Post on 14-Aug-2020
The World As We See ItBrisbane & Gold Coast
April 2016Prepared by the Evidence & Data Team
Industry Analysis
2
3Source: NIEIR
Activity to stabilise in Brisbane and increase on the Gold Coast 2016-17
Total Construction Work Done, $m, Qtrly
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
20
10.3
20
10.4
20
11.1
20
11.2
20
11.3
20
11.4
20
12.1
20
12.2
20
12.3
20
12.4
20
13.1
20
13.2
20
13.3
20
13.4
20
14.1
20
14.2
20
14.3
20
14.4
20
15.1
20
15.2
20
15.3
20
15.4
20
16.1
20
16.2
20
16.3
20
16.4
20
17.1
20
17.2
Brisbane
Residential Commercial Engineering Total
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
20
10.3
20
10.4
20
11.1
20
11.2
20
11.3
20
11.4
20
12.1
20
12.2
20
12.3
20
12.4
20
13.1
20
13.2
20
13.3
20
13.4
20
14.1
20
14.2
20
14.3
20
14.4
20
15.1
20
15.2
20
15.3
20
15.4
20
16.1
20
16.2
20
16.3
20
16.4
20
17.1
20
17.2
Gold Coast
Residential Commercial Engineering Total
ForecastForecast
4Source: ABS
Building Approvals On The Rise Since 2013
Value of Building Approvals, $m, MAT
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Brisbane
Residential Commercial Total
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Gold Coast
Residential Commercial Total
5
Source: ABS
Increasing Share Of Accommodation Approvals
Accommodation Approvals as a Proportion of Commercial Approvals, Brisbane and Gold Coast
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Brisbane Gold Coast
6
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
New Zealand UK China US
China Is Coming
Short Term Visitors to Australia, ‘000s, MAT
Source: ABS
Apprentices and Trainees Analysis
7
8Source: NCVER, CSQ
Net Increase In Number Of Construction Apprentices In-Training, Brisbane and Gold Coast
9
Industry’s Appetite For Apprentices Is Growing
Construction apprentice commencements, per 100 construction workers, Brisbane and Gold Coast
Source: NCVER, ABS, CSQ
4.0
4.3
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Brisbane Gold Coast
10
Completion Rates For Construction Apprentices Are Declining
Individual completion rates construction trades, 2005-2010, Queensland
Source: NCVER
62.4% 61.9%
55.4%57.3%
64.5%
54.8%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
11
Construction Apprentices Are Starting Later In Life
Construction apprentice commencements by Age
Source: NCVER, CSQ
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
19 and under
20 - 24
25 - 29
30 - 34
35 - 39
40 - 44
45 - 49
50 - 54
55 - 59
60 - 64
65 years and over
Brisbane
2014-15 2005-06
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
19 and under
20 - 24
25 - 29
30 - 34
35 - 39
40 - 44
45 - 49
50 - 54
55 - 59
60 - 64
65 years and over
Gold Coast
2014-15 2005-06
12
Source: NCVER, CSQ
Poor Female Participation In Construction Trade Apprenticeships
Female participation in construction trade apprenticeship qualifications, Brisbane, Gold Coast and Queensland
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Brisbane Gold Coast Queensland
13Source: NCVER, CSQ
Indigenous Participation Above Resident Proportion
Indigenous participation in construction trade apprenticeship qualifications, Brisbane and Gold Coast
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Brisbane Gold Coast Brisbane - Indigenous Population 2011 Gold Coast - Indigenous Population 2011
Workforce Analysis
14
15
Construction Industry Workforce Is Shrinking
101,700 workers
at Feb 2016
Source: ABS
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Brisbane Gold Coast
34,000 workers
at Feb 2016
16
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Construction All Industries
Construction Industry Unemployment
Construction industry unemployment rate, Queensland
Source: ABS, CSQ
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gold Coast
Labour Surplus Construction Industry Employment
17
Gold Coast Construction Employment Moving to Shortage from 2018
Construction Labour Force, ‘000s
Source: NIEIR
Shortage from 2018
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Brisbane
Labour Surplus Construction Industry Employment
Surplus to 2020
18
Top 10 Occupations
Construction Employment, Most Common Occupations, Brisbane and Gold Coast, ‘000s
Source: ABS, CSQ
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Carpenters and Joiners
Electricians
Plumbers
Painting Trades Workers
Building and Plumbing Labourers
Concreters
Plasterers
Earthmoving Plant Operators
Wall and Floor Tilers
Bricklayers and Stonemasons
Brisbane Gold Coast
2016-17 Outlook
• Industry activity to increase on the Gold Coast and stabilise in
Brisbane
• Increasing tourism construction activity
• Workforce to stop shrinking
• Healthy rate of apprentice intake
• Poor apprentice completion rates statewide need attention
19
20
Thank You