1.1% 1.7% Peru / US$ 3.08 -0.1% 3.4% Brazil / US$ 2 · Formal employment grew 1.7% in urban Peru...
Transcript of 1.1% 1.7% Peru / US$ 3.08 -0.1% 3.4% Brazil / US$ 2 · Formal employment grew 1.7% in urban Peru...
February 18th 2015
Credicorp Capital Research
Andean Daily Report
CREDICORP CAPITAL RESEARCH
Chile: +(562) 2450 1600
Colombia: +(571) 339 4400 Ext. 1505
Peru: +(511) 205 9190 Ext. 36070
CHILE
Corpbanca 4Q14 Results: EPS surprise explained by top line growth
and deferred tax asset adjustment in Colombia
COLOMBIA
Industrial production increased 2.1% y/y in Dec-14 while retail sales
advanced 9.6% y/y
BanRep’s expectations survey Feb-15
Pacific Rubiales: Senior executive sold 20,100 shares of the company
Terpel placed COP 400 bn in ordinary bonds at the local market
Celsia obtains the environmental permits for the hydroelectric project
Porvenir II
Bancolombia 4Q14 Results: EPS in line; depreciation reflected on
mixed surprises, with opex ex-goodwill amortization above estimates
PERU
The 1,200 MW auction will be in November
Formal employment grew 1.7% in urban Peru (2014)
Alicorp 4Q14 results - Bottom line plunged due derivatives losses and
FX losses
Minsur 4Q14 results – Accounting change to equity method for
subsidiaries and low tin prices
Volcan 4Q14 results – Silver price decline deepened the hit
This report is property of IM Trust S.A. and/or Credicorp Capital Colombia S.A Sociedad Comisionista de Bolsa and/or Credicorp Capital S.A.A. and/or its subsidiaries (hereinafter jointly called “Credicorp Capital”), therefore, no part of this the material or its content, nor any copy of it may altered in any way, transmitted, copied or distributed to any third party without prior and express written consent of Credicorp Capital. In making this report, Credicorp Capital has relied on information from public sources. Credicorp Capital has not verified the truthfulness, completeness or accuracy of the information accessed, nor has audit the information in any way. Accordingly, this report does not constitute a statement, assertion or guarantee (express or implied) as to the truth, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or any other written or oral information furnished to any person and/or their advisors.
Local USD Local USD
S&P MILA 40 616 -0.5% -0.5% -3.3% -3.3%
S&P INDEX 2,100 0.2% 0.2% 2.0% 2.0%
Chile 3,984 -0.3% 0.1% 3.4% 1.3%
Colombia 1,397 -0.1% -1.2% -7.7% -9.1%
Peru 13,768 -2.0% -1.8% -6.9% -10.0%
Mex ico 43,252 0.7% 0.9% 0.2% -0.7%
Brazil 50,636 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% -5.4%
Equities Latam 2,638 0.1% 0.1% -3.3% -3.3%
CLP / US$ 620
UF / CLP 24,536
Peru / US$ 3.08
Colombia / US$ 2,416
Brazil / US$ 2.83
CLP / Euro 708
Euro / US$ 1.14
Local USD Local USD
Copper (US$/lb) 258
Gold (US$/oz) 1,209
Silv er (US$/oz) 16.4
Brent (US$/bbl) 61
Pulp (US$/MT) 900
WTI (US$/bbl) 54
-0.3% -3.4%
1.4% -100.0%
-1.5% 2.0%
-5.3% 5.0%
2.3% 9.8%
Commodities LastD/D % YTD%
-1.0% -8.6%
0.0% 7.1%
0.3% -3.4%
0.5% -5.7%
0.0% -0.4%
-0.1% 3.4%
1.1% 1.7%
Fx Rates LastD/D % YTD%
-0.3% 2.1%
Index LastD/D % YTD%
P/BV
2 0 14 E 2 0 15 E 2 0 14 E 2 0 15 E LTM
Chile 20.8x 17.4x 9.1x 8.5x 1.7x
Colombia 19.1x 22.4x 8.1x 8.4x 1.4x
Peru 14.8x 13.5x 7.8x 7.1x 1.3x
Va lua tions
CountryP / E EV / EBITDA
2
Chile
Company News
Corpbanca 4Q14 Results: EPS surprise explained by top line growth and deferred tax
asset adjustment in Colombia
(CORPBANCA: BUY; T.P.: CLP 8.80)
Corpbanca recorded profits of CLP 66 bn in 4Q14, equivalent to a 22% y/y growth. As a result,
ROAE in 2014 reached 15.9%. Quarterly results came 41% above our estimates. The top line
beat our forecast by 8% mostly due to trading gains that include tax hedging. On the other hand,
opex was in line and the Colombian operation once again showed a satisfactory cost-to-income
ratio of 53%. On the negative side, provision expenses came 19% above our estimate as a result
of depreciation. The surprise on profits was bolstered by tax expenses in Colombia, following a
deferred tax asset adjustment due to an additional goodwill accounted from the Helm Bank
transaction. As a consequence, the positive surprise in profits lowers to a still attractive 18% on a
pre-tax basis; hence, we conclude that results were positive.
