US Economy Presentation

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Transcript of US Economy Presentation

Economic indicators affecting US economy

By- Harshvardhan Singh Vishnoi

Business Outlook Survey

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)

1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec80

85

90

95

100

105

2015 2016

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Employment cost index (ECI)

Employee Situation summary

Unemployment rate

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2006-01-01

2006-05-01

2006-09-01

2007-01-01

2007-05-01

2007-09-01

2008-01-01

2008-05-01

2008-09-01

2009-01-01

2009-05-01

2009-09-01

2010-01-01

2010-05-01

2010-09-01

2011-01-01

2011-05-01

2011-09-01

2012-01-01

2012-05-01

2012-09-01

2013-01-01

2013-05-01

2013-09-01

2014-01-01

2014-05-01

2014-09-01

2015-01-01

2015-05-01

2015-09-01

2016-01-010.0

2000.0

4000.0

6000.0

8000.0

10000.0

12000.0

14000.0

16000.0

18000.0

20000.0

trillion $

VALUE

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Existing Home Sales

Housing starts

Case Shiller Index (housing price)

Building permit

Jul-2006 Apr-2007 Jan-2008 Oct-2008 Jul-2009 Apr-2010 Jan-2011 Oct-2011 Jul-2012 Apr-2013 Jan-2014 Oct-2014 Jul-2015 Apr-20160

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Building permit

Value

Jobless Claims Report

Money Supply(M2)

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

Producer Price Index (PPI)

Producer Price Index (PPI)

CPI v/s PPI

Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

How PMI helps in decision making ?

Retail Sales Report

(in million $)

Jul-2006 May-2007 Mar-2008 Jan-2009 Nov-2009 Sep-2010 Jul-2011 May-2012 Mar-2013 Jan-2014 Nov-2014 Sep-20150

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Series1

Retail Sales Report

E commerce sales

Percent change in Retail and Food Services Sales

Wholesale Inventories

Monthly Inventories/Sales Ratios of Merchant Wholesalers, Except Manufacturers

Trade balance report 10 year

Trade Balance Export Import

Non-Farm Payrolls

Non-Farm Payrolls

Effective Federal Funds Rate

Empire state manufacturing survey

Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO)

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