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1 Private Equity Investing Professors Spiegel, Sunder & Tookes Dolores Arton Thomas Ghegan Founders...
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Transcript of 1 Private Equity Investing Professors Spiegel, Sunder & Tookes Dolores Arton Thomas Ghegan Founders...
1
Private Equity Investing
Professors Spiegel, Sunder & Tookes
Dolores ArtonThomas Ghegan
Founders Equity Inc.November 2007
2
• The Private Equity Industry
• The Private Equity Process
• Founders Equity Portfolio Company Examples
3
Private Equity Fund Structure• 10 years in total: 5 year investment period/5 year exit period
• As portfolio companies are sold, distributions are made
• Targeted IRR’s 25%+; 3x cash on cash return
Limited Partners
Private EquityFund
General Partner
Portfolio Companies
99% interest 80% of profits
Cashfor 99% interest
2% management fee
1% interest20% of profits (carry)
Cash or notesfor 1% interest
Cash
Eq
uit
y
Ow
ners
hi
p
4
Who Invests in Private Equity?
• Pension & Retirement Funds
• Insurance Companies
• University Endowments
• Fund of funds
• Family Investing Offices
• High Net Worth Individuals
• Hedge Funds
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
EducationalInstitution
Endowment Mean
Yale Endowment
Real Assets
Absolute Return
Private Equity
Foreign Equity
Domestic Equity
CashFixed Income
Asset Allocation: Educational Institutions
Per
cent
of
Tot
al
Source: The Yale Endowment 2006 Annual Report.
5
Fundraising has not slowed in 2007 despite the credit markets.$254 Billion Raised in 2006
$239 Billion Raised Through October 2007
$0.0
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
$300.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007YTDOct.
Fund of Funds
Other Private Equity
Mezzanine
Venture Capital
Buyouts
Source: Private Equity Analyst
$ B
illi
ons
6
Demand for Private Equity Funds Persists
• Continued Strength in Buyouts• Buyout Funds dominated 2007 with 132 funds raising $155 billion
YTD (up from $101 billion in 2006)
• Distressed Funds were $29.6 billion of the Buyout Funds
• Venture Fundraising remains sluggish• 102 firms raised $19 billion YTD
• Large buyout firms currently in the market to raise their largest funds to date• Carlyle: Targeting $17.0 billion fund
• Warburg Pincus: Targeting $12.0 billion fund
7
Private Equity Deal Environment
• Correction in credit market led to slowdown in the number of transactions• Private equity firms announced $8.5 billion of new deals in October 2007,
compared to $42.2 billion announced in October 2006
• Effects of weakening financial market:• Financing has become less available and more expensive• Increased use of Material Adverse Change (“MAC”) clauses• Increased time to complete deals (especially large deals dependent upon public
credit markets)
• Average purchase price multiples continued to climb through May 2007:• 9.18x EBITDA for $500+ million deals• 8.24x EBITDA for deals between $250 million and $499 million• 7.64x EBITDA for deals under $250 million
8
Private Equity Firms Various Strategies for Success
• Buyouts vs. Growth Equity
• Industry Specialization
• Operational Expertise
• Geographical Focus
• Origination Focus
• Focus on Particular Type of Transaction
9
Founders Equity Investment Focus
Venture Investing Buy-Out/Corporate Finance
Seed Start-upEarly-
Growth
Accelerat-ing
Growth
Later-StageGrowth
Special SituationsGrowth/Mature
Small-Cap Market
Middle-Market
Large-Cap
Market
Concept Stage
Developmentand InitialImplementation of Business Model
Successful “Beta” Version; Few Customers
Successful Business
Model Rolled Out
AcceleratingGrowth,ProfitableBusinessPotentialIPO
Turnaround Situations: Financial RestructuringReplacingManagement, AlteringBusinessModel, etc.
