10/22/20141 Aggregate Demand & Aggregate Supply Chapter 07.
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Transcript of 10/22/20141 Aggregate Demand & Aggregate Supply Chapter 07.
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Aggregate Demand & Aggregate Demand & Aggregate SupplyAggregate Supply
Chapter 07Chapter 07
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OutlineOutline
Aggregate Demand (AD)Aggregate Demand (AD) Aggregate Supply (AS)Aggregate Supply (AS) Equilibrium Price Level (Pe) and Real Equilibrium Price Level (Pe) and Real
GDP (Qe= Ye)GDP (Qe= Ye)
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AD-AS ModelAD-AS Model
AD-AS model is the macroeconomic AD-AS model is the macroeconomic model that uses AD and AS to model that uses AD and AS to determine and explain the price level determine and explain the price level (P) and the level of real domestic (P) and the level of real domestic output (Q = Y).output (Q = Y).
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Aggregate Demand (AD)Aggregate Demand (AD)
AD is a schedule or curve that shows AD is a schedule or curve that shows the total quantity of goods and the total quantity of goods and services demanded (purchased) at services demanded (purchased) at different price levels (P).different price levels (P).
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The AD CurveThe AD CurvePrice Level
GDP Deflator (P)
Real GDP (Q = Y)
Aggregate Demand(AD)
P1
Q1
A
At the price level P1, the economy purchases Q1.At the price level P2, the economy purchases Q2.
P2
Q2
B
Lower price levels increase the quantity of real GDPdemanded, and vice versa.
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Changes in ADChanges in ADPrice Level
GDP Deflator (P)
Real GDP (Q = Y)
AD1
P1
Q1
A1
A rightward shift from AD1 to AD2 represents an increase in AD. P stays unchanged, but Q rises.
AD2
AD3
A2A3
Q3 Q2
A leftward shift from AD1 to AD3 represents a decrease in AD. P stays unchanged, but Q falls.
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in consumer spending (C) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
Household borrowing
More borrowing/less saving
Less borrowing/more saving
Up (Wealth effect)
Down (Reverse wealth effect)
increases
decreases
ADConsumer wealth C
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
increases
decreases
ADC
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in consumer spending (C) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
Personal income taxes
Tax reductions
Tax increases
Positive
Negative
increases
decreases
ADConsumer expectations C
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
increases
decreases
ADC
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in investment spending (I) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
Expected returns
Higher
Lower
Declines
Increases
increases
decreases
ADReal interest rate I
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
increases
decreases
ADI
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in investment spending (I) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Future business conditions
Optimistic increases
ADExpected returns
I
Down – leftward shiftPessimistic decreases
Up – rightward shift
Technology
New and improved increases
ADExpected returns
I
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in investment spending (I) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Excess capacity
Declines increases
ADExpected returns
I
Down – leftward shiftIncreases decreases
Up – rightward shift
Business taxes
Decreases increases
ADExpected returns
I
Down – leftward shiftIncreases decreases
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in government spending (G) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
increases
decreases
ADG
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in net export spending (NX) and AD
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
increases
decreases
ADNX
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Changes in net export spending (NX) and AD
Up – rightward shiftIncreases increases
ADNational income abroad NX
Down – leftward shiftDecreases decreases
Up – rightward shiftDollar depreciation increases
ADExchange rates NX
Down – leftward shiftDollar appreciation decreases
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Changes in ADChanges in ADGDP = Q = C + I + G + NX
If P is unchanged; any change in C, or I, or G, or NX changes AD.
Summary
Up – rightward shift increases
AD C, or I, or G, or NXwhen
Consumer wealth increases
Consumer borrowing increases
Consumer expectations are positive
Personal income taxes reduce
Real interest rates falls
Expected returns are higher
Government purchases increase
National income abroad increases
Domestic currency (dollar) depreciates
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Aggregate Supply (AS)Aggregate Supply (AS)
AS is a schedule or curve that shows AS is a schedule or curve that shows the total quantity of goods and the total quantity of goods and services supplied (produced) at services supplied (produced) at different price levels.different price levels.
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The AS CurveThe AS CurvePrice Level
GDP Deflator (P)
Real GDP (Q = Y)
ASISR
A
The immediate short-run AS is horizontal,as both input and output prices stay fixed.
P1
Qf
ASSR
ASLR
The short-run AS is upward-sloping. With input pricesfixed, changes in P will raise or lower real firm profits.The long-run AS is vertical. The economy will producefull-employment output level Qf no matter what P is.
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Aggregate Supply (AS)Aggregate Supply (AS)
Name
AS in the immediateshort-run
Label
ASISR
Shape
horizontalInput and output prices stay fixed.Firms supply G&S at fixed prices.
Explanation
Input prices stay sticky, but outputare flexible.
Firms supply more when prices riseand less when prices fall.
upward-sloping
AS in theshort-run
ASSR
Input prices change to match changes in the price level.
Firms have no incentive to altertheir output.
verticalAS in thelong-run
ASLR
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The Short-Run AS CurveThe Short-Run AS CurvePrice Level
GDP Deflator (P)
Real GDP (Q = Y)
ASSR
P1
Q1
A
At the price level P1, the economy supplies Q1.At the price level P2, the economy supplies Q2.
P2
Q2
B
Higher price levels increase the quantity of real GDPsupplied, and vice versa.
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Changes in ASChanges in ASPrice Level
GDP Deflator (P)
Real GDP (Q = Y)
AS1
P1
Q1
A1
A rightward shift from AS1 to AS2 represents an increase in AS. P stays unchanged, but Q rises.
AS2AS3
A2A3
Q3Q2
A leftward shift from AS1 to AS3 represents a decrease in AS. P stays unchanged, but Q falls.
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Changes in ASChanges in ASGDP = Q = A F (L, K, H, N)
If P is unchanged; any change in L, or K, or H, N, or A changes AS.
Changes in input prices and AS
Domestic resourcesLabor/wages; land/rent;
capital/interest
ASInputs/Prices Input prices
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
decreases
increases
ASInput prices
Per-unit production cost = Total input costs / Units of output
Imported resources
$ appreciates
$ depreciates
Exchange rates
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
decreases
increases
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Changes in ASChanges in ASGDP = Q = A F (L, K, H, N)
If P is unchanged; any change in L, or K, or H, N, or A changes AS.
Changes in input prices and AS
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
increases
decreases
ASProductivity
Per-unit production cost = Total input costs / Units of output
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Changes in ASChanges in ASGDP = Q = A F (L, K, H, N)
If P is unchanged; any change in L, or K, or H, N, or A changes AS.
Changes in input prices and AS
Legal-institution environment
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
Lower
Higher
ASBusiness taxes
Per-unit production cost = Total input costs / Units of output
Up – rightward shift
Down – leftward shift
Fewer
More
ASRegulations
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Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)
Pe and QePe and Qe Changes in the price level and real Changes in the price level and real
GDPGDP– Demand-pull inflationDemand-pull inflation– Cost-push inflationCost-push inflation
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Macroeconomic Macroeconomic EquilibriumEquilibrium
P
Real GDP (Q = Y)
ASSR
P1
Pe
Qe
E
The economy is illustrated by the AD and AS curves below.
ADShortage
P2
Surplus
The intersection point between AD and AS curves determinesthe economy’s equilibrium price level Pe, and real GDP Qe.
At P1 < Pe, there is a shortage of G&S, which will causethe price level to increase to Pe.
At P2 > Pe, there is a surplus of G&S, which will causethe price level to fall to Pe.
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Demand-Pull InflationDemand-Pull InflationP
Real GDP (Q = Y)
ASSR
Pe
Qf
E1
The economy is illustrated by the AD and AS curves below.
AD1
P2
An increase in AD causes a demand-pull inflation and a positive GDP gap (Q1 – Qf).
AD2
E2
Q2
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Cost-Push InflationCost-Push InflationP
Real GDP (Q = Y)
AS1
Pe
Qf
E1
The economy is illustrated by the AD and AS curves below.
AD
P2
Q2
E2
AS2
A leftward shift of the AS causes a cost-push inflation anda negative GDP gap.
AS2
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Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)
Downward price level inflexibilityDownward price level inflexibility– Fear of price warsFear of price wars– Menu costsMenu costs– Wage contractsWage contracts– Morale, effort, and productivityMorale, effort, and productivity– Minimum wageMinimum wage– The ratchet effectThe ratchet effect– Recession and cyclical unemploymentRecession and cyclical unemployment
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Recession and Cyclical Recession and Cyclical UnemploymentUnemployment
P
Real GDP (Q = Y)
ASSR
P2
Q2
E2
The economy is illustrated by the AD and AS curves below.
AD2
P1
A decrease in AD causes a recession. There is deflation and a negative GDP gap.
AD1
E1
Qf
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Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)
The multiplier effectThe multiplier effect– The multiplier is the ratio of a change in The multiplier is the ratio of a change in
GDP to an initial change in government GDP to an initial change in government spending (G)spending (G)
– Multiplier = Change in real GDP Multiplier = Change in real GDP / Initial change in G / Initial change in G
– Change in real GDP = multiplier Change in real GDP = multiplier x Initial change in G x Initial change in G
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Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Equilibrium Price Level (P) and Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)Real GDP (Qe = Ye = AEe)
Self-correction?Self-correction?– In theory, price and wage flexibility In theory, price and wage flexibility
would allow the economy to automatically would allow the economy to automatically self-correct from a recession.self-correct from a recession.
– In reality, downward price and wage In reality, downward price and wage flexibility make the process slow and flexibility make the process slow and uncertain.uncertain.
– The government and the Fed often The government and the Fed often intervene to increase AD.intervene to increase AD.
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