Post on 16-Apr-2020
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The Future of Retail Growth is Multicultural How Hispanics, Asians and the New Mainstream Will Drive Revenues and Profits Into the Foreseeable Future and What Retailers Need To Know To Cash-In.
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01 02 03
1
Today’s Objectives
Who’s Driving the
GROWTH?
Introduction
GEOSCAPE
Business Case Example
WALMART
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Geoscape provides data analytics,
technology, and custom research for
companies seeking growth amid a
culturally diverse business environment.
2
Who We Are
Data Analytics
Technology
Research
Digital Audience
Targeting
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WHO’S DRIVING THE GROWTH?
Access the New Mainstream
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Population groups Asian, Black, Pacific Islander, and Hispanic account for over 36% of the
United States 2016 population.
U.S. Population: 2016 By Ethnic Group
12.30%
5.50%
18.40%
63.70% 36.20%
Non-Hispanic Asian & Pacific Islander Non-Hispanic Black Hispanic Non-Hispanic All Others
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40.7%
55.8%58.4%
13.5%
14.6%14.1%
10.4%
16.6%18.7%35.3%
13.1%8.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1990 - 2000 2000 - 2010 2010 - 2016
Pe
rcen
t G
row
th
Growth
Hispanic
Non-Hispanic Black
Non-Hispanic Asian & PacificIslander
All Other Non-Hispanic
5
U.S. Population Growth1990 to 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau for 1990 - 2010 and Geoscape for 2016 projections.
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24,662,700 Additional Hispanics
– 57% percent of total pop growth
6,244,293 Additional Non-Hispanic Blacks
– 14% percent of total pop growth
7,559,112 Additional Non-Hispanic Asian &
Pacific Islanders
– 17% percent of total pop growth
43,446,013 More People Overall
– 38.5 Million persons from these three groups
– Contributed 88% percent of total growth
6
During the 16-Year Period: 2000 To 2016
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Multicultural population includes
all minority groups excluding
non-Hispanic Whites The darker
shades indicate the heavy
presence of cultural groups
especially in sunbelt areas.
7
Multicultural America by county in 1990
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Multicultural population includes
all minority groups excluding
non-Hispanic Whites The darker
shades indicate the heavy
presence of cultural groups in
all areas except those that are
primarily Mid-West rural.
8
Multicultural America by County in 2021
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Comparison of this map
showing 1990 census percent
Hispanic population to the
following page’s Geoscape
projected 2021 population
shows large increases beyond
the traditional Latino states of
Florida and the four states
bordering Mexico.
9
1990 Hispanic Population
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The two-decade period will see
significant Hispanic population
in the Rocky Mountain region,
Northwestern U.S., and in the
newer Latino growth Midwest
and Southeastern states.
10
Hispanic Population Expansion: 2021
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Younger age groups are made up from a more diverse population and vice versa.
Generational Population Shift2021
80.3%74.2%
63.4%
51.5%42.2%
7.7%10.0%
12.4%
12.8%
13.7%
3.7%5.0%
6.1%
7.6%
5.5%
7.6% 10.1%16.3%
24.5%
31.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Age 75+ Boomer 1946-65 Gen X 1966-80 Millennial (Gen Y)1981-97
Age 0-4
Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian Hispanic
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Life Stage Population Comparison 2016
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0-17 Youngsters 18-24 College Agers 25-54 Prime Workforce 55-64 Pre-Retirees 65+ Retirees
White Hispanic Black Asian
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Hispanics by Country of Origin
Note: The US Census Bureau includes a large category of Hispanics of “unknown” origin; Geoscape® has developed a model to accurately attribute Hispanic population by origin.
66.70%
10.10%
3.60%
3.20%
3.70%
2.40%
2.00%
3.70%
2.90%
1.60%
33.3%
Puerto Rican
Salvadoran
Dominican
Cuban
Guatemalan
Colombian
Other South Am.
Other Central Am.
