1 Software development WP6. 2 Team CEFAS: architecture and documentation IC: modules for calculating...
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Transcript of 1 Software development WP6. 2 Team CEFAS: architecture and documentation IC: modules for calculating...
2
Team
• CEFAS: “architecture” and documentation
• IC: modules for calculating new functions (penalty prob.; enforcement cost)
• AZTI: links FLR to databases
• JRC: testing solutions for less experienced users (web access version)
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PlanningDiscussed at meeting (14 June – London)
WP 6
Software
WP 3
Theoretical
Modelling WP 2/4/5
Data collection
Harmonisation
Estimation
WP 7 (IC)
Model
WP 8
Simulations
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Feedback
WP 6
Software
WP 7 (IC)
Model
WP 8
Simulations
r – the “software used”
Also in rOr a module of FLR?MSE
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• Requirement for development of generic code• Implement COBECOS theoretical approach on a
case-study basis• Each case-study has individual requirements• Guidance can be provided• Use bio-economic model versus Management
Strategy Evaluation (MSE)– depends on resources, data, linkages to other projects.
COBECOS requirements
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Operating ModelComputer simulation of
complex "Reality"
AssessmentComputer simulation of
sampling and assessment process
Management ControlsComputer simulation ofmanagement based on
perception of the system
Process errors are generatedin the operating model.
Data for assessments are generated with measurement error
Estimation errors arise due to the assessment procedures.
Assessment results in a “Perceived” system.
Performance Statistics
Feedback
Performance Statistics
Management Strategy Evaluation
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MANAGEMENT PROCEDUREAssess status of stock and set management options depending upon perceived status of fishery stock(s)
Management decision stage
Biological reference
points (e.g. MSY)
FLBRP
Management procedure
FLHCR
MANAGEMENT PROCEDUREAssess status of stock and set management options depending upon perceived status of fishery stock(s)
Management decision stage
Biological reference
points (e.g. MSY)
FLBRP
Management procedure
FLHCR
MANAGEMENT PROCEDUREAssess status of stock and set management options depending upon perceived status of fishery stock(s)
Management decision stage
Biological reference
points (e.g. MSY)
FLBRP
Management procedure
FLHCR
OPERATING MODELRepresents the “true” dynamics
of the system against which performance will be measured
Fleet dynamics
FLFleet
OPERATING MODELRepresents the “true” dynamics
of the system against which performance will be measured
Fleet dynamics
FLFleet
MODEL CONDITIONING
MODEL CONDITIONING
INITIAL CONDITIONS
INITIAL CONDITIONS
IMPLEMENTATION MODEL
FLEcon
IMPLEMENTATION MODEL
FLEcon
IMPLEMENTATION MODEL
FLEcon
IMPLEMENTATION MODEL
FLEcon
Assessment procedure
Assessment assumptions
Auxiliary information(e.g. tuning
indices)
FLIndices
Perceived stock
FLStock
Stock assessment (e.g. VPA)
FLAssess
Assessment procedure
Assessment assumptions
Auxiliary information(e.g. tuning
indices)
FLIndices
Perceived stock
FLStock
Stock assessment (e.g. VPA)
FLAssess
Assessment assumptions
Auxiliary information(e.g. tuning
indices)
FLIndices
Perceived stock
FLStock
Stock assessment (e.g. VPA)
FLAssess
Population biology
Stock dynamics
FLBiol
Stock processese.g. Recruitment
FLSR
Population biology
Stock dynamics
FLBiol
Stock processese.g. Recruitment
FLSR
Stock dynamics
FLBiol
Stock processese.g. Recruitment
FLSR
SUMMARY STATISTICS
Used to evaluate performance of management procedures
against objectives.
SUMMARY STATISTICS
Used to evaluate performance of management procedures
against objectives.
OBSERVATION ERROR MODEL
Generation of data on fishery and
stocks.
FLOEM
OBSERVATION ERROR MODEL
Generation of data on fishery and
stocks.
FLOEM
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Pros/cons
• Multi-fleet (<3 stocks)
• Parameterisation
• Integrating COBECOS code
• Provides shadow value of biomass
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Case studies
• which can/will undertake MSE
• currently as part of another project – EFIMAS
• Northern hake, CCAMLR, Ligurian, (Dutch), Channel (if stock)