Post on 03-Jun-2018
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
1/229
!"#$%$&' )*+ ,$%%-+./&0#1+ 2345
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
2/229
6787 93#:)* ;0+&43$#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
3/229
Asia Will Account for 70% of Worlds
!%%+% =45$)4- ;)#0> ?+):++& 67@7.6787
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
4/229
Asias march to prosperity will
!" $"% !& ' "()*)+,"-. /
0$1"0%& %"2"$)3"% 0*% 4 50-6
71)8,*7 +,%%$" ,*()+"()*2"17,*7 "()*)+,"-9
:"68""* /;"-"
' "()*)+,"- 8)?$% 0(()?*6 5)1*"01$& @;A )5 6)60$ BCD 71)86>
,* E-,0 +)1" 6>0* >0$5 )5 7$)!0$
BCD 71)86>9
A&'$&+< #B )*+ !
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
5/229
!
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
6/229
!"#$%$&' G !"+3)$&' 2345,* ()?*61,"- ()?$% ?*%"1+,*"
-)(,0$ ()>"-,)* 0*% 3)$,6,(0$ -60!,$,6&9
H*%,2,%?0$ ()?*61,"- 1,-I 50$$,*7 ,*6) J,%%$" H*()+" K103 %?" 6) 0
>)-6 )5 %)+"-6,( "()*)+,(. -)(,0$ 0*% 3)$,6,(0$ (>0$$"*7"-9
/&)+&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
8/229
Asias urban population will double by 2050
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
9/229
This youth bulge wraps itself around the center of the globe,
with nearly 90 % of todays young people growing up in developing
0#C&)3$+< :*+3+ ?433$+3< )# #55#3)C&$)D 3+14$& *$'*K
The worlds current youth cohort PK6 ?$--$#& D#C&'
5+#5-+ 4'+< P8 )# 68 $< )*+ -43'+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
10/229
92
!
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
11/229
Q3#N+0)$#& !
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
12/229
9+) C
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
13/229R#C3 SC)C3+TC
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
14/229V$%$&' 5+3B+0)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
15/229V$%$&' 5+3B+0)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
16/229X*D
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
17/229V$%$& )*+ Q+3B+0) ;)#31 1++)< O&- )*+ Q434$% ;C3"$"+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
18/229
9+))$&' )# R+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
19/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
20/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
21/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
22/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
23/229
08.02.2012 23Source: Gundimeda and Sukhdev, D1 TEEB
Indonesia India Brazil
!"#
$%#
"
'(#
")#
%)#
!*#
$*#
($#
*+#
'%#
""#
99 million 352 million 20 millionEcosystem servicesdependency
Ecosystem services
!"#$%%"&'()*$&+,
-()./(0 #(2*)(0 (&' 2$3"/)4 /"'.#)*$&
Ecosystem services as a% of classical GDP
Ecosystem services as a% of GDP of the Poor
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
24/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
25/229
Ocea
ns
Acidify
ing
55 million years since oceans as acidicbusiness-as-usual emissions growththreaten collapse of marine life food web
:"1*," "6 0$9 /;
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
26/229
5* 6* ' )6 5 ' 9 :
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
27/229
5*+6*&7 '$8& )6" 5$$' 9":
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
28/229
,#3+ B3+WC+&)I
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
29/229
,#3+ B3+WC+&)I
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
30/229
,#3+ B3+WC+&)I
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
31/229
O01$ P)$I". E Q -0 R0*--)*. R)>0* L)(I-61)S+. D"1 T$--)*. U6"3>"* L9 O013"*6"1. P9 U6?016 O>03,* HHH. E**"MU)3>," O1"V3,*. B1"6(>"* C0,$&. WX"$$ C0*"$$. R)*0- Y!!"--)*. K>)+0- Y$+G2,-6. Z,(6)1B0$0N. P1"%1,I J)!"17. J0Q*- [,$--)*. \"*1,I TS -6"1!$)+. Y$,*)1 T-61)+. E Q -0 D"1--)*. B011& D"6"1-)*. U6"3>"* D)$0-I&. ],$$ U6"55"*. :1,0* ]0$I"1. P10*("- ]"-6$"&. L"()**"(6,*7 6) 6>"
:,)-3>"1". EJ:HT /;
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
32/229
Resource
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
33/229
ResourceWars &
Conflicts
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
34/229
E C"(0%" )5 H++"*-" P,*0*(,0$ F)--.
\?+0* K107"%& e K,+" UG?0*%"1"%
Whats Left?
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
35/229
What s Left?
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
36/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
37/229
JJ[. J?$$"1. J"*%"$-)>* 0*% [)1%>0?-. Y*2,1)*+"*60$ E(()?*6,*7 5)1 D)$$?6,)* ,* 6>" fUE. E+"1,(0* Y()*)+,(-L"2,"8. /;
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
38/229
LINFEN, CHINA
the most polluted city onearth. Where, if one putslaundry out to dry, it will
turn black before finishingdrying. Spending one dayin Linfen is equivalent to
smoking 3 packs ofcigarettes
;.%(&+ 2.) (+ %.#6
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
39/229
;.%(&+ 2.) (+ %.#6 *&)$ )6" ()%$+26"/"
?@@? A$.&) B*&().:$ "/.2)*$& *& B6*0*22*&"+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
40/229
Clima
te
C
ata
stro
phe
s
Z77551
Q43)550ppm
!"#$%& ()*++,
Where we will be by 2100
2#5 P8 &4)$#& 5#5C-4)$#&< +[5#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
41/229
2#5 P8 &4)$#& 5#5C-4)$#&< +[5#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
42/229
V4&>+% $& )+31< #B QOQU\!2/O] +[5#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
43/229
V4&>+% $& )+31< #B !;;A2; +[5#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
44/229
JHK K"+3"106?1" U6?%&
C0*7"1
/;;@ JHK U6?%&a
95% chance that BusinessM
0-Musual temperature,*(1"0-" 8,$$ "i(""% b9=jO ,*
/;@=g 0*% 0 !"# %&'(%)
6"+3"106?1" 8,$$ !"#!!$=jOk
N ti Ti i P i t
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
45/229
Negative Tipping Points
U)?1("a K,+)6>& J9 F"*6)*l& . \"1+0** \"$% . Y$+01 W1,"7$"1 . R,+ ]9 \0$$ . ])$570*7
F?(>6 . U6"50* L0>+-6)15 0*% \0*- R)0(>,+ U(>"$$*>?!"1. /;;'9 K,33,*7 "$"+"*6- ,*
6>" Y016>m- ($,+06" -&-6"+. D1)(""%,*7- )5 6>" [06,)*0$ E(0%"+& )5 U(,"*("- fUE.88893*0-9)17d9
!"#$ &'(')*$ ,(-./#*# 0!&,1 2*#.'-3*(4
http://www.pnas.org/http://www.pnas.org/8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
46/229
!"#$%&'(')*$ ,(-./#*# 0!&,1 2*#.'-3*(4
n1)?7> ()+301,-)*- ()?$% 3"1>03- !" +0%" 8,6>
6>" 3)6"*6,0$$&M>?7" 30&)55-. -+0$$ 31)!0!,$,6,"-.