Corpbanca Y/Y A/E
(CLP bn) (%) (%)
Rev enues 247 232 229 6% 8% P/E 11.4x 13.5x
Prov . Ex p. -43 -26 -36 68% 19% P/BV 1.8x 1.3x
Opex -125 -118 -126 6% -1% ROAE 15.9% 12.8%
Net Income 66 54 47 22% 41% Div . Yield 3.4% 2.6%
ROAE 17.7% 15.7% 12.0%
ROAA 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
2015E4Q14A 4Q13A 4Q14E Corpbanca 2014A
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Colombia
Economics and Politics
Industrial production increased 2.1% y/y in Dec-14 while retail sales advanced 9.6% y/y
22 out of 44 subsectors from the manufacturing sample registered an advance in production, with
‘motor vehicles’ industries leading (26.9% y/y), along with ‘meat and fish’ (14.4%), ‘electrical
machinery’ (22.8%), and ‘chemicals’ (6.3%). The figure was quite positive as the market expected
an advance of just 0.1% y/y, according to Bloomberg’s survey. Thus, manufacturing production
closed 2014 with an overall increase of 1.3% y/y.
On the other hand, retail sales went up amid strong rates of growth for durable goods sales. Thus,
vehicles and motorcycles sales increased 25.8% y/y, ‘hardware, glass and paint’ grew 16.4% y/y
and home appliances and furniture did it by 12.6%. Likewise, 2014’s retail sales reached a 7.7%
y/y growth, closing a strong year of private consumption and great dynamics in the domestic
demand.
We expect private consumption to decelerate during 2015, which is consistent with the recent
drop on consumer confidence index during Jan-15. On the other hand, we estimate a recovery of
the industrial production in 2015 supported by more competitive COP levels and the expected
pick up in main trading partners’ economic activity.
BanRep’s expectations survey Feb-15
According to Feb-15 BanRep’s expectations survey, market consensus expects the inflation rate
to stand at 3.35% by year-end, this implies an increase of 4bp against the previous estimate.
Thus, for Feb-15, the market expects 0.64% m/m inflation, in line with our estimate (0.66%). As
for monetary policy, 100% of respondents expect an unchanged repo rate (4.50%) for this month.
In turn, the market consensus expects an unaltered rate for all of 2015.
Company News
Pacific Rubiales: Senior executive sold 20,100 shares of the company
(PREC: UNDERPERFORM, T.P.: COP 11,400)
Pacific Rubiales announced that José Francisco Arata, senior executive of the company, sold
20,100 shares on February 12th and 13th, 2015.
Terpel placed COP 400 bn in ordinary bonds at the local market
(TERPEL: HOLD; T.P.: COP 20,000)
Terpel carried out a successful issuance of ordinary bonds at the local market, with a bid-to-cover
ratio of 1.6x. The company placed 2-year fixed rate bonds at 5.67%, while the 3-year and 5-year
bonds (CPI-linked) were placed at CPI+2.44% and CPI+2.9%, respectively.
