The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Control

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The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Control. Thesis for the degree of Philosophia Doctor. Anne Nevin Centre for Quantifiable Quality of Service in Communication Systems (Q2S). Presentation Outline: Introduction and thesis contribution - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Control

Anne Nevin

Centre for Quantifiable Quality of Service in Communication Systems (Q2S)

Thesis for the degree of

Philosophia Doctor

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Presentation Outline:• Introduction and thesis contribution• Homogeneous flows, probability of false acceptance and

provisioning• Flow dynamics and performance measures• Multiple arrivals within a measurement window, a

simulation study• Non homogeneous flows and the Similar flow concept• Conclusion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

New application enables new ways of using the internet but also adds challenges…

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

A key requirement of Real-time applications is short network delay

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Well-ordered sequence of packets

The packets must be ’clocked’ at the same rate on both sides

Constant network delay

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Well-ordered sequence of packets

delay is no longer constant

When demand exceeds the capacity queues build up in routers

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

When demand exceeds the capacity queues build up in routers

Queue of packets

Varying network delay

Packets received with jitter

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

When demand exceeds the capacity queues build up in routers

Queue of packets

Varying network delay jitter buffer

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Packets that do not make it on time will be discarded

Queue of packets

Varying network delay jitter buffer

too late

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Queue of packets

Varying network delay jitter buffer

Admission control to prevent network congestion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Internet flows representing real-time applications and a singel network link with limited capacity

The exhibition venue

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

The exhibition venue has limited space and it is popular

Venue passes are expensive

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition VenueYESYES

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition VenueNONO

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition VenueNONO

Exhibition room with capacity c

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Exhibition Venue

The number of people at the venue will vary with time

N (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Aggregate rate

Mbp

s1

One person represents 1 Mbps while in the exhibition room

R (t)

t

only one pass sold

time in system

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Every person represents 1 Mbps while in the exhibition room

R(t)

t

Aggregate raten passes sold

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

Every person represents 1 Mbps while in the exhibition room

R(t)

t

c = 1000Mbpsc

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admission Control

How many passes can you sell?

R(t)

t

c = 1000Mbpsc

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Probability that all passholders are at the expo simultaneously is very very very small

Sell more than 1000 passes

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Sell as many passes as you can

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

1) Maximize utilization2) P(people at venue > 1000) = small

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

MBAC

Measurement Based Admission Control, MBAC

window

R(t)

t

< uc

Admit if:

1000

uc is the maximum average rate

Tuning = u, 0<u <1

Observationestimate:

Observationestimate:

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

MBAC

window

R(t)

t

< uc

Admit if:

1000

uc is the maximum average rate

But how accurate are these estimates?

Observationestimate:

Observationestimate:

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

MBAC

window

R(t)

t

< uc

Admit if:

1000

uc is the maximum average rate

How long do we need to observe to judge the accuracy of the measurement?

Observationestimate:

Observationestimate:

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

There is an uncertainty in the admission decision

Admit too many Not enough

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

This thesis defines a theoretical framework to study the uncertainty of the admission decision

Probability of false rejection Carried useful traffic

Probability of false acceptance Carried useless traffic

New performance measures:

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

This thesis answers some of the shortcomings with the state of the art method of analyzing MBAC performance

• In the literature, simulation has been used to carry out the performance analysis over an infinite time scale, thus ”hiding” what happens when the actual admission decision is made

• The work in this thesis is fundamentally different from previous work in that it considers what happens at a short time-scale governed by measurement updates

• The thesis defines new flow level performance measures specifically targeting the MBAC decision process

• Performance of MBAC is carried out using mathematical analysis and performance measures can be stated up front

• The concept of Similar flows is introduced which simplifies the analysis when flows are non-homogeneous

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Presentation Outline:• Introduction and thesis contribution• Homogeneous flows, probability of false acceptance

and provisioning• Flow dynamics and performance measures• Multiple arrivals within a measurement window, a

simulation study• Non homogeneous flows and the Similar flow concept• Conclusion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Network link with limited capacity c

MBACR(t) = aggregate rate of accepted flows

t

new flows

Leavingflows

blocked flows

uc is the maximum average rate

Tuning = u, 0<u <1

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Video

= average rate over the window

window

mean

New flows

MBAC Algorithm to be studied: The measured sum

Accepted flows

R(t) = aggregate rate

average max = uc

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

= average rate over the window

window

average max = uc

Admit at most one flow per window

Accepted flows

R(t) = aggregate rate

Video mean

New flows

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

= average rate over the window

window

average max = uc

MBAC knows when a flow comes but not when a flow leaves

Accepted flows

R(t) = aggregate rate

Video mean

New flows

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

= average rate over the window

window

average max = uc

The performance of the MBAC admission decision is determined analytically

Accepted flows

R(t) = aggregate rate

Video mean

New flows

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

General assumptions when doing the mathematical analysis:

• A.1: The flows are independent• A.2: The auto-covariance function of the rate process is

known• A.3: The lost traffic due to previous arrivals within a

window can be ignored• A.4: The probability of a flow leaving within a

measurement window is small • A.5: The correlation at arrival points can be neglected

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Consider the case when flows are homogeneous

r1

K (t) 2

K (t)n

K (t) 1

t

peak rate: r auto-covariance: ρ(t)

mean rate:

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

r1

K (t) 2

K (t)n

K (t) 1

t

peak rate: r auto-covariance: ρ(t)

mean rate:

System state: N=n (number of flows) = maximum number of flows

Consider the case when flows are homogeneous

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

r1

K (t) 2

K (t)n

K (t) 1

Flows areindependent

i

K (t)iR (t) =

Measurement Process

R(t)

twindow

w

estimated average rate when N=n:

variance of the estimated average rate:R^

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Accepting a flow: False Acceptance

Consider the critical state: The system is in state

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Accepting a flow: False Acceptance

Consider the critical state: The system is in state

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Accepting a flow: False Acceptance

Consider the critical state: The system is in state

Safeguard

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

For a given quantile and window size, we can determine l

Provision the system to reduce the probability of false acceptance

Assumption: sum of the time averages is Normally distributed

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

(number of levels = 0) (window size = 5 s)

OFF

ON r = 2Mbps

2 s-1 2 s

-1Two state MMRP Source Model

Case study:

= 50

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Admit too many Not enough

What should be the safeguard size?

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Presentation Outline:• Introduction and thesis contribution• Homogeneous flows, probability of false acceptance and

provisioning• Flow dynamics and performance measures• Multiple arrivals within a measurement window, a

simulation study• Non homogeneous flows and the Similar flow concept• Conclusion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Flows arrive following a Poisson process

MBAC R(t)

t

Leavingflows

blocked flows

Poissonλ

Flow lifetime distribution: negExp, μ

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Flows arrive following a Poisson process

MBAC R(t)

t

A=λ/μ

APB

A(1-P )B

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Ideal admission controller the Psychic controller

The ideal controller is a controller that always makes a correct decision

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

i ... ... ∞

λqi-1 λqi

nmaxμiμ (i+1)μ

nmax

λqnmax

nmax-1 nmax+1

λqnmax+1

(nmax+1)μ (nmax+2)μ

λqnmax-1

...Acceptance Region Rejection Region

MBAC will make erroneous admission decisions

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Probability of False acceptance is the probability that an arriving flow is accepted when it should have been rejected

Probability of False rejection is the probability that an arriving flow is rejected when it should have been accepted

Blocking probability is the probability that an arriving flow is lost

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Carried useful traffic is the expected number of flows in the acceptance region

Carried useless traffic is the expected number of flows in the rejection region

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

OFF

ON r = 2Mbps

2 s-1 2 s

-1

= 50

Two state MMRP Source Model

Case study:

(Erlang load)

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Carried useful traffic can be maximized by choosing the right safeguard (in terms of levels)

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Carried useful traffic can be maximized by choosing the right safeguard (in terms of levels)

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Presentation Outline:• Introduction and thesis contribution• Homogeneous flows, probability of false acceptance and

provisioning• Flow dynamics and performance measures• Multiple arrivals within a measurement window, a

simulation study• Non homogeneous flows and the Similar flow concept• Conclusion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

The effect of multiple arrivals, a simulation study

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

arrival time

MBAC decision

t

t

w

flow1

flow1

flow2

wR

Rejected

Block All: Additional flows are blocked: flow2 is blocked.

