Post on 09-Feb-2016
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© Workforce Planning Australia - www.workforceplanning.com.au
The Hume Workforce Development Committee
Hume Regional Development Australia
Agriculture Labour Market SnapshotWorkforce Planning Australia | March 2012
Agriculture Industry
2 |
The Agriculture Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing industry consists of multiple sectors:
Agriculture
Dairy Cattle Farming
Sheep, Beef, Grain Farming
Fruit, Tree & Nut Growing
Agriculture & Fishing Services
Nursery, Horticulture Production
Mushroom, Vegetable Growing
Nursery, Horticulture Production
Livestock Farming
Crop Growing
Forestry & Logging
Poultry Farming
Fishing
Aquaculture
Forestry Support Services
Deer Farming
Hunting, Trapping
National Industry Overview
Industry Employment
• Employment in the Australian Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing industry is 329,914 people or 3% of the total labour force.
4 |Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, February 2012 data.
Industry Employment Level February 2012
Employment Growth
• Over the past five years, employment in the industry has decreased at a rate of 1.5% per annum.
5 |
404.8 398.8420.6 417.4
432.4420.0
439.3426.3
437.3
371.4 364.4 359.1346.9 352.8 351.9
363.7 370.6
339.1 332.3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing - Employment Level ('000s)February 1994 to 2012
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003 (DEEWR trend data)
Employment Growth by State
6 |
-15.3
-0.4
-0.6
-7.6
3.4
-1.0
0.6
-0.5
-43.9
-26.1
-17.7
-9.8
-4.5
-4.1
-0.9
-0.6
-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10
New South Wales
Queensland
Victoria
Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
Australian Capital Territory 10 year growth5 year growth
• Over the next 5 years all states excluding South Australia and Northern Territory will experience negative employment growth.
• Over the next 10 years it is forecasted that Agricultural employment will decline in all States.
Employment by Industry Sector
7 |
138.8
26.3
23.4
21.9
19.3
12.4
11.2
9.1
9.1
8.8
5.0
4.1
3.9
0.1
0.0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Sheep, Beef, Grain Farming
Fruit and Tree Nut Growing
Dairy Cattle Farming
Agriculture and Fishing Services
Mushroom, Vegetable Growing
Nursery, Floriculture Production
Other Livestock Farming
Other Crop Growing
Forestry and Logging
Poultry Farming
Fishing
Aquaculture
Forestry Support Services
Deer Farming
Hunting and Trapping
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing - Employment Level - Feb 2012 ('000s)
Source: Employment Level by Industry Sector (DEEWR Trend Data based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat no: 6291.0.55.003 – February 2011)
• Sheep, Beef and Grain Farming is the largest sector of employment in the Agriculture industry.
Employment Growth by Sector
• The decline in Agriculture employment has been most significant in the following industry sectors:
― Fruit & Tree Nut Growing― Nursery, Floriculture Production― Other Crop Growing
• Some sectors have remained stable (Hunting & Trapping, Deer Farming) while others have shown small growth in employment. These include:
― Sheep, Beef, Grain Farming― Fishing― Aqualculture
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1.8
1.1
1.0
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.7
0.0
0.0
-1.3
-1.5
-2.3
-7.0
-16.7
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5
Sheep, Beef, Grain Farming
Fishing
Aquaculture
Forestry Support Services
Dairy Cattle Farming
Forestry and Logging
Other Livestock Farming
Poultry Farming
Deer Farming
Hunting and Trapping
Agriculture and Fishing Services
Mushroom, Vegetable Growing
Other Crop Growing
Nursery, Floriculture Production
Fruit and Tree Nut Growing
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing - Five Year Emp Growth (000s) to Feb 2012
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003 (DEEWR trend data)
Projected Employment Growth by Sector
• Projected employment growth in the Agriculture industry is 1.4% over the period to 2015-16.
• Strongest employment gains are expected in the following sectors:― Dairy Cattle Farming― Other Livestock Farming― Forestry Support Services― Sheep, Beef, Grain Farming
• Negative employment growth is forecast in four sectors:― Mushroom, Vegetable Growing― Hunting and Trapping― Fruit & Tree Nut Growing― Deer Farming
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-1.5
-0.5
-0.3
0.0
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.7
2.1
2.4
2.4
2.7
3.2
-2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
Mushroom, Vegetable Growing
Hunting and Trapping
Fruit and Tree Nut Growing
Deer Farming
Poultry Farming
Other Crop Growing
Aquaculture
Forestry and Logging
Nursery, Floriculture Production
Fishing
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing
Agriculture and Fishing Services
ALL INDUSTRIES
Sheep, Beef, Grain Farming
Forestry Support Services
Other Livestock Farming
Dairy Cattle Farming
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing - Projected Employment Growth(% pa) to 2015-16
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003 (DEEWR trend data)
Main employing occupations
• The table below provides an overview of the main employing occupations in the Agriculture industry:
10 |Source: DEEWR Special Order based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat no: 6291.0.55.003 – Calendar Year Average 2011.
Occupation Employment (2011-12)
Livestock Farmers 79.7 Crop Farmers 42.5 Mixed Crop and Livestock Farmers 33.4Livestock Farm Workers 28.3 Crop Farm Workers 22.9 Agricultural, Forestry & Horticultural Operators 12.8 Bookkeepers 8.2 Packers 5.7 Garden and Nursery Labourers 5.2 Mixed Crop and Livestock Farm Workers 4.9
National skills in demand
11 |
Occupation Skills StatusAgricultural Scientist/Consultant Shortage
Agricultural Technician Recruitment difficulty
Accountant No shortage
Shearer No shortage
Arborist No shortage
Landscape Gardener No shortage
Nurseryperson No shortage
Source: DEEWR Special Order based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat no: 6291.0.55.003 – Calendar Year Average 2011.
• There is a national shortage of Agricultural scientists / consultants.• Employers experienced difficulties in recruiting agricultural technicians.
Workforce Development Challenges
12 |
Agriculture
1. Employer culture, regional
& industry leadership
2. Attraction of workers
3. Adoption of higher level skills
across the workforce
4. Adoption and diffusion of new
research findings, innovative practice & technology
5. Workforce retention and effective skills
utilisation
Source: Agriculture Industry Skills Council, Environmental Scan 2011
There are several workforce development challenges facing the Agriculture Industry.
Workforce Development Strategies
1. Employer culture, regional & industry leadership― Build employer capabilities in job design, effective work organisation, the notion of
‘employer of choice’ and high performing workplaces― Build sustainable, grass roots, regionally based ‘skills eco-systems’― Grow industry peaks’ voice and coordinated action on skills & workforce
development― Identify and promote industry champions, experts and intermediaries
2. Attraction of workers― Promote contemporary, science and technology focused industry image― Build attractive pathways into industry through national school curriculum, VET in
schools and establishment of cadetships― Build clear, valued pathways into sustainable agriculture job roles for Aboriginal
people3. Adoption of higher level skills across the workforce
― Diffuse higher level skills and knowledge across the industry through client centred, building blocks approach to delivery
― Increase language, literacy and numeracy, digital literacy, and core skills of the existing workforce
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Workforce Development Strategies
4. Adoption and diffusion of new research findings, innovative practice & technology
― Drive greater adoption of CRC and RDC outputs through VET partnerships and extension initiatives
― Continuously improve nationally endorsed qualifications, skill sets and units of competency to reflect latest skills and knowledge
― Formalise articulation arrangements between vocational and higher education sectors
5. Workforce retention and effective skills utilisation― Drive widespread, formal recognition of workers’ existing skills― Increase and promote skill based pathways within and across sectors― Establish comprehensive demographic and occupational skills profile of existing
workforce
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Hume region
Agriculture in Hume
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• Many of Victoria’s major rivers are located in the Hume region and the availability of water close to its source is a major economic driver for the region.