4
Celsia obtains the environmental permits for the hydroelectric project Porvenir II
(CELSIA: HOLD; T.P.: COP 7,020)
Celsia announced that it obtained the environmental permits required for the hydroelectric project
Porvenir II (subject to a prudential period of time to receive comments on the terms of the
permits). It is worth noting that the ownership of the project is in hands of the local firm
Producción de Energía S.A.S. E.S.P. (“Proesas”); Celsia signed a purchase agreement with this
company to acquire the project, conditioned to the procurement of the environmental permits.
Currently, the deal is expecting the permits to be in force, which is the contractual condition to
close the purchase agreement.
The environmental permits come with a delay of more than one year compared to the initial
schedule, and thus, it has caused delays in the start in operation of the project, which was
expected for December 2018. As a consequence, the project lost its rights to the reliability charge
and Celsia had to pay a guarantee of COP 34,626 mn in Jan-15 (the provision of the guarantee
was accounted for in 3Q14 results). On the other hand, in Jun-14 Celsia renegotiated the
purchase agreement with Proesas in order to recognize the new conditions of the project,
adjusting the cost of acquisition of the project (the details of the agreement are not public).
According to an interview in local media with Juan Guillermo Londoño, CEO of Celsia, the
company maintains its interest on the development of the project and is analyzing the terms of the
environmental permits to advance in the construction of the project.
Bancolombia 4Q14 Results: EPS in line; depreciation reflected on mixed surprises, with
opex ex-goodwill amortization above estimates
(PFBCOLO: HOLD; T.P.: COP 31,000)
Bancolombia recorded profits of COP 488 bn equivalent to COP 507/share EPS and a flattish y/y
growth. EPS came 2.5% above our estimate, roughly in line with our estimates. Slight positive
surprises in top line and provision expenses were offset by higher opex. The strong depreciation
of the COP reflected on mixed surprises. On one hand, NII came 5.5% above our estimate as the
net loan book recorded a surprising 11% q/q growth, while other operating income came well
above our forecast partly due to FX trading gains. On the other hand, the translation of
Banistmo’s opex to COP reflected on a negative surprise in opex (ex-goodwill amortization),
which came 12% above our forecast, high considering that we did incorporate depreciation and
seasonality in our opex estimate for the quarter. Finally, goodwill amortization surprised as the
bank reduced its amortization period from 20 to 10 years; this change in accounting policy should
not alter results going forward as under IFRS goodwill is not amortized.
Bancolombia Y/Y A/E
(COP bn) (%) (%)
Rev enues 2,627 2,131 2,455 23% 7% P/E 13.6x 11.1x
Prov . Ex p. -378 -273 -399 39% -5% P/BV 1.5x 1.4x
Opex -1,743 -1,246 -1,399 40% 25% ROAE 12.8% 13.4%
Net Income 488 489 476 0% 3% Div . Yield 2.9% 3.1%
ROAE 11.9% 16.0% 11.7%
ROAA 1.4% 1.6% 1.4%
4Q14A 4Q13A 4Q14EBancolomb
ia2014A 2015E
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Peru
Economics and Politics
The 1,200 MW auction will be in November
Pro Inversión will award 1,200 MW in hydroelectric power plant projects in November. It was
indicated that these projects total USD 3,000 mn and that interested bidders can submit their
request until September 18th. The tenders of these hydroelectric power plant projects were
originally expected to be launched in early 2015. After having been postponed to 2016, this
announcement brings the tender closer to 2015.
