1JHSAT - October 2006

JHSAT StatusSeptember 25, 2006

Mark Liptak FAA ANE-110Jack Drake HAI

2JHSAT - October 2006

JHSAT Status

Data Analysis

Engaging with the international community

Offering near term safety recommendations

3JHSAT - October 2006

Data Analysis

4JHSAT - October 2006

Data Analysis:

The JHSAT team is currently processing 190 accidents

The accident data has been downloaded from the NTSB (~4000 files)

For each accident the JHSAT performs the following:reconstruct the sequence of eventsidentify what went wrong and why it went wrongassign an appropriate problem statementidentify appropriate corrective action(s)score findings based on validity, importance, ability

and usage

The team has currently completed 90 of 190 accidents

5JHSAT - October 2006

JHSAT currently working process areas highlighted in yellow

CharterDevelopment

EstablishTeam

Select Data Set

ReviewNTSB

Docket Data

DevelopEvent

Sequence

IdentifyProblems

(what/why)

Assign StdProblem

Statements

ScoreProblem

Validity &Importance

Identify InterventionStrategies

ScoreInterventionAbility/Usage

Prioritize byOverall

Effectiveness

TechnicalReview

&Expert

Validation

Conflicts? ReportResults

No

Yes

IHST

JHSIT

6JHSAT - October 2006

Data Analysis:

To date the accidents analyzed have covered a wide spectrum of helicopter types and operations. We expect to be able to offer a comprehensive set of safety recommendations based on the analyses to the IHST and JHSIT.

The data has not been ranked by the JHSAT yet. This will be accomplished as a final step prior to review with experts in the affected recommendation areas.

7JHSAT - October 2006

Engaging with the international community

8JHSAT - October 2006

Worldwide Helicopter Accidents/Year

1980 - 2005

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800A

cc

ide

nts

/ye

ar

US Civil Registry Non-US Civil & Military US Military & USCG (ABC)

9JHSAT - October 2006

Engaging with the international community

The preceding slide shows worldwide accident trends for the last 26 years. The criticality of working with the international community to reduce worldwide rates is readily apparent since the US accounts for only 35 to 40% of accidents on an annual basis.

The JHSAT team is developing contacts and coordinating this activity. Matt Rigsby from FAA-ASW will be acting as the contact point for identifying overseas and military partners.

Any entity that possess large helicopter accident datasets that could be processed by the JHSAT method should be considered.

EASA and Canada moving toward partnering with us in this process.

On-going efforts to identify other partners from Asia, South America, Oceania, etc.

10JHSAT - October 2006

Engaging with the international community

A structured approach will be used to manage the analytical and implementation work sponsored by the IHST.

Key attributes:

All recommendations will be data driven

Regional ownership - Data is owned and analyzed by those most familiar with it. Safety recommendations will be implemented by teams most familiar with local needs.

JHSAT and JHSIT lead teams will be responsible for training/coaching regional teams, measuring the results of the safety recommendations and implementation effectiveness.

11JHSAT - October 2006

IHST Safety InitiativeAnalysis, Implementation and Metrics Management Structure

IHSTExecutive Committee

JHSATLead Group

JHSITLead Group

Canada JHSAT

EASA JHSAT

Canada JHSIT

EASA JHSIT

Region X, Y, Z JHSIT

US/CAN/EASA Consolidated

Recommendations

JHSAT sends recommendations to JHSIT

US/CAN/EASA/X,Y,Z Implementation

Results

JHSAT/JHSIT

cross-talk

Need to maintain a strongcommunication/feedback loopbetween IHST – JHSAT - JHSIT

Process development usingUS NTSB datarepresents 48% ofworldwide fleet

Measure Accident Reductions

Effectiveness

Measure Implementation

Effectiveness

Regions X, Y, Z defined as those pockets of operation not ableto staff a full JHSAT team and are willing to work implementation of US/CAN/EASA findings to benefit their fleets

Others?

12JHSAT - October 2006

JHSAT Lead Group Analysis of

International Data

Matt Rigsby is JHSAT POC Seeking data rich partners Preliminary discussions with: Canada EASA (CAA-UK, France BEA) Brazil (contacted, no reply) NZ (contacted, no reply) Australia Chile Canadian Military USN Near-term: bring Canada on-line as a test case Consider EASA next Interim Goal: have Canada/EASA present status at the 2007 IHSS Symposium in Montreal Demonstrate that this is an international effort, and it has momentum

JHSIT will also have international partnermanagement responsibilities: custom tailored regional solutions coordinated with JHSAT coordinated with IHST

IHSTOutreach/Marketing

Emerging Fleets

Somen is the IHST POCIdentify emerging/high growth marketsDevelop strategy to: Foster participation Benefit from IHST knowledge baseCandidates: China India CIS?

Engaging with the International Community

JHSIT Lead Group Implementing

Regional Solutions

13JHSAT - October 2006

Potential Barriers:

JHSAT:Variation in dataset quality, definitions, etc, around the world may make use of a standardized JHSAT approach more difficult.

Military data may not be available.

Lack of fleet hours will complicate ability to measure results.

Regional teams may be difficult to staff with sufficient level of expertise representing manufacturers, operators and regulatory interests.

JHSIT:Regional operations and regulations may make some implementation actions difficult.

14JHSAT - October 2006

US CivilDataset

Selection (1/2 of

helicoptersWorldwide)

JSAT ProcessUnderstanding

Refining

JHSAT Analysis

IdentifyFCAA &MilitaryPartners

Train FCAA &

Military Partners in JHSATProcess

FCAA & Military Partners conductJHSAT

analyses on their

accident data

Expert Review/

Validation

MitigationRecs - Global

MitigationRecs

FCAA & Mil

Coordinating JHSAT US and International Efforts

First SetUS Mitigation

Recs

Mar/Apr 06May/June 06

May-Dec 06Jan 07

1Q 07

1Q 08

TBD 07

TBD 07TBD 06/07

Sept 06

TechReview

Jan 07

IHST

JHSAT is now working to bring EASA and Canada into the process

15JHSAT - October 2006

Offering near term safety recommendations

16JHSAT - October 2006

Offering near term safety recommendations

The JHSAT has identified important recommendations from a series of existing helicopter safety reports. (listed on the next slide)

The team is currently drafting narrative statements that give background and context to the recommendations.

These recommendations will be submitted to the IHST in November so that the JHSIT will have several well founded general recommendations to work with.

The JHSAT plan to issue its full set of analytical results by the end of 1Q07.

17JHSAT - October 2006

JHSAT is reviewing the recommendations of the following reports:

NASA - U.S. Civil Rotorcraft Accidents, 1963 Through 1997NASA - Analysis of US Civil Rotorcraft Accidents from 1990 to 1996 and Implications for a Safety Program NASA - ASRS Rotorcraft Incident Study - Draft Data Summary Aviation Safety Reporting SystemNASA - Helicopter Accident Analysis TeamAMPA - A Safety Review and Risk Assessment in Air Medical TransportCRS - Report for Congress - Military Aviation SafetyOGP - Safety Performance of Helicopter Operations in the Oil and Gas Industry - 2000 DataTSB Canada - Lessons Learned from TSB Investigation of Helicopter Accidents (1994 - 2003)Bell Textron - History of Helicopter SafetyOther NTSB and international reports may be considered.

18JHSAT - October 2006

Please forward questions to Mark Liptak, JHSAT co-chairperson.

This document was prepared in September 2006