REBOOT 2020 Sander Duivestein

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

INFORMATION IS EVERYWHERE

INFORMATION is the new EMOTION

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

0 INTRODUCTION

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

@duivestein

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

We are all interested in the FUTURE, for that is

where you and I are going to spend the rest of our lives.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1 ME THE MEDIA

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RISE of the CONVERSATION SOCIETY

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1440

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1605

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1840

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1875

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1880

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1895

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1906

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1946

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1979

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1989

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2001

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2007

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2009

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2010

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2010

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2011

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TECHNOLOGY accelerates SOCIETY

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TIMES are CHANGING

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DANGER is LURING

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the single most frequent failure in the history of forecasting has been grossly underestimating the

IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES

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RESISTANCE is FUTILE

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We are moving from the MECHANICAL AGE OF SPEED into the DIGITAL AGE OF REAL TIME.

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MARKETS are CONVERSATIONS

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from MASS MEDIA to MEDIA MESS

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2 COLLABORATION IN THE CLOUD

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the web is the new OPERATING SYSTEM

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VALUE CHAIN 2.0

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NEW NATURE of the FIRM

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V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is MOST ADAPTABLE TO CHANGE.

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3 DON’T BE EVIL

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1768 1848

1918 1974

1971

1793 1829 1829 1873 1875 1893 1908 1929

2008 ?

Water Steam Oil Energy ICT

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1

2 3

4 5

6 GDP

Time

Water

Steam

Oil

Energy

ICT

NBIC

1771 1829

1875

1908

1971

Atoms Bits

from ATOMS to BITS

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DATA is the NEW OIL

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from SCARCITY to ABUNDANCE

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FREE

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AGE of ACCESS

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4 WE THE WEB

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FUTURE of the WEB

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4.74 DEGREES of SEPARATION

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DIGITAL FOOTPRINT

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INTERNET OF THINGS

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BIG DATA

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WEB OF PEOPLE SOCIAL GRAPH

FACEBOOK

WEB OF THE WORLD INTEREST GRAPH

TWITTER

WEB OF PAGES LINK GRAPH

GOOGLE

HUMANIZATION of the web

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from NOISE to SIGNAL

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V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

QUANTIFIED SELF

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DATA

INFORMATION

KNOWLEDGE

WISDOM

DIKW+ HIERARCHY

ENLIGHTENMENT

FUTU

RE

PAST

UN

DER

STA

ND

ING

\ C

ON

TEX

T

WHAT HAPPENED?

WHY DID IT HAPPEN?

WHAT IS HAPPENING?

WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN?

HOW CAN I MAKE IT HAPPEN?

REALTIME / PRESENT

PREDICTING the FUTURE

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FRICTIONLESS SHARING

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5 THE DARK SIDE

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THE DARK SIDE OF SOCIAL MEDIA

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PRIVACY is the new ATOMIC BOMB

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PRIVACY is the new CURRENCY

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REALTIME is the new PRIME TIME

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CITIZEN JOURNALISM

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V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

ATTENTION is SCARCE

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SNACK ECONOMY

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INFORMATION OVERLOAD

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Our overloaded brains FREEZE

when we have to make decisions.

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MEMORY

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A squirrel dying in front of your house may be

MORE RELEVANT TO YOUR INTERESTS right now than people dying in Africa.

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FILTER BUBBLE

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V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

ALONE TOGETHER

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6 POST-PC

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THE POST-PC ERA

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INFORMATION at your FINGERTIPS

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HUMAN BODY is the CONTROLLER

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BRAIN INTERFACES

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LAST GENERATION

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7 THE APP EFFECT

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EVERYONE IS ADDICTED IN 2020

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INFORMATION is the new HARD DRUG

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INFORMATION is the new RELIGION

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8 AUGMENTED HUMANITY

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WHO IS IN CONTROL?

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We shape our tools and thereafter OUR TOOLS SHAPE US

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650 CC 1075 CC 1425 CC

HOMO HABILIS HOMO ERECTUS HOMO SAPIENS

2.500.000 Tools

1.800.000 – 70.000 Fire

250.000 Speech

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

THE RIGHT BRAIN

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All media are extensions of some human faculty. Mental or physical. The wheel is an extension of the foot. Book is an extension of the eye. Clothing is an

extension of the skin. Electric circuitry is an extension of the central nervous system. The

extension of anyone's sense, displaces the other senses and alters the way we think. The way we

see the world and ourselves. When these changes are made, men change.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

TECHNOLOGY is an EXTENSION OF MAN

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INFORMATION gets under your SKIN

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SINGULARITY is NEAR

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9 CONCLUSION

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PEOPLE of the SCREEN

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INNOVATE and EXPERIMENT

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QUESTIONS

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@duivestein +31 6 250 260 20

vint.sogeti.nl

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends