1 Specific Factors and Income Distribution © Prof. J. Peter Neary 2009 Economics Department,...
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Transcript of 1 Specific Factors and Income Distribution © Prof. J. Peter Neary 2009 Economics Department,...
2
Specific-Factors Model
Ricardian model has nothing to say about domestic income distribution
BUT: In reality, trade has important effects on distribution
One major reason: Factors cannot move immediately or costlessly between sectors
An interesting alternative model, which focuses clearly on this issue, is the Specific-Factors model
Difference in assumptions: 3 factors instead of 1
• Labour (L) is mobile between sectors
• Capital (K) and Land (T) are immobile or “sector-specific”
Similar to 2-sector Ricardian model in other respects:
• 2 goods: Manufacturing and Food
• Full Employment; perfect competition
3
Fig. 3-1: The Production Functionfor Manufactures
QM
LM
QM = QM(K, LM)
LM
MPLM
Fig. 3-2: The Marginal Productof Labour in Manufactures
• Equals the slope of the prod. func.• Downward-sloping: Reflecting
Diminishing Returns• As more labour is added to fixed
amount of capital, its marginal return falls
4Fig. 3-3: The PPF in the Specific-Factors Model
Full-Employment Locus:LM+LF=L
Production FunctionFor Manufactures
Production FunctionFor Food
PPF: ProductionPossibilityFrontier
QM
QF
LF
LM
Exercise: repeat this slide and last for 2-good Ricardian model
5
Equilibrium Allocation of Labour
Profit maximisation in each sector =>
w = Value of marginal product of labour
i.e., w = P x MPL
For given price, VMPL curve is just the MPL curve
i.e., it is the demand curve for labour
e.g., in manufacturing:
LM
VMPLM
w
LM
PM x MPLM
6
Equilibrium Allocation of Labour (cont.)
Similarly in food:
LF
VMPLF
w
LF
LFLF
VMPLF
Now, flip this diagram around:
w
7
Equilibrium Allocation of Labour (cont.)
Finally, combine the two labour demand curves:
LM
VMPLF
w
LFLM
VMPLM
Horizontal axis measures L: i.e., full employment
Intersection of two demand curves determines equilibrium wage and allocation of labour between sectors
Note: w is exogenous in partial equilibrium, endogenous in general equilibrium: follow the arrows!
LF
L
8
Effects of a Rise in the Relative Price of Manufactures
LM
VMPLF
w
LFLM
VMPLM
Curve shifts upwards: equilibrium shifts from A to B• Employment and hence output of manufactures increase (intuitive)
• Wage rises BUT by less than the price increase
• i.e., wage-earners gain in terms of food, lose in terms of manufactures
• Owners of capital gain, owners of land lose (in terms of both goods)
LF
A
B
9
Effects of price rise in PPF diagram:• Initial equilibrium at A
• Price = MC in each sector => slope of price line = slope of PPF
Effects of a Rise in the Relative Price of Manufactures (cont.)
Higher world price of M => steeper price line
QM
QF
A
B
=> New equilibrium at B: QM rises, QF falls
10
Effects of a Rise in the Capital Stock
LM
VMPLF
w
LFLM
VMPLM
Curve shifts rightwards: equilibrium shifts from A to B(Looks very like last VMPL diagram, though interpretation is different)
• Employment and hence output of manufactures increase (intuitive)
• Wage rises relative to both goods prices: i.e., wage-earners definitely gain
• Owners of capital lose per unit, owners of land lose
LF
A
B
11
p=pM/pF
Q Q
Q QM M
F F
*
*
World supply curvean average of the two
Foreign has less capital:So lower relative supply of M
Relative demand curvedetermines equilibrium
in both autarky and free trade
Assume Home has more capital:So higher relative supply of M
Implications for Trade Patterns
p*A
pA
pF
N.B. This diagram is similar to the 2-good Ricardian case; differences:• Countries have identical technology, and differ in factor endowments • The supply curves are smooth
12
Distributional Conflict versus Aggregate Gains
Move from autarky at A to free trade at B:
QM
QF
A
B
• Since some factors gain and some lose, what can we say?
• At least, we can say that the economy as a whole could do better than its initial total consumption
i.e., starting from B, economy could consume along red portion of new price line
• As in Ricardian model, trade expands the economy’s consumption possibilities
• So, losers could be compensated and still leave gainers better off
• BUT: In practice, compensation is rarely carried out
13
Specific Factors: General Conclusions
• Differences in resources: a source of comparative advantage[Topical, with oil at $120 a barrel! (April 2008)]
• Trade (and any other change) has both winners and losers
• Winners are factors specific to export sectors; losers are factors specific to import-competing sectors
• Winners could compensate losers …
• BUT: In practice, such compensation is rarely carried out fully
• Though there are examples of partial compensatione.g., adjustment assistance, retraining subsidies, temporary subsidies, etc.
• Case study: Repeal of the Corn Laws in 1846See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corn_Laws
• Overall: A very neat, simple model:– Rationalises partial equilibrium intuition, in a fully specified GE model
– Highlights effects on distribution
– But: Naïve theory of trade [Samuelson: “tropical countries export tropical products because of the abundance of tropical products there”!]
14
Reconciling the HOS and Specific-Factors Models
– Note: There is a magnification effect on the rentals (though not on the wage)
– Compare this with the effects in the HOS model
FFMMFM rpwprpp ˆˆˆˆˆˆˆ
So far: Two interesting but very different models: Are they necessarily in conflict?
Not necessarily - One way of reconciling them: Interpret each as applying to a different time frame.
• SF: Describes short-run responses
• HOS: Describes longer-run responses (after capital stock has had time to adjust)
Mechanism driving this adjustment can be seen by looking at full effect of a price change in SF model:
15
Reconciling the HOS and Specific-Factors Models (cont.)
This rise in rM relative to rF encourages capital to flow (reallocate) over time out of sector F into sector M
As a result:
• Long-run response to price change is greater than short-run response: i.e., declining sector declines by more
• Economy converges in longer run towards the equilibrium predicted by the HOS model
Finally: An alternative (though related) difference in interpretation between the two models concerns the different kinds of shocks they illustrate:
• SF: Describes response to unanticipated shocks
• HOS: Describes response to anticipated shocks: Capital will have already begun to move