1 OPTN Update Brian Shepard Chief Executive Officer UNOS November 17, 2015.
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Transcript of 1 OPTN Update Brian Shepard Chief Executive Officer UNOS November 17, 2015.
1
OPTN Update
Brian Shepard
Chief Executive Officer
UNOS
November 17, 2015
2
Strategic Alignment
3
2012 v. 2015 Goals
4
Feedback from Regional Surveys
Increase the number of trans-
plants
Increase access to transplants
Improve survival for patients with end
stage organ failure
Promote transplant patient safety
Promote living donor safety
Promote the effi-cient management
of the OPTN
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
5
Re-Balancing Resource Allocation
2015-2016 allocation of effort:Increase transplants 40%Provide equity
30%Improve outcomes 15%Promote safety
10%Promote efficiency 5%
2014 Committee Projects
more txs access survival pt safety efficiency
7
2015 Committee Project Portfolio
1 2 3 4 5 60%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45% Current ExCom BenchmarkBoard Benchmark
The New Kidney Allocation System (KAS): The First Six Months
Background KAS implemented Dec 4, 2014
Key goals: Make better use of available kidneys
Increase transplant opportunities for difficult-to-match patients (increased equity)
Increase fairness by awarding waiting time points based on dialysis start date
Have minimal impact on most candidates
KAS: The First Six Months
Background (cont.) Performance tracked monthly through June (“out of the gate” reports)
Comprehensive, 6-month analysis requested by the kidney committee Pre-KAS period: June 1, 2013 – December 3, 2014 (18 months) Post-KAS period: December 4, 2014 – May 31, 2015 (6 months)
(http://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov)
KAS: The First Six Months
Solitary deceased donor transplants under KASPre vs. post-KAS trends
Over time (per 30 days)
Jul-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jul-150
500
1000899
851.6 838.9
938965.5
841.1
929 926.1
Num
ber
of tr
ansp
lant
s pe
r 30
-day
per
iod
KAS
impl
emen
tatio
n
On average
Pre-KAS (6/1/13-12/3/14) Post-KAS (12/4/14-5/31/15)0
500
1000893.2 903.0
Num
ber
of tr
ansp
lant
s pe
r 30
-day
per
iod 1%↑
(Total N=16,406) (Total N=5,388)
Transplant volume has increased slightly (about 1%) post-KAS.KAS: The First Six Months Table II.1a
Who’s getting transplanted under KAS? (1/1)Percentage of Deceased Donor Kidney Transplants by Recipient Age
0-17 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+0%
25%
50%
0.9%
9.6%
25.5%
43.0%
20.9%
4.3%
8.9%
23.8%
40.9%
22.2%
3.6%
13.5%
28.5%
37.4%
17.0%
Waitlist (11/30/2014)Pre-KASPost-KAS
Recipient age KAS: The First Six Months
More young adults (18-49) are receiving kidney transplants.
Still, over half of transplants are going to age 50+ recipients under KAS.Eras - Pre: 18 months (June 1, 2013 – Dec 3, 2014) Post: 6 months (Dec 4, 2014 – May 31, 2015)
Table 1.2aTable II.1b
Who’s getting transplanted under KAS? (2/2)Percentage of Deceased Donor Kidney Transplants by Recipient CPRA
0 1-79 80-94 95-98 99-1000%
25%
50%
75%
61.8%
22.5%
4.2% 3.1%
8.3%
60.2%
23.9%
10.0%
3.5% 2.3%
55.3%
21.2%
4.9% 3.8%
14.8%
Waitlist (11/30/2014)Pre-KASPost-KAS
Recipient CPRA
Transplants have increased sharply for CPRA 99-100% patients.
Transplants have declined for CPRA=0% and 80-94% patients.KAS: The First Six Months
Table 1.2aTable II.1b
CPRA 99-100% recipient “bolus effect”
0%
10%
20%
2.4%1.4%1.6%1.8%
3.3%
2.0%1.8%1.6%
3.2%2.3%2.0%
2.9%1.8%
3.5%2.9%2.5%2.8%
2.4%
17.7%
15.7%15.6%
13.4%
14.6%
12.6%
Transplant date
% o
f tra
nspl
ants
to C
PRA
99-
100%
reci
pien
ts
KAS
impl
emen
tatio
n
Transplants to CPRA 99-100% patients rose sharply after KAS but have been tapering over time, likely due to a bolus effect. KAS: The First Six Months
Table A.1d
Who’s getting transplanted under KAS? (3/4)Percentage of Deceased Donor Kidney Transplants by Recipient Duration on Dialysis
Preemptive 0-1 1-5 5-10 10+0%
25%
50%
75%
14.9%
9.1%
49.5%
21.3%
5.2%8.8%
11.0%
50.0%
26.1%
4.2%5.1% 6.9%
39.4%35.5%
13.2%
Waitlist (11/30/2014)Pre-KASPost-KAS
Recipient duration on dialysis (years)
More transplants are going to long dialysis duration recipients.
