0102 Optimized 09-15-07 Infra Analyst - JGR v5 FINAL · ’07 Infra direct material buy Energy...
Transcript of 0102 Optimized 09-15-07 Infra Analyst - JGR v5 FINAL · ’07 Infra direct material buy Energy...
GEInfrastructure
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Invest & deliver
Revenue Earnings Returns
2-3XGDP
10%+
20%
Invest in leadership businesses
Growthas a
process
Reliable execution & financial discipline
Great people & team
Safe & reliable growth company
“Built for the future”
+ Infrastructure technology + Demographics+ Developing markets + Value from liquidity+ Digital connections + Scarcity/environmental
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Infrastructure evolution
'95 '00 '05 '07F
Netincome
Revenue
$16
$1.3
($ in billions)
11%CAGR
16%CAGR
For investors: reliable growth over time … return on total capital 30%+
� Invest through cycles … technology, service, capabilities, & new adjacencies
� GE leaders build successful long term businesses
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Environment …
Industry remains strong … 1H traffic +6%
International strength continues
NA RR traffic (3)% … International & mining strong
Increasing depletion rates … drilling activity ����
Desal market growing … chem market @ GDP+
Aviation
Energy
Trans
Oil & Gas
Water
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� Multiple European orders … Spain, Russia, France, Greece
� 1H Aircraft orders up 2X
Continued strength across the board
� 1,110+ ’07 locomotive orders
� Subsea expansion accelerating
� $1B global project wins year to date
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CSA backlog ~$95B end of ’07 Service margins +3pts in ‘07
Strategic sourcing Lean execution
Infrastructure strategy & execution
Grow lifecycle service: CSA / upgrades / IT inspections & repairs
“Global best cost”
Maximizing segment synergies … delivering to our customers
Int’l Rev … ~$46B by ’10 ME $8B, LA $5B, China $3B
Globalization … focus on emerging markets
R&D spend ~$2B per year Ecomagination … $16B by ‘10
Differentiate with technology
Technology … Vetco & Smiths Non-installed base services
Capitalize on adjacentmarkets & products
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Differentiate with technology
GE90
9F
EVO/AC4400
Invest ~$2B R&D annually … ~70K installed base units
Now Next
GEnx Hybrid loco
Subsea
LEAP 56-a)
Desalinization
(a- Leap56 is a TM of of CFMI,CFM is a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
Wind
IGCCNuclear
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Fuel price
Oil: ~$70 – 80 / barrelNG: ~$5-8 / mbtu
Providing increased customer value
Fuel efficient technology
Today
Aviation� Genx 20% fuel savings
� LEAP 56TM~20% fuel
Transportation� EVO locomotive
� Hybrid locomotive …~10% fuel savings
Energy� Jenbacher engine
LEAP56TM is a trade mark of CFM, a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
* Compared to CFM56 Tech Insertion (certified in 2007)
Installed base improvements� Fuel upgrades
� Performance packages
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Play big themes: ecomaginationsm
• Surpass expectations … revenues & margins
• ~40 products in process for ’07 – ’10
ecomaginationsm
'06 '10F
~$16+($ in billions)
Using scale, imagination to drive growth
Hybrid loco
Global desalination
• 10% fuel savings … 10% emission reduction
• Launch ‘10
• Current installations provide 2B gallons/day
• $300MM revenues by ’10
Revenue
GEnx
~$9
• Low fuel burn … 20% efficiency improvement
• > $1.3MM annual savings per aircraft
~17%
CAGR
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• 25% reduction in building electricity consumption
or
• 800 coal plants with CO2 capture
or
• 700x current installed solar power capacity
or
• All existing cars running on biofuels
20552005
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Global tons carbon/year (billions)
0
Projected growth
Historical
Focus on “carbon management”
CO2 legislation / “carbon cost” inevitable
1B tons of carbon/year
Source: Princeton Univ.
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GE participation … today & tomorrow
Efficiency Low carbon power Low carbon fuels
Forests & agriculture
Buildings (2)
Transport (2)
Coal Plants (1)
Base Load (2)� IGCC Cleaner Coal� ESBWR Nuclear
Renewables (2)
Natural Gas (1)� Large-Frame Turbines� LM Turbines� Energy Finance
CO2 Capture (2)� BP H2 Joint Venture� Synfuels Technology
Biomass (1)� Energy Finance� Water Treatment
Fuel Cell H2 (1)
Broad GE participation
� Water Treatment� Appliances� Lighting� Energy Finance
� Aircraft Engines� Locomotives� Equipment Svcs.� Aviation Finance
� Energy Services� Water Treatment� Energy Finance
� Wind Turbines� Solar Power� Biogas Engines� Energy Finance
5B tons of carbon/yr 5B tons of carbon/yr 4B tons of carbon/yr
2B tons of carbon/yr
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1620
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'07E '10E
~$31
~$46
Globalization
Revenue
~14%CAGR
($ in billions)
Utilize strengths for expansion … emerging markets key
Emerging
Developed
Focus … strategic imperatives
• Commercial presence
• Engineering capability
• Local production assets
• In-country services
• Financing support
• Government relations expertise
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~ ~
~
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+23%CAGR
$5$8
$3 $5
Emerging markets … lots in play
Middle East
($ Revenue in billions )
Emerging markets key
Latin America
2007 2010 2007 2010
� Energy … regional employment 2X