• With access to water from river systems and valuable groundwater resources, the Hume Region supports a large number of irrigation-based industries of national significance such as dairy, horticulture and viticulture, while also supporting large areas of dryland farming.
• The region contributes to over 25% of milk production and 35% of fruit and vegetables grown in Australia.
• The Murray Darling Basin Authority is currently in the process of establishing new limits (sustainable diversion limits) on the volume of water use. The impact of limits on the Hume region and agricultural sector should be assessed as part of any workforce planning efforts for implications on industry and occupational growth / decline.
• The region also has a number of specialist abattoirs including JBS Swift, Gathercoles and Norvic Foods which process cattle, sheep, goat and deer meats.
• According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the gross value of agricultural and horticultural production in the Goulburn Murray Irrigation District (GMID) is around $2.2 billion and accounts for 25% of the value of Victoria’s agricultural production.
Source: Hume Strategy for Sustainable Communities 2010-2012, Skills Vic 2010
Employment in Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing by LGA
17 |
Towong648 (2006)
Wodonga122 (2006)
Alpine556 (2006)
Mansfield319 (2006)
Hume Region BoundarySub-region BoundaryLocal Government Area (LGA) Boundary
Indigo612 (2006)
Murrindindi703 (2006)
Mitchell476 (2006)
Strathbogie852 (2006)
G Shepparton
Moira2286(2006)
Wangaratta1034 (2006)
Benalla586(2006)
2421 (2006)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
TBC (2011)
2006 Census vs. 2011 Census dataTotal Industry10,615 (2006)
TBC (2012)
Employment growth projections in Hume
• According to Monash projections employment is expected to grow and level out over the period to 2016.
• Average annual growth rate is calculated at 3%.
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Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria.Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011
2010-1 2011-2 2012-3 2013-4 2014-5 2015-616
16.5
17
17.5
18
18.5
19
19.5
20
20.5Total Agriculture Employment Hume
Total Agriculture Employment Hume
Occupations
•The top employing occupations in the region are as follows:
19 |
ANZOG
Occupation Employment (2011-12) (‘000 persons)
1213 Livestock Farmers 9.9157
8415 Livestock Farm Workers 1.7414
1212 Crop Farmers 1.70202
8412 Crop Farm Workers 1.53944
1214 Mixed Crop/Livestock Farmers 0.71952
7211 Agri Fstry & Hort.l Plnt Ops 0.16524
8416 Mixed Crop/Livestock Farmers 0.175
3612 Shearers 0.1707
8414 Garden & Nursery Labourers 0.16954
3622 Gardeners 0.12852
Agriculture (Top 10 occupations by employment level Hume)
Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria .Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011
Education
Occupation growth
• Monash projections show variability in the top employing occupations growth over the period to 2016-17.
• The most significant occupation (Livestock Farmers) will experience a decline.
21 |Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria.
Livestock Farmers
Livestock Farm Workers
Crop Farmers
Crop Farm Workers
Mixed Crop/Livestock Farmers
Agri Fstry & Hort.l Plnt Ops
Mixed Crop/Livestock Farmers
Shearers
Garden & Nursery Labourers
Gardeners
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Agriculture Occupation Growth Hume (2011-2017)
2011-22016-7
Industry Education attainment levels
22 |
• VET education enrolment data shows an increase in course enrolments for the industry. Growth is being driven by the Cert IV, III, II level qualifications
Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
Advanced Diploma
Certificate I
Certificate II
Certificate III
Certificate IV
Diploma
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
20082011
Age profile of enrolments
• Across all industry occupations growth in VET course enrolments has been spread broadly across age groups.
• The largest proportion of enrolments comes from the 15-19 year old age group.
23 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 and over
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
20082011
Diversity of Enrolments
•The diversity of enrolments has increased in the industry in Hume.•The strongest growth can be seen in the proportion of CALD enrolments.•Disabled enrolments have declined.
