Post on 25-Jan-2015
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Waco 2050 Plan A Vision for the Heart of the City
July 2009
Presentation Overview
•
National trends•
Approach
•
Existing conditions•
Waco’s trends
People Turning 65 AnnuallyPeople Turning 65 Annually19961996--20252025
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Y e a r
0
50 0
1 ,00 0
1 ,50 0
2 ,00 0
Thou
sand
sPe
ople
Tur
ning
65
in Y
ear
Growth in Households without ChildrenGrowth in Households without Children
Household TypeHousehold Type
ShareShareWith ChildrenWith Children
12%12%
Without ChildrenWithout Children
88%88%SingleSingle--PersonPerson
34%34%
SourceSource: Adapted and extrapolated by Chris Nelson from Martha Farnswort: Adapted and extrapolated by Chris Nelson from Martha Farnsworth Riche, h Riche, How Changes in the Nation's Age and Household Structure Will ResHow Changes in the Nation's Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing hape Housing Demand in the 21st CenturyDemand in the 21st Century, HUD (2003)., HUD (2003).
Approaching labor shortages
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
(in m
illion
s)
Annual change in US working age populationAverage annual job creation since WWII
Source: TIP Strategies; US Bureau Labor Statistics; US Census Bureau
The future will not be like the past, nor the present
1.
Energy efficient, sustainable cities2.
Shorter trips
3.
Effective transit4.
Great livability
5.
More options for travel, housing and work
Strong forces will put a premium on:
Many cities will compete to be great places to live & work
Open Spaces and ParksAmenities near work
The Emerging American Vision
Where does Waco fit in?
•
Study area covers 5,000 acres•
Streets, Brazos River, etc. use 1,505 acres
•
Over 25% of useable land is vacant
Land Use
Baylor University
US Highway 84
S 17th
St
/S 18th
St
US Highway 77/ /La Salle Ave
Interstate 35
Franklin Avenue
McLennan County’s Population
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Population Annual % Change
14
ALL SCENARIOS POINT TO SIGNIFICANT WACO GROWTH: ROUGHLY 100,000 TO 135,000 FROM 2050
SOURCE: Census, Moody's Economy.com, TX Department of State Health Services, Perryman Associates
Perryman’s Projection for
2035: 314,417
Census 2000 population: 213,517
Waco MSA Population Projections2001-2050
Census 2008 estimate: 230,213
Moody’s Projection for 2035: 300,989
Moody’s Projection for 2050: 337,251
Perryman’s Projection for 2050: 365,028
Demographics –
Age (2007)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Under 5 years
5 to 14 years
15 to 24 yeas
25 to 34 years
35 to 44 years
45 to 54 years
55 to 64 years
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and over
37%
22%
32%
9%
Married-couple familes
Other families
People living alone
Other nonfamily households
Waco has a wide range of household types
“Not Just Another Planning Process”
•
Inclusive of diverse population
•
Include people of all ages
•
Include both small and large households
•
Broad public outreach
Information Gathering and Kick-off Meeting
Get to know the city through the eyes of Waco residents.
Economic assessmentLand use: Visual analysis of land use typesHousing: Housing market analysis
Community Leader Interviews
•
25 In-Depth Interviews –
Community Cross-Section:–
Business
–
Property owners–
Neighborhoods
–
Faith-based organizations–
University
Project Approach
•
Capturing the community’s vision•
Public outreach and involvement
•
Visioning workshops•
Technical analysis and communication
•
Assessing the economic picture•
Integrating transportation sustainability & livable streets
•
Strategies for implementation•
Develop a monitoring program
Workshops & Open Houses
Workshop Game Pieces or “Chips”
Workshop Video
Workshops Generate Buzz in Traditional Media and New Media
Planning: Traditional Approach
The Present The Future
Scenario Approach
Plausible stories about the future
A B
C D
Develop a Range of Scenarios
Each table’s plan is analyzed…
….and all notes and comments are recorded
What happens after the workshop?
GIS Analysis
Each map was photographed, digitized, and entered into GIS
North Tulsa
Stable Single Family
Project Approach
•
Capturing the community’s vision•
Public outreach and involvement
•
Visioning workshops•
Technical analysis and communication
•
Assessing the economic picture•
Integrating transportation sustainability & livable streets
•
Strategies for implementation•
Develop a monitoring program
Warehouse Rehab
Existing 2-story warehouse just near downtown Tulsa
Warehouse Rehab
Serves as a great base for additional housing, retail, and business space.
Warehouse RehabDesigned to include
Total bldg area: 52,700 sf (gross)
Ground level retail: 6,000 sf
Residential: 46,700 sf (gross)• 3 Live/work (townhouse units)• 36 apartments (flats)
Surface parking: 20 spaces
Prototype example
Prototype example
Big-Box Retail Rehabilitation
Abandoned big-box retail store site
Site size:360,000 Square Feet
Big-Box Retail Rehabilitation
Assessed Value per Acre
Baylor University
US Highway 84
S 17th
St
/S 18th
St
US Highway 77/ /La Salle Ave
Interstate 35
Franklin Avenue
The power of successful prototypes
Example:Zupan’s
grocery
store in Portland, Oregon
The power of successful prototypes
Example:Zupans
Grocery store in
Portland, Oregon
Was the original redevelopment project in an up-and-coming neighborhood
It served as an anchor and catalyst for additional housing projects
The power of successful prototypes
#1
The power of successful prototypes
#1#2
The power of successful prototypes
#1#2
#3
Subsequent development and revitalization has taken place throughout the neighborhood.
Urban Design
Scenario D: Town Center
Implementing New Street Choices
•
Designing streets to serve adjacent land use
“One Size Does Not Fit All”
Regional CenterTown Center
Commercial Corridor
EmploymentDistrict Residential
Neighborhood
Main Street Commercial Street
Mixed Use Street
ResidentialStreet
Industrial Street
The Pearl/Flora Intersection
Integrating TransportationIntegrating Transportation
AmenitiesAmenities
Project Approach
•
Capturing the community’s vision•
Public outreach and involvement
•
Visioning workshops•
Technical analysis and communication
•
Assessing the economic picture•
Integrating transportation sustainability & livable streets
•
Strategies for implementation•
Develop a monitoring program
Strategic Action
•
Overall Vision and Plan•
But also a strategic set of actions
•
Look for results in 2-5 years–
Private Sector Partnerships
–
Investments–
Regulations that work
•
Financing Plan•
Transportation System
Waco 2050 Plan A Vision for the Heart of the City
Advisory Committee MeetingJuly 2009