0*% -,7*,5,(0*6 ()-6- ,*2)$2"% ,* ()?*6"1,*7
6"11)1,-+. !?,$%,*7 0*6,M!0$$,-6,( +,--,$" ->,"$%-. )1
*"?610$,N,*7 >)-6,$" %,(606)1->,3- 3)--,!$&
>01!)1,*7 8"03)*- )5 +0-- %"-61?(6,)*
,$-!./ 01.!2,$/3 455)3 "6 ,789:;6< =68 .6>9?@?9>;6< >A9 1B767C;BD 7E F=>=D>?7@A;B F:;C=>9 FA=6=> H./$IJ9?D;76 KL:M *N 455)N A>>@&OOPPP39B767C;BD3A=?Q=?8398LOE=BL:>MOP9;>RC=6OE;:9DO-1G>=>H./$I3@8E3
A crude natural metric for calibrating cost estimates of climateM(>0*7"
"*2,1)*+"*60$ ,*-?10*(" 3)$,(,"- +,7>6 !" 6>06 6>" f9U9 0$1"0%& -3"*%-
0331)i,+06"$& bA opq`;; !,$$,)* ,* /;" ,*-?10*("n *""%"%a
!"#$%& ()%$*+"&
/&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
47/229
D1)!0!,$,6& )5 >)?-" !?1*,*7%)8*s F"-- 6>0* )+")8*"1- !?&
>0N01% ,*-?10*("
Q3#?4?$-$)D #B 04)4
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
48/229
9!/] ;0$+&0+I 2+0*-#'DI A&'$&++3$&'
9A]A2/=;
/]SOV,!2/=; ]!]O2A=`
!U2OVOTO2/=;
=\/,!2A $ a
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
49/229
=\/,!2A $& a
Bumper Stickers
Your grandchildrens
-$"+< 43+ $15#3)4&)
X+ &++% )# ?CD
$&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
50/229
Your grandchildrens
-$"+< 43+ $15#3)4&)
P10*I E(I"1+0*. O0* ]" E55)1% 6>" P?6?1"s
=-$14)+ =*4&'+ $< 4 -#&'.)+31 53#?-+1 #"+3 14&D 0+&)C3$++) 3$
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
51/229
=-$14)+ %414'+< 43+ )##
"4-C4?-+ )# *4"+ 53$0+" P?6?1"s
!1#&' )*+ 1#+% 0-$14)+ 0*4&'+
43+ $&03+4
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
52/229
;#1+ 0#" P?6?1"s
X*$-+ )*+ ?+&+B$)< #B 0-$14)+ 53#)+0)$#& $&"#-"+ )*+ 53$0+-+ )*+ +15-#D1+&)
4&% #)*+3 ?+&+B$)< )*4) 3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
53/229
X+ &++% )# ?CD
$&" P?6?1"s. (,6,*7 J016,* ]",6N+0*
2*+ 53#?4?$-$)D #B 4 3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
54/229
f@87 551 is Possible, But
A
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
55/229
Where the world needs to go:energy-related CO2 emissions per capita
Source: WDR, adapted from NRC (National Research Council). 2008. The National Academies Summit on Americas Energy Future: Su++"#, -. " !))$%&/0("12%&/$-&3 456 7"$%-&"8 9:";)+%)1
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
56/229
U8,6(>E-,0. J0,*-61"0+,*7 U?-60,*0!$" O)*-?+36,)* ,* E-,0. O)*-?+"1 :))I [)9 b. (,6,*7 ]]P /;;4.
5 5V+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
57/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
58/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
59/229
Examples of uncertainties identified in each of 3k l d l i hi f k l d
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
60/229
S?L:N =68 !3 !=;::;9L3 455)3 !7P=?8 = ?9:=>;76=: B76B9@> 7E L6B9?>=;6>M& =U7L> V67P;6< >77 :;>>:9N V67P;6< >778;EE9?96>:MN =68 =BB9@>;6< 67> >7 V67P3 !"#$#%& ()* +#",-.& /01234 (53 W76:;69X Y-I& A>>@&OOPPP39B7:7M37?(5O
knowledge relationships of knowledge
Y6@?98;B>=U;:;>M .6B7C@:9>9 V67P:98;@:9 V67P:98L?=: DMD>9C
!9BA6;B=: DMD>9C
G7B;=: DMD>9C
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
61/229
7-)8
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
62/229
V#-+< 4&% 3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
63/229
]:OUC. E D06> 6) U?-60,*0!$" O)*-?+36,)*.
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
64/229
]:OUC. E D06> 6) U?-60,*0!$" O)*-?+36,)*.
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
65/229
Half to 75% of all natural resource consumptionbecomes pollution and waste within 12 months.
L0 !"$$2)J1 )$ "80 !"# %#& "( )* +,(&)-. @AAA JJJ0J#%0-# K
CLOSING THE LOOP Reducing Use of Virgin Resources, IncreasingReuse of Waste Nutrients, Green Chemistry, Biomimicry
,(-&.#$#%& / -$12&34" 6+ / 7 +"
http://www.wri.org/http://www.wri.org/8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
66/229
!"#$#%&
'()*&+%&!"#$% '$(#"%)*
4"56+3 / 72+"&3+,-- '$(#"%)*
8.+3
9%"%&3.'"#-$/0$ '$(#"%)*
:&33$5&3
:&7"$31"234$'(5%6 '$(#"%)*
;.23+9(%"$1 .(1&3
!$%*"'5- '$(#"%)*
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
67/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
68/229
H:J ODriscoll
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
69/229
[EUE. L"3)16 ])1I->)3 )* U?-60,*0!$" f1!0* C"2"$)3+"*6. R?*" /;;@. >663add"2"*6901(9*0-097)2d+0,*d>)+"d1"3)16-dODM/;;@M/
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
70/229
[EUE. L"3)16 ])1I->)3 )* U?-60,*0!$" f1!0* C"2"$)3+"*6. R?*" /;;@. >663add"2"*6901(9*0-097)2d+0,*d>)+"d1"3)16-dODM/;;@M/
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
71/229
W"* O0$%",10
2V/Q\A ;2VA]92` QOV2SO\/O
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
72/229
;OUV=A
2V/Q\A ;2VA]92` QOV2SO\/O
*+,,'-. /01(23
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
73/229
*+ ' . 0 23K>" L)$" )5 P,*0*(" L"$06"% 6)
O$,+06" U"(?1,6& 0*% Y*"17& U"(?1,6&
Low Hanging Fruit that keeps growing back now offer a1C-)$.)3$--$#& %#--43 '-#?4- 5##- #B
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
74/229
4-156) * /0-270610
Ad ti C t & Ri k R ili t P tf li
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
75/229
/)-8'318) 9(70-,'210( : ;0,,+(1%'210( 4)%&(060
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
76/229
Z[G\-./]./^ T F"/!./Y"YG 1HH.F.1/F%$87@> 89B7L@:;6;:;>M D9?Q;B9D >7 >A9 @7;6> 7E LD9 => :9=D>B7D> ` ?;DVN EL::M ;6B:L8;6< 968TLD9 9EE;B;96BM;C@?7Q9C96>D =68 76D;>9O8;D>?;UL>98 ;76
4[G\.H!./^^-11/OG,$-! 1/1-^%G9:9B> only verifiable green power/fuels that areB:;C=>9T ` U;78;Q9?D;>MTE?;968:MN =BB9:9?=>9 67> D:7P@7Q9?>M ?98LB>;76N ` =Q7;8 =8Q9?D9 ;C@=B>D
([G"Y-F./^ T 1F"G%G!1, "HHG1!G$88 5.()*(6*578(5-* 199:3B=?U76 C;>;;767@>;76D >7 @7?>E7:;7 >A=> 89:;Q9? >?;@:9 U969E;>DaB:;C=>9 @?7>9B>;76N U;78;Q9?D;>M @?9D9?Q=>;76N =68
@?7C7>;76 7E B7CCL6;>M DLD>=;6=U:9 89Q9:7@C96>[
through Innovative Policies
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
77/229
D)165)$,) D016 $&' 4) $&"4)$"+ :4D< )# 3+%C0+ #C3 9`9 +1$
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
88/229
X+ 43+ 0#11$))+% )# 4''3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
89/229
X+ 43+ 0#11$))+% )# )*+ B#--#:$&'b
!
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
90/229
F"" U()66. OYT/
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
91/229
H* /;;4. ]0$+016 -"6 0 7)0$ )5
1"%?(,*7 "*"17& ()*-?+36,)*
e OT/"+,--,)*- ,* 6>" fUE !&
-"$$,*7 P77 1$--$#& 0#1540)
B-C#3+06 7)0$ !&
-"$$,*7
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
92/229
You cant just keep doing what works one time. Everythingaround you is changing. To succeed, stay out in front of change.
U0+ ]0$6)*. 5)?*%"1
678+,21/90-,//,)2%:,5:0;
New Goal to Supersede CFLs with LEDs
\AL -$'*)$&' 0#C-% %$
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
93/229
$L;6< 6=>L?=: 8=M:;;6< P;>A L:>?=T9EE;B;96> I1#D 7EE9? B=@;>=: =687@9?=>;6< D=Q;6;B ?98LB>;76D ;6 ,9?BL?M 9C;DD;76D
WalmartsT$''+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
94/229
`$'* O$- G U)$-$)D Q3$0+ B-++) +BB$0$+&0DK
O"+3 )*+ 54" ["i6 B"*"106,)* ]0$+016Responsibility,
/;
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
103/229
6KE >1i-
86Z 1$--$#& -$)+39?D
c3c VCO:4dc C;::;76 :;>9?D
) VCO:Z*d C;::;76 :;>9?D
@#>### 104/.?0;X*+& )*+ )3C0> B-++) 40*$+"+< )3$5-+ BC+- +BB$0$+&0D
/;;` /; ',+9&0:D4,)2>
7-,;;,5)9E?0C0)/,)2 .): F5)0G H.C,)2
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
105/229
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
biodiesel truck efficienc
$65
$15p
erbarrelcost
Cost Comparison Biodiesel vs Truck Efficiency
\T] Y[YLBh YPPHOHY[K ELY hTfL :fHFCH[B-s
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
106/229
Space Cooling60%
Ventilation5%
Lighting18%
Lift/Escalator5%
Equipment8%
Others4%
23#5$04- =-$14)+H=##-$&' !-- R+43 V#C&%J
K&3,(0$ Y*"17& ?-07" O)++"1(,0$ :?,$%,*7
C060 ,- 5)1 !?,$%,*7- ,* >)6 0*% >?+,% ($,+06" $,I" U,*703)1". R0I0160. W?0$0 F?+3?1. "6(
!;`V!A..=*$--+3 Q-4&) ABB$0$+&0D
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
107/229
0.5
(7.0)
0.6
(5.9)
0.7
(5.0)
0.8
(4.4)
0.9
(3.9)
1.0
(3.5)
1.1
(3.2)
1.2
(2.9)
NEEDS IMPROVEMENTFAIRGOODEXCELLENT
AVERAGE ANNUAL CHILLER PLANT EFFICIENCY IN KW/TON (C.O.P.)(Input energy includes chillers, condenser pumps, tower fans and chilled water pumping)
New Technology
All-Variable SpeedChiller Plants
High-efficiency
OptimizedChiller Plants
Conventional
Code BasedChiller Plants
Older ChillerPlants
Chiller Plants with
Correctable Design orOperational Problems
Based on electrically driven centrifugal chiller plants in comfort conditioning applications with42F (5.6C) nominal chilled water supply temperature and open cooling towers sized for 85F
(29.4C) maximum entering condenser water temperature and 20% excess capacity.Local Climate adjustment for North American climates is +/- 0.05 kW/ton
kW/ton
C.O.P.