Formal employment grew 1.7% in urban Peru (2014)
According to a survey conducted by the Ministry of Labour, formal employment grew 1.7% in
private enterprises of ten or more workers in Peru’s urban sector. The cities that showed a
highest growth in formal employment were Sullana in Piura (12%) and Abancay in Apurimac
(8.9%) –an export oriented department in the North and a booming mining department in the
South, respectively– and the ones with the lowest growth were Chimbote in Ancash (-12.2%) and
Chachapoyas in Amazonas (-8.4%) –the former a hard hit fishing town, the latter an isolated
region close to Cajamarca–. The largest growth was seen in the sectors of services, mining and
oil and gas, and transportation with 3.9%, 3.0% and 1.9%, respectively. Regarding the employed
economically active population, the National Institute of Statistics and Informatics informed that
the youth segment was the only one that showed a decrease in 2014 (-0.7% in the age range of
14 to 24 years old).
Company News
Alicorp 4Q14 results - Bottom line plunged due derivatives losses and FX losses
Mark-to-market changes of commodities and financial hedging derivatives generated losses for -
PEN228.2mn and FX losses amounted to -PEN35.3. Also financial expenses were -PEN75.6mn.
These effects drove the miss earnings.
ALICORP Y/Y A/E
(PENmn) (%) (%)
Rev enues 1,688 1,601 1,722 5.4% -2.0% P/E 319.8x 18.3x
EBIT 155 161 183 -3.6% -15.1% EV/EBITDA 12.7x 11.8x
EBITDA 182 188 210 -3.3% -13.3% P/BV 2.8x 2.5x
Net Income -169 185 102 nm nm Div . Yield 1.7% 0.1%
EBITDA Mg. 10.8% 11.8% 12.2%
Net Mg. -10.0% 11.5% 5.9%
ALICORPLTM Dec.
20142015E4Q14A 4Q13A 4Q14E
6
Minsur 4Q14 results – Accounting change to equity method for subsidiaries and low tin
prices
(MINSUR: BUY; T.P.: PEN 2.20)
Minsur faced lower tin prices that decreased its EBITDA. On top of that, it changed its accounting
method to consider its subsidiaries by the equity method in the individual numbers (those we
follow) so as to match the assets value in both consolidated and individual numbers. Without the
ensuing non-cash charge, net income would have been USD17.9mn (-66% y/y).
Volcan 4Q14 results – Silver price decline deepened the hit
(VOLCAN: BUY; T.P.: PEN1.10)
Results came below our expectations dragged down by a stronger impact of low silver prices and
higher depreciation. Gross margin halved to 12% because of higher depreciation (+67% y/y) from
new units and concluded expansions, lower silver price magnified impact from sales adjustments
and lower margin from the concentrates trading business (to -3% from 11%).
VOLCAN Y/Y A/E
(USDmn) (%) (%)
Rev enues 248 287 267 -13.8% -7.3% P/E 22.6x 8.0x
EBIT 9 40 17 -78.5% -49.2% EV/EBITDA 6.5x 7.2x
EBITDA 56 70 64 -19.5% -12.0% P/BV 1.1x 0.9x
Net Income 10 24 15 -56.4% -31.0% Div . Yield 2.70% 1.00%
EBITDA Mg. 22.7% 24.4% 24.0%
Net Mg. 4.2% 8.3% 5.6%
VOLCAN 2014 2015E4Q14A 4Q13A 4Q14E
MINSUR Y/Y A/E
(USDmn) (%) (%)
Rev enues 168 203 160 -17.2% 5.1% P/E 17.0x 7.6x
EBIT 49 96 60 -49.1% -18.8% EV/EBITDA 4.6x 4.7x
EBITDA 68 112 74 -38.8% -7.6% P/BV 0.6x 0.5x
Net Income 1 23 40 -94.9% -97.1% Div . Yield 1.60% 2.30%
EBITDA Mg. 40.7% 55.0% 46.3%
Net Mg. 0.7% 11.3% 25.0%
4Q14A 4Q13A 4Q14E 2014 2015EMINSUR
7
Top Winners & Losers
Volume Leaders
Trading Information
Traded Volume
Sources: Bloomberg & Credicorp Capital
Country Vol. (USDmn) Best sector Worst Sector
