1 Kellogg Real Estate Venture Challenge - Booth School of...

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Kellogg Real Estate Venture Challenge 1

Transcript of 1 Kellogg Real Estate Venture Challenge - Booth School of...

Kellogg Real Estate Venture Challenge1

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Team Members

Four years Commercial Real Estate Development

Architect Full-time MBA, class of 2016

Scott Ebbott Rob Joyce

Jan De Kuyper Matthew Olsen

Four Years Construction Management & Cost Estimation

Engineer Part-time MBA, class of 2016

Six years Real Estate consulting at EY

2 years M&A advisory BS, Finance and Real Estate Part-time MBA, class of 2016

Three years Real Estate audit at PwC, Part-time intern with TJBC

CFA Level II and CPA BA Emory, Finance & Accounting Full-time MBA, class of 2016

Seven years of experience in Corporate Finance at JLL

Focus on retail strategic development

Part-time MBA, class of 2015

Kevin Griffin

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Agenda

Company Concept

Project Proposal Block 37

Costs

Benefits

Terms

Risks and Mitigants

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General Concept

Idea:

A real estate development company focused on data centers in unused and abandoned sites in metropolitan cities

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Macro Trends

• Explosive growth of internet traffic and company data

• Need for high security data centers

• Reduced latency and better interconnectedness

• Proximity preference

“90% of the world’s data created in the past 2 years”IBM,2012

“Data production will be 44 times greater in 2020 than in 2009”Wikibon Blog

“The volume of business data is expected to double every 1.2 years”KnowIT information systems

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Opportunity

A large number of unused underground spaces in metropolitan cities provide the perfect redevelopment opportunity for a data center facility:

• Construction

• Flexibility

• Sustainability

• Location

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Global Fiber Network

©Level3

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TOKYO TORONTO LONDON

HONG KONG CINCINNATI NEW YORK PARIS

CHICAGO

Global Fiber Network Locations

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TOKYO TORONTO LONDON

HONG KONG CINCINNATI NEW YORK PARIS

CHICAGO

Unused Subway Locations

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HIGH-END RESTAURANT

INDOOR SWIMMING POOL BOWLING ALLEY BIKE TUNNELNIGHT CLUB

ART MUSEUM PAINTBALL VENUE INDOOR PARK

Other Redevelopment Ideas

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RE-CONNECT Tokyo RE-CONNECT Toronto RE-CONNECT LondonRE-CONNECT Chicago

RE-CONNECT Hong Kong RE-CONNECT Cincinnati RE-CONNECT New York RE-CONNECT Paris

Re-Connect Global

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Project Proposal

RE-CONNECT Chicago

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Why Chicago?

• Low risk for natural disasters and perfect climate

• Low energy prices

• Reliable power network

• Great connectivity

• Continued demand for data storage

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Block 37

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Block 37 Location

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Block 37 Subway Station Location

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Actual Pictures

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Block 37 Subway Station Layout Tracks and platform

Mechanical space

Entry level

Pedway

46,000 SF

9,000 SF 10,000 SF

19,000 SF

Subway Station Layout

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RE-CONNECT Chicago Layout Data Hall

Mechanical space/control room

Entry level/ offices

Pedway

46,000 SF

9,000 SF 10,000 SF

19,000 SF

Data Center Layout

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Exhaust Air

Atrium Plenum Space

Below Floor Cooling

Outdoor Air

Exhaust Air

Outdoor Air

Cooling System Design

AHU AHU

Heat

Exch.

Heat

Exch.

