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1 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
. 0T E N
Decision Making Decision Making and Creativityand CreativityDecision Making Decision Making and Creativityand Creativity
C H A P T E R
1
2 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Decision Making & Creativity at G.A.P Decision Making & Creativity at G.A.P Decision Making & Creativity at G.A.P Decision Making & Creativity at G.A.P
Creativity and astute
decision making have
helped Bruce Poon Tip
(shown) and his company,
G.A.P Adventures, to
become an innovator in the
travel industry
Courtesy of G.A.P Adventures
3 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Decision Making Defined Decision Making Defined Decision Making Defined Decision Making Defined
Conscious process of
making choices among
one or more alternatives
with the intention of
moving toward some
desired state of affairs
Courtesy of G.A.P Adventures
4 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
3. Develop3. Developalternativesalternatives
1. Identify1. Identifyproblemproblem
2. Choose2. Choosedecisiondecision
stylestyle
Rational Decision Making Model Rational Decision Making Model Rational Decision Making Model Rational Decision Making Model
4. Choose4. Choosebest solutionbest solution
5. Implement5. Implementsolutionsolution
6. Evaluate6. Evaluatedecisiondecision
5 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Problem Identification ProcessProblem Identification ProcessProblem Identification ProcessProblem Identification Process
• Problems and opportunities are not announced or pre-defined – need to interpret ambiguous information
• Involves both rational and emotional brain centres – probably need to pay attention to both in
problem identification
6 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Famous Missed OpportunitiesFamous Missed OpportunitiesFamous Missed OpportunitiesFamous Missed Opportunities
A Knight’s Tale was a box office
success, yet most Hollywood
studios rejected Brian Helgeland’s
proposal. They failed to see the
appeal of a film about a lowly
squire in 14th century England
who aspires to be a knight, set to
1970s rock music and reflecting
contemporary themes of youth,
freedom, and equality.© Photofest
7 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Problem Identification ChallengesProblem Identification ChallengesProblem Identification ChallengesProblem Identification Challenges
• Perceptual bias:– Imperfect perceptions– Selective attention
mechanisms– Influence from others– Mental models
• Diagnostic skills:– Defining problems in
terms of solutions© Photofest
8 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Identifying Problems EffectivelyIdentifying Problems EffectivelyIdentifying Problems EffectivelyIdentifying Problems Effectively
• Be aware of perceptual and diagnostic limitations
• Understand mental models
• Consider other perspectives
• Discuss the situation with colleagues © Photofest
9 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Making Choices: Rational vs OB ViewsMaking Choices: Rational vs OB ViewsMaking Choices: Rational vs OB ViewsMaking Choices: Rational vs OB Views
ProcessingProcessingInformationInformation
Evaluation Evaluation TimingTiming
Rational: People can process all information
Rational: All choices evaluated simultaneously
GoalsGoals Rational: Clear, compatible, agreed upon
OB: Ambiguous, conflicting, lack agreement
OB: People process only limited information
OB: Choices evaluated sequentially
more
10 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Making Choices: Rational vs OB Making Choices: Rational vs OB (con’t)(con’t)Making Choices: Rational vs OB Making Choices: Rational vs OB (con’t)(con’t)
Info QualityInfo Quality
Decision Decision ObjectiveObjective
Rational: People rely on factual information
Rational: Maximization -- the optimal choice
StandardsStandards Rational: Evaluate against absolute standards
OB: Evaluate against implicit favourite
OB: Rely on perceptually distorted information
OB: Satisficing -- a “good enough” choice
11 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Intuitive Decision MakingIntuitive Decision MakingIntuitive Decision MakingIntuitive Decision Making
• Ability to know when a problem or opportunity exists and select the best course of action without conscious reasoning
• Conduit for tacit knowledge
• Use intuition to complete rational process
12 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Choosing Solutions EffectivelyChoosing Solutions EffectivelyChoosing Solutions EffectivelyChoosing Solutions Effectively
