- Twelve drivers for successful banking - DNB · Tech-nology Public sector Service Finance...
Transcript of - Twelve drivers for successful banking - DNB · Tech-nology Public sector Service Finance...
Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference
28 March 2012
CEO Rune Bjerke
Creating value in a deleveraging
environment
- Twelve drivers for successful banking
2
Driver 1:
Sustainable achievements – DNB has delivered as promised
Development in pre-tax operating profit before write-downs
(NOK billion)
Driver 3:
A robust and consistent industry strategy
Selective
inter-
national
position
Regional/
global
position
Shipping &
offshore
Telecom Healthcare
products
Forest
industries Media
Comm.
real
estate
Retail
industry
Tech-
nology
Public
sector Service Finance
Seafood
From
Norwegian
to Nordic
position
4
International expansion based on industries with
traditional Norwegian competence
Energy
5
Driver 4:
Competence and experience in cyclical industries
NOK
million
0 % 0 %
7 %
9 %
5 %
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
-
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
International shipping Total Shipping in % of DNB Group
Write-downs
DNB Group and shipping
Offshore; 27,1 %
Crude oil tankers; 11,5 %
RoRo/PCC; 2,9 %
Container; 12,0 %
Cruise; 3,5 %
Dry; 13,9 %
Chemical & product tankers; 7,2 %
Other shipping;
3,4 %
Other non-shipping; 3,2
%
Gas; 9,4 %
Aviation; 0,3 %
Logistics; 5,7 %
Exposure at default according to sector
29.02.2012
6 Source: Fourth quarter report 2011 from the financial institutions
Driver 5:
Sufficient solidity - DNB is among the most solid banks
2.6 %
3.1 % 3.2 %
3.9 % 4.2 %
4.9 %
Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 DNB
Equity Tier 1/total assets (“leverage ratio”)
7
Well capitalised by any measure
Reported capital adequacy Pro forma full IRB IRB with "Nordic" risk weight
Adjusted for Nordic risk weight for credit cards
Adjusted for Nordic risk weight for corporates
Adjusted for Swedish risk weight for mortgage loans
Adjusted for full IRB
DNB risk weights
9.4
10.8
14.2
EquityTier 1 capital as at 31 December 2011 (CET 1)
Per cent
Driver 6:
Favourable funding position
2012
2011
2010
NOK Spread
Billion Maturity 3-month Euribor
Covered bonds 34.0 7.6 72
Senior bonds 39.2 6.7 175
Total 73.2 7.1 127 bp
Subordinated loan 5.7 10nc5 340
ECB’s Liquidity Facility LTRO2) 9 3,0 i.a
NOK Spread
Billion Maturity 3-month Euribor
Covered bonds 98.3 6.5 53
Senior bonds 27.8 8.8 108
Total 126.1 7.0 65 bp
ECB’s Liquidity Facility (LTRO1) 15.7 3.0 i.a
NOK Spread
Billion Maturity 3-month Euribor
Covered bonds 84,4 7.5 49
Senior bonds 32.3 7.3 84
Total 116.6 7.5 59 bp
8
Driver 7:
High deposit-to-loan ratio
55%
45%
37%
56%
47%
58%
46% 46%
56% 54%
DNB Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4
4Q10 4Q11
Deposit-to-loan ratio – Nordic banks
Source: Fourth quarter report 2011 from the financial institutions 9
10
Driver 8:
Competitive on cost efficiency
Cost/income ratio* – Nordic banks 2011
Source: Company reports *All figures are before adjustments for goodwill i.a.
11
Driver 9:
A strong home market
Source: OECD Economic Outlook No. 90, November 2011
Note: Budget surplus/deficit calculated as a percentage share of country GDP; forecasts for 2012
Annual budget deficit/surplus for
2012 (forecast)
General government net financial assets
(As a percentage of nominal GDP 2011)
Budget deficit Budget surplus
12
Driver 10:
Positioned for growth in non-capital intensive areas
Development in income – DNB Markets
2553 3092,5 3183,2
3590,7 3872,5
3216,9
5685
7243,2
5471,3
6159,2
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
NOK
million
13
Driver 11:
Strong growth in housing demand
Net change of new houses in Norway (Completed new dwellings - Rise in number of households)
2004
1H2011
+ 6,240
- 5,327
2007 - 8,720
14
Driver 12:
Positive trend in margins
1.611.58 1.60 1.57
1.671.61
1.55 1.55
1.64
0.230.29
0.320.41
0.27 0.29 0.31 0.330.28
1.13 1.12 1.15 1.16 1.171.13 1.10 1.11
1.14
4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
Per cent
2)
Lending spread
Deposit spread
Combined spread- weighted average
15
DNB is not in a deleveraging mode - Financial targets 2012 still apply
NOK 22-25 billion in pre-tax operating profit before
write-downs
NOK 2 billion in cost reductions
Cost/income ratio
below 46 per cent