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Enwave Chicago Network

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Building Heat Transfer

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Construction Access

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August 2016

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September 2016

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October 2016

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December 2016

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February 2017

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March 2017

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September 2017

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Kellogg Real Estate Venture Challenge37

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Construction Costs

Hard Construction Costs ($37.5 M)

• HVAC ($7.4 M)

• Electrical ($18.3 M)

• Design Contingency ($1.6 M)

• Construction Contingency ($1.1 M)

• 4.75% Escalation ($1.6 M)

Soft Construction Costs ($5.3 M)

• Com-Ed Fees ($2 M)

• A/E/Consultants Fees (1.6 M)

• Owner Contingency ($0.9 M)

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Specific Cost Items

Foundation Wall Waterproofing ($69,000)

EPDM Roofing Under Concrete Slab ($588,000)

Sealants/Caulking ($10,000)

Concrete Floor Moisture Mitigation ($105,000)

Building Control System (DDC) ($1,672,500)

Security ($904,903)

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Benchmark

Cost Per Kilowatt (KW)

$6,510

QTS (Est.) Forsyth (Est.) Broker (Est.)

$11,750 $10,500 $11,500

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Planning

Leasing

Construction

Operation

20262021 2022 2023 2024 202520202015 2016 2017 2018 2019

BeginConstruction

Timeline

Initial Data Delivery

Secure EquityFunding Target

Exit

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Pittsfield Building, 300k sqft

35 East Wacker Drive, 550k sqft

Daley Center, 1.5m sqftCook County Building,690k sqft

Three First National Plaza, 1.4m sqft

Chase Tower, 1.9m sqft

One South Dearborn, 800k sqft

One North Dearborn, 900k sqft

Crain Communications Building, 600k sqft

Unitrin Building, 500k sqft

Chicago Title Building, 1.1m sqft

Potential Market

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Potential Market

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Downtown Supply

Colocation ZoneAlteredScale Server Farm

Digital Realty Digital RealtyCoreSite

Steadfast

1 42

5

3

6 7

QTS Realty

8

4

1

2

6

7

5

3

8

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Chicago Fiber Network

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Chicago Fiber Network

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Max Facility Power Calculation

• Average Kw/sqft from public company data for comparable facilities:

0.09Kw/sqft of total facility space: 84,000*0.09 = 7,560Kw

0.19Kw/sqft of data hall space: 46,000*0.19 = 8,740Kw

• Data hall design with 5Kw Cabinets:

Rated system power 6,600Kw

max facility power 8,470Kw

Expected # IT cabinet requirement 1,320.00 cabinets/facility

Max # IT cabinet capability 1,694.00 cabinets/facility

Expected IT operating power 5,280.00 Kw/pod

Peak rated power per Unit 600.00 Kw/room

Nominal rated power per Unit 600.00 Kw/room

Average expected power per Unit 480.00 Kw/room

Facility size 84,112.00 sqft facility

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Project Leasing

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Revenue Models

• Single Tenant

• Managed Service Provider (MSP)

• Colocation Wholesale

Pricing:$130 Kw/ Month (Wholesale)$275 Kw/ Month (Retail)

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Operating Costs: PUE

Power utilization efficiency (PUE):

Ratio of facility total power usage to critical (revenue generating) power draw

Re-Connect Chicago

PUE = 1.35*

*PUE ratios for Chicago data centers range from 1.4 – 1.5.

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Operating Costs: Continued

• Re-Connect Chicago Stabilized OpEx % = 40%

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NOI and Cash Flow

• Stabilized annual NOI is $10.3M

• Stabilized annual cash flow is $5.4M

Numbers shown in $M

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Uses Sources

GP equity

LP equity

Mezzanine loan

Senior construction loan

Capitalized interest

Capital reserve

27.3M

10.2M

9.0M

1.0M

44.4M

1.2M

Sources and Uses

Development

1.9M

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Financing

• Senior Construction Loan

• $27.3M value

• 40% pre-leasing

• 4.5% interest rate (quoted at LIBOR + 300 - 400 BPS.)