� Transportation … Egypt, Libya loco deals
�Water … Bringing plants on line, structured projects
�Oil & Gas … Large installed base … service facility
� Energy … 2x Mexico engineering resources
� Transportation … loco assembly & service shops
�Water … Local chemical presence
� Aviation … Celma engine service shop
� Oil & Gas … Local manufacturing (VetcoGray)
+10%CAGR
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Services growth
• CSA backlog ~10% in 2007 … ~$95B
• Services margin increasing ~1 pt. per year
• Non-installed base services increasing
$23~$25
Service revenues
Marginrate
Revenue
28%~31%
($ in billions)
Foundation for multiple years of strong organic growth
Energy ~3K ~$50
Aviation ~23K ~40
Transportation ~17K ~10
Oil & Gas ~28K ~10
’07Eunits
’07-’10Frevenue
~9%
Installed base
2006 2007
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Abu DhabiJV, India
Nigeria JV, Japan
JV, Indonesia
JV, ChinaSpain
McAllen,TX
JacksonvilleHouston
Cincinnati
UK
Hungary
Saudi Arabia
Singapore
Algeria
Qatar
Edmonton Florence
Houston
Turbimeco
Trinidad
Increase capability + reduce cost = growth
3 independent businesses ���� 1 global Infrastructure network
Gas turbine repair network
'07E '10E'07E '10E '07E '10E
Sales % LC Pole Cost/Hr
$1.3B$1.9B
40%
65% $69$59
• 22 dedicated shops
• 11 dedicated shops
• 9 shared shops
• 2 shops closed
• McAllen pilot underway
… Hungary next
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From …
To …
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'04 '07
Supply chain environment
3X
Strengthening low-cost supply chain critical
Material inflation - $/lb
(a-Source: IMF, WBMS, Antaike, Macquarie Research June 2007
'04 '07Copper Rhenium
China’s share of commodity growth
5765 71
93 93
Alum
Steel
Nickel
Copper
Zinc
100%
0%
Global growth % ‘00 – ‘06
Copper consumption per capita since 1950 –a)
02468101214
kg/person
1950 2006
Copper demand outlook
Japan
Korea
China
India
6X
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Supply chain strategy
Key initiatives
Initiatives geared to drive best cost position
� Low cost sourcing
� Material cost out
� Engineering design out
� Capital efficiency
� Low cost/best cost footprint
� Supply base investments
’07 Infra direct material buy
Energy
Aviation
Oil & Gas
Transportation
Water
Total
~$11
~7
~4
~2
~1
~$25
($ in billions)
People
Capital
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Driving material cost out
Imperatives Low cost country content %
� LCC sourcing
� Logistics
� Localization
� Order-to-remittance
� Supplier strategy
� Product planning
� Substitution of material types
� Lower cost fabrication
Multiple approaches
Material productivity
~$325MM~1.6%MCP
Evo
GE90
9FB
18%
18%
11%
~51%
~22%
~14%
’07E
~$2B ’07E LCC spend
‘07 ‘10
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Driving capital efficiency through supply chain execution
Lean ���� capacity & efficiency
Reducing turbine blade cycle time … CFM � 13 days
Creating wind capacity … +6X volume by ‘08
EVO production � ~10 days … > 900 locomotives
GE � Vetco 4X additional riser output
Driving integration ... aligning processes ...
~50% proposal cycle time reduction
Aviation
Energy
Trans
Oil & Gas
Water
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Operational scale
Potential to create ~$1B value
LEAP56TM is a trade mark of CFM, a 50/50 joint company between GE and Snecma
* Compared to CFM56 Tech Insertion (certified in 2007)
+1% VCP +1% Material deflation
~$350MM ~$300MM ~$80MM
+1% BCP
~47K hourly
employees~$25B Direct
material buy~$4B SG&A
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Expand into adjacencies
Capture horizontal market value …
Revenue
‘00
Next:
Power storage
Subsea processing
Turbo prop
Business jets
Solar …
and more
‘07E
$30
~$55-57
($ in billions)
~$12
~$43-45
Renewables
Subsea production
Water
Rail IT
Avionics
Optimization & control
Environmental services
Gas engines
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Cost + strategic synergies
Creating synergies across businesses
Synergy initiatives
� Common service networks
� Shared direct & indirect buys
� Common warehousing
� Repair technologies
� Commercial cross selling
� Common G&A functions
Energy
Connecting the dots
Aviation
GECASEFS
Oil & Gas
Transportation
Water
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GE Infrastructure
~15-20%
~20%+
2006 2007
Revenue
Segment Profit
$9.0
$47.4
On track to deliver ‘07 commitment
($ in billions)Business summary
• Capitalizing on strong market trends
• Investing & winning with great technology
• Expanding globally … emerging markets
• Growing services & adjacencies
• Operating excellence … lean & cost out
• Creating synergies across businesses
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Agenda
Aviation & GECAS Scott Donnelly (President & CEO GE Aviation)
David Joyce (VP & GM Commercial Engines)
Scott Ernest (VP & GM Global Supply Chain)
Henry Hubschman (President & CEO Aviation Services)
Energy & EFS John Krenicki (President & CEO GE Energy)
Steve Bolze (VP & GM Power Generation)
Dan Heintzelman (VP & GM Energy Services)
Alex Urquhart (President & CEO Energy Financial Services)
Oil & Gas Claudi Santiago (President & CEO GE Oil & Gas)
Transportation John Dineen (President & CEO GE Transportation)
Water Jeff Garwood (President & CEO GE Water)
Break
Infrastructure overview John Rice (CEO GE Infrastructure, Vice Chairman GE)
Lorraine Bolsinger (Vice President Ecomagination)
Business update Keith Sherin (CFO GE, Vice Chairman GE)
GEInfrastructure