The Future of the Commercial Sex Industry in 2030

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The future of the [Commercial Sex Industry].

07.10/2011

Emily Empel

©

“Wellness,” “dating,” “massage,”

“escort,” and “dancing” replace

hustling and streetwalking.

© Source: Sudhir Venkatesh

Tech Tools 25% Clients

acquired through

Facebook

BlackBerry 70%

iPhone 19%

Other smartphone

11%

Source: Sudhir Venkatesh ©

Global Commercial Sex Industry Commercial Sex Industry

Services

Contact Based

Prostitution

Str

ee

twa

lke

r

Se

lf-e

mp

loye

d

“Blu

e c

olla

r”

ag

en

cy

Up

sca

le a

ge

ncy

Non-contact Based

Adult Entertainment

Sex Shows

Strip clubs

Hustle club

Show club

Social club

Remote Sex

Goods

Pornography

Adult Film

Pro

fessio

na

l

Go

nzo

Am

ate

ur

Adult Print

Sex Toys

©

annual growth

Source: Jerry Ropelato

5.39%

$13.3 billion*

$46.9 billion

*Larger revenue than the NFL, MLB and NBA combined.

(2006)

(2030 projected)

U.S. Sex Industry Revenue

Source: Jerry Ropelato

$97 billion*

$340 billion

*Larger than the combined revenues of the top ten web tech companies.

(2006)

(2030 projected)

Global Pornography Revenue

Source: Jerry Ropelato

71% 65% 65%

51%

26%

Canada Israel Britain New Zealand United States

In favor of legalizing prostitution?

© Source: Ronald John Weitzer

“The scale of prostitution has been enlarged to the

extent where we can justifiably speak of a commercial

sex sector that is integrated into the economic, social

and political life of [Southeast Asian] countries.”

© Source: International Labor Organization

Trend 1: Client preferences dependent on

worker region.

©

“GF” experience

Sex Tourism

The new sex requirements.

©

Trend 2: Legitimate organizations realize

economic value of sex industry.

1991 1993

© U.S. Phone Sex Calls to San Tome

Source: Sheila Jeffreys

4,300

360,000

The Global

Face of Sex

Workers

Trend 3: Technologies expand the definition

and influence of commercial sex.

©

Choose your relationship criteria.

©

Technological

Physical

Infidelity? Both

Forecast

Assumptions

• Developed vs.

developing world

• Mainstream growth

• Acceptance of sex

technologies

©

Let’s talk about

[the] sex [industry].

Let's talk about all

the good things

And the bad things

that may be.

[visit] for a taste of the cheddar.

LocalRat.com

Emily.Empel@gmail.com

@localrat

[reach out]