• 3 year term

• Mezzanine Loan

• $10.2M value

• 15% interest rate

• 3 year term

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Exit

• Data center cap rates averaged 7.5% during 2014 for fully leased facilities (Per CBRE)

• 10 year holding period reflects lengthy construction and lease-up

Other Considerations

Upside Potential

• Rate compression likely with increased industry recognition

• Google recently purchased a highly interconnected data center in New York (111 Eighth Avenue) for a 5% cap rate

Target Buyers

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Proposed City Hall Terms

Financial

• Ground Lease

• 250 kW of Storage (Valued at $825k/yr)

• Reasonable decision rights

• Receive tax break

• Receive CIT Loan Guarantee

Deal Terms Ground Lease

Political

Policy Other

City Hall Goals

• 25% of cash flow for 99 year term

• Transferable

• Estimate federal loan will be repaid

through over $2M of stabilized cash

flow/yr

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Proposed Investor Terms

Capital

Contributions

Limited Partner: 90%

General Partner: 10%Liquidity

Minimum 3 year hold period for GP. Right

of first refusal and reasonable veto rights

by LP thereafter

Distributions

Pro rata until capital returned. 100% to LP

until 10% preferred return paid. 80% to LP and

20% to GP thereafter

Fees

Development Fee: 3% of construction

costs. Property Management Fee: 3% of

gross revenue

Guarantees

Debt guarantee provided through Chicago

Infrastructure Trust (CIT) involvement.

Construction overruns paid by GP

Rights

LP major decision rights, including right

to revoke GP construction / management

rights under set circumstances

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Proposed Developer (Co-GP) Terms

Potential Partners

Capital

Contributions

Passive GP: 10%

Active GP: 90%Guarantees

Construction guarantee provided by

active GP

Distributions All GP economics split pro rata FeesDevelopment and management fees

earned by active GP

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Base Case Returns

Limited PartnerDevelopment

PartnerRe-Connect Team

Equity Investment $9M $0.9M $0.1M

Cash Returned $102.8M $18.7M $2.1M

Equity Multiple 12x 22x 22x

IRR 39% 45% 45%

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Risks and Mitigants

Risks Mitigating Strategy and Factors Likelihood Impact

Political

• Sunk Costs of PAST administration

• Impracticality of original use & current media attention

Leasing

• City partners as tenant

• Diverse surrounding tenant mix

• Differentiated product and low cost basis

Financing

• Significant preleasing

• Alternative funding sources (TIF, TIFIA)

• Phased Construction

Market• Differentiated product and low cost basis• Secular growth industry

Construction• Limited remaining work• City as Stakeholder

High

MediumLow

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MediumLow

HighMedium

Low

High

MediumLow

HighMedium

Low

HighMedium

Low

HighMedium

Low

HighMedium

Low

HighMedium

Low

HighMedium

Low

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Why Here? Why Now?

Pricing Advantages

• Ideal Layout for Security & Operations• Duplicate Energy & Cooling• Low Latency & Direct Connectivity• Low Disaster Risk• Client Proximity Preference

Low Costs

• Attractive Cost Basis• Subterranean Temperature• Cheap Energy & Cooling• Government Incentives

High Returns

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Special Thanks To…

Jim Rylowicz – Enwave

Rachel Louviere-Davis - NRG

John Walters, Matt Carolan,

Andy Cvengros, Beth Grogan – JLL

Jason Donovan – EMC

David Spielfogel - Office of the Mayor

Aaron Joseph – Office of the Mayor

Brad McConnell – City Operations

Claire Tramm – CIT

Greg Hins – Crain’s

Brent Jeffries - Cavern Technology

Edward Pendarvis – Digital Realty

Maria Lukens – Digital Realty

Craig McKesson - T5 Data Centers

Enrique Torres - Equinix

Politics

Advisors

Data center experts

Utility experts

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“If you have a good, old building and you buy it at the right (cost) basis, it’s a beautiful thing. The problem is there are so few buildings that have the bones, the right construction, the right load per foot on the floors, the right ceiling heights, and all the right infrastructure. To build these from the ground up is very expensive, but we’re going to get to the point where you can no longer find existing building that will work.”

-Avner Papouchado, Serverfarm Realty