7K8Z)D5$04- 234&+ 9C434&)D
U)?1("a FYY Y*7 F)(I. U,*703)1"
2D5$04- =*$--+3 Q-4&) .. ]++%< /153#"+1+&)HPK6 >X 5+3 )#&J
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
108/229
U)?1("a FYY Y*7 F)(I. U,*703)1"
`$'* Q+3B#314&0+ =*$--+3 Q-4&) H7K8l >Xi)J
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
109/229
U)?1("a FYY Y*7 F)(I. U,*703)1"
`OX^ T$''+3 5$5+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
110/229
U)?1("a FYY Y*7 F)(I. U,*703)1"
S$&4&0$4- T+&+B$)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
111/229
Before AfterCooling TonHr/Week 80,000 80,000
System kWH/Week 152,000 47,200
kWh/TonH 1.90 0.59
Energy Savings in %
Energy Savings in kWH / Year
Energy Savings in $/Year @ $0.20/KWH
Water usage per year (M3) 0 34,682
Water Charge per year (New Water @ $1.0/M3)
Estimated Total $ Savings per Year
Annual Reduction in Carbon Emission per year (Tones)
$34,682
$1,055,238
2,724,800
68.95%
5,449,600
$1,089,920
VO/ m 6ZFK A&+3'D ;4"$&'< #"+3 P8 D+43< m ;hP8,
L4$-D ;D
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
112/229
U)?1("a FYY Y*7 F)(I. U,*703)1"
;$15-+ 9C$%+ )# 3+)3#B$)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
113/229
,$$"1 3$0*69
/9 E-I 5)1 3"15)1+0*(" 7?010*6"" !0(I"% !& ($"015,*0*(,0$ 3"*0$6,"- ,* "2"*6 )5 3"15)1+0*(" ->)1650$$9
b9 E-I 5)1 0((?106" J"0-?1"+"*6 e Z"1,5,(06,)* -&-6"+
)5 06 $"0-6 vM=A 0((?10(& ,* 0(()1%0*(" 6),*6"1*06,)*0$ -60*%01%- )5 ELHM==; e EU\LEY 7?,%"-" 3$0*6
3"15)1+0*("9
=9 E-I 5)1 610(I 1"()1%9
U)?1("a FYY Y*7 F)(I. U,*703)1"
/S =##-$&' \#4% $& >X 5+3 )#&b
/\\U;2V!2/rA As!,Q\A
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
114/229
/S =##-$&' \#4% $& >X 5+3 )#&b2D5$04-b kPK6 >Xi)#& #3 PPaF 1#3+
T+Xi)#&
=#i)#&
=##-$&' %+14&% k 7K768 )#&i16 #B4$30#&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
115/229
=##-$&' \#4% $& >X 5+3 )#&^=#%+b k7Kj8 >Xi)#& #3 87F 1#3+
T+Xi)#&
=#i)#&=##-$&' %+14&% k 7K768 )#&i16 #B
4$3.0#&%$)$#&+%
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
116/229
D)165)$,) D016 /
U\HPKH[B2# '3++& 5#:+3 4&% BC+- #5)$#&< )*4) 43+ ?#)*0-$14)+ G ?$#%$"+3
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
117/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
118/229
O"+3 a777 X4-143)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
119/229
Q"12)+ 9?="#% 9#$2N# R-1)&.)8; "&; MN#"=% !)&-&3 F8-="8 5--8%&/6 E&:#)"1%&/ (-#8;SJ%;) T#="& 98=);-1 $- U..1)$ 5U@3 V$29&&N"8 5"8%.-#&%" 58%+"$) 52"&/)
5-&.)#)&:)3 M":#"+)&$-3 593 M)D$)+=)# H3 @AAB3 2$$D6KKJJJ0:8%+"$):2"&/)0:"0/-CK)C)&$1K@AABW:-&.)#)&:)KD#)1)&$"$%-&1K%&;)G02$+8
h6u 23$--$#& 9-#?4- ;4"$&'< Q#)+&)$4-I 8Z 9) =O6V+%C0)$#&
100 m2
Attributes of Green Energy Services
http://www.climatechange.ca.gov/events/2008_conference/presentations/index.htmlhttp://www.climatechange.ca.gov/events/2008_conference/presentations/index.html8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
120/229
PK A0#$04--D 4BB#3%4?-+
6K ;4B+
@K =-+4&
aK V$ $< -#: 4&% 14&4'+4?-+
8K V+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
121/229
gy g
L..%:%)&:, >E%-S
.N)81
U%8
%+D-#$1
5-"8
55M
&N:8)"#Y"#
1"&;
U%8
12"8)
5-"8 $-
8%ZN%;1
5-"8
&-
55M
D1)+)6"
/01 2
3&)4,.(#.
L:-&-+%:"88, 9..-#;"=8)
M".)
58)"&
M):N#)
R)1%8%)&$ [ .8)G%=8)
L:-8-/%:"88, 1N1$"%&"=8)
L&C%#-&+)&$"88, =)&%/&
\"%81 /#":).N88,3 &-$ :"$"1$#-
R)=-N&;1 )"1%8, .#-+ ."%8N#)1
SUN FUSION PHOTONS
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
122/229
A power source delivered daily and locally everywhereworldwide, continuously for billions of years, never
failing never interrupted never subject to the volatility
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
123/229
? .-6+@:#* (+A-#$'+-#+8-6$B+C:$6*'($#+DEEF+A-$$#+7'6+;G )6 ;+$B'+5B $ (+&*$+#$6'-;
failing, never interrupted, never subject to the volatilityafflicting most energy and power sources used in driving
economic activity
Annual global energy consumption by humans
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
124/229
M-N#:)6 E&$)#&"$%-&"8 L&)#/, 9/)&:,3 L&)#/, Y):2&-8-/,
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
125/229
D)165)$,) D016 b
UTfLOH[B TPPUYKU3+14$&$&' B##)53$&)< ?D 53+"+&)$#& #B )*3+4)+&+%)3#5$04- B#3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
126/229
O5+34)$#& S##)53$&)*..*"( $"(# !KG 7'6 /'-6
Outsourcing CO2 reductions to become Climate Positive
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
131/229
IPCC LULUCF Special Report 2000. Tab 1-2.