$5-$100MMAcquisitionWith TargetedFollow-onAcquisitions
$100MM-$500MM
Above$400MM
Founders Investment Focus
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Founders Equity Lower Middle Market Focus
Founders Equity Focus
$422 Billion
Accumulated Under Management
97,000 Investment Opportunities
1 Billion +
3,100 cos
(3.2%)
$500 Million - $2 Billion
4,376 cos
(4.5%)
$20 - $150 Million
79,000 cos
(81.3%)
$150 - $500 Million
10,754 cos
(11%)
Mega LBOs
$144 Billion
(34.17%)
Large LBOs
$77 Billion
(18.3%)
Mid-Market
$171 Billion
(40.5%)
Small Market
$30 Billion
(7.1%)
11
Founders Equity Annual Deal Sourcing
500 Potential Investment OpportunitiesReviewed
100 Spend More Time on Book
50 Deeper Analysis
20 Real Interest
4-6 Deals ClosedPer Year
Industry outlook Opportunities for growth? Identify risks Reasonable valuation expectations
Does it meet our investment criteria?
Quality of management Management callsOutside experts
Limited due diligence
Full due diligence
12
• The Private Equity Industry
• The Private Equity Process
• Founders Equity Portfolio Company Examples
13
The Private Equity Process
Sourcing Deals
Initial Evaluation
of Deal
Exit/ Sale of
Company
Portfolio Company
Monitoring/ Value
CreationFinancing
Transaction Closing
Due Diligence
Letter of Interest
Letter of Intent
Merger or Asset Purchase Agreement
Agreements:
14
Sourcing Deals: Buy Right
• Auction Process• Investment banks work with companies to create an Information
Memorandum which is distributed to strategic and financial buyers
• Investment bank’s process focused on achieving highest value for the Seller
• Proprietary Sourcing• Contact companies directly (no intermediary)
• Networking with business brokers, accountants, attorneys and other industry participants
• Fundless sponsors
15
Initial Evaluation: The First Look
Company Industry Financial• Management team
(bench strength)
• Value proposition and differentiation
• Business model economics
• Relationships with customers and suppliers
• Organizational model (e.g., incentive compensation)
• Competitive dynamics
• Industry size and growth
• Cyclicality
• Fragmentation vs. consolidation
• Identification of key risks
• Comparable company analysis
• Financial model (historical and projected)
• Working capital
• Capital expenditures
• Capital structure and leverage
• Investment security
• Target returns
• Valuation
Development of the investment thesis
16
Valuation: In the Eye of the Beholder• IRR/ Multiple of Cost Analysis: “The Model”
• Incorporates the theory of a Discounted Cash Flow analysis
• Importance of sensitivity scenarios
• Focus on Free Cash Flow and debt covenants
• Public Company and Transaction Comparable Analysis• Only as good as the comparability of the companies used
• May need to interpolate between multiple sets of comps
• Value of Assets• Consider value based on assets rather than cash flow
•Triangulation across multiple methods is critical•Valuation is an art not a science
17
Due Diligence: Trust but Verify
• Management• Background and reference
checks
• In-depth interviews
• Employment agreements
• Company and Industry• Speak with industry
experts, customers and suppliers
• Validate company value proposition and industry dynamics
• Quantify possible risks
• Accounting• Independent accounting
review
• Legal• Identify any outstanding
litigation and potential liabilities
• Intellectual property and patents
• Insurance• Understand scope of
coverage required and currently in place
18
Financing: Establishing the Structure
$0.0
$20.0
$40.0
$60.0
$80.0
$100.0
Uses
Sources and Uses in a Leverage Buyout
$ M
illi
ons
Sources
Purchase Price
$100.0 MillionFees and Expenses
$100.0 Million
Senior Debt
Equity
Subordinated Debt
Key Terms
• Type of security (preferred equity or common)
• Pay-in-Kind (“PIK”) Coupon
• Term of loan
• Amortization schedule
• Rate
• Covenants
• Often a “bullet” loan
• May ask for warrants
• Often a “bullet” loan
• May ask for warrants
19
Value Creation: Ideas into Action
• Board of Directors representation• Identify new Directors with relevant experience who can assist the
Company • Develop a “100 day plan”
• Augmenting the Management Team• If necessary, recruit new CEO/ CFO• Identify functional areas to add additional talent• Incentive key players