Fewer preemptive (before dialysis) transplants.KAS: The First Six Months Table 1.2a
Table II.1b
Who’s getting transplanted under KAS? (4/4)Percentage of Deceased Donor Kidney Transplants by Recipient Race/ethnicity
AFRICAN AMERICAN CAUCASIAN ASIAN HISPANIC MULTIRACIAL NATIVE_AMERICAN NATIVE_ISLANDER0%
25%
50%
34.3%36.5%
7.9%
19.2%
0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
31.5%
42.4%
7.1%
16.9%
0.6%1.1%
0.5%
37.9%
34.2%
6.8%
18.4%
0.6% 1.5% 0.6%
Waitlist (11/30/2014) Pre-KAS
Post-KAS
Recipient race/ethnicity
More African Americans are receiving kidney transplants under KAS.
Transplants have also increased for Hispanics, but declined for Whites.KAS: The First Six Months
Table 1.2aTable II.1b
Longevity-matching under KASPercentage of Deceased Donor Kidney Transplants by KDPI and Recipient Age
KDPI 0-20 KDPI 21-34 KDPI 35-85 KDPI 86-100 KDPI 0-20 KDPI 21-34 KDPI 35-85 KDPI 86-100
% % % % % % % % % %
0-17 2.9 0.8 0.6 0.0 4.3 0-17 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6
18-34 2.5 1.9 4.4 0.1 8.9 18-34 6.7 2.4 4.3 0.1 13.5
35-49 5.5 4.5 13.2 0.6 23.8 35-49 7.3 4.7 15.9 0.6 28.5
50-64 7.1 6.5 23.6 3.7 40.9 50-64 2.8 6.0 25.4 3.3 37.4
65 Plus 2.9 2.6 13.1 3.6 22.2 65 Plus 1.0 2.2 10.9 3.0 17.0
All 20.9 16.2 54.8 8.1 100.0 All 20.3 16.2 56.5 7.0 100.0
POST-KAS (12/4/2014-5/31/2015)
AGE
KDPIAll
PRE-KAS (6/1/2013-12/3/2014)
AGE
KDPIAll
Transplants with KDPI 0-20% and recipient age 18-34: Pre-KAS: 2.5% of transplants / Post-KAS: 6.7% of transplants
Transplants with KDPI 0-20% and recipient age 50+: Pre-KAS: 10% of transplants / Post-KAS: 4% of transplants
KAS: The First Six Months Table II.3b
Geographic distribution of kidney transplants
78.8%
8.7%
12.5%Pre-KAS
Local Regional National
21.2%
67.8%
12.8%
19.5%
Post-KAS
Local Regional National
32.3%
More kidneys are being distributed outside recovery OPO’s DSA.KAS: The First Six Months Table II.1b
Geographic distribution of kidney transplants (cont)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 110%
25%
3.9%
12.5%13.3%
9.3%
17.1%
4.5%
7.1% 7.2%6.1%
7.9%
11.2%
3.5%
12.6%
14.0%
9.8%
18.0%
3.9%
6.6% 6.8%6.2%
7.7%
10.9%
Pre-KAS Post-KAS
OPTN Region
No significant changes by OPTN region.
KAS: The First Six Months Table II.6
Cold ischemic times for transplanted kidneys
0-4 4-8 8-12 12-16 16-20 20-24 24-36 >=360%
25%
1.6%
11.3%
18.2%19.7%
17.7%
13.2%
14.7%
3.6%
1.9%
9.7%
15.4%
18.6%17.5%
14.0%
18.8%
4.1%
Pre-KAS Post-KAS
CIT (hours)
Average CIT increased 6% from 17.0 to 18.1 hours CIT> 24 hours - Pre-KAS: 18.3%, Post-KAS: 22.9%
KAS: The First Six Months
Table II.1d (known CIT only)
Delayed graft function (DGF) rates
Pre-KAS Post-KAS0
10
20
30
40
24.5
30.8
% d
elay
ed g
raft
func
tion
The percentage of recipients requiring dialysis within the first week after transplant increased from 24.5% pre-KAS to 30.8% after KAS.