0
5
10
15
20
25
Fossil fuel emissions Tropical land use
:,$$,)* 6)*- OT/I $" J >*..*"( $"(# !KG 7'6 /'-6
*( ;*$*4-$*"( #'6R*9'# -R-*.->.' *(
7""6 (-$*"(#N *(96'-#*(4 $B'*66'R'(:'# >/ >*..*"(# ") 3"..-6#
-((:-../ S -(3 #-R*(4 >'$$'6%"))
(-$*"(# >*..*"(# ") 3"..-6#L
PQP+.'R'.#
9+#-#'$04-
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
132/229
$-
$5
$10$15
$20
$25
$30$35
$40
$45
$50
CCS REDD
A0#-#'$04-
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
133/229
23#5$04- L+B#3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
134/229
;OUV=A
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
135/229
!1#3D \#"$&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
136/229
Z">,($"M6)MB1,%
Connect 1 TW Smart Grid with ~3 TW Vehicle fleet
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
137/229
8889&)?6?!"9()+d806(>s2w$KWBD;T=5=he5"06?1"w1"$06"%
8889&)?6?!"9()+d806(>s2wfuYWx2!'7(c
>88896"(>)*)+&9()+dy6"
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
138/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
139/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
140/229
TC$-%$&'
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
141/229
=#11+30$4- ?C$-%$&' +&+3'D +BB$0$+&0D
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
142/229
?D +&% C
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
143/229
H&+: 3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
144/229
U>0**)* U+,6>. H* B"1+0*&. >)?-" 3)8"1- (01. U+016D$0*"6. C"("+!"1 b;. /;
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
145/229
6787 $&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
146/229
2+0*-#'D 045$)4- 0#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
147/229
`R)&)J"=8) :-1$1 )G:8N;) $"G :#);%$1 [ 1%+%8"# 1N=1%;%)1a &-)&)J"=8) :-1$1 %+D8%:%$8, %&:8N;) +"&, :-+D8)G 1N=1%;%)10
UK;K :$&% G
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
148/229
]+43.)+31 0#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
149/229
Q3+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
150/229
`$
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
151/229
/&%C
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
152/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
153/229
234&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
154/229
ce
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
155/229
Lightweight autos neednt cost more. The MY 2010 U.S. newM(01 5$""6
->)8- $,66$" )1 *) ()11"$06,)* !"68""* $,7>6"1 8",7>6 0*% >,7>"1 31,("-9
Manufactu
rersSuggestedRe
tail
Pri
234BB$0 B4)4-$)$+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
156/229
O10->M-05"6& 1,-I 8,6> $,7>68",7>6 +06"1,0$- ,* 0?6)+)6,2"
033$,(06,)*- ,- )*$& 3"1(",2"%. *)6 -?33)16"% !& "2,%"*("9 F,7>6"1
0?6)- 01" 0(6?0$$& -05"1 6>0* >"02,"1 )*"- 6>" -0+" -,N"9
=#1543$
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
157/229
!C)#1#)$"+ 14&CB40)C3$&' 0#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
158/229
=#
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
159/229
=C1C-4)$"+ "#-C1+.?4
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
160/229
UK;K $&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
161/229
`#C3-D #5+34?$-$)D $& 4 *$'*.5+&+)34)$#& 3+&+:4?-+<
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
162/229
`#C3-D #5+34?$-$)D #& 4 1$03#'3$%
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
163/229
r43$4?-+ 3+&+:4?-+ #C)5C) H*#C3-DJ
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
164/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
165/229
R0()!-)*. J9 e J9 C"$?(>,. E D$0* 5)1 0 U?-60,*0!$" P?6?1" !&
/;b;. U(,"*6,5,( E+"1,(0*. [)2 /;;@
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
166/229
R0()!-)*. J9 e J9 C"$?(>,. E D$0* 5)1 0 U?-60,*0!$"
P?6?1" !& /;b;. U(,"*6,5,( E+"1,(0*. [)2 /;;@
,43>+)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
167/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
168/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
169/229
2*+ 53$0+ #B
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
170/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
171/229
:HDZ ^+((0!"_
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
172/229
S/]!]=/]9
Innovative Solar Financing OptionsLong-Term, Low-Cost Financing
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
173/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
174/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
175/229
Solar PV Charging stations Electric Bicycles/Scooters
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
176/229
Cost of owning and operating an e-bike is the lowest of alll t i d t t ti i Chi
120 million electric bicycles & scooters in China
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
177/229
personal motorized transportation in China.
$3 per gallon gasoline is equivalent to 36 cents per kWhtwice as expensive as solar PV electricity
M-N#:)6 b-&"$2"& ()%&)#$3 52"?$"& !"3 52#%1 52)##,3 Y2) Y#"&1%$%-& $- L8):$#%: >%?)1 %& 52%&"6 Q%1$-#, "&; c), R)"1-&1
.-# R"D%; F#-J$2a 98"& 4N#&%&/ Y2#)) Y#)&;1 $2"$ ."C-# )8):$#%: =%?)1 I@S@ASIA JJJ /#%1$ -#/K"#$%:8)K:2"#/%&/SND
GIS Mapping the SolarPotential of Urban Rooftops
http://www.grist.org/article/charging-uphttp://www.grist.org/article/charging-uphttp://www.grist.org/article/charging-uphttp://www.grist.org/article/charging-up8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
178/229
F)#+"&,d1 MT7S9RL9 R)1)"#:2 7 B=:BL:=>9 >A9 @7DD;U:9 D7:=? M;9:8 @9? UL;:8;6< E7? B;>M 7E "D6=U?79BV3
100% Total Global Energy Needs -- NO NEW LAND,WATER, FUELS OR EMISSIONS Achievable this Century
=4)4-DM$&'
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
179/229
F76>;6L7LD =:AC C9=DL?9D ;6B7C;6< D7:=? ?=8;=>;76N B76Q9?>D >7 LD=U:9 969?7Q7:>=;B a+J[ @7P9? DMD>9CDN B=:BL:=>9D ?9Q96L9 D>?9=C U=D9876 ?9=:T>;C9 8M6=C;B @7P9? C=?V9> @?;B9 @7;6>DN B?7DD ;6>9
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
180/229
Smart Grid design based on digital map algorithms continuouslycalculating solar gain. Information used to rank expansion of
urban solar anel locations based on multi criteria tar ets
:::KD#C)C?+K0#1i:4)0*^"msR"g1$7SZ\!