• Systematically evaluate alternatives
• Balance emotions and rational influences
• Scenario planning
© Corel Corp. With permission
13 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Escalation of CommitmentEscalation of CommitmentEscalation of CommitmentEscalation of Commitment
Escalation of commitment
occurred when the British
government continued funding
the Concorde supersonic jet
long after it’s lack of
commercial viability was
apparent. Some scholars refer
to escalation of commitment as
the “Concorde fallacy.” © Corel Corp. With permission
14 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Escalation of Commitment CausesEscalation of Commitment CausesEscalation of Commitment CausesEscalation of Commitment Causes
• Self-justification
• Gambler’s fallacy
• Perceptual blinders
• Closing costs© Corel Corp. With permission
15 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Employee Involvement DefinedEmployee Involvement DefinedEmployee Involvement DefinedEmployee Involvement Defined
The degree that employees share information, knowledge, rewards and power throughout the organization
– active in decisions
– employees influence how their work is organized and carried out
16 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
HighHigh
MediumMedium
LowLow
Levels of Employee InvolvementLevels of Employee InvolvementLevels of Employee InvolvementLevels of Employee Involvement
High involvement– Employees have complete decision
making power (e.g.. SDWTs)
Full consultation– Employees offer recommendations
(e.g.. gain sharing)
Selective consultation– Employees give information, but
don’t know the problem
17 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Employee Involvement ModelEmployee Involvement ModelEmployee Involvement ModelEmployee Involvement Model
Potential Involvement Potential Involvement OutcomesOutcomes
ContingenciesContingenciesof Involvementof Involvement
Employee Employee InvolvementInvolvement
• Better problem identification
• More/better solutions generated
• Best choice more likely
• Higher decision commitment
18 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Contingencies of InvolvementContingencies of InvolvementContingencies of InvolvementContingencies of Involvement
Knowledge Knowledge SourceSource
Decision Decision CommitmentCommitment
• Employees have relevant knowledge beyond leader
• Employees would lack commitment unless involved
Risk ofRisk ofConflictConflict
• Norms support firm’s goals• Employee agreement likely
Decision Decision StructureStructure
• Problem is new & complex(i.e nonprogrammed decision)
Employee involvement is better when:Employee involvement is better when:
19 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
PreparationPreparation
IncubationIncubation
Insight
VerificationVerification
Creative Process ModelCreative Process ModelCreative Process ModelCreative Process Model
20 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Creativity at Research in MotionCreativity at Research in MotionCreativity at Research in MotionCreativity at Research in Motion
Through his persistence,
Mike Lazardis (shown) helped
Research in Motion to
become a leader in wireless
communications. “[He] keeps
grinding towards his goal until
he gets there,” says one
observer.R. Koza, CP/K-W Record
21 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Characteristics of Creative PeopleCharacteristics of Creative PeopleCharacteristics of Creative PeopleCharacteristics of Creative People
• Above average
intelligence
• Persistence
• Relevant knowledge
and experience
• Inventive thinking
R. Koza, CP/K-W Record
22 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Supporting CreativitySupporting CreativitySupporting CreativitySupporting Creativity
• Learning orientation– Encourage experimentation– Tolerate mistakes
• Intrinsically motivating work– Task significance, autonomy, feedback
• Open communication and sufficient resources
23 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Creative ActivitiesCreative ActivitiesCreative ActivitiesCreative Activities
• Review Review abandoned abandoned projectsprojects
•• Ask other Ask other peoplepeople
RedefineRedefinethe Problemthe Problem
•• StorytellingStorytelling
•• Artistic Artistic activitiesactivities
•• Morphological Morphological analysisanalysis
AssociativeAssociativePlayPlay
•• Diverse teamsDiverse teams
•• Information Information sessionssessions
• Internal Internal tradeshowstradeshows