KAS: The First Six Months Table II.16
Kidney recovery & utilization under KASPercentage of Recovered Deceased Kidney Donors by KDPI
0-20 21-34 35-85 86-1000%
20%
40%
60%
19.4%
14.4%
51.7%
14.5%
18.8%
14.0%
53.0%
14.1%
Pre-KAS Post-KAS
KDPI
Total kidney donors recovered per month increased 4% (636 to 661).
However, the distribution by KDPI has remained very similar.KAS: The First Six Months Table III.1b
Kidney recovery & utilization under KAS (cont)Kidney Discard Rate by KDPI -- including months 7-10 (Jun – Sep ‘15)
0-20 21-34 35-85 86-100 Overall0%
25%
50%
75%
2.3%6.2%
17.4%
55.6%
18.5%
2.0%7.3%
19.2%
61.9%
20.2%
2.7%6.6%
18.4%
56.0%
18.4%
Pre-KASPost-KAS (mos. 1-6)Post-KAS (mos. 7-10)
Discard rates
Discard rates have returned to pre-KAS levels in recent months. KAS: The First Six Months
Summary: First Six Months of KAS Overall – KAS is meeting key goals
Highly successful 6-month pre-KAS preparation period
Decrease in longevity mismatches
Increase in the number of transplants among very highly sensitized patients
Increase in access to transplant for African Americans candidates
“Bolus effects”: the percent of transplants to CPRA 99-100% and dialysis>10 years recipients are both tapering post-KAS
Increase in A2/A2BB transplants, but still room for growth
Transplant volume up 1%
KAS: The First Six Months
Summary: First Six Months of KAS (cont’d) Several trends deserve further attention:
Fewer 0MM transplants
Slight drop in pediatric transplants will continue to be tracked closely
Logistical challenges in allocation
Increased CIT and DGF
Increase in discard rates, particularly KDPI>85% kidneys. Rates appear to be returning back to pre-KAS levels based on months 7-10.
Other metrics (e.g., graft survival rates) require additional lag time and will be available in future reports
KAS: The First Six Months
26
Latest VCA Data
27
Approved VCA Transplant Programs* as of 10/23/2015
VCA Type N
Upper Limb 17Head and Neck 13Abdominal Wall 12Other Specify: Uterine 3Other Specify: Penile 2Other Specify: Genitourinary 1Other Specify: Lower Limb 1Other Specify: Urogenital 1Other Specify: Genitourinary (Excluding Lines) 1Total* 51
* Represents 23 unique transplant centers
28
Geographic Locations of Approved VCA Transplant Centers as of 10/23/2015
• Centers with at least one VCA registration currently waiting• Centers with no VCA registrations currently waiting
29
VCA Waiting List and Transplant Numbers as of 10/23/2015 by Type
VCA TypeNumber of Candidates
Added to the Waiting List, 7/3/2014-10/23/2015
Number of Transplants,
7/3/2014-10/23/2015
Number of Candidates
Waiting as of 10/23/2015
Abdominal Wall 3 1 -
Head and Neck: Craniofacial 3 3 -
Head and Neck: Scalp 1 1 -
Upper Limb, Bilateral 9 2 6
Upper Limb, Unilateral 4 2 2
Total 20 9 8
30
Other Organs Recovered from 8 VCA Donors, 7/3/2014-10/23/2015
Non-VCA Organ N
Heart 6
Intestine 2
Kidney 13
Kidney-Pancreas 1
Liver 8
Lung 4
Pancreas 1
Total 35
Demographics of VCA Donors, 7/3/2014-10/23/2015
N %
Age 0-17 2 25.0
18-34 4 50.0
35-44 2 25.0
Gender Male 8 100.0
Ethnicity White 6 75.0
Black 1 12.5
Hispanic 1 12.5
Redesigning Liver Distribution
32
Redesigning Liver Distribution (cont.)
The Committee unanimously resolved to
consider additional results in modeling of concepts
previously developed and to further analyze an additional concept…
Board Resolution
Concept presented to Committee
Statement to the Community
Development of Steering Committee
Concept Paper &
Questionnaire
September 2014 Liver
Forum
Development of the Ad Hoc
Subcommittees
Additional Modeling
and Analyses
June 2015 Forum
Additional Modeling
and Analyses
33
Metrics and quality improvement
• MPSC Outcomes workgroup• OPO metrics• Member Quality pilot• Real life lessons
34
Acknowledgements
Darren Stewart
John Beck
Anna Kucheryavaya
Wida Cherikh
James Alcorn
Christine Flavin
35
OPTN Update
Brian Shepard
Chief Executive Officer
UNOS
November 17, 2015