• Execution of the growth strategy• Buy and Build: Add-on acquisitions• Accelerating Growth: Investments in new products or markets• Transformation: Professionalize operations
20
Exits: Realizing the Investment
• Initial Public Offering (“IPO”)
• Sale to strategic buyer (e.g., industry competitor)
• Sale to another Private Equity Fund (“Financial buyer”)
• Sale to management (Management buyout or “MBO”)
• Recapitalization (raise debt and provide a dividend to the equity sponsors)
21
• The Private Equity Industry
• The Private Equity Process
• Founders Equity Portfolio Company Examples
22
Stone Source
Sourcing
• Date Sourced: 10/26/2005
• Date Closed: 6/30/2006
• Source: Proprietary Referral: Fundless
sponsor
Investment Thesis: Transformation
• Unique marketing focus with products sold thru architects and designer
• Business model generates high margins with cash deposits upfront
• Large, fragmented market with opportunity for geographic expansion
• Excellent vendor relationships provide competitive advantage in product sourcing
• Opportunity to transform company from entrepreneurial company to professionally managed company
Company Overview
• Headquarters: New York, NY
• The Company sources and markets natural stone, ceramic tiles, glass
tiles, engineered stone and other materials with decorative surfaces
• Founded in 1988 by Jeff Green (CEO) and Mark Shedrofsky (COO
• 2006 Revenue: $44.9 million
23
In The Swim
Sourcing
• Date Sourced: November 2004
• Date Closed: February 2005
• Source: Competitive auction / Proprietary referral
Investment Thesis: Accelerating Growth
• The pool supply industry is a stable $3.8 billion market with a definable universe of 7.6 million
residential pool owners and 260,000 commercial pools with recurring needs for pool supplies
• The pool supply market is a particularly attractive industry for direct marketing due to the prosaic,
consumable nature of the product lines and the repeatability of pool utility needs
• Strong historical cash flow with high predictability
• 60.0% of revenues visible from existing customers
Company Overview
• Headquarters: West Chicago, Illinois
• In The Swim (“ITS”) is the leading direct marketer of pool supplies to residential and commercial
consumers in the United States and is know as “America’s #1 Direct Source for Pool Supplies”
• The Company’s product offering focuses on “need-based” consumable and periodic maintenance
products utilized in swimming pool openings, closings and general maintenance
• 2006 Revenue: $71.9 million
24
Richardson Foods
Sourcing
• Date Sourced: 3/21/2005
• Date Closed: 3/20/2006
• Source: Referral from deal broker
Investment Thesis: Buy and Build
• Opportunity to leverage underutilized manufacturing assets through operational
improvement and synergistic acquisitions.
• Base business operating at 30% capacity
• Strong distribution channels
• Professionalize management by partnering with seasoned industry executives
• Reinvigorate old brands through new sales and marketing initiatives
Company Overview
• Headquarters: Canajoharie, NY
• Richardson produces, markets and distributes bulk confectionary
products and specialty sauces under the Richardson, Beechies,
Dryden & Palmer and Gravymaster brand names
• 2006 Revenue: $17.6 million
25
Richardson Foods: The Flood
26
Richardson Foods:Turning Adversity to Advantage
• Improve Operations• Distinguishes the high performing employees• Opportunity to reconfigure equipment• Build relationships in the community
• Upgrade Equipment with insurance proceeds• Improve infrastructure reliability• Re-build better than new• Replace with upgraded performance• Fix historical pesky problems
• Change culture• Sense of urgency• Importance of a team• Pride of ownership
27
APPENDIX
28
Valuation - Cash Flow Analysis is Key
• EBITDA• The more EBITDA that comes from EBIT the better
• Embedded accounting assumption that D&A is a proxy for ongoing capital needs
• OCF is a more conservative measure
• Be skeptical of adjustments; think of as two types:• Simple add-backs
• Synergies and cost savings on the come
• EBITDA can be manipulated by changes in accounting practices
29
Impact of Cost Structure
• Variable Costs• Move in a direct relationship with sales• Cost of goods sold and some SG&A (eg, cleaning supplies for
production) machinery, payroll taxes for factory workers, gas for delivery trucks, etc.)
