Post on 24-Sep-2020
Utah Population
2000-2012
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Mill
ions
Utah Population
2000-2012
2.2 M
2.9 M
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Mill
ions
Population Growth
State Comparisons | 2011-2012
1.4%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
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United States: 0.8%
Utah Employment
2000-2013
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Thou
sand
s
Employment Growth
State Comparisons | 2012-2013
3.2%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
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tah
United States: 1.6%
Utah Unemployment Rate
2000-2013
4.6%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Unemployment Rate
State Comparisons | July 2013
4.6%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Nor
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Illin
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Nev
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United States: 7.4%
Utah Personal Income
2000-2012
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Bill
ions
Utah Personal Income
2000-2012
$90.6 B $98.8 B
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
Bill
ions
Personal Income Per Capita
State Comparisons | 2012
$34,601
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
Mis
siss
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Idah
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Car
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United States: $42,693
“Utah heads our list of the Best States for Business for a
third straight year. Utah’s economy has expanded 2.3% annually since 2006–fifth best in the U.S–versus 0.5% for the
nation as a whole.”
• Among the strongest economies in the United States
• The most diversified economy of its size in the United States
• Strong cluster development and commercialization of research, including via universities
• High rates of population growth, but more importantly, population retention
5.96M +3.20M
State of Utah Projected Population (2060)
State of Utah Projected Population Growth (2060)
$130.5B +3.4% State of Utah Gross Domestic Product (2012)
State of Utah Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate (2012)
2,855,287 State of Utah Resident Population (2012)
1,292,000 +3.2%
State of Utah Employment Base (July 2012)
State of Utah Employment Growth Rate (July 2012)
$98.8B State of Utah Total Personal Income (2012)
Conflict is not Likely it is Imminent
“In a recent volley between Phoenix and Los Angeles,
newspapers in those two arid cities pointed fingers at each other over who has the least sustainable water supply.”
“…the Supreme Court ruled Thursday that thirsty Texas counties can’t run a pipeline
into Oklahoma for more drops to drink.”
“At issue is a 2012 order…to eventually pump some 84,000 acre-feet of
groundwater a year…from four rural valleys in Lincoln and White Pine counties.”
1 2 3 4 7 8 5 2 3 1 4
Water Shortage Impacts
“The new estimate for municipal and industrial water demand was increased to 2,553,000 ac-ft. However, water planners estimated that local suppliers would still be able to meet this larger future demand and maintain a reliable supply surplus, if a variety of strategies were employed.”
“The new estimate for municipal and industrial water demand was increased to 2,553,000 ac-ft. However, water planners estimated that local suppliers would still be able to meet this larger future demand and maintain a reliable supply surplus, if a variety of strategies were employed.”
Proposed Pipeline Projects in the West
• Perception = Reality
• Uncertainty abounds - climate change, population shifts, reliability of existing resources
• The water manager’s long view
• Strategies are not mutually exclusive, conservation + water resource development
• How much risk are you willing to accept
Renewable Internal Freshwater
Supply Per Capita (in Cubic Meters)
596
1,217
4,422
4,617
6,123
7,922
9,044
16,378
22,364
Middle East & North Africa
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
East Asia & Pacific
World
Europe & Central Asia
United States
North America
Latin America & Caribbean
Annual Freshwater Withdrawals
(% of Internal Resources)
2.0%
3.2%
7.7%
9.2%
9.3%
10.9%
17.0%
51.6%
133.3%
Latin America & Caribbean
Sub-Saharan Africa
Europe & Central Asia
World
North America
East Asia & Pacific
United States
South Asia
Middle East & North Africa
Water Productivity
(in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater)
$2
$7
$8
$11
$14
$14
$28
$28
$32
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East & North Africa
East Asia & Pacific
Latin America & Caribbean
World
North America
United States
Europe & Central Asia
Water Productivity – Top 20
(in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater)
$938
$0$100$200$300$400$500$600$700$800$900
$1,000
Water Productivity
(in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater*)
$14 $15
$27 $28
$34
World Utah California U.S. Nevada
*Withdrawals include saline sources in some cases
Water Use in the United States
1950-2005*
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mill
ions
Bill
ion
Gal
lons
Per
Day
Total Withdrawals Population
*Most current data available
Water Use in the United States
1950-2005*
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mill
ions
Bill
ion
Gal
lons
Per
Day
Public Supply Irrigation
Thermoelectric Power Other
Population
*Most current data available
Per Capita Water Use (in Gallons)
