1. 2 The crisis negative influence on retail sales Dropping of sales volumes - Lowering of consumer...
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Transcript of 1. 2 The crisis negative influence on retail sales Dropping of sales volumes - Lowering of consumer...
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The crisis negative influence on retail sales
Dropping of sales volumes- Lowering of consumer demand
- Consumption displacement aside cheaper goods
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
Jan 2008
Feb 2008
Mar 2008
Apr 2008
May 2008
Jun 2008
Jul 2008
Aug 2008
Sep 2008
Oct 2008
Nov 2008
Dec 2008
Jan 2009
Feb 2009
Mar 2009
Apr 2009
May 2009
Jun 2009
Jul 2009
Aug 2009
Rates of change of retail turnover in Russia
33
Company (chain)Company (chain)Net debtNet debt, ,
mlnmln.$ .$ 20072007
Net debtNet debt, , mlnmln.$ .$ 20082008
The 7th ContinentThe 7th Continent(Sed’moy Kontinent)(Sed’moy Kontinent) 170170 196196
CarrouselCarrousel 140140 154154
DixyDixy 186186 219219
Magnet (Magnit)Magnet (Magnit) 557557 591591
Х5Х5 1,5421,542 1,9941,994
HolidayHoliday 273273 320320
Kopek (Kopeyka)Kopek (Kopeyka) 402402 440440
Growth of debt burden of chains
44
Russian leading food retailers
№№ Company Company FY 2008FY 2008
Net Retail SalesNet Retail Sales(USD mln)(USD mln)
% % In Top-10In Top-10
% in Total% in TotalMarketMarket
1.1. X5X5 8,8448,844 26.1%26.1% 4.0%4.0%
2.2. Magnit Magnit 5,3265,326 15.7%15.7% 2.4%2.4%
3.3. Metro Metro 5,0775,077 15.0%15.0% 2.3%2.3%
4.4. Auchan Auchan 4,9834,983 14.7%14.7% 2.2%2.2%
5.5. Lenta Lenta 2,042,04 6.0%6.0% 0.9%0.9%
6.6. DixyDixy 1,9231,923 5.7%5.7% 0.9%0.9%
7.7. Kopeyka Kopeyka 1,891,89 5.6% 5.6% 0.7%0.7%
8.8. Seventh Continent Seventh Continent 1,5491,549 3.6% 3.6% 0.9%0.9%
9.9. Viktoria Viktoria 1,2281,228 4.6% 4.6% 0.6%0.6%
10.10. O’Key O’Key 1,0531,053 3.1%3.1% 0.5%0.5%
Total Total 33,91333,913 100.0%100.0% 15.3%15.3%
55
Formats of retail chains
FormatFormatSales areaSales area, ,
sq.m.sq.m.
AssortAssortment,ment,itemsitems
Share ofShare ofNonfoodsNonfoods,,
%%
Number ofNumber ofbuyersbuyersper dayper day
AverageAveragepurchase purchase
sizesize,$,$
HypermarketHypermarket6000-6000-2000020000
1800018000--4000040000 47%47% 45004500 31,231,2
SupermarketSupermarket1000-1000-50005000
70007000--1500015000 22%22% 21552155 13,413,4
Department Department store store (Economy (Economy classclasssupermarket)supermarket)
500-500-30003000
2000-2000-70007000 29%29% 30403040 7,57,5
DiscounterDiscounter300300
10001000500-500-20002000 15%15% 15601560 7,17,1
cash&carrycash&carry6000-6000-2000020000
2000020000--4000040000 42%42% 22112211 124,3124,3
Convenience Convenience storestore
80-80-400400
1000-1000-30003000 18%18% 12131213 6,26,2
66
Assortment of press products in supermarkets
20%
60%
19%
1%
up to 100items
from 100 upto 200 items
from 200 upto 300 items
from 300 upto 400 items
Assortment allocation in supermarket chains
77
FormatFormatNumber of Number of periodical periodical
itemsitems
Laying out Laying out areaarea,,r.m.r.m.