Other Hispanic
Other HispanicsMexicans
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English dominant (nearly
no Spanish) Born in US;
3rd+ generation, few
Hispanic cultural
practices
Tendencies:
Watch Comedy Central
Single-never married
Work in tech
Shop at Whole Foods
14
CultureCode®
Hispanicity™
Segment Profiles
Americanizado LatinoamericanaNueva Latina AmBi-Cultural Hispano
English preferred (some
Spanish) Born in U.S.;
2nd generation Some
Hispanic cultural
practices; often “retro-
acculturate”
Tendencies:
Students
Work in sales &
marketing
Watch MTV
Shop at Costco
Bi-Lingual (equal or
nearly) Immigrant as
child or young adult
Many Hispanic cultural
practices
Tendencies:
Living with parents
Boxing fans
HA1 HA2 HA3 HA4 HA5Spanish preferred (some
English) Immigrant as
adult, in U.S. 10+ years
Pre-dominant Hispanic
cultural practices
Tendencies:
Blue collar
Largest families
Late-night Spanish TV
Spanish dominant
(nearly no English)
Recent immigrant as
adult (less than 10
years ago). Primarily
Hispanic cultural
practices Identify with
home country more so
than U.S.
Tendencies:
Least educated
Migrant laborer
Soccer enthusiasts
Least internet use
17% 28.90% 25.60% 15.50% 12.90%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
HA1 HA2 HA3 HA4 HA5
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English-dominant Born
in U.S.; 3rd+ generation
Few Asian cultural
practices
15
CultureCode®
Asianicity™
Segment Profiles
English-DominantAsian Language
DominantEnglish-Preferred Bi-Lingual
Asian Language
Preferred
English preferred (some
home language) Born in
U.S.; 2nd generation
Some Asian cultural
practices; some “retro-
acculturate”
Bi-Lingual (equal or
nearly) Immigrant as
child or young adult;
Many Asian cultural
practices
AA1 AA2 AA3 AA4 AA5Asian language
preferred (some English)
Immigrant as adult; in
U.S. 10+ years; Pre-
dominant Asian cultural
practices
Asian language
dominant (nearly no
English) Recent
immigrant as adult (less
than 10 years ago);
Primarily Asian cultural
practices; Identify with
home country more so
than U.S.
37.8% 12.2% 19.2% 17.6% 13.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
AA1
Very Westernized
AA2
Bi-Cultural
Westernized
HA3
Bi-Cultural
HA4
Bi-Cultural Easternized
HA5
Very Asian Identity
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Chinese & Taiwanese form the largest Asian country of origin segment followed by slightly
decreasing portions of Indian, Filipino, Vietnamese, and Korean, as smaller Asian countries
like Burma, Bhutan, Nepal, and Thailand now account for nearly 11% of Asian immigrants in
the first half of this decade.
Country of Origin: Asians
Chinese & Taiwanese, 23.8%
Indian, 19.9%
Filipino, 17.9%
Vietnamese, 10.7%
Korean, 9.8%
Other S.E. Asia, 6.8%
Japanese, 5.4%
Other South Asia, 4.1% Other Asia, 1.3%
Mexican
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WALMART
Business Case Example
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Latino Shoppers
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Walmart National Footprint
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Counties with 100K+ Total Population
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Counties with 100K+ Total Population
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Households 2000 2000 Percentage 2021 2021 Percentage Growth % of Growth
Total Households 72,012,287 100% 89,732,215 100% 17,719,928 100%
White/Other Households 53,691,516 75% 57,510,776 64% 3,819,260 22%
Hispanic Households 7,123,740 10% 14,734,918 16% 7,611,178 43%
Non-Hispanic Black Households 8,815,179 12% 12,306,203 14% 3,491,024 20%
Non-Hispanic AsianPI Households 2,381,852 3% 5,180,318 6% 2,798,466 16%
21.6%
43.0%
19.7%
15.8%
Growth 2000 to 2021
White/Other Households Hispanic Households
Non-Hispanic Black Households Non-Hispanic AsianPI Households
Over 78% of Growth!
Walmart Store Trade Area Report (National)
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Houston Multicultural Population %
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Multicultural Food at Home Spend
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Dominant Country-of-Origin by Neighborhood
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Walmart Stores (Houston)
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Tel. 1 (888) 211 9353 / Web. www.geoscape.com / Email. geoscape@geoscape.com
Tel. 1 (888) 211 9353 / Web. www.geoscape.com / Email. dmesas@geoscape.com
The Future of Retail Growth is Multicultural How Hispanics, Asians and the New Mainstream Will Drive Revenues and Profits Into the Foreseeable Future and What Retailers Need To Know To Cash-In