We ain’t seen nothing yet - making sense of a massively connected world

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Keynote given at the bdigital IoT Forum, Barcelona, Dec 12 2013

Transcript of We ain’t seen nothing yet - making sense of a massively connected world

We ain’t seen nothing yet.Making sense of a massively connected world.

Everybody knows Moore’s Lawin this room

1.5 GFLOPS

1.5 GFLOPS

Some know of Koomey’s Lawin this r

oom

Many know Metcalfe’s Law“Network Effects,” really

Known as the three laws that drive the Internet of Things.

Moore gives us viability Koomey gives us feasibility

Metcalfe gives us an incentive

But here’s another three “laws”

Steward Brand’s “Shearing Layers”

You might know them as OSI model

“technological progress that increases the efficiency with which a resource is used tends to increase (rather than decrease)

the rate of consumption of that resource.”

Jevons’ Paradox

“The cheaper it is to consume » just one more «

the more we will use it.”

Jevons’ Paradox

Shirky’s Law of “Mundane Technology”

“Communications tools don't get socially

interesting until they get technologically boring.”

— Clay Shirky

“Communications tools don't get socially

interesting until they get technologically boring.”

— Clay Shirky

Anything, really…

“The WWW project was started to allow high energy physicists to share data, news, and documentation.”

In short, to create a better document access system.

The ‘Heretics Three Laws’ of the Internet of Things

Differential rate of Change Increased resource consumption

Backgrounding of Technology

“We'd like to think of your entire home as an accessory, or better yet as a network of accessories, and think of Android as the operating system for your home.”

”Users could manage their deployment.”

“Boil your kettle with your smart phone, anywhere in your

home.”

courtesy of fuckyeahinternetfridge.tumblr.com

X10 Powerhouse for C64, 1986 Thanks to @clurr for finding this nugget.

My first job at Uni

“Sure. Let me tell you all about electricity.”

“I have no idea how much I use…”

About at the same time…

Web2.0

Prosumer

User

Generated

Content

“Prosumer?”

Not exactly what the consultants meant…

“The Read-Write Web”— Tim O’Reilly

“The Read-Write Grid”— Tom Raftery

What happens if we think electricity with web principles?

“But how do I find out how much I use?”

We thought this is the Golden Age…

“1 in 5 people don’t know what kWh (kilowatt hour) stands for—some thought it was a make of Japanese car, a type of heavy goods vehicle or even a boy band.”

— E.On UK survey

“Most consumers interact with their [energy] provider an average of just nine minutes per year. These interactions are generally neutral or negative—typically pertaining to billing, credit or supply issues.”

— Daniel Yates, OPower

It mustn’t be this way…

“I sort of regard the network as being like the next generation of electricity: it will end up hitting all products sooner or later. But we won’t really think about them as being “networked products,” in the way we don’t think about things as ‘electrical products.‘”

— Matt Webb, BERG

“Sculpting with Data”— Boris Anthony

We need to rethink our products from the ground up.

In short, to create a better document access system.

Other assorted issues

Questions?

Martin Spindler !

Strategy Consultant Internet of Things | Smart Energy

!

http://martinspindler.net hello@martinspindler.net

twitter.com/mjays !

Co-Founder & Managing Director Internet of People Limited

!

http://internetofpeople.eu twitter.com/internetofpeople

Martin Spindler !

Strategy Consultant Internet of Things | Smart Energy

!

http://martinspindler.net hello@martinspindler.net

twitter.com/mjays !

!

Co-Founder & Director Internet of People Limited http://internetofpeople.eu