Accept All: The MBAC does not keep track of flows and all flows within a window will be treated the same

Peak rate: The MBAC artificially increases the aggregate measurement with the peak rate of the arriving flow. The MBAC algorithm will accept a flow if

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

= 50

A = 100 erlang

OFF

ON r = 2Mbps

2 s-1 2 s

-1Two state MMRP Source Model

Case study:

= 50

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

= 50

A = 100 erlang

OFF

ON r = 2Mbps

2 s-1 2 s

-1Two state MMRP Source Model

Case study:

= 50

Peak rate strategy

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Presentation Outline:• Introduction and thesis contribution• Homogeneous flows, probability of false acceptance and

provisioning• Flow dynamics and performance measures• Multiple arrivals within a measurement window, a

simulation study• Non homogeneous flows and the Similar flow

concept• Conclusion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

The non-homogeneous flows are grouped into classes

K (t)ij

rate process, peak rate, rauto covariance, covKmean rate,

K (t)ij

ri

i

ij

i

For class i

1

0

class 1

class k

r1

rk

n1

11

0

1

2

1

0

11

0

1

2

b1a1

n k

ak bk

t

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

The flows are grouped into classes

1

0

class 1

class k

r1

rk

n1

11

0

1

2

1

0

11

0

1

2

b1a1

n k

ak bk

r1

K (t)12

K (t)1n

K (t)11

rk

K (t) k2

K (t)kn

K (t)k1

Flows are independent

t

t

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

We observe the rate process continuously over the window1

0

class 1

class k

r1

rk

n1

11

0

1

2

1

0

11

0

1

2

b1a1

n k

ak bk

r1

K (t)12

K (t)1n

K (t)11

rk

K (t) k2

K (t)kn

K (t)k1

Flows are independent

R(t)

twindow

w

t

t

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

We observe the rate process continuously over the window

estimated average rate:

variance of the estimated average rate:

1

0

class 1

class k

r1

rk

n1

11

0

1

2

1

0

11

0

1

2

b1a1

n k

ak bk

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

To simplify analyis, we introduce the concept of similar flows.Similar flows share a common correlation structure (t)

Similar flows

For class i

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Similar flows simplify the determination of the variance of the time average

Similar flows

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Example with two classes:

MBAC

video 1

1

0

1

0

video 2

2 Mbps

25 Mbps

2.5 s-1 2.5 s-1

1 s-1 4 s-1

mean: 1Mpbs

mean: 5Mpbs

uc = 25Mbps

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

MBAC

Example with two classes and the flows are similar

video 1

1

0

1

0

video 2

2 Mbps

25 Mbps

2.5 s-1 2.5 s-1

1 s-1 4 s-1

r =1

r =2

mean: = 1Mpbs

mean: = 5Mpbs

uc = 25Mbps

1

2

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Two dimensional state space. Ideal admission control.

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

Ideal: E(R) uc = 25 Mbps

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Two dimensional state space. MBAC.

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

Ideal: E(R) uc = 25 Mbps

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Rejection region for video 1

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

mean = 1Mbps

2Mbps1

0

2.5 s-1-12.5 s

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Rejection region for video 1

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

mean = 1Mbps

2Mbps1

0

2.5 s-1-12.5 s

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

Rejection region for video 1

P(False acceptance|rejection region) 1

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Rejection region for video 2

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

1

0

25Mpbs

4 s1 s-1 -1

mean: 5Mpbs

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Rejection region for video 2

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

P(False acceptance|rejection region) 2

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Consider a state in the rejection region for class i, i = 1,2

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Consider a state in the rejection region for class i, i = 1,2

safeguard

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Most critical are the boundary states

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

1

0

25Mpbs

4 s1 s-1 -1

mean: 5Mpbs

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

n2

n15 10 15 20 2500

1

2

5

4

3

Use the stochastic knapsack to find the state probabilities in the rejection region for the ideal case.

P(False acceptance|rejection region)

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Probability of false acceptance given that the system is in the rejection region

Safeguard size

requirement

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

The probability of false acceptance can be stated up front for analytically tractable sources with a known covariance function

If the covariance is unknown it must be estimated

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Similar flows simplify the analyses if the auto-correlation structure is known

Similar flows

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

Presentation Outline:• Introduction and thesis contribution• Homogeneous flows, probability of false acceptance and

provisioning• Flow dynamics and performance measures• Multiple arrivals within a measurement window, a

simulation study• Non homogeneous flows and the Similar flow concept• Conclusion

Anne Nevin, The Uncertainty of Decisions in Measurement Based Admission Controlwww.q2s.ntnu.no

• This is a theoretical framework to study how measurement errors impact the performance of the MBAC admission decision

• With some analytically tractable sources we can state the defined performance measures up front

• Performance is affected by– Source rate characteristics, window size and flow dynamics

• The concept of Similar flows simplifies the error analysis with non-homogeneous flows

• The defined methodology and framework can be used to study a variety of cases to gain insight into MBAC behavior

• The ultimate goal is to design robust MBAC algorithms

Conclusions