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Transcript of 11 1 11. 22 2 22 There are no two things in the world that are exactly the same… And if there was,...
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Chapter 3
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Measurement concepts
There are no two things in the world that are exactly the same…
And if there was, we would say they’re different.
- unknown
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Measurement terms
Discrimination The smallest unit of measurement on a measuring device.
ResolutionThe capability of the system to detect and faithfully indicate even small changes of the measured characteristic.
Maximum errorHalf of the accuracy.
Tolerance, specification limitsAcceptable range of a specific dimension. Can be bilateral or unilateral
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Measurement terms
DistributionA graphical representation of a group of numbers based on frequency.
Variation The difference between things.
PopulationSet of all possible values.
SampleA subset of the population.
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Measurement terms
Randomness Any individual item in a set has the same probability of occurrence as all other items within the specified set.
Random SampleOne or more samples randomly selected from the population.
Biased SampleAny sample that is more likely to be chosen than another.
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It is impossible for us to improve our processes if our gaging system cannot discriminate between parts or if we cannot repeat our measurement values.
Every day we ask “Show me the data” - yet we rarely ask is the data accurate and how do you know?
Initial thoughts
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Success depends upon the ability to measure performance.
Rule #1: A process is only as good as the ability to reliably measure.
Rule #2: A process is only as good as the ability to repeat.
Gordy Skattum, CQE
Initial thoughts
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Difficult or impossible to make process improvements
Can make our processes worse! Causes quality, cost, delivery
problems False alarm signals, increases
process variation, loss of process stability
Improperly calculated control limits
Impact of bad measurements on SPC
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Some variation can be experienced with natural senses:◦ The visual difference in height
between someone who is 6'7" and someone who is 5'2".
Some variation is so small that an extremely sensitive instrument is required to detect it:◦ The diametrical difference between
a shaft that is ground to ∅.50002 and one that is ground to ∅.50004.
Variation
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Normal variation◦ running in an expected,
consistent manner, we would consider it normal or common cause variation.
Non-normal variation◦ running in a sudden, unexpected
manner, we would consider it non-normal, or assignable cause variation.
Types of variation
We only want normal variation in our processes
We only want normal variation in our processes
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Statistical control - shows if the inherent variability of a process is being caused by normal causes of variation, as opposed to assignable or non-normal causes.
Why only normal variation?
Assignable Cause?
Assignable Cause?
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What is a distribution?
Each unit of measure is a numerical value on a continuous scale
Size Size Size Size
Pieces vary from each other
Variation common and special causes
But they form a pattern that, if stable, is called a distribution
Histogram
Normal Distribution
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Distributions
There are three terms used to describe distributions
3. Location
1. Shape
2. Spread
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Capability
Specification Tolerance
Lower Spec Upper Spec
Average
Left Upright Right Upright
Goal Post
Concept of goal posting
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Po
ten
tia
l F
ailu
res
Co
stM
ean
(ta
rget
)
Waste
Lower Spec
Upper Spec
The Taguchi Loss Function Concept
Cost at lower spec
Cost at upper spec
Cost at mean
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Because we are using all of our tolerance, we’re forced to keep the process exactly centered. If the process shifts at all, nonconforming parts will be produced
What happens when “Shift Happens?”
Target
Upper Specification
Limit
Lower Specification
Limit
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Using 75% or less of a tolerance will allow processes to shift slightly with little chance of producing any defects
The goal is to improve your process in order to use the least amount of tolerance possible◦ Reduce the opportunity to produce
defects◦ Reduce the cost of the process
Getting started
We need to calculate process capability
We need to calculate process capability
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Spread Too Large
Low High
Off Center & SpreadCombination
Low High
65 73.5 75
Low High
Off Center
65 70 75
65 68 75
Pictures of “BAD” quality
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Lower SpecificationLimit
Upper SpecificationLimit
65 7570
World-class Quality
Using only 50% of the tolerance or
less
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What is statistics? How are statistics used with:
◦ Baseball Scouts◦ Bankers◦ Weathermen◦ Television Networks◦ Insurance Agents
Statistics
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Collect the data• How? random
Organize the data• How? graphically
Analyze the data• How? graphically, use
statistics
Interpret the data• How? graphically, use
statistics, logical fit
Using statistics
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Mean - can be found of a group of values by adding them together, and dividing by the number of values. The mean is the average of a group of numbers. We will use it to find out where the center of a distribution lies.
Central tendency
House 1 $110K What is your total? ________ House 2 $105K House 3 $100K How many houses were there? ________ House 4 $95K House 5 $90K What is the average price? ________
Remember - Average and Mean are synonymous!!!
xN
xpopulation
n
xxsample
x
** 100k is the mean because it is the middle weighted value.**
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Median - The median represents the data value that is physically in the middle when the set of data is organized from smallest to largest.
If there are an odd number of data values, there will be just one value in the middle when the data are ordered, and that value is the median.
If there is an even number of values, order the values and average the two values that occur in the middle.
** 100k is the median because after the data is arranged in order it is exactly half way to both ends.**
Mode- The mode represents the data value that occurs the most or the class that has the highest frequency in a frequency distribution.
** 100k is the mode because it occurs more than the others in the data table.**
Central tendency
x~
85k 90k 95k 100k 105K 110K 115K
85k 100k 95k 100k 105K 110K 115K
100k 90k 95k 100k 100K 100K 115K
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Range is a measure that shows the difference between the highest and lowest values in a group. To find range, subtract from the highest value the lowest value.