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
181/229
:::KD#C)C?+K0#1i:4)0*^"msR"g1$7SZ\!
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
182/229
X#1+& T43+B##) ;#-43 A&'$&++3< X#3-%:$%+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
183/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
184/229
K>" E51,(0* +01I"6 5)1 )55M71,% $,7>6,*7 31)%?(6- ,- 31)X"(6"% 6) 0(>,"2"`; 6) =; A 0**?0$ -0$"- 71)86>. 8,6> =M4 +,$$,)* E51,(0* >)?-">)$%-
)8*,*7 G?0$,6& 3)160!$" $,7>6- ^31,+01,$& -)$01_ !& /;6,*7 E51,(0 ()*61,!?6"% 6) 6>,- +01I"6 0(("$"106,)*a ,* /;0* 4'/.;;; 3")3$" )* 6>" ()*6,*"*6 8,6>
($"0*"1. -05"1. 1"$,0!$" $,7>6,*7 0*% ,+31)2"% "*"17& 0(("--9
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
185/229
LC"& !%8813 FRU55 4)+-&1$#"$%-&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
186/229
J&6> /a
]" %) *)6 >02" Y*)?7> L08 J06"1,0$-
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
187/229
U, M /*% +)-6 0!?*%0*6 "$"+"*6
in Earths crust
K>" 0+)13>)?- -,$,()* ("$$-+0*?50(6?1"% 51)+ )*" 6)*)5 -0*% ()?$% 31)%?(" 0-+?(> "$"(61,(,6& 0- !?1*,*7
=;;.;;; 6)*- )5 ()0$
J&6> ba
Solar Doesnt Create Many Jobs
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
188/229
R)!- (1"06"% 8,6> "2"1&+,$$,)* %)$$01- -3"*6
)*a
),$ 0*% 70- "i3$)106,)*a
$0*% 01"0
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
189/229
/& )*+ U;!I 0$)$+< 4&% 3+X* #B 0C33+&) UK;K +&+3'D 3+WC$3+1+&)< 04& ?+ 1+) # 07 )R1321(< +-D'( '-)'#& 3##B$&' -#)
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
190/229
electricity could be supplied with
PV systems built in the brown-fields the estimated 2+ millionhectares of abandoned industrialsites that exist in our nations
cities.
f"##, c"*+)#1?% 4%1D)88%&/ $2) _ !,$21 -. M-8"# L8):$#%:%$, @AAI 7"$%-&"8 R)&)J"=8) L&)#/, f"= JJJ )8 /-CKa
.'-(*(4+T7++&6 M()*'.3?*$'#+MU+5V+# .-6
/9> +?9D96> J=:L9D a/+J[N S969E;>TF7D> -=>;7D aSF-[` a [ f
B*(-+89 ( ;*9#+ ) + ;;'69*-.+&Z5V+&:*.3*(4%Z($'46-$'3+5B $ R .$-*9#
http://www.nrel.gov/http://www.nrel.gov/8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
191/229
GL6G:=>9 SL;:8;69
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
192/229
-9E9?96B9 B7D>D 7E E=B=89TB:=88;6< C=>9?;=:D
S.+J ;D D7 9B767C;B=::M =>>?=B>;Q9 U9B=LD9 ;>B=@>L?9D U7>A 969?
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
193/229
B76DLC9 A=:E 7E = B7CC9?B;=: UL;:8;6?;B;>M3
#=M:;;6< B=6 @?7Q;89 L@ >7 Z55h 7E 8=MT>;C9:;;6;6< C=DD;Q9 =C7L6> 7E @7P9?@:=6>D =68 D=Q;6< >96D 7E U;::;76D 7E 87::=?D ;6
=Q7;898 B7D>D3
G7C9 8=M:; 89D;9
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
194/229
Y3G3 B7L:8 D=Q9 >A9 9jL;Q=:96> 7E =6 $:=DV=6
@;@9:;69 a4 C;::;76 U=??9:D 7E 7;: @9? 8=M[N =DP9:: =D =BB?L9 #>-6 ?/@ 8,$$,#) A-6 &-(67ED=Q;6
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
195/229
;+-B.-$1$)+% 5-4
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
196/229
Y1,I O9 B01*"66. ]"*->0* O0,. R?%& R9 O>0. P0I>1?%%,* J0>+))%. U6"3>"* K9 O)**)1. J9 B1"&-)* O>1,-6)5)1). h, O?,. J,(>0"$ C9 J(B">"" e
J01I F9 :1)*7"1-+0. U"$5M$,+,6"% 3$0-+)*,( 8"$%,*7 )5 -,$2"1 *0*)8,1" X?*(6,)*-. [06?1" J06"1,0$-. P"!1?01& ;=. /;"* 68) *0*)8,1"- $0& (1,--(1)--"% $,7>6 8,$$ 7"*"106" 3$0-+)* 802"- 06
6>" 3$0(" 8>"1" 6>" 68) *0*)8,1"- +""6. (1"06,*7 0 >)6 -3)69 K>" !"0?6& ,-
6>06 6>" >)6 -3)6- "i,-6 )*$& 8>"* 6>" *0*)8,1"- 6)?(>. *)6 056"1 6>"& >02"5?-"%9 K>" 8"$%,*7 -6)3- ,6-"$59 H6m- -"$5M$,+,6,*79 K>,- 0!,$,6& 6) >"06 8,6>
31"(,-,)* 71"06$& ,*(1"0-"- 6>" ()*61)$. -3""% 0*% "*"17& "55,(,"*(& )5
*0*)-(0$" 8"$%,*79
]4
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
197/229
h0* h0). R," h0). Z,X0& W1,- [010-,+>0*. x>,(>0) L?0*. O>)*7 z,". U>0*>?, P0* e h, O?,. :1)0%!0*% $,7>6 +0*07"+"*6 ?-,*7 $)8M{ 8>,-3"1,*7
