томас хельм
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Transcript of томас хельм
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Assemblee of the people, Astana
Friday, 25th of November 2016
ECONOMIC REVIEW OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
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STRATEGIC PERSPECTIVES FOR BILATERAL ENERGY COOPERATION
BETWEEN THE EU AND KAZAKHSTAN
GEOECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL DIMENSIONS IN
COMPETITION WITH RUSSIA‘S AND CHINA‘S CENTRAL
ASIA POLICIES
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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Oil Consumption
Oil Production
[`000 barrels per day]
Falling Crude Oil Consumption and Production in the EU (2010-2014)
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Gas Consumption
Gas Production
[bcm]
Falling Natural Gas Consumption and Production in the EU (2010-2014)
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Crude Oil Spot Prices (in US$)
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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Exports in Billion of US$
Kazakhstan‘
s Oil Exports
in US$
Billion
Oil Spot-
Prize in US$
Development of the Kazakh Oil Sector
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16%
18%
63%
3%
Kazakhstan‘s Energy Mix, 2014
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Hdyro
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Expansion of Renewable Energy in Kazakhstan
(in %)
State Planning for Renewablesin the Energy Mix (in %)
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2) The Role of Renewable Energies in Kazakhstan‘s Transformation Process
• Kazakhstan possesses a huge development potential in the realm of renewable energies
• Solar energy
• Wind energy
• Bio mass
• Hydro power(potential conflicts with neighboring states)
• Kazakhstan has the advantage of using renewable energies, while not generating conflicts in society (in contrast to Germany)
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3) Political Recommendations I
• State-led information campaign about environmental challenges and the long-term neccesity to expand renewable energies
• Expanded usage of renewable energy for a decentralized energy supply (starting with used wind turbines)
• Earnings from fossil fuel exports to finance renewable energies
• Increasing the energy effiency in energy-intensive industries
• Foundation of a research cluster „coal technologies“ in cooperation with foreign institutes (e.g. Fraunhofer Institut)
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3) Political Recommendations II
• Development of a long-term portfolio strategy of the Kazakh National Fund (connecting renewables with digital services)
• Excecuting the legislation from May 2016 on REN; e.g. the fed-in tariffs.
• No step out from classic energy – financial basis
• The role of the Eurasian Development Bank
• Obtaining the model of the German Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KFW)