Monthly Monthly average average
turnover per turnover per one POSone POS
HypermarketHypermarket 260-350 260-350
SKUSKUFrom From 5 м 5 м and moreand more
35 - 46 35 - 46 thousand thousand
euroeuro
SupermarketSupermarket
125 – 260 125 – 260 SKUSKUFromFrom 1 1 up up
toto 5 м 5 м
4,5– 114,5– 11 thousand thousand
euroeuroConvenience storeConvenience store
Department storeDepartment store 70 – 100 70 – 100 SKUSKU
FromFrom 1 1 up up to to 2,5 м 2,5 м
2,3 – 5,7 2,3 – 5,7 thousand thousand
euroeuro DiscounterDiscounter
cash&carrycash&carry 160 – 260 160 – 260 SKUSKU 1,5 – 6,5 м 1,5 – 6,5 м
11,4 – 3011,4 – 30thousand thousand
euroeuro
Press in various retail chains
88
The crisis impact on press distribution in retail chains
-12%
15%
-25% -5%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
print run sales, item
sales revenue, rub.
ad profit Cumulative rates of revenue downfall
99
Dualism of printed mass media
Publishing houses ad profits; 1,3
billion euro.
Overall market sales turnover
(retail+subscription1,7
billion euro
The structure of Russian printed mass-media in 2008
Press goods have the dualism character :
1. The goods providing the required information for the buyer.2. Advertising vehicle.
The idea of dualism obviously highlights the possibility for the distributor to raise his profits referring to the dualism idea:
- Dealing with the advertising tool (such as a newspaper or a magazine) the distributor should also get the certain income from the advertising placed in the titles.
1010
The costs breakdown of press distribution in supermarket chains
Bonus costs:
The conclusion of the long-term contract for goods delivery to the chain (under tender conditions).
The distributor entrance bonus for one POS in supermarket chain make 1400 -5500 euro and about 12500 euro for one POS in hypermarket chain
Trading & purchasing activity in POSes of chain.
Initiating of the registration card of a commodity item in chain is about 70 - 280 euro for the title.
Providing the retail POSes with the specialized trading equipment
The cost of 1 running meter of the equipment for laying out and promoting the goods is about 300 - 600 euro.
Bonus awarding for the sales volume gained.
The payments for sales volume is about 5 - 15 % of the total profit gained for the goods sold in chain.
Promo activity in POSes
The payments for carrying out of the promo-actions and promo laying out can be 3 % -10 % of the sales volume of the ad goods or of the fixed amount for carrying out of single promo action
1111
The law on trade regulationStipulates the following restrictions for
chains in terms of dealing with suppliers
Cooperation among sales chains and suppliers will be subject to the contracts on deliveries and services; Suggested to abrogate the practice to pay the bonuses (entrance bonuses ) except the awarding bonuses stipulated for the sales chains for sales volume gained; Suggested to stipulate the refund terms for suppliers vis-a-vis sales chains Suggested to avoid any direct and constantly ongoing prices restrictions Suggested to review the issue on attributing to cost the awarding bonuses «for sales volume» by suppliers and on attributing to cost the losses of sales chains.
1212
The specific features of Russian press distribution
in supermarkets chains.
Working on the basis of the contracts on purchase and sale
Remission is carried out on the basis of the repurchase agreement
Pricing forms according to trading margins
The price is not normally indicated on the cover of titles
The supplier must pay so called entrance bonus to get to the chain
1313
The strong parts of Russian press distribution system
The distributors fix both pricing and margin level
The distributor owns the goods
Various agreements and compromises might be reached with both the publishing houses and retailers
The refunds level makes 20-30%
1414
The future developments of distribution business
Sales of print runs of press products per single POS will continue to fall down
Distributor incomes of press sales will continue to fall down
The possible approaches for success :
Developing of distribution and accompanying goods; Developing such key factors as logistic and extra client services Cost cutout by means of assortment shrinkage The transition from printed goods distribution to content distribution. Implementation of press dualism idea in order to scale up the distribution profits Combining the contract on sales & purchases with the agents contracts for services
1515