Cross-Cross-PollinationPollination
24 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Team Decision Making ConstraintsTeam Decision Making ConstraintsTeam Decision Making ConstraintsTeam Decision Making Constraints
• Time constraints– Time to organize/coordinate– Production blocking
• Evaluation apprehension– Belief that other team members are silently
evaluating you
• Conformity to peer pressure– Suppressing opinions that oppose team
norms
25 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Team Constraints: GroupthinkTeam Constraints: GroupthinkTeam Constraints: GroupthinkTeam Constraints: Groupthink
• Tendency in highly cohesive teams to value consensus at the price of decision quality
• More common when the team:– Is highly cohesive– Is isolated from outsiders– Team leader is opinionated– Faces external threat– Has recent failures– Team lacks clear guidance
26 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Team Constraints: Group PolarizationTeam Constraints: Group PolarizationTeam Constraints: Group PolarizationTeam Constraints: Group Polarization
• Tendency for teams to make more extreme decisions than individuals alone
• Riskier options usually taken because of gambler’s fallacy -- believe they can beat the odds
27 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
General Guidelines for Team DecisionsGeneral Guidelines for Team DecisionsGeneral Guidelines for Team DecisionsGeneral Guidelines for Team Decisions
1. Ensure neither leader nor any member dominates
2. Maintain optimal team size
3. Team norms encourage critical thinking
4. Introduce effective team structures
28 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Generating Constructive ConflictGenerating Constructive ConflictGenerating Constructive ConflictGenerating Constructive Conflict
• Form heterogeneous decision making team
• Ensure team meets often to face contentious issues
• Members should take on different discussion roles
29 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Rules of BrainstormingRules of BrainstormingRules of BrainstormingRules of Brainstorming
1. Speak freely
2. No criticism
3. Provide many ideas
4. Build on others’ ideas
30 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Evaluating Electronic BrainstormingEvaluating Electronic BrainstormingEvaluating Electronic BrainstormingEvaluating Electronic Brainstorming
• Benefits– Less production blocking– Less evaluation apprehension– More creative synergy– More satisfaction with process
• Problems– Too structured– Technology-bound– Candid feedback is threatening– Not applicable to all decisions
31 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Nominal Group TechniqueNominal Group TechniqueNominal Group TechniqueNominal Group Technique
DescribeDescribeproblemproblem
IndividualIndividualActivityActivity
TeamTeamActivityActivity
IndividualIndividualActivityActivity
Nominal Group TechniqueNominal Group TechniqueNominal Group TechniqueNominal Group Technique
Write downWrite downpossiblepossiblesolutionssolutions
PossiblePossiblesolutionssolutionsdescribeddescribedto othersto others
Vote onVote onsolutionssolutionspresentedpresented
32 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
. 0T E N
Decision Making Decision Making and Creativityand CreativityDecision Making Decision Making and Creativityand Creativity
C H A P T E R
1
33 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Solutions to Creativity Solutions to Creativity BrainbustersBrainbusters
Solutions to Creativity Solutions to Creativity BrainbustersBrainbusters
34 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Double Circle ProblemDouble Circle ProblemDouble Circle ProblemDouble Circle ProblemDouble Circle ProblemDouble Circle ProblemDouble Circle ProblemDouble Circle Problem
35 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Nine Dot ProblemNine Dot ProblemNine Dot ProblemNine Dot ProblemNine Dot ProblemNine Dot ProblemNine Dot ProblemNine Dot Problem
36 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Nine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem RevisitedNine Dot Problem Revisited
37 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Word SearchWord SearchWord SearchWord SearchWord SearchWord SearchWord SearchWord Search
FCIRVEEALTETITVEERS
38 Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McShane 5th Canadian Edition
Burning RopesBurning RopesBurning RopesBurning RopesBurning RopesBurning RopesBurning RopesBurning Ropes
One Hour to Burn Completely
After first rope burnedi.e. 30 min.