SiliconValleys finest may be good at high-end

    innovation, BUT..

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    What are the Lessons?(From Economist, Aug 18th)

    .none of them knows much about runninga company with R&D facilities in 16countries and sales in more than 160.

    Nokia has a vast distribution system inemerging markets: some 90,000 salesoutlets in China, 1,000 customer-service

    centres and a huge army of sales people

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    What are the Lessons?

    But then, there are assaults from low-costlocal companies

    According to Economist, One of thebiggest dangers for Nokia is that it willdevote so much energy to taking on Apple,Google and Research In Motion (the

    maker of the BlackBerry) that it will lose itsedge in emerging markets

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    What are the Lessons?

    Products have vanished from the marketin the past 20 years:

    B

    lack & white TVs Fountain pens

    Type writers

    Alarm Clocks

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    What are the Lessons?

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    Importance of speed & resilience

    Keep eyes open- small can be big

    Technology- adapt, innovate or perish Understand your customer

    Anticipate

    And many more.

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    References

    Text Books:

    1. Managerial Economics in a Global EconomyDominick Salvatore

    2. Managerial Economics Geetika, Piyali Ghoshand Roy Choudhury

    3. Managerial Economics D. N. Dwivedi

    4. The NewManagerial Economics -William

    Boyes5. Managerial Economics R. L. Varshney and

    K.L. Maheshwari

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    Internet Sites for ManagerialEconomics

    Current international economic news

    http://www.economist.com

    http://www.businessweek.com http://www.ft.com (Financial Times)

    http://www.bloomberg.com

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    Internet Sites for ManagerialEconomics

    For international economic data

    http://www.imf.org http://www.oecd.org

    http://worldbank,org

    http://www.wto.org

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    Data

    For authentic current Indian data:

    CMIE database

    For journals and other scholarly articles :ProQuest

    Of course, our very own Economic Times or

    Business Standard must become part of yourdaily diet.

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