24 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
Disabled Indigenous CALD0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
20082011
© Workforce Planning Australia - www.workforceplanning.com.au
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing Occupational VET Education Data (Hume)Mixed Crop and Livestock Farm WorkerShearerGardener (General)
Mixed Crop and Livestock Farm Worker
Mixed Crop & Livestock Farm Worker VET Course Enrolments
27 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• Enrolments in VET courses have increased in Hume from 2008-2011.• Growth is being driven by the Cert III and II level qualifications.
Certificate I in Rural Operations
Certificate II in Agriculture
Certificate II in Rural Operations
Certificate III in Agriculture
Certificate III in Rural Business
Certificate III in Rural Operations
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
20082011
Mixed Crop & Livestock Worker Age Profile of VET Enrolments
28 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• The age profile of Mixed Crop & Livestock Farm Workers enrolled in VET courses has remained consistent to the increase in total enrolment numbers for the period.
• The largest proportion of enrolments comes from the 15-19 year old age group.
15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 and Over
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
20082011
Diversity of Mixed Crop & Livestock Farm Worker VET Enrolments
29 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• There has been an increase in indigenous and CALD enrolments over the period 2008-2011.
• Disabled enrolments have declined.
Disabled Indigenous CALD0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
20082011
Shearer
Shearer VET Course Enrolments
31 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• Shearer enrolments in VET courses have decreased in Hume from 2008-2011.Note: There is only one course of relevance to the shearing occupation.
Certificate III in Shearing
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
20082011
Shearer Age Profile of VET Enrolments
32 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• Despite a decline in enrolments, the age profile of Shearers enrolled in VET courses has shown an increase in youth age groups aged 15-19 and 20-24 years.
15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 540
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
20082011
Diversity of Shearer VET Enrolments
33 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• There has not been any diversity of enrolments for shearers over the period from 2008-2011.
Disabled Indigenous CALD0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
20082011
Gardener (General)
Gardener (General) VET Course Enrolments
35 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• Gardener enrolments in VET courses have declined in Hume from 2008-2011.• The Cert IV course in Agriculture has seen the greatest decline.
Advanced Diploma of Agriculture
Advanced Diploma of Rural Business Management
Certificate IV in Agriculture
Certificate IV in Rural Business
Diploma of Agriculture
Diploma of Rural Business Management
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
20082011
Gardener (General) Age Profile of VET Enrolments
36 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• The age profile of Gardeners enrolled in VET courses has generally remained consistent to the increase in total enrolment numbers for the period.
• There has been a significant increase in enrolments from those aged 65 and over.
15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 & Over
60 to 64 65 and over
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
20082011
Diversity of Gardener VET Enrolments
37 |Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria.
• There has been an increase in Disabled and CALD enrolments over the period 2008-2011.
• Indigenous enrolments have declined.
Disabled Indigenous CALD0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20082011
Findings
Findings and Workforce Planning Considerations
1. Employment in the Australian Agriculture industry is expected to grow at a rate of 1.8% p.a. over the next 5 years. The Agriculture industry in Hume is forecast to exceed this rate with an average annual growth forecast at 3% p.a.
I. What are the factors driving growth?II. Growth is not evident in the largest employing occupations. What other occupations not
included as part of this analysis are driving growth?2. ‘Livestock Farmer’ is the largest occupation in the Agriculture Industry in
Hume. This occupation is forecast to decline over the period to 2016.I. Are employees in the occupation aware of the expected decline?II. Are there currently strategies in place to redeploy these workers to other occupations
experiencing growth? i.e. Gardeners.?III. Why is there an increase in Agriculture VET Cert II and III courses?
3. Industry enrolments in VET courses have increased. I. Are course enrolments in alignment with industry sectors / occupations experiencing growth?
4. There has been an increase in the proportion of CALD students enrolling in VET courses.
I. What is driving the increase in enrolments from CALD students? II. Why have Disabled and Indigenous enrolments generally remained stable?
39 |