Presented by : Khalid AlHarithi · Microsoft PowerPoint - Khalid AlHarithi ABCE 2018 Final -...

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The Global Economy: Growth Restored with Changes Presented by : Khalid AlHarithi

• The Economy Outlook 2019 – Global  – Regional “MENA” 

• Multilateral Global Economy: Sustainability & Innovation – Water Supply  – Supply Chain  

Table Of Content

The Economy Outlook 2019

Global Growth  2018     3.1 percent 2019     3.0  percent   

2018  Advanced Economies   (AEs)    2.4 percent  Emerging markets & Developing Economies   (EMDEs)    4.9 percent 

2019  AEs    2.2 percent  EMDEs    5.1 percent 

Source: IMF 

The Economy Outlook 2019

Global trade and investment growth (V %) Global Growth  

Source: World Bank 

IMF and  World Bank and many other international organizations forecast: a gradual slower growth in the next two years 2019 and 2020. 

The Economy Outlook 2019

Growth in the MENA region Projected 3 percent in 2018 and 3.3 percent in 2019

Growth in the GCC anticipated 2.1 percent in 2018 and 2.7 percent in 2019

Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

1. New Orders 2. Output 3. Employment 4. Supplier Delivery Times 5. Stock of Items Purchased

The Economy Outlook 2019

Global Output and Export

Global PMI and GDP Developed v Emerging World Output

Future Business Optimism

Global Economy Sep 2018

IHS Markit

The Economy Outlook 2019

J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI Global manufacturing output growth at two-year low

JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI JPMorgan Global PMI Sectors: Manufacturing PMI

The Economy Outlook 2019

J.P.Morgan Global Services PMI Services output growth slows despite uptick in new order inflows

Global Service sector business activity

Global Sectors: Services Business Activity

Global Services PMI Summary 50 = no change on prior month.

The Economy Outlook 2019

J.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI Global economic growth slowed to two-year low in September

JPMorgan Gobal PMI Output Index Global Composite PMI™ 50 = no change on prior month.

The Economy Outlook 2019

Egypt PMI Headline Turkey PMI Headline

Saudi Arabia PMI Headline UAE PMI Headline

PMI - MENA Region

Multilateral Global Economy

The real economy has not regained the ground lost during the 2008 global financial crisis.

Major crises and shocks affecting the global economy :

•Impact of the global financial crisis 2008-2009

•The European Sovereign Debt Crisis Of 2010-2012

•The Commodity Price Realignment In 2014-2016

•The fall of Oil prices in late 2014 - 2016

Multilateral Global Economy

• Policy Uncertainty and Trade Tensions • US tariffs on Chinese imports • Possible failure of Brexit negotiations • Slow implementation of reforms

• Weakening in trade, manufacturing, and investment

• Higher trade costs • Waning growth momentum • Reversal capital flows

Firming recovery Or Modest easing Countries acceleration of growth 45 % in 2018 vs 56 % in 2017

2018 Results

Results of 2018 • Lift in employment and income • Strengthened balance sheets • Opportunity to rebuild buffers • Progressive technology adoption and innovation • Unsustainable Global Economy Growth

Who’s surviving Industrial Services & Technology (The arms of Sustainability) • Embracing Sustainability

• Adopting new frameworks in policy making and in investment appetite

• Transforming the outlook towards sustainability

• Building Corporate Partnership Ecosystem

• Diffusion of Technology and Innovation

• Invest and capitalize on diffusion

• Sponsorship to catalyze change

Surviving 2019 and on ward

Impact of Sustainability and Technology on • Global Water Supply

• Water & Wastewater Treatment Market Worth $674.72 Billion by 2025 Hexa Research

• Global Logistics (Supply Chain) • CAGR of 3.48% from 2016 to 2022 to attain a market size of around $12,256 billion by 2022. • Value of the current market at $8.1tn but this will grow to $15.5tn in 2023 TMR Research

Embraced the sustainability and challenged to optimize and improve by immersive technologies.

Sustainability & Technology

By 2015, 181 countries had achieved over 75% coverage with at least basic drinking water services 

Sustainability & Technology

Global water treatment market revenue, by type, 2014 ‐ 2025 (USD Billion) 

U.S. water & wastewater treatment equipment market, by technology, 2014 ‐ 2025 (USD Million) 

Global wastewater treatment equipment market, by end user 

Sustainability & Technology

Thank you!