1950-2005*
1,194
1,463 1,506 1,600
1,797 1,941 1,873
1,638 1,601 1,494 1,448
1,363
*Most current data available
Per Capita Water Use (in Gallons)
State Comparisons | 2005*
2,008
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Dis
t. o
f Col
umbi
aR
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Isla
ndM
aine
Okl
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Geo
rgia
Sou
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Min
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taN
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Ver
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Mis
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New
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Del
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Mar
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Virg
inia
Haw
aii
Nor
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Indi
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sour
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nsin
Ala
ska
New
Mex
ico
Tenn
esse
eS
outh
Car
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aO
rego
nU
tah
Nor
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Vir
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Ark
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Wyo
min
gM
onta
naId
aho
United States: 1,363
*Most current data available
California Water Use
By Category
Public Supply 15.3% Irrigation
53.3%
Thermoelectric Power 27.6%
Other 3.8%
Nevada Water Use
By Category
Public Supply 28.4%
Irrigation 63.1%
Thermoelectric Power 1.5%
Other 7.0%
Utah Water Use
By Category
Public Supply 11.9%
Irrigation 78.2%
Thermoelectric Power 1.2%
Other 8.8%
Utah Water Use
By Category
Public Supply 11.9%
Irrigation 78.2%
Thermoelectric Power 1.2%
Other 8.8%
Water Productivity (Excluding Irrigation)
(in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater*)
$34
$57
$70
$92
United StatesAverage
California Utah Nevada
*Withdrawals include saline sources in some cases
5.7 MAF Total Water Withdrawals (All Purposes), State of Utah,
2005 (Latest Available From the USGS)
Agricultural
Municipal & Industrial
Total
Diverted 3,743,000 1,001,000 4,744,000
Consumed 2,706,000 410,000 3,116,000
Returned to the Environment
1,037,000 591,000 1,628,000
Utah Water Use (in Acre-Feet Per Year)
1.7 MAF State of Utah Colorado River Apportionment
Natural Flow at Lees Ferry
1906-2013 (in Acre-Feet)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1906
1911
1916
1921
1926
1931
1936
1941
1946
1951
1956
1961
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
Mill
ions
10-Year Average
Natural Flow at Lees Ferry
1980-2013 (in Acre-Feet)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Mill
ions
10-Year Average
Water Resource Development Timeline
1941 The Utah Water Conservancy District Act was passed, allowing government entities to build reservoir projects and provide water supply protection.
1948 Upper Colorado River Compact allocated Upper Basin water based on percentages (Utah received 23 percent).
1950 Weber Basin Water Conservancy District created, allowing Bureau of Reclamation to construct Weber Basin Project.
1951 Jordan Valley Water Conservancy District became first customer for Central Utah Project, which provided funds necessary for construction to begin.
1956 Colorado River States Project passed, allowing for dams in Upper Basin of Colorado River and funding for Central Utah Project.
1963 Flaming Gorge and Glen Canyon Dams built, providing water storage for droughts and emergencies.
1964 Central Utah Water Conservancy District formed.
1991 Bear River Development Act passed.
1992 Central Utah Project Completion Act approved, marking the end of federal funding for water development projects. Funding now provided by the state.
2006 Lake Powell Pipeline Development Act passed.
2012 The Legislative Task Force formed to focus on water development throughout the state.
1982 Quail Creek Dam and Sand Hollow Reservoir become early examples of state funded water development projects.
$20 B Estimated Cost of Utah Water Infrastructure Projects
Water Projects $1 Billion +
By Sponsor
1) Weber Basin WCD (Davis County) - $1.5 Billion
2) Weber Basin WCD (Weber County) - $1.5 Billion
3) Bear River Development - $1.5 Billion
4) Washington County WCD - $1.0 Billion
5) Lake Powell Pipeline - $1.0 Billion
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Mill
ions
Projected Funding Covered by State Funding Agencies
Utah Water Infrastructure Projects
Projected Annual Funding Needs
Conservation, Conservation, Conservation
The Goal:
Reduce per capita water use by 25% by 2025
What Does Nearly $20 Billion in Water Projects Mean for the State of Utah?
One-Time Construction Impacts
Preliminary Impacts Jobs: ±198,000 Wages: ±$8.4 Billion Output: ±$29.7 Billion
Economic
Growth
Potential
• Population: 3.2 Million
• Households: 1,030,000
• GSP: $183 Billion
• Income: $107 Billion
• Business: 90,000
Water Resource Diversity
1,292,000 Total Utah Employees Currently Supported
by Water Resource Stability
83,694 Total Utah Businesses Currently Supported
by Water Resource Stability
Growth Interruption…
• Mild (1% to 2%) = $1.3B to $2.6B
• Moderate (3% to 5%) =$3.9B to $6.5B
• Severe (6% to 10%) = $7.8B to $13.1B
…Annually
Water resources are an essential element of economic development and diversification.
Ensuring water resources is critical to protecting the state’s economy.
A comprehensive, master-planned approach is necessary and appropriate.