0$$"1 +)%"- ,* - >"1,(0$ *0*)->"$$- [06?1" O)++?*,(06,)*- b %),a"$$ -61?(6?1"- 0(>,"2"% 0!-)136,)* ()+3010!$" 6) +,(1)*M6>,(I $0&"1- 8,6> =;M*+M
6>,(I ->"$$-. 1"%?(,*7 6>" 5,$+ %"3)-,6,)* 6,+" *"("--01& 6) 0(>,"2" -61)*7 0!-)136,)* 51)+ >)?1- 6) +,*?6"-9
{?0*6?+M%)6 -)$01 DZ ("$$-
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
198/229
{?0*6?+ %)6 -)$01 ("$$- ?-" G?0*6?+ %)6- 0- 6>" 3>)6)2)$60,( +06"1,0$. 0- )33)-"%
6) !?$I +06"1,0$- -?(> 0- -,$,()*. ()33"1 ,*%,?+ 70$$,?+ -"$"*,%" ^OHBU_ )1 O0%+,?+K"$$?1,%" ^O%K"_9 {?0*6?+ %)6- >02" !0*%703- 6>06 01" 6?*0!$" 0(1)-- 0 8,%" 10*7" )5
"*"17& $"2"$- !& (>0*7,*7 6>" G?0*6?+ %)6 -,N". ,* ()*610-6 6) !?$I +06"1,0$- 8>"1"
6>" !0*%703 ,- 5,i"% !& 6>" (>),(" )5 +06"1,0$ ()+3)-,6,)*9 K>,- 31)3"16& +0I"-
G?0*6?+ %)6- 06610(6,2" 5)1 +?$6,MX?*(6,)* -)$01 ("$$-. 8>"1" 0 201,"6& )5 %,55"1"*6
"*"17& $"2"$- 01" ?-"% 6) "i610(6 +)1" 3)8"1 51)+ 6>" -)$01 -3"(61?+9
O)$$)%,0$MG?0*6?+M%)6 DZ- ?-,*7 06)+,(M$,70*% 30--,206,)*
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
199/229
" ,*)170*,( O{C %"2,("-
{?0*6?+ %)6- 01" *0*)-(0$" -"+,()*%?(6)1- 6>06 (036?1" $,7>6 0*% ()*2"16 ,6,*6) 0* "*"17& -)?1("9 K>" %)6- (0* !" -310&"% )* 6) 5$"i,!$" -?150("-.
,*($?%,*7 3$0-6,(-9 Y*0!$"- 31)%?(6,)* )5 -)$01 ("$$- $"-- "i3"*-,2" 0*% +)1"
%?10!$" 6>0* 6>" +)1" 8,%"$&MI*)8* -,$,()*M!0-"% 2"1-,)*9
;#-43 0+-- &4%#1+< 4&% 5-4
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
200/229
2$)4&$4 :$)*$& )*+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
201/229
h0* h0). R," h0). Z,X0& W1,- [010-,+>0*. x>,(>0) L?0*. O>)*7 z,". U>0*>?, P0* e h, O?,. :1)0%!0*% $,7>6 +0*07"+"*6 ?-,*7 $)8M{ 8>,-3"1,*7
0$$"1 +)%"- ,* - >"1,(0$ *0*)->"$$- [06?1" O)++?*,(06,)*- b %),a
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
202/229
B103>"*" ,- 0* 0$$)61)3" )5 (01!)*. 8>)-"
-61?(6?1" ,- )*"M06)+M6>,(I 3$0*01 ->""6- )5 -3/M
!)*%"% (01!)* 06)+- 6>06 01" %"*-"$& 30(I"% ,*
0* 06)+M-(0$" >)*"&()+! (1&-60$ $066,("9
;#-43 0+--&4 0#&+
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
203/229
K>" *M6&3" *0*)*()*"- 01" +0%" )5
N,*( )i,%"0*% -"12" 0- 6>" X?*(6,)*
510+"8)1I 0*% 6>" "$"(61)*
()*%?(6)19
K>" 3M6&3" +061,i ,- +0%" )5
3)$&(1&-60$$,*" (0%+,?+ 6"$$?1,%"
0*% -"12"- 0- 6>" 31,+01& 3>)6)*0!-)1!"1 +"%,?+ 0*% >)$"
()*%?(6)19
W"& 5"06?1"- )5 6>" -)$01 +06"1,0$ ,*($?%" ,6- ?*,G?" "$"(61,( 5,"$% %,-61,!?6,)*
6>06 0(>,"2"- "55,(,"*6 (>017" 610*-3)16g 6>" -&*6>"-,- )5 *0*)()*"- ?-,*7,*"i3"*-,2" 31)31,"601& +"6>)%-g 0*% 6>" +,*,+,N06,)* )5 %"5"(6- 0*% 2),%- ,*
-"+,()*%?(6)1-9
:"(0?-" )5 "55,(,"*6 (>017" 610*-3)16. 6>" *"8 -)$01 ("$$ (0* 6)$"106" %"5"(6,2"
+06"1,0$- 0*% 1"%?(" ()-6 ,* 50!1,(06,*7 *"i6M7"*"106,)* -)$01 ("$$-9
http://www.physorg.com/tags/zinc+oxide/http://www.physorg.com/tags/cadmium+telluride/http://www.physorg.com/tags/cadmium+telluride/http://www.physorg.com/tags/zinc+oxide/8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
204/229
[0*) 3,$$01 -)$01 ("$$ 0110&-
O"1,?+ U)$01 1"0(6)1 ^\0,$" (0$6"(>_
U)$01 1)$$ =; -G +"6"1-^E-("*6_
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
205/229
;#-43 /"D
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
206/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
207/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
208/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
209/229
Z"-60 ' J] 8,*% 6?1!,*"O>,*0 {,*7%0) = J] 8,*% 6?1!,*"
0;68 >L?U;69D
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
210/229
F7?6 9>A=67:
F9::L:7D;B 9>A=67:
0;68TU=>>9?M>L?U;69 D@=B;6%-.N)81 .-# 9;;#)11%&/ 58%+"$)3 Q)"8$23 "&; L&)#/,3 9$+-1D2)#)KL&)#/,
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
211/229
D1)2,%"
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
212/229
Y2) $2#)) 1N=S#)/%-&1 -. $2) F#)"$ "
71"06"-6 "()*)+,( !))+- ,* E+"1,(0*
>,-6)1& 5)1 B1"06 D$0,*- 1?10$ ()++?*,6,"-.