The formula for range is: R = H - L
R = rangeH = highest valueL = lowest value
Dispersion
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Range examples
Example #1 Using the following numbers, lets find
the range:The data is 4,7,6,1,15,10.R = H - LR = 15 - 1R = 14 The range is 14.
Example #2
Two consecutive parts in an order have the following sizes: .250, .2535
R = H - LR = .2535 - .250R = .0035
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Standard Deviation (sigma) is a more descriptive measure of the spread or variability of a group than is range.
It is better defined as the “average deviation from the mean” of any process.
If all of the parts in a group have a large range, the standard deviation will normally be quite high. If the same parts have a small range, the standard deviation will also be small.
Standard deviation
1
)( ,
)( 1
2
1
2
nssample
npopulation
n
ii
n
ii
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Although the method we just used to calculate standard
deviation is accurate, it is also very time consuming. Because time is money in industry, we find that it becomes more cost effective to estimate standard deviation rather than calculate the exact number. This gives us a number very close to the exact number, but in a very short time period. The following formula is used to estimate standard deviation:
Where....... = Estimate of Standard Deviation = the average range among the samples in each subgroup and, = a constant based on the number of samples in each subgroup An Individuals X and Moving Range chart, which we will discuss in detail later, uses subgroup sizes of two. The d2 value for subgroups of
size two = 1.128. Therefore, we can easily calculate an estimate of standard deviation for IX & MR charts by dividing the average of all range values by 1.128. The numbers are .3472, .3476, .3478, .3479, .3474, .3472:
Estimating sigma – The Shewhart Formula
.3472
.3476
.3478
.3479
.3474
.3472
.0004
.0002
.0001
.0005
.0002
ValuesRange
.0014
.00028
.000248
Total
Average
Est. Std. Dev.
2
ˆd
R
R
2d
See Table B.1 for d2 values
Your book also calls this “s”
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Estimating standard deviation exerciseAn operator is running a job on a lathe. The tolerance is .656-.657. The following values were documented. Complete the calculations and answer the questions that follow.
.6567
.6569
.6561
.6563
.6564
.6562
ValuesRange
Total
Average
Est. Std. Dev.
.6564
.6565
.6568
.6562
.6565
.6566
.6567
.6561
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Histograms
Histograms
A histogram is a chart that shows how often an event occurs. As the name implies, a histogram shows us the history of a process. The left side of the chart shows how many times an event occurred. The bottom of the chart shows the variable measurement value. Histograms help you to discern if the process you are running is capable of meeting a given tolerance, and also shows you if there are assignable causes of variation affecting the process. The following diagram shows what a basic histogram looks like.
10 9 8 X
7 X
6 X
5 X X
4 X X X
3 X X X X
2 X X X X X
1 X X X X X X X
t .493 .494 .495 .496 .497 .498 .499 .500 .501 .502 .503 .504 .505 .506 .507
As you can see the size classes are located on the horizontal axis, with the frequency listed on the vertical axis. An “X” is placed over each class for every part that measures that size. After all parts have been plotted, you can begin to understand the inherent variability patterns of the process better. If you superimpose the specification limits on the graph, you can easily see where all of the parts are located in the tolerance spectrum.
Tally histogram
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Histograms (cont.....)What speculations can you make about the following processes
based on the histograms?
LSL USL 10 9 X 8 X 7 X 6 X 5 X 4 X X 3 X X X 2 X X X X 1 X X X X X
.493 .494 .495 .496 .497 .498 .499 .500 .501 .502 .503 .504 .505 .506 .507
1.
LSL USL 10 9 X 8 X 7 X X X X 6 X X X X 5 X X X X 4 X X X X X X X 3 X X X X X X X X X X 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
.493 .494 .495 .496 .497 .498 .499 .500 .501 .502 .503 .504 .505 .506 .507
2.
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Histograms (cont.....)
LSL USL 10 9 X 8 X 7 X 6 X 5 X X X 4 X X X 3 X X X 2 X X X X X 1 X X X X X X X
.493 .494 .495 .496 .497 .498 .499 .500 .501 .502 .503 .504 .505 .506 .507
3.
LSL USL 10 X 9 X 8 X 7 X X X 6 X X X X 5 X X X X X 4 X X X X X 3 X X X X X X X 2 X X X X X X X X 1 X X X X X X X X
.493 .494 .495 .496 .497 .498 .499 .500 .501 .502 .503 .504 .505 .506 .507
4.
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Let’s look at how this fits together…
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Calculate our statistics
The HeightExample
Inches? Inches?
Hey buddy...whatchagot in the case?
Step 1Collect
Data
HeightsDev. from
Avgerage.
Total
Xbar(average) »Sigma!!
Let’s practice
Find:
MeanMedianModeRangeSigma -population -sample -est. of
5’ = 60”6’ = 72”
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Plot height data and use the statistics
Step 2Create a
Histogram
Xbar =
Scale - (Use 2"increments)
Sigma Area % Height Span Realistic? (Y/N)+/- 1 Sigma+/- 2 Sigma+/- 3 Sigma+/- 6 Sigma
Step 3Add Sigma
Limits
Step 4
Analyze
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LowSpeed Limit
HighSpeed Limit
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Population vs. sample
PopulationSample