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Ferrous Minerals
The Iron Ore Market & CVRD’s Long Term Commitment to the Steel IndustryThe Iron Ore Market & CVRD’s Long Term Commitment to the Steel Industry
MINING LOGISTICSCVRD ENERGY
2nd International Meeting on Ironmaking1st International Symposium on Iron Ore
September 12 - 15, 2004 - Vitória - Espírito Santo – Brazil
22
Ferrous MineralsThe largest diversified mining The largest diversified mining company of the Americascompany of the Americas
CVRD
World Class AssetsManganese Manganese and and
Ferro-alloysFerro-alloys
Manganese Manganese and and
Ferro-alloysFerro-alloys
Iron Ore and Iron Ore and PelletsPellets
Iron Ore and Iron Ore and PelletsPellets
LogisticsLogistics LogisticsLogistics
AluminiumAluminiumBauxite, Bauxite,
Alumina and Alumina and AluminiumAluminium
AluminiumAluminiumBauxite, Bauxite,
Alumina and Alumina and AluminiumAluminium
Copper, Gold Copper, Gold and Nickeland Nickel
Copper, Gold Copper, Gold and Nickeland Nickel
SteelSteelSteelSteel
Industrial Industrial MineralsMinerals
Kaolin and PotashKaolin and Potash
Industrial Industrial MineralsMinerals
Kaolin and PotashKaolin and Potash
33
Ferrous Minerals
Ferrous minerals
55%
Aluminum15%
Logistics15%
Non-ferrous minerals
15%
Sources of Cash GenerationSources of Cash Generation
Ferrous minerals
78%
Aluminum9%
Logistics9%
Non-ferrous minerals
2%
Others2%
20032003 2010E2010E
The Ferrous Minerals business is and will continue to be CVRD’s largest revenue generator
44
Ferrous Minerals
Sepetiba
Northern System
Pelletizing PlantSão Luís 6 Mtpa
Reserves of Carajás
1.5 billion tons
Carajás Railroad892 km
Ponta da Madeira Port
70 Mtpa
Southern System
Pelletizing Complex30 Mtpa
Reserves CVRD Minas Gerais State
3.4 billion tons
Vitória to Minas Railroad905 km
Tubarão+ Sepetiba Ports
100 MtpaUrucum1 Mtpa
3
2 1
Produc.Cap. (Mtpa) 2003IO Pellets Sales (Mt)
Samarco 50 Brazil 2 14 16
MBR 60 Brazil 36 - 36
GIIC 50 Bahrain - 4 4
Localization% CVRD
3
2
1
Flexibility & ReliabilityFlexibility & Reliability
CVRD can produce & deliver fines, pellets and lump from both systems
55
Ferrous MineralsCVRD´s contribution to the CVRD´s contribution to the Brazilian economy recoveryBrazilian economy recovery
Investments of US$ 1.8 billion in 2004
Annualized exports of US$ 4 billion in 1Q04 - nearly 15% of
total Brazilian trade balance surplus.
100
1100
2100
3100
4100
5100
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
CVRD Exports (US$ million)CVRD Exports (US$ million)
66
Ferrous Minerals
The ‘soft landing’ of the Chinese economy has not been The ‘soft landing’ of the Chinese economy has not been translated into steel production. There has been no landing at translated into steel production. There has been no landing at all!all!
Chinese crude steel productionChinese crude steel production
Chinese Crude Steel ProductionChinese Crude Steel Production
Source: Deutsche Bank (Basic Materials Chartbook, 30/07/04)
Mt
77
Ferrous Minerals
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
75 80 85 90 95 ´00 ´03 ´04E ´10E
Finished steel consumption in China may reach 275 Kg/cap by 2010
Steel consumption in China shows a strong potential for growth
179 Kg per capita
0 200 400 600 800 1000
SouthKorea
Japan
EU-15
USA
China
Brazil
India20032003
Source: IISI, CVRD
Steel ConsumptionSteel Consumption
KgKg
...