while also enabling one of worlds largest1"-6)106,)*- )5 *06,2" 310,1," "()-&-6"+-
I5JK
US Farm Revenues per hectare
A*(3 ["/-.$*'#
?:#$-*(->.' #":69' ")[:6-. @-6; -(3 [-(9B Z(9";'
*?5L ?0C0)D0 M5C/ ;DO;,:G
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
213/229
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
windpower farm
non-wind farm
govt. subsidy $0 $60
windpower royalty $200 $0
farm commodity revenues $50 $64
windpower farm non-wind farm
(%88%"+13 R-=)#$3 +96:#,= ,-; ?:(#=-,(&@# 5-#='A B9CC:A DC(&)-. *)= ,- 5-@&=)-7#-(,::A /)-.(=,&-#; %)=:;3 9D#%8 H3 @AAI3 2$$D6KKJJJ0&:%0-#/K
*?5L ?0C0)D0 M5C/N ;DO;,:G
B,): L?5P,/;
06 0!-)1! 0*% -6)1" -),$ (01!)*
5"$'($*-. ?/('64*#;#K8) 0%%,6,)*0$ 3)6"*6,0$ 1"2"*?" -61"0+- ,* B1"06 D$0,*-a
http://www.nci.org/Thttp://www.nci.org/T8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
214/229
0*% -6)3 -),$ "1)-,)* ^>"*(" 7"*"106,*7 0 3)6"*6,0$ 1"2"*?" -61"0+ 51)+ -"$$,*7 OT/+,6,706,)* (1"%,6- ,* 6>" "+"17,*7 7$)!0$ (01!)* 610%,*7 +01I"6_g
/_ L"M,*61)%?(,*7 51""M
10*7,*7 !,-)* ,*6) 6>"-"
310,1," 710--$0*%- MM 8>,(>
*06?10$$& ()M"2)$2"%6)7"6>"1 5)1 +,$$"**,0 MM
7"*"106,*7 0 3)6"*6,0$
1"2"*?" -61"0+ 51)+
+01I"6,*7 >,7>M20$?"
)170*,(. 51""M10*7" !""59
%&'( *(+! ,!'-&-!./ /(
0&-12/!3/+-44!+!$
5+(647/'
Hydrodams 7% GHG emissions
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
215/229
!LBL?Lk 8=CN S?=R;:
G>3 I7L;D JIN ]9::M F$N #LBA9C;6 1N -. ($3 45553 -9D9?Q7;? DL?E=B9D =D D7L?B9D 7E
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
216/229
M-N#:)6 Ma,0[
Q- R%FB \M8?7a,>F"4T9jOM?[
FF ^=Da,>F"4T9jOM?[
-=>;7\M8?7O^=D
!LBL?Lk =@SS# b4b5 )3d5 4344 @
FL?LlTY6=
"= b5 = 53Zc 5354 "NT
S=:U;6= S
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
217/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
218/229
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
219/229
W)3$)8. C)?7$0-. [?($"01 U?!-,%,"-
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
220/229
W)3$)8. C)?7$0-. [?($"01 U?!-,%,"-
2
80
90
T$--$#& h 677j 0#&
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
221/229
1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1 2
=$"$-$4& ]C0-+43 Q#:+3HPZaj677ZJ
"
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
222/229
E+)?*6 )5 -30(" 1"G?,1"% 6) 610*-3)16 6>" -0+"
*?+!"1 )5 30--"*7"1- !& (01. !?- )1 !,(&($"9
J?"*-6"1 D$0**,*7 T55,(". E?7?-6 /;;
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
223/229
A"+3D *#C3 677 0*$-%3+& C&%+3 8 %$+ B3#1 %3$&>$&'%$3)D :4)+3K A"+3D D+43I l7 1$--$#& 0*$-%3+& 3+40*
4%C-)*##%
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
224/229
912-? F";/%83 F8-="8 ("$)# M-8N$%-&1 $2#-N/2 Y):2&-8-/,3 9..-#;"=8) 1".) ;#%&?%&/ J"$)# .-# D--# :-++N&%$%)1 %& $2) ;)C)8-D%&/ :-N&$#%)13
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
225/229
912-? F";/%83 F8-="8 ("$)# M-8N$%-&1 $2#-N/2 Y):2&-8-/,3 9..-#;"=8) 1".) ;#%&?%&/ J"$)# .-# D--# :-++N&%$%)1 %& $2) ;)C)8-D%&/ :-N&$#%)13
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
226/229
J""6 d"i(""% ]\T e YDE (1,6"1,0 5)1%,-,*5"(6,)*
Y*"17& "55,(,"*6a 4;] fZ $0+3 %,-,*5"(6- 0 !1)0% 10*7" )5
306>)7"*-. ,*($?%,*7 3)$,) 0*% 1)6) 2,1?-"-. ))(&-6-. -?(> 0- O1&36)-3)1,%,?+ 0*%
B,01%,09 K>" -60*%01% -&-6"+ ,- %"-,7*"% 6) 31)2,%" /; $,6"1- )5 3)60!$" 806"1 3"1
3"1-)*. 3"1 %0&. 5)1 0 ()++?*,6& )5 b.;;; 3")3$"9
912-? F";/%83 F8-="8 ("$)# M-8N$%-&1 $2#-N/2 Y):2&-8-/,3 9..-#;"=8) 1".) ;#%&?%&/ J"$)# .-# D--# :-++N&%$%)1 %& $2) ;)C)8-D%&/ :-N&$#%)13
8/12/2019 Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt
229/229
SLD;69DD C789: ?9=BA9D L689?D9?Q98 UM ;6B:L8;6< E;6=6B;6< E7? >A9 @L?BA=D9 =68 ;6D>=::=>;76 7E7L? DMD>9CD3 YD9? E99D E7? >?9=>98 P=>9? =?9 LD98 >7 ?9@=M :7=6D =68 >7 B7Q9? >A9 9i@96D9D 7E7@9?=>;6< =68 C=;6>=;6;6< >A9 9jL;@C96> =68 E=B;:;>M3
F7CCL6;>M C9CU9?D A;?98 >7 B768LB> 8=MT>7Tday maintenance of these microTutilities, thusB?9=>;6< 9C@:7MC96> =68 UL;:8;6< B=@=B;>M =D P9:: =D ;6< 96>?9@?969L?;=: 7@@7?>L6;>;9D