Chile 65.1 Const. & H.B. / +1.40% Industrial / -1.41%
Colombia 57.1 - -
Peru 15.0 - Agribusiness / -2.92%
USD Th. Clp. % USD Th. Cop. % USD Th. Pen %
CAP $ 8,858.3 1.66% Ecopetrol $ 17,252.8 0.46% Milpo $ 9,310 -3.33%
Enersis $ 7,091.0 0.14% EEB $ 12,685.4 0.31% Rio Alto Mining $ 746 -1.00%
Banco de Chile $ 6,429.5 0.25% Bancolombia $ 8,583.0 -0.75% Volcan-B $ 663 -3.17%
Chile PeruColombia
Top Winners CLP Clp.% Top Winners COP Cop.% Top Winners PEN / USD %
Ripley $ 297 3.42% Pacific Rubiales $ 8,590 5.79% Relapasa $ 0.20 5.26%
Antarchile $ 7,800 3.31% PFGrupsura $ 35,380 1.09% Credicorp $ 152.40 0.93%
Besalco $ 353 3.07% Bogota $ 63,520 0.83% IFS $ 29.30 0.83%
Top Losers CLP Clp.% Top Losers COP Cop.% Top Losers PEN / USD %
Quiñenco $ 1,315.0 -2.59% Canacol $ 6,100 -1.61% Minera IRL $ 0.05 -16.67%
Aguas-A $ 370.9 -2.20% PFCemargos $ 9,100 -1.09% Minsur $ 1.58 -7.06%
Falabella $ 4,366.0 -1.98% Bancolombia $ 26,480 -0.75% BVN $ 10.50 -6.25%
Chile PeruColombia
8
Economic Calendar
Sources: Bloomberg & Credicorp Capital
Date Time Indicator / Event Period Consensus
Credicorp
CapitalActual Previous
5-Feb 8:30 Economic Activity Index YoY Dec-14 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 1.3%
6-Feb 8:00 CPI MoM Jan-15 -0.3% -0.3% 0.1% -0.4%
12-Feb 18:00 Overnight Rate Target Feb-15 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%
Date Time Indicator / Event Period Consensus
Credicorp
CapitalActual Previous
17-Feb 18:00 Retail Sales YoY Dec-14 9.5% - 9.6% 8.4%
17-Feb 18:00 Industrial Production YoY Dec-14 -0.1% - 2.1% -0.9%
20-Feb Overnight Lending Rate Feb-15 4.50% - - 4.50%
Date Time Indicator / Event Period Consensus
Credicorp
CapitalActual Previous
12-Feb 20:00 Reference Rate Feb-15 3.25% - 3.25% 3.25%
16-Feb Unemployment Rate Jan-15 6.1% - 6.4% 5.6%
16-Feb Economic Activity YoY Dec-14 0.5% - 0.5% 0.3%
Chile
Colombia
Peru
9
Important Disclosures This research report was prepared by CredicorpCapital Peru S.A and/or Credicorp Capital Colombia Sociedad Comisionista de
Bolsa and/or IM Trust S.A. Corredores de Bolsa, companies authorized to engage in securities activities in Peru, Colombia and
Chile, respectively and indirect subsidiaries of Credicorp Capital Ltd. (jointly referred to as “Credicorp Capital”). None of the
companies jointly referred to as Credicorp Capital are registered as broker-dealers in the United States and, therefore, they are not
subject to U.S. rules regarding the preparation of research reports and the independence of research analysts. This research report
is provided for distribution only to “major U.S. institutional investors” in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule
15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”).
Any U.S. recipient of this research report wishing to effect any transaction to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments
based on the information provided in this research report can do so only through Credicorp Securities Inc., a registered broker-
dealer in the United States. Under no circumstances may a U.S. recipient of this research report effect any transaction to buy or sell
securities or related financial instruments directly through Credicorp Capital.
Credicorp Securities Inc. accepts responsibility for the contents of this research report, subject to the terms set out below, to the
extent that it is delivered to a U.S. person other than a major U.S. institutional investor.