Finished steel consumption Finished steel consumption per capita - Chinaper capita - China
88
Ferrous MineralsCHINA: YesterdayCHINA: Yesterday
PudongPudong
99
Ferrous MineralsCHINA: NowCHINA: Now
PudongPudong
1010
Ferrous MineralsThe China FactorThe China Factor
China is the key driver of global iron ore tradeChina is the key driver of global iron ore trade
Steel production is growing at a rapid rate.
Seaborne iron ore demand is growing at an even higher pace.
China’s requirement of high quality fines and pellets is increasing due to its need for:
– Higher productivity;
– Efficiency gains;
– Improvements in steel product quality;
– Lower emissions.
China is committed to infrastructure development.
Improvements have been made that provide the conditions to receive larger volumes of Brazilian ore more efficiently.
1111
Ferrous Minerals
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 ´ 00 ´ 01 ´ 02 ´ 03 ´ 04E ´ 05E ´ 10E
World Steel Production
World Pig I ron Production
Seaborne I ron Ore Demand
Iron Ore seaborne demand should maintain a higher growth rate than steel and pig iron production
Sources: Pig Iron/Steel Production: IISI; IO seaborne: Fearnleys(f) Forecasts: CRU and CVRD
19
92
= 1
00
19
92
= 1
00
Seaborne Iron Ore DemandSeaborne Iron Ore Demand
...
1212
Ferrous Minerals
Source: CVRD
Seaborne Iron Ore DemandSeaborne Iron Ore Demand
Between 2003 and 2010, seaborne iron ore demand will grow 5% p.a. and China will account for 90% of this growth.
411454 452
484
537
740
CAGR 99-10
+5.5%
+17.6%
+1.3%Rest of the
World
China
World
(Mt)
China´s share in world seaborne trade
China´s share in world seaborne trade
...
575
´0223%´0223%
´0328%´0328%
´04E31%´04E31%
´10E45%´10E45%
...
347
605
´05E34%´05E34%
......
1313
Ferrous MineralsBrazilian SBrazilian Steel Market Trendsteel Market Trends
Brazilian steel sector is on course to lift its crude steel capacity to 40 Mtpa by 2007 from the current 34 Mtpa.
Source: Credit Suisse First Boston, Aug2004
Source: IBS (Instituto Brasileiro de Siderurgia)
0
10
20
30
40
50
94 96 98 ´ 00 ´ 02 ´ 04E ´ 06E ´ 08E
Production CapacityProductionApparent Consumption
Crude SteelCrude SteelMtMt
CVRD is investing to comply with the need of
the steel industry
1414
Ferrous MineralsInvestment Capability is Key Investment Capability is Key
From 2000 to 2003, CVRD total investment reached US$ 6 billion. US$ 3.8 billion, representing 63% of the total amount, were dedicated to the iron ore business.
E - Budgeted
Source: CVRD
CVRD CapexCVRD CapexUS$ millionUS$ million
850 870
426
380 386
328
473
360
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004E
1,602 1,537
898
1,9881,815
Iron Ore Capex = Acquisitions + Organic growth
1,230 1,256899
1515
Ferrous Minerals
from to start-up Capex US$ per ton
million tons per yearmillion tons per year
CVRD is investing in iron ore capacity expansion to meet growing Brazilian and global seaborne demand
Iron Ore Capacity Expansion Iron Ore Capacity Expansion
Carajás 56 70 2004
10.28
Carajás 70 85 2006
12.30
Itabira 43 46 2006
18.70
Brucutu I - 12 2006
12.22
Brucutu II 12 24 2008
n.a.
Fábrica Nova I - 10 2005
5.67
Fábrica Nova II 10 15 2007
5.67
Fazendão - 14 2006
6.35
Total Capex* : US$ 706 millionTotal Capex* : US$ 706 million
* Excludes Brucutu II Capex
n.a.: not available
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Ferrous MineralsConclusionConclusion
CVRDCVRD’’s strategy is aligned with markets strategy is aligned with market needs needs
Investing to meet increasing demand;
Able to produce and to load iron ore products according to
clients´ needs, focusing on value-in-use to customers;
Stability of supply of high quality iron ore in a changing
resource base;
Long term contracts maximizing CVRD´s potential to
optmize the steel industry value chain.
1717
Ferrous Minerals
CVRDCVRDThe Iron Ore CompanyThe Iron Ore Company