• Warning: Some Variable Costs can become Fixed (i.e. hourly labor in a tight labor market)
• Fixed Costs• Can increase or decrease unrelated to sales growth• Corporate overhead (eg, officers’ salaries, rent, office supplies,
etc.)• Generally fixed costs grow at inflation as company grows – but
can sometimes be lumpy as you add high-salary management, etc.
30
Leverage• Need to put in place proper Senior Credit Facility
• Asset Based Lenders vs. Cash Flow Lenders• Focus on asset values vs. business value
• Focus on liquidation value vs. potential sale price
• Revolvers can be one of two types• Asset Based (Eligibility and Advance Rates)
• Cash Flow Based (Typically subject to Senior Leverage and Total Leverage caps)
• Term Loans• A Loans – straight amortization w/ possible payment holiday for first 6 months to
one year
• B Loans – Amortize 1% in the early years and remaining amount in last 1-2 years.• Helps provide greater operating flexibility –maturity 6-8 years
31
Overview of Credit Statistics
• Role of credit statistics• Used to give a snapshot of the capital structure and the risk profile
of deal
• Helpful to use when determining the optimal capital structure
• Necessary to analyze when setting covenants
• Understand potential revolver availability issues
• Certain benchmarks are particularly important (i.e. fixed charge coverage a minimum of 1:1)
32
Key Credit Statistics
• Look at Trailing Twelve Month EBITDA/OCF to understand most recent actual performance
• Always understand adjustments used to arrive as “adjusted EBITDA”
• The following are key credit statistics and general guidelines as to their range
Key Credit Stats General Guidelines Total Debt/EBITDA <3.5x-4.75x
Senior Debt/EBITDA <2.0x-3.25x
EBITDA/Total Interest >2.0x
Fixed Charge Coverage > 1.0x
Other Covenants
Minimum EBITDA
Maximum cap ex
Restricted Payments
33
Structuring Conclusion
• Easy to get “lost in the analysis” – don’t forget to step back and assess the business thesis/rationale• A good capital structure can only partially offset a mediocre
business.
34
Plain Vanilla Convertible Preferred
• Simplest form of institutional private equity• Preference equal to face value; therefore, somewhat protected
from loss of principal because “first equity out” (before common)
• Convertible into common shares at conversion price• Example:
• $10.0MM invested• $10.0MM redemption value/preference• $40.00 per share conversion price• Convertible into 250,000 common shares• Owns 25.0% of company
35
Participating Preferred Stock
• “Double dip” equity – investor gets back principal invested plus ownership in the company (i.e., converts into underlying common stock)
• Can be effective way to bridge valuation gaps as Investor willing to pay higher price per share for participating preferred
• Mechanics• One unit is convertible into both:• For example, $10.0MM investment at $90MM pre-money value
• $10.0MM of capital back redeemable preferred at liquidity event, plus
• 10.0% underlying ownership stake
36
Dividends
• Dividend can be paid in cash, stock, or paid-in-kind (PIK)
• Cash/stock dividends• Usually 8-12% coupon
• Compounding vs. non-compounding (usually non-compounding)
• Usually accrue and paid at liquidity event (IPO, sale or liquidation)
• Example:• $10MM invested at $10.00 per share; 8% compounding dividend for 3 years
(e.g., $2.6MM)
• Private Equity Firm gets either $2.6MM in cash or stock (i.e. 86,571 shares assuming $30.00 IPO price)
37
Dividends (cont.)
• PIK dividends yield better results for Private Equity Firm• Usually compounding
• Earn additional shares at deal price (e.g. above example would yield 259,712 shares vs. 86,571)
• Earn additional shares of underlying security (e.g. participating preferred results in “triple dip”)
38
Overview of Typical Mezzanine Investment
• Deal Size: $10 million to $100 million• Current Cash Coupon: 12% to 14%• Target IRR at 5 Years: Market pricing (typically 13% to 16%)• Prepayment Penalty: Scheduled payments and/or Treasury
Makewhole• Transaction Fee: 0%-2.5%• Term: 6-8 years• Representation: Board seat or observation rights• Interest Can be PIK or cash or both, typically
compounded on a quarterly basis• Warrants On a deal by deal basis