Any analyst whose name appears on this research report is not registered or qualified as a research analyst with the Financial
Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and is not a registered representative of Credicorp Securities Inc. and, therefore, is not
subject to applicable restrictions under FINRA Rules on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading
securities held by a research analyst account.
A.Analyst Disclosures
The functional job title of the person(s) responsible for the recommendations contained in this report is Equity Research Analyst
unless otherwise stated on the cover.
Regulation AC - Analyst Certification: Each Equity Research Analyst listed on the front-page of this report is principally
responsible for the preparation and content of all or any identified portion of this research report and hereby certifies thatwith
respect to each issuer or security or any identified portion of the report with respect to an issuer or security that the Equity Research
Analyst covers in this research report, all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect their personal views about
those issuer(s) or securities. Each Equity Research Analyst also certifies that no part of their compensation was, is, or will be,
directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) expressed by that Equity Research Analyst in this research
report.
Each Equity Research Analyst certifies that he or she is acting independently and impartially from the referenced
company/shareholders, directors and is not affected by any current or potential conflict of interest that may arise from any of the
companies’ activities.
Analyst Compensation: The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the preparation of the content of this research report
attest(s) that no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations that
he or she expressed in the research report.
Registration of non-US Analysts: Unless otherwise noted, the non-US analysts listed on the front of this report are employees of
one of the companies jointly referred as Credicorp Capital, which are non-US affiliates of Credicorp Securities Inc., a SEC registered
and FINRA member broker-dealer. Equity Research Analysts employed by the companies jointly referred as Credicorp Capital, are
not registered/ qualified as research analysts under FINRA/NYSE rules, are not registered representatives of CredicorpSecurities
Inc. and may not be subject to NASD Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with covered companies, public
appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst account. Please refer to www.credicorpcapital.com for further
information relating to research and conflict of interest management.
10
B.Ownership and Material Conflicts of Interest
Credicorp Securities Inc. or its affiliates ‘beneficially own’, as determined in accordance with Section 13(d) of the Exchange Act, 1%
or more of the equity securities of the company Alicorp.
Credicorp Securities Inc., its affiliates and/or their respective officers, directors or employees may have interests, or long or short
positions, and may at any time make purchases or sales as a principal or agent of the securities referred to herein.
C.Compensation and Investment Banking Activities
Credicorp Securities Inc. or any of its affiliates have managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for one or more of the
companies referenced in this report in the past 12 months. Credicorp Securities Inc. or its affiliates have received compensation for
investment banking services from the companies Corpbanca, Celsia, Bancolombia and Alicorp in the past 12 months. Credicorp
Securities Inc. or its affiliates do expect to receive or intend to seek compensation for investment banking services from one or more
of the mentioned companies in the next 3 months.
D. Rating System
Stock ratings are based on the analyst’s expectation of the stock’s total return during the twelve to eighteen months following
assignment of the rating. This view is based on the target price, set as described below, and on the analyst’s opinion, general market
conditions and economic developments.
Buy: Expected returns of 5 percentage points or more in excess over the expected return of the local index, over the next 12-18
months.
Hold: Expected returns of +/- 5% in excess/below the expected return of the local index over the next 12-18 months.
Underperform: Expected to underperform the local index by 5 percentage points or more over the next 12-18 months.
Under Review / Restricted: Company coverage is under review or restricted.
IPSA index is the selective equity index calculated by the Bolsa de Comercio de Santiago.
COLCAP index is the selective equity index calculated by the Bolsa de Valores de Colombia.
IGBVL index is the selective equity index calculated by the Bolsa de Valores de Lima..
In making a recommendation, the analyst compares the target price with the actual share price, and compares the resulting
expected return for the IPSA indes, as estimated by IM Trust Corredores de Bolsa S.A., and then makes a recommendation derived
from the difference in upside potential between the shares and the index.
E. Distribution of Ratings
Rating
N° of Companies covered with this
rating
Companies covered with this rating
(% )
Buy 35 42%
Hold 37 45%
Underperform 9 11%
Under Review /
Restricted2 2%
Total 83 100%
11
F.Price Target
Unless otherwise stated in the text of this report, target prices in this report are based on either a discounted cash flow valuation or
comparison of valuation ratios with companies seen by the analyst as comparable or a combination of the two methods. The result of
this fundamental valuation is adjusted to reflect the analyst’s views on the likely course of investor sentiment. Whichever valuation
method is used there is a significant risk that the target price will not be achieved within the expected timeframe. Risk factors include
unforeseen changes in competitive pressures or in the level of demand for the company’s products. Such demand variations may
result from changes in technology, in the overall level of economic activity or, in some cases, in fashion. Valuations may also be
affected by changes in taxation, in exchange rates and, in certain industries, in regulations. Investment in overseas markets and
instruments such as ADRs can result in increased risk from factors such as exchange rates, exchange controls, taxation, and
political and social conditions. This discussion of valuation methods and risk factors is not comprehensive – further information is
available upon request.
II.ADDITIONAL DISCLOSURES
This product is not for retail clients or private individuals.
The information contained in this publication was obtained from various publicly available sources believed to be reliable, but has not
been independently verified by the companies jointly referred as Credicorp Capital, therefore they do not warrant the completeness
or accuracy of such information and does not accept any liability with respect to the accuracy or completeness of such information,
except to the extent required by applicable law.
This publication is a brief summary and does not purport to contain all available information on the subjects covered. Further
information may be available on request. This report may not be reproduced for further publication unless the source is quoted. This
publication is for information purposes only and shall not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the subscription or purchase or
sale of any securities, or as an invitation, inducement or intermediation for the sale, subscription or purchase of any securities, or for
engaging in any other transaction. This publication is not for private individuals.
Any opinions, projections, forecasts or estimates in this report are those of the author only, who has acted with a high degree of
expertise. They reflect only the current views of the author at the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. The
companies jointly referred to as Credicorp Capital have no obligation to update, modify or amend this publication or to otherwise
notify a reader or recipient of this publication in the event that any matter, opinion, projection, forecast or estimate contained herein,
changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate, or if research on the subject company is withdrawn. The analysis, opinions,
projections, forecasts and estimates expressed in this report were in no way affected or influenced by the issuer. The author of this
publication benefits financially from the overall success of Credicorp Capital.
The investments referred to in this publication may not be suitable for all recipients. Recipients are urged to base their investment
decisions upon their own appropriate investigations that they deem necessary. Any loss or other consequence arising from the use
of the material contained in this publication shall be the sole and exclusive responsibility of the investor and Credicorp Capital
accepts no liability for any such loss or consequence. In the event of any doubt about any investment, recipients should contact their
own investment, legal and/or tax advisers to seek advice regarding the appropriateness of investing. Some of the investments
mentioned in this publication may not be readily liquid investments. Consequently it may be difficult to sell or realize such
investments. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance of an investment. The value of investments and the income
derived from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount invested. Some investments discussed in this
publication may have a high level of volatility. High volatility investments may experience sudden and large falls in their value which
may cause losses. International investing includes risks related to political and economic uncertainties of foreign countries, as well
as currency risk.
12
To the extent permitted by applicable law, no liability whatsoever is accepted for any direct or consequential loss, damages, costs or
prejudices whatsoever arising from the use of this publication or its contents.
Credicorp Capital (and its affiliates) has implemented written procedures designed to identify and manage potential conflicts of
interest that arise in connection with its research business, which are available upon request. The Credicorp Capital research
analysts and other staff involved in issuing and disseminating research reports operate independently of Credicorp Capital’s
Investment Banking business. Information barriers and procedures are in place between the research analysts and staff involved in
securities trading for the account of Credicorp Capital or clients to ensure that price sensitive information is handled according to
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13
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14
Heinrich Lessau Hugo Horta
Director of Research Director of Sales & Trading
[email protected] [email protected]
CHILE COLOMBIA PERU Hernán Arellano
Head of Equities
Francisca Manuschevich César Cuervo Héctor Collantes [email protected]
Head of Equity Research Head of North Andean Equity Research Head of Equity Research
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2446 1798 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1012 # (511) 205 9190 Ext 33052 Javier Günther Marilyn Macdonald Cristián Castillo
International Equity Sales International Equity Sales International Sales Trader
Christopher DiSalvatore Jaime Pedroza Fernando Pereda [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Associate: Retail & Financials Senior Analyst: Utilities Senior Analyst: Cement & Utilities # (562) 2450 1695 # (4477) 7151 5855 # (786) 999 1633
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2446 1724 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1025 # (511) 205 9190 Ext 37856 CHILE PERU COLOMBIA
Arturo Prado Juan C. Domínguez Iván Bogarín René Ossa Rodrigo Zavala Juan A. Jiménez
Senior Analyst: Natural Resources Senior Analyst: Banks Senior Analyst: Retail & Others International Equity Sales Head of Equity - Peru Head of International Equity Sales
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2450 1688 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1026 # (511) 416 3333 Ext 33055 # (562) 2651 9324 # (511) 313 2918 Ext 36044 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1701
Andrés Ossa Sebastián Gallego Tamara Vasquez Christian Munchmeyer Ursula Mitterhofer Santiago Castro
Analyst: Utilities, Telecom & I.T. Analyst: Oil & Gas Research Assistant International Sales & Trading Sales & Trading International Sales & Trading
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2651 9332 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1594 # (511) 416 3333 Ext 37946 # (562) 2450 1613 # (511) 313 2918 Ext 32922 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1344
Tomás Sanhueza Carlos E. Rodriguez
Analyst: Food & Beverages, Healthcare Analyst: GEA & infrastructure
[email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2446 1751 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1365
Pilar González
Analyst: Transport
# (562) 2446 1768 Felipe García
Head of Fixed Income
Lourdes Alamos [email protected]
Research Coordinator & Holdings Analyst
# (562) 2450 1609 CHILE COLOMBIA PERU
Gonzalo Covarrubias Carlos Sanchez Alfredo Bejar
Head of Capital Markets Head of Fixed Income Head of Fixed Income / FX Trading
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
CHILE COLOMBIA PERU # (562) 2450 1635 # (571) 323 9154 # (511) 205 9190 Ext 36148
Paulina Yazigi Daniel Velandia Irvin León Guido Riquelme Christian Jarrin Vallerie Yong
Head of Research & Chief Economist Head of Research & Chief Economist Senior Fixed Income Analyst Head of Sales RM Fixed Income Offshore Local FI Senior Trader
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2450 1637 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1505 # (511) 416 3333 Ext 37854 # (562) 2446 1712 # (571) 340 2591 # (511) 313 2902 - # (511) 313 2908
Felipe Lubiano Sergio Ferro Alberto Zapata Belén Larraín Andrés Valderrama Evangeline Arapoglou
Senior Fixed Income Analyst Fixed Income Analyst Fixed Income Analyst Head of International FI Sales Fixed Income Trader Senior International FI Trader
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2651 9308 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1609 # (511) 205 9190 Ext 36018 # (562) 2446 1720 # (571) 323 9163 # (511) 313 2902 - # (511) 313 2908
Paulina Valdivieso Camilo A. Durán Paz Stepke José Andrés Riveros Lizeth Espíritu
Fixed Income Analyst Macro Analyst International Fixed Income Sales Fixed Income Trader Fixed Income Trader
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2651 9337 # (5511) 339 4400 Ext. 1383 # (562) 2651 9336 # (571) 339 4400 Ext 1180 # (511) 313 2902 - # (511) 313 2908
Andrés Osorio Benjamín Diaz
Economist Local Fixed Income Sales
[email protected] [email protected]
# (562) 2446 1760 # (562) 2446 1738
FIXED INCOME & ECONOMICS RESEARCH
CONTACT LIST
ANDEAN RESEARCH TEAM SALES & TRADING
EQUITY RESEARCH EQUITY SALES & TRADING
FIXED INCOME SALES & TRADING