. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving...

18
Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously Stacy K. Li, PhD Aquatic Systems Research Ca 1956 in the San Joaquin Delta Broader perspective was needed Thank you - The Late Don W. Kelley and John R. Gildersleeve My experience working in the Delta

Transcript of . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving...

Page 1: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement

SimultaneouslyStacy K. Li, PhD

Aquatic Systems Research

Ca 1956 in the San Joaquin Delta

Broader perspective was needed

Thank you - The Late Don W. Kelley and John R. Gildersleeve

My experience working in the DeltaMy experience working in the Delta

Page 2: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

It’s Time to DecideIt’s Time to Decide

The Delta water export system is broken:

Do we continue to refurbish and update the present system?

Or do we design a new system?

In either case - There will only be one chance because of the immense expense and time pressures (avoid levee failure, permitting and construction).

The Delta water export system is broken:

Do we continue to refurbish and update the present system?

Or do we design a new system?

In either case - There will only be one chance because of the immense expense and time pressures (avoid levee failure, permitting and construction).

Page 3: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

REMINDER:Delta Restoration Goals

REMINDER:Delta Restoration Goals

Secure Water Supply

Restore the Delta Ecology

Secure Water Supply

Restore the Delta Ecology

Page 4: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

What is at Stake?What is at Stake?

California is the fifth largest economy in the world with $1.5 trillion annual gross state product (as of 2008).

The world economy is affected by the economy of California.

The economy of California depends upon water. Therefore, you are affected even if your water supply is

not the Central Valley Project or the State Water Project.

California is the fifth largest economy in the world with $1.5 trillion annual gross state product (as of 2008).

The world economy is affected by the economy of California.

The economy of California depends upon water. Therefore, you are affected even if your water supply is

not the Central Valley Project or the State Water Project.

Page 5: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Some Reasons for UrgencySome Reasons for UrgencyLevee and water diversion failures imminent in the DeltaInconsistent design, construction, and maintenance of leveesLevees not as reliable or as safe as dams.Island subsidenceProximity to major earthquake faults - 6.5 RichterLevees expensive ($8,000 lineal foot X 5280 feet/mile X 1,100 miles)Lower Jones Tract failure occurred on a sunny day.

Climate ChangeIncrease range of tidal flux (levee concern)Increase in storm surge (levee concern)Loss of Sierra snow pack (4 million acre feet)

San Joaquin flow reversals - over 300 days annually

Fish population collapses - Several species at all-time lows

Declining water quality -Ag return flow, stockyards, dairy operations

Salt importation into San Joaquin Valley increasing - 1 million tons/year

Human population increasing - about 1 million/year (50 M 2026?)

Outflow to SF Bay 1/2 of historical

Water supply nearing capacity limits - (>88.7%)

Levee and water diversion failures imminent in the DeltaInconsistent design, construction, and maintenance of leveesLevees not as reliable or as safe as dams.Island subsidenceProximity to major earthquake faults - 6.5 RichterLevees expensive ($8,000 lineal foot X 5280 feet/mile X 1,100 miles)Lower Jones Tract failure occurred on a sunny day.

Climate ChangeIncrease range of tidal flux (levee concern)Increase in storm surge (levee concern)Loss of Sierra snow pack (4 million acre feet)

San Joaquin flow reversals - over 300 days annually

Fish population collapses - Several species at all-time lows

Declining water quality -Ag return flow, stockyards, dairy operations

Salt importation into San Joaquin Valley increasing - 1 million tons/year

Human population increasing - about 1 million/year (50 M 2026?)

Outflow to SF Bay 1/2 of historical

Water supply nearing capacity limits - (>88.7%)

Page 6: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

SAC

SJR

Water supply exportsexportoutflowMIX

Page 7: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Central Valley Project(USBR website)

Central Valley Project(USBR website)

San Joaquin River used as water supply (Friant Dam, Madera Canal, Friant-Kern Canal)

Sacramento River used to resist seawater intrusion into the Delta (Shasta and Folsom dams) and to freshen San Joaquin water (Delta Cross Channel).

Send mitigation water to San Joaquin River senior water rights holders (Jones pumping plant, Delta Mendota Canal).

Provide freshwater diversion site for Pittsburg and Antioch to mitigate for salt intrusion (Rock Slough Intake, Contra Costa Canal).

CVP NEVER implemented use of Sacramento River water as water supply (peripheral canal!).

[SWP uses Feather River (Oroville Dam) and relies upon through Delta water conveyance (Banks pumping plant, California Aqueduct).]

San Joaquin River used as water supply (Friant Dam, Madera Canal, Friant-Kern Canal)

Sacramento River used to resist seawater intrusion into the Delta (Shasta and Folsom dams) and to freshen San Joaquin water (Delta Cross Channel).

Send mitigation water to San Joaquin River senior water rights holders (Jones pumping plant, Delta Mendota Canal).

Provide freshwater diversion site for Pittsburg and Antioch to mitigate for salt intrusion (Rock Slough Intake, Contra Costa Canal).

CVP NEVER implemented use of Sacramento River water as water supply (peripheral canal!).

[SWP uses Feather River (Oroville Dam) and relies upon through Delta water conveyance (Banks pumping plant, California Aqueduct).]

Page 8: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

WATER SUPPLYTypical Delta Hydrological

BudgetDelta Atlas 1995

(1980-1991)

WATER SUPPLYTypical Delta Hydrological

BudgetDelta Atlas 1995

(1980-1991)

Sacramento System

San Joaquin System

Other

Flow to the Bay

Water supply exports

Losses

INPUT OUTPUT

76%

20%

4%

18%

6%

76%

27840 TAF

Page 9: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

The Key Concept: WATER BEHAVES DIFFERENTLY:

They typically do not mix

The Key Concept: WATER BEHAVES DIFFERENTLY:

They typically do not mix Sacramento River:

Higher gradient (0.026).

Higher momentum. Higher hydraulic

energy. Higher inertia. Higher current. Lower suspended

solids concentrations.

Sacramento River: Higher gradient

(0.026). Higher momentum. Higher hydraulic

energy. Higher inertia. Higher current. Lower suspended

solids concentrations.

San Joaquin River: Lower gradient

(0.016). Lower momentum. Lower hydraulic

energy. Lower inertia. Higher residence

time. Higher salinity.

San Joaquin River: Lower gradient

(0.016). Lower momentum. Lower hydraulic

energy. Lower inertia. Higher residence

time. Higher salinity.

THEY DO NOT IMMEDIATELY MIX!THEY DO NOT IMMEDIATELY MIX!

Page 10: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Sacramento River

San Joaquin River

Sherman IslandThree Mile Slough

Van Sickle Island

Aerial photograph showing lack of mixing at the confluence of the Sacramento and San Joaquin rivers.

Page 11: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

The Key ConsequencesThe Key Consequences

Sacramento River water is largely unavailable to either CVP (Jones PP) or SWP (Banks PP).

Through Delta Water Conveyance is infeasible.

Water available is not 27,840 TAF (Delta inflow), but closer to 5,660 TAF (SJR inflow).

Sacramento River water is largely unavailable to either CVP (Jones PP) or SWP (Banks PP).

Through Delta Water Conveyance is infeasible.

Water available is not 27,840 TAF (Delta inflow), but closer to 5,660 TAF (SJR inflow).

Page 12: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

f

Sherman Is

land

Sacramento River

San Joaquin River

Page 13: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

No Good Alternate Sacramento River Water

Sources

No Good Alternate Sacramento River Water

Sources

Georgiana Slough? - Inlet controlled Delta Cross Channel? - Outlet

controlled Three Mile Slough? - to Sacramento

R. Pump harder, longer? - Suisun Bay

water is brackish!

Georgiana Slough? - Inlet controlled Delta Cross Channel? - Outlet

controlled Three Mile Slough? - to Sacramento

R. Pump harder, longer? - Suisun Bay

water is brackish!

Page 14: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Ecological CanariesEcological Canaries

SPECIES Delta smelt (T) Longfin smelt (ST) Striped bass YOY Threadfin shad Chinook salmon

(SC) Steelhead (T)

SPECIES Delta smelt (T) Longfin smelt (ST) Striped bass YOY Threadfin shad Chinook salmon

(SC) Steelhead (T)

CRITICAL FACTOR Backwater habitat Backwater habitat Feeds on plankton Feeds on plankton Ocean? Home? Ocean? Home?

CRITICAL FACTOR Backwater habitat Backwater habitat Feeds on plankton Feeds on plankton Ocean? Home? Ocean? Home?

Page 15: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

AFRP 1992-2006 : Fall-run Chinook Salmon

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

U. S

ac Stem

Cow

Ck

Clear C

k.

Cottonw

ood Ck.

Battle C

k.

Mill C

k.

Deer C

k.

Butte C

k.

Feather R.

Yuba R.

Am

erican R.

Mokelum

ne R.

Cosum

nes R.

Stanislaus R

.

Tuolumne R

.

Merced R

.P

erce

nt o

f 196

7-19

91 P

rodu

ctio

n B

asel

ine

SACRAMENTO WATERSHED EASTSIDE STREAM SAN JOAQUIN WATERSHED

341 328102 245 109

Page 16: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Improve Delta Ecology: Mimic Historical

Conditions

Improve Delta Ecology: Mimic Historical

Conditions Restore backwater habitat

Enhance plankton communities

Provide smolt emigration cues

Provide adult attraction flows

Restore backwater habitat

Enhance plankton communities

Provide smolt emigration cues

Provide adult attraction flows

No SJR export - no current!

No SJR export - higher residence time!

No SJR export - A downstream!

No SJR export - an upstream!

No SJR export - no current!

No SJR export - higher residence time!

No SJR export - A downstream!

No SJR export - an upstream!

Page 17: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

New Delta Design RulesNew Delta Design Rules Use Sacramento River as water supply (21.2 MAF

vs 5.66 MAF). 15.54 MAF remains for water quality and outflow.

No water export of San Joaquin water.

Use San Joaquin water to assist in resisting salt intrusion into Delta.

Keep outflow to SF Bay at current levels or higher. It is presently at 50%!

Use Sacramento River as water supply (21.2 MAF vs 5.66 MAF). 15.54 MAF remains for water quality and outflow.

No water export of San Joaquin water.

Use San Joaquin water to assist in resisting salt intrusion into Delta.

Keep outflow to SF Bay at current levels or higher. It is presently at 50%!

Page 18: . Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement Simultaneously. Achieving California’s Water Supply and Delta Ecological Improvement.

Peripheral CanalPeripheral Canal Water supply secured.

Flow reversal on Sacramento River unlikely.

San Joaquin Delta ecology improved.

Great improvement of POD species and anadromous species in San Joaquin Delta

Water system not as susceptible to levee failure.

Salt importation to San Joaquin Valley much reduced.

Reduced water processing costs.

Education of general public needed.

Water supply secured.

Flow reversal on Sacramento River unlikely.

San Joaquin Delta ecology improved.

Great improvement of POD species and anadromous species in San Joaquin Delta

Water system not as susceptible to levee failure.

Salt importation to San Joaquin Valley much reduced.

Reduced water